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Atalanta v Real Madrid : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 10th Dec, 20:00 BST, Atleti Azzurri d'Italia, Zingonia di Ciserano

Gian Piero Gasperini welcomes Carlo Ancelotti to the Atleti Azzurri d'Italia on Tuesday night, as their Atalanta and Real Madrid sides go head to head in the Champions League. You'll see statistics supporting our top of both teams to score below, but there are 16 other markets we cover too. Each has been designed to deliver as full a picture as possible, with Champions League performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you're able to make the smartest bet choices. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Atalanta should have reason to feel positive ahead of this fixture and, funnily enough, so might Real Madrid. The bookies don't think there's much between them and neither do we – there's no clear victor in this tie. So we look to the both teams to score market, where there's far more reason to be certain. The form stats, past head-to-head (H2H) records and bookies odds below are all pointing towards both sides scoring, and we think that's the tip to go with here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 41% chance of Real Madrid coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Atalanta
36%
17/10
13%
17/10
21%
Draw
23%
13/513/5
Real Madrid
41%
29/20
14%
29/20
20%
Draw 1-1
10%
6/111/2
Real Madrid 2-1
9%
9/1
11%
15/2
6%
Atalanta 2-1
8%
9/1
9%
8/1
10%
Draw 2-2
7%
10/1
8%
9/1
9%
Real Madrid 1-0
7%
11/1
9%
9/1
33%
Atalanta 1-0
6%
12/19/1
Real Madrid 2-0
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
26%
Real Madrid 3-1
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
Atalanta 2-0
5%
16/112/1
13%
Atalanta 3-1
4%
18/1
10%
14/1
21%
Draw 0-0
4%
16/1
13%
11/1
20%
Real Madrid 3-2
4%
20/116/1
11%
Atalanta 3-2
4%
22/1
12%
16/1
26%
Real Madrid 3-0
3%
22/1
10%
18/1
27%
Atalanta 3-0
2%
28/1
15%
20/1
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
8/134/7
10%
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
13/105/4
15%
Home 1st Goal
48%
21/20
7%
-
Away 1st Goal
50%
4/5
8%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
16/1
13%
-
BTTS - Yes
65%
1/2
2%
1/2
10%
BTTS - No
35%
6/4
5%
7/5
14%
BTTS - Home Win
21%
7/2
10%
16/5
24%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/316/5
3%
BTTS - Away Win
24%
3/1
7%
29/10
4%
Home/draw
59%
8/15
8%
8/15
12%
Away/draw
64%
4/9
6%
4/9
11%
Home/away
77%
2/72/7
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
1/6
3%
2/11
6%
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
4/1
11%
17/5
22%
Over 3.5 Goals
41%
6/4
5%
7/5
17%
Under 3.5 Goals
59%
8/15
2%
8/15
13%
Over 4.5 Goals
23%
10/3
4%
16/5
20%
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
2/9
2%
1/5
6%
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
7/1
11%
13/2
25%
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/12
1%
1/14
3%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/331/40
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
14/111/1
20%
Home DNB
52%
10/11
13%
19/20
19%
Away DNB
57%
4/5
11%
4/5
20%
Atalanta win to nil
14%
9/2
15%
-
Real Madrid win to nil
17%
4/1
15%
-
Atalanta / Atalanta
19%
10/3
9%
16/5
20%
Atalanta / Real Madrid
4%
22/1
10%
18/1
Atalanta / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Atalanta
13%
11/2
7%
5/1
14%
Draw / Real Madrid
14%
5/1
9%
19/4
15%
Draw / Draw
14%
5/19/2
10%
Real Madrid / Atalanta
4%
22/1
12%
18/1
17%
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
20%
3/1
14%
14/5
19%
Real Madrid / Draw
7%
12/110/1
8%
bet365
Win / draw / win Champions League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Atalanta
Real Madrid
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool55001115 
-
-
-
l
 
2-0A
2
Inter5410713 
-
-
-
-
3
Barcelona54011312 
-
Jan 29
-
-
4
Dortmund54011012 
-
-
w
 
5-2A
-
5
Atalanta 53201011 
-
-
-
Dec 10
6
Leverkusen5311610 
-
-
-
-
7
Arsenal5311610 
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
-
8
Monaco5311510 
-
-
-
-
9
A Villa5311510 
-
-
-
-
10
S. Lisbon5311310 
-
-
-
-
11
Brest5311310 
-
-
-
Jan 29
12
Lille5311210 
-
-
-
l
 
1-0A
13
Bayern530259 
-
-
-
-
14
Benfica530239 
-
-
-
-
15
A.Madrid530229 
-
-
-
-
16
Milan530229 
-
-
l
 
1-3A
-
17
Man City522168 
-
-
-
-
18
PSV522138 
-
-
-
-
19
Juventus522128 
-
-
-
-
20
Celtic522108 
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
-
21
Feyenoord5212-37 
-
-
-
-
22
Brugge5212-37 
-
-
-
-
23
D. Zagreb5212-57 
-
-
-
-
24
Real Madrid 520306 
Dec 10
-
-
-
25
PSG5113-34 
-
-
-
-
26
Shakhtar5113-44 
-
w
 
0-3F
-
-
27
Stuttgart5113-74 
-
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-1F
-
28
Sparta5113-94 
-
-
-
-
29
Sturm Graz5104-43 
Jan 21
-
-
-
30
Girona5104-53 
-
-
-
-
31
Red Star Bel.5104-83 
-
-
-
-
32
Salzburg5104-123 
-
-
Jan 22
-
33
Bologna5014-61 
-
-
-
-
34
RB Leipzig5005-60 
-
-
-
-
35
S. Bratislava5005-140 
-
-
-
-
36
Young Boys5005-150 
-
w
 
1-6F
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
8
Atalanta have not lost in 8 consecutive european games
4
Atalanta have kept a clean sheet for 4 consecutive home european games
Atalanta 5TH
20 league games
Home
4
Overall
8
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
7
L
2
Real Madrid 24TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

Atalanta have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 10 consecutive Champions League matches. Their PG of 1.6 against Real Madrid on Tuesday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Atalanta 5th Real Madrid 24th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
7%
There is a 79% probability that Atalanta will score 1 or more goals
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Real Madrid will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-29
Atalanta have scored 29% fewer goals at home than predicted
+16
Real Madrid have scored 16% more goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/287679/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Atalanta
PG (predicted goals)
Real Madrid
1.6
1.7
Attack rating
7%
better
ATA
RMD
view stats
Games scored17
17
Failed to score3
3
Scored first13
13
Goals scored49
41
Avg. goals scored2.5
2.1
Avg. shots per game12
12
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for20
17
Avg. XG for2.1
1.9
KickOff rating
+7%
Defence rating
6%
better
ATA
RMD
view stats
Games conceded11
12
Clean sheets9
8
Conceded first5
7
Goals conceded20
20
Avg. goals conceded1
1
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against14%
13%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.1
KickOff rating
+6%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Atalanta v Real Madrid will show here when available.

Atalanta Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5243
M CarnesecchiC KetelaereC KetelaereÉderson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Carnesecchi GLK5
-
S Kolasinac DEF511
-
C Ketelaere MID524
-
M Pasalic MID51
-
M Roon MID5
-
N Zaniolo FWD51
1
-
M Retegui FWD52
-
I Hien DEF4
1
-
M Ruggeri DEF4
-
B Djimsiti DEF41
-
L Samardžić MID41
-
Éderson MID4
3
-
R Bellanova MID41
1
-
J Cuadrado MID4
-
D Zappacosta MID41
-
A Lookman FWD421
-
O Kossounou  DEF32
-
B Godfrey DEF2
-
M Brescianini MID2
1
-
R Tolói DEF1
-
Real Madrid Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5412
A RüdigerV JuniorJ BellinghamL Modric
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Rüdiger DEF52
1
-
F Mendy DEF5
1
-
J Bellingham MID51
1
-
F Valverde MID5
1
-
L Modric MID51
2
-
K Mbappé FWD511
-
Éder Militão DEF4
2
-
L Vázquez DEF41
2
-
F García DEF4
-
A Tchouameni MID4
-
E Camavinga MID4
2
-
A Güler MID4
-
V Junior FWD44
2
-
T Courtois GLK3
-
D Ceballos MID3
1
-
Rodrygo FWD31
-
Endrick FWD31
2
-
A Lunin GLK2
-
D Carvajal DEF21
-
B Díaz MID2
-