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Bayern Munich v Sporting Lisbon : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 9th Dec, 17:45 BST, Allianz Arena, München

the Allianz Arena masses welcome Sporting Lisbon's fans on Tuesday evening, as Vincent Kompany's Bayern Munich face Rui Manuel Gomes Borges's troops in the Champions League. For each and every Champions League fixture, KickOff dives into the statistics for multiple markets. Meaningful stats, including head-to-head results, are then given alongside the best odds.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Bayern to win

Having examined the bookmakers' odds and collated statistics regarding the two sides ahead of this Champions League game, a bet on win / draw / win for Bayern to win on home turf is our recommendation. We predict they will overpower S. Lisbon, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have the pedigree to do so. It may not all be plain sailing, but Bayern winning is the bet come Tuesday evening.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bayern are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 77% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bayern
77%
1.251.25
Draw
14%
6.506.50
S. Lisbon
9%
9.5010.00
Bayern 2-0
10%
8.007.50
Bayern 3-0
9%
9.008.50
Bayern 2-1
9%
9.008.50
Bayern 3-1
8%
10.009.50
Bayern 1-0
7%
11.009.50
Bayern 4-0
6%
12.0011.00
Draw 1-1
6%
13.0012.00
Bayern 4-1
6%
15.0013.00
Draw 2-2
4%
21.0017.00
Bayern 3-2
4%
21.0017.00
Bayern 5-0
4%
21.0017.00
Bayern 5-1
3%
23.0019.00
S. Lisbon 2-1
3%
26.0023.00
Bayern 4-2
3%
29.0023.00
Draw 0-0
2%
26.0019.00
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
1.361.36
Under 2.5 Goals
28%
3.202.90
Home 1st Goal
60%
1.301.29
Away 1st Goal
38%
3.403.80
No 1st Goal
1%
26.0017.00
BTTS - Yes
56%
1.751.80
BTTS - No
44%
2.001.95
BTTS - Home Win
39%
2.402.45
BTTS - Draw
11%
7.507.00
BTTS - Away Win
6%
15.0013.00
Home/draw
91%
1.071.05
Away/draw
23%
3.753.90
Home/away
86%
1.111.11
Over 1.5 Goals
88%
1.111.11
Under 1.5 Goals
12%
6.506.00
Over 3.5 Goals
51%
1.911.91
Under 3.5 Goals
49%
1.911.80
Over 4.5 Goals
31%
3.203.00
Under 4.5 Goals
69%
1.361.35
Over 5.5 Goals
17%
5.505.25
Under 5.5 Goals
83%
1.141.14
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1.021.00
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
21.0017.00
Home DNB
86%
1.071.06
Away DNB
19%
9.007.50
Bayern win to nil
38%
2.25-
S. Lisbon win to nil
4%
19.00-
Bayern / Bayern
47%
1.731.73
Bayern / S. Lisbon
2%
51.0041.00
Bayern / Draw
5%
19.0017.00
Draw / Bayern
20%
4.004.00
Draw / S. Lisbon
4%
23.0017.00
Draw / Draw
9%
10.009.00
S. Lisbon / Bayern
5%
17.0015.00
S. Lisbon / S. Lisbon
5%
19.0013.00
S. Lisbon / Draw
4%
21.0019.00
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Win / draw / win Champions League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Bayern
S. Lisbon
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal55001315 
-
l
 
3-1A
-
-
2
PSG54011112 
-
w
 
1-2F
Jan 20
-
3
Bayern5401912 
-
-
-
Dec 9
4
Inter5401912 
-
-
-
-
5
Real Madrid5401712 
-
-
-
-
6
Dortmund5311610 
-
-
-
-
7
Chelsea5311610 
w
 
3-1F
-
-
-
8
S. Lisbon5311610 
Dec 9
-
-
-
9
Man City5311510 
-
-
-
-
10
Atalanta5311110 
-
-
-
-
11
Newcastle530279 
-
-
-
-
12
A.Madrid530229 
-
-
-
-
13
Liverpool530229 
-
-
-
-
14
Galatasaray530219 
-
-
-
-
15
PSV522158 
-
Jan 28
-
-
16
Spurs522138 
-
-
-
-
17
Leverkusen5221-28 
-
-
-
-
18
Barcelona521227 
-
-
-
-
19
Qarabag5212-17 
-
-
-
-
20
Napoli5212-37 
-
-
-
l
 
2-1A
21
Marseille520326 
-
-
w
 
2-1A
-
22
Juventus513106 
-
-
-
d
 
1-1F
23
Monaco5131-26 
-
-
-
-
24
Paphos5131-36 
-
w
 
1-5F
-
-
25
Union SG5203-76 
Jan 21
-
-
-
26
Brugge5113-54 
w
 
4-0F
-
w
 
3-0F
-
27
A.Bilbao5113-54 
-
-
-
Jan 28
28
E.Frankfurt5113-74 
-
-
-
-
29
Kobenhavn5113-74 
-
-
-
-
30
Benfica5104-43 
-
-
-
-
31
Slavia5032-63 
-
-
-
-
32
Bodø5023-42 
-
-
-
-
33
Olympiakos5023-82 
-
-
-
-
34
Villarreal5014-81 
-
-
-
-
35
Kairat Almaty5014-101 
-
-
w
 
4-1F
-
36
Ajax5005-150 
-
-
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
5
S. Lisbon have not won in 5 consecutive away european games
Bayern 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
50
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bayern4 - 0Brugge
Bayern3 - 1Chelsea
Bayern1 - 2Inter
Bayern3 - 0Leverkusen
Bayern1 - 1Celtic
Bayern3 - 1S. Bratislava
Bayern1 - 0PSG
Bayern1 - 0Benfica
Bayern9 - 2D. Zagreb
Bayern2 - 2Real Madrid
Bayern1 - 0Arsenal
Bayern3 - 0Lazio
Bayern0 - 0Kobenhavn
Bayern2 - 1Galatasaray
Bayern4 - 3Man Utd
Bayern1 - 1Man City
Bayern2 - 0PSG
Bayern2 - 0Inter
Bayern5 - 0Plzen
Bayern2 - 0Barcelona
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
2
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABayern1 - 3Arsenal
ABayern2 - 1PSG
HBayern4 - 0Brugge
ABayern5 - 1Paphos
HBayern3 - 1Chelsea
ABayern2 - 2Inter
HBayern1 - 2Inter
ABayern2 - 0Leverkusen
HBayern3 - 0Leverkusen
HBayern1 - 1Celtic
ABayern2 - 1Celtic
HBayern3 - 1S. Bratislava
ABayern0 - 3Feyenoord
ABayern5 - 1Shakhtar
HBayern1 - 0PSG
HBayern1 - 0Benfica
ABayern1 - 4Barcelona
ABayern0 - 1A Villa
HBayern9 - 2D. Zagreb
ABayern1 - 2Real Madrid
S. Lisbon 8TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Juventus1 - 1S. Lisbon
Napoli2 - 1S. Lisbon
Dortmund0 - 0S. Lisbon
RB Leipzig2 - 1S. Lisbon
Brugge2 - 1S. Lisbon
Sturm Graz0 - 2S. Lisbon
PSV1 - 1S. Lisbon
Atalanta2 - 1S. Lisbon
Young Boys1 - 3S. Lisbon
Atalanta1 - 1S. Lisbon
Rakow1 - 1S. Lisbon
Sturm Graz1 - 2S. Lisbon
Juventus1 - 0S. Lisbon
Arsenal1 - 1S. Lisbon
Midtjylland0 - 3S. Lisbon
Spurs1 - 1S. Lisbon
Marseille4 - 1S. Lisbon
E.Frankfurt0 - 3S. Lisbon
Man City0 - 0S. Lisbon
Ajax4 - 2S. Lisbon
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HS. Lisbon3 - 0Brugge
AS. Lisbon1 - 1Juventus
HS. Lisbon2 - 1Marseille
AS. Lisbon1 - 2Napoli
HS. Lisbon4 - 1Kairat Almaty
AS. Lisbon0 - 0Dortmund
HS. Lisbon0 - 3Dortmund
HS. Lisbon1 - 1Bologna
AS. Lisbon1 - 2RB Leipzig
AS. Lisbon1 - 2Brugge
HS. Lisbon1 - 5Arsenal
HS. Lisbon4 - 1Man City
AS. Lisbon2 - 0Sturm Graz
AS. Lisbon1 - 1PSV
HS. Lisbon2 - 0Lille
AS. Lisbon1 - 2Atalanta
HS. Lisbon1 - 1Atalanta
HS. Lisbon1 - 1Young Boys
AS. Lisbon3 - 1Young Boys
HS. Lisbon3 - 0Sturm Graz
Goal Statistics

Bayern Munich's forwards have been superb of late, finding the net twice or more in 20 consecutive Champions League outings. A PG of 2.8 suggests that run should continue on Tuesday evening.

Bayern 3rd S. Lisbon 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.8
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
16%
5+
21%
There is a 83% probability that Bayern will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of S. Lisbon scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-3
Bayern’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-5
S. Lisbon’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.5
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season
Bayern
PG (predicted goals)
S. Lisbon
2.8
0.9
Attack rating
11%
better
FCB
SCL
view stats
Games scored19
20
Failed to score0
0
Scored first14
14
Goals scored63
46
Avg. goals scored3.2
2.3
Avg. shots per game13
13
Avg. shots per goal4
6
Conversion rate for24
18
Avg. XG for2.4
2
KickOff rating
+11%
Defence rating
FCB
SCL
18%
better
view stats
Games conceded13
11
Clean sheets6
9
Conceded first5
6
Goals conceded20
13
Avg. goals conceded1
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded7
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
9
Conversion rate against14%
11%
Avg. XG against1
0.7
KickOff rating
+18%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Bayern v S. Lisbon will show here when available.

Bayern Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5522
M Neuer H KaneK LaimerK Laimer
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Neuer  GLK5
1
-
J Tah DEF51
1
-
D Upamecano DEF5
1
-
K Laimer DEF52
2
-
M Kim DEF5
1
-
A Pavlović MID5
-
J Kimmich MID5
-
T Bischof MID5
1
-
M Olise FWD512
1
-
H Kane FWD55
-
L Goretzka MID4
-
N Jackson FWD422
-
S Gnabry FWD42
-
L Díaz  FWD43
1
R Guerreiro DEF31
-
J Stanisic DEF3
1
-
L. Karl MID32
-
S Boey DEF2
-
W. Okpako Mike FWD1
-
S. Lisbon Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5322
G InácioF TrincãoG. QuendaM Vilches
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Inácio DEF5
-
M Vilches DEF51
2
-
M Hjulmand MID5
2
-
A Santos FWD52
-
G. Quenda FWD522
1
-
F Trincão FWD531
-
L Suárez FWD521
1
-
R Silva GLK4
-
I Fresneda DEF41
-
J. Arnauth Barrocas Simões MID4
-
G Catamo  MID412
-
H Morita MID41
-
F Ioannidis FWD41
-
P Gonçalves FWD41
2
-
M Reis DEF3
-
E Quaresma DEF3
-
O Diomande DEF3
-
Z Debast DEF3
1
-
J Virgínia GLK1
-
G Vagiannidis DEF1
-
G Kochorashvili MID11
1
-
R Ribeiro FWD1
-