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Bayern Munich v Benfica : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 6th Nov, 20:00 BST, Allianz Arena, München

Bayern Munich are in Champions League action on Wednesday night, as Vincent Kompany attempts to outsmart Roger Schmidt and his Benfica side at the Allianz Arena. The odds you see on the page are delivered directly from the bookmaker, while predictions are calculated from statistics over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Champions League match data, including head-to-head records. Click the tabs below to explore it all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

Best Tip: Bayern to win

A Champions League win on home turf for Vincent Kompany's Bayern team win in the win / draw / win market is our prediction. Statistics suggest they're in strong form across a number of key metrics, and they should be too strong for their visitors. The odds from the bookmakers suggest the same, and when that happens you've got a pretty compelling case. A Bayern win is the bet we'd suggest, even if a tight match is possible.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bayern are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 73% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.30.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bayern
73%
1.30
4%
1.30
8%
Draw
15%
6.00
4%
5.75
18%
Benfica
12%
8.00
16%
8.50
29%
Bayern 2-1
9%
9.508.00
6%
Bayern 2-0
8%
9.50
12%
8.50
21%
Bayern 3-1
8%
10.009.00
Bayern 3-0
8%
10.00
11%
9.00
20%
Draw 1-1
6%
13.0010.00
17%
Bayern 1-0
6%
13.00
8%
10.00
11%
Bayern 4-1
6%
15.0012.00
Bayern 4-0
5%
15.00
15%
12.00
26%
Draw 2-2
5%
17.00
11%
13.00
24%
Bayern 3-2
4%
19.00
10%
15.00
12%
Benfica 2-1
3%
23.0019.00
17%
Bayern 5-1
3%
23.0017.00
Bayern 5-0
3%
23.00
10%
17.00
13%
Bayern 4-2
3%
26.00
10%
19.00
17%
Benfica 1-0
2%
29.0023.00
Over 2.5 Goals
73%
1.33
2%
1.33
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
27%
3.40
6%
3.20
7%
Home 1st Goal
58%
1.25
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
40%
3.75
6%
-
No 1st Goal
1%
26.00
13%
-
BTTS - Yes
61%
1.57
8%
1.57
14%
BTTS - No
39%
2.25
10%
2.25
18%
BTTS - Home Win
40%
2.30
4%
2.25
6%
BTTS - Draw
13%
6.50
7%
6.00
20%
BTTS - Away Win
8%
11.00
15%
10.00
33%
Home/draw
88%
1.08
1%
1.07
3%
Away/draw
27%
3.40
9%
3.40
21%
Home/away
85%
1.121.13
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
89%
1.101.09
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
11%
7.006.50
8%
Over 3.5 Goals
53%
1.80
6%
1.80
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
47%
2.00
5%
1.95
5%
Over 4.5 Goals
34%
2.75
8%
2.70
6%
Under 4.5 Goals
66%
1.44
3%
1.40
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
19%
5.004.50
6%
Under 5.5 Goals
81%
1.171.18
3%
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1.011.00
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
23.0019.00
Home DNB
84%
1.11
1%
1.09
4%
Away DNB
22%
6.50
7%
6.50
28%
Bayern win to nil
33%
2.62
10%
-
Benfica win to nil
4%
19.00-
Bayern / Bayern
44%
1.83
6%
1.83
11%
Bayern / Benfica
2%
41.0034.00
26%
Bayern / Draw
5%
17.00
11%
15.00
21%
Draw / Bayern
19%
4.33
8%
4.20
Draw / Benfica
5%
19.00
10%
15.00
21%
Draw / Draw
9%
10.008.50
11%
Benfica / Bayern
5%
15.0015.00
12%
Benfica / Benfica
6%
15.00
12%
12.00
20%
Benfica / Draw
5%
19.00
10%
17.00
11%
bet365
Win / draw / win Champions League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Bayern
Benfica
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
A Villa330069 
-
l
 
1-0A
-
-
Liverpool330059 
-
-
-
-
Man City321097 
-
-
-
-
Monaco321057 
-
-
-
Nov 27
Brest321057 
-
-
-
-
Leverkusen321057 
-
-
-
-
Inter321057 
-
-
-
-
S. Lisbon321047 
-
-
-
-
Arsenal321037 
-
-
-
-
Barcelona320176 
-
l
 
4-1A
Jan 21
-
Dortmund320166 
-
-
-
-
Real Madrid320146 
-
-
-
-
Benfica Away320136 
Nov 6
-
-
-
Juventus320126 
-
-
-
Jan 29
Lille320116 
-
-
-
-
Feyenoord3201-16 
-
Jan 22
l
 
1-3A
-
Atalanta312035 
-
-
-
-
Stuttgart3111-14 
-
-
-
-
PSG3111-14 
Nov 26
-
-
-
Celtic3111-24 
-
-
-
-
Sparta3111-24 
-
-
-
-
D. Zagreb3111-54 
w
 
9-2F
-
-
-
Bayern Home310233 
-
-
-
Nov 6
Girona310203 
-
-
-
-
Milan3102-13 
-
-
-
-
Brugge3102-43 
-
-
-
-
A.Madrid3102-53 
-
-
w
 
4-0F
-
PSV3021-22 
-
-
-
-
Bologna3012-41 
-
-
Dec 11
-
Shakhtar3012-41 
-
Dec 10
-
-
RB Leipzig3003-30 
-
-
-
-
Sturm Graz3003-40 
-
-
-
-
Red Star Bel.3003-90 
-
-
-
w
 
1-2F
Salzburg3003-90 
-
-
-
-
Young Boys3003-90 
-
-
-
-
S. Bratislava3003-100 
Jan 29
-
-
-
Win / draw / win form
17
Bayern have not lost in 17 consecutive home european games
Bayern 23RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
60
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
Benfica 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Bayern since 2016
Bayern
Benfica
Goals: Scored
11
3
Games: Scored
3 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
0 / 3
FCB
3
League games at Benfica since 2016
Benfica
Bayern
Goals: Scored
2
8
Games: Scored
1 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
2 / 3
FCB
2
D
1
Goal Statistics

Bayern Munich's forwards have been superb of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 4 consecutive Champions League outings. A PG of 2.8 suggests that run should continue on Wednesday night.

Bayern 23rd Benfica 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.8
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
5+
21%
There is a 83% probability that Bayern will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Benfica will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+13
Bayern have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted
+17
Benfica have scored 17% more goals when away than predicted
3.0
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/287651/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Bayern
PG (predicted goals)
Benfica
2.8
1
Attack rating
25%
better
FCB
BEF
view stats
Games scored19
17
Failed to score1
3
Scored first15
11
Goals scored60
48
Avg. goals scored3
2.4
Avg. shots per game12
13
Avg. shots per goal4
6
Conversion rate for24
18
Avg. XG for2.4
2.1
KickOff rating
+25%
Defence rating
FCB
BEF
7%
better
view stats
Games conceded12
13
Clean sheets8
7
Conceded first5
9
Goals conceded26
17
Avg. goals conceded1.3
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded7
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
8
Conversion rate against20%
12%
Avg. XG against1
0.7
KickOff rating
+7%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Bayern v Benfica will show here when available.

Bayern Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3531
M Neuer H KaneJ KimmichD Upamecano
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Neuer  GLK3
-
D Upamecano DEF3
1
-
A Davies DEF3
-
M Kim DEF3
-
J Kimmich MID33
1
-
L Goretzka MID31
1
-
J Musiala MID32
-
S Gnabry FWD31
1
-
M Olise FWD32
-
H Kane FWD35
-
L Sané FWD31
-
R Guerreiro DEF21
-
K Laimer MID2
-
A Pavlović MID2
-
J Palhinha MID2
-
K Coman FWD2
-
T Müller FWD21
-
S Ulreich GLK1
-
E Dier DEF1
-
M Tel FWD1
-
Benfica Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3222
A TrubinO KökcüJ BesteF Aursnes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Trubin GLK3
-
J Beste DEF32
-
N Otamendi DEF3
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF3
1
-
A Bah DEF311
-
O Kökcü MID32
-
F Aursnes MID31
2
-
Florentino MID3
-
Ángel Di María FWD31
-
V Pavlidis FWD3
-
Z Amdouni FWD3
1
-
A Silva DEF2
-
T Araújo DEF2
-
L Barreiro MID2
-
B Rollheiser FWD2
-
I Kaboré DEF1
1
-
R Sanches  MID1
1
-
A Cabral FWD1
-
A Schjelderup FWD1
-