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Benfica v Atletico de Madrid : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio da Luz, Lisbon

We’ve Champions League action to look forward to on Wednesday night, as Roger Schmidt and his Benfica side host Diego Simeone’s Atletico de Madrid at the Estádio da Luz. All statistics, including an in-depth look at the form of both sides and head-to-head records, will change as you browse each of the seventeen betting markets via the tabs below. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers and, of course, KickOff's predictions will too.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Champions League Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Benfica's next match is v Feyenoord at 20:00 on Wednesday 23rd October
Atletico de Madrid's next match is v Leganes at 15:15 on Sunday 20th October
The last European Champions League meeting between Benfica and A.Madrid was on Wednesday 2nd October 2024
European Champions League
October 2nd 2024
Benfica 4
0 A.Madrid
 
M. Aktürkoğlu 13'
Á. Di María Hernández 52'
A. Hartmann Bah 75'
O. Kökçü 84'
 
BEF
ATM
Shots On
11
Shots Off
5
2
Corners
4
2
Possession
53%
47%
Fouls
6
8
Yellow/red cards
1/0
4/0
 
BenficaA.Madrid
 
A. Trubin
?. Fernández
T. Araújo
N. Otamendi
A. Hartmann Bahfootball icon (A. Tavares Silva 86')
O. Kökçüfootball icon (L. Barreiro Martins 85')
F. Aursnes
F. Morris Luís
V. Pavlidis (M. Amdouni 60')
M. Aktürkoğlufootball icon (J. Beste 71')
Á. Di María Hernándezfootball icon (B. Rollheiser 71')
J. Oblak
R. Mandava
A. Witsel
J. Giménez de Vargas
S. Dias Lino
(C. Gallagher 46') J. Resurrección Merodio
(J. Serrano Martínez 46') R. de Paul
(N. Molina Lucero 33') M. Llorente Moreno
Á. Correa
(A. Sørloth 46') A. Griezmann
(G. Simeone 60') J. Álvarez
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Benfica or A.Madrid are in a rich vein of form that would leave us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so we're going with over 1.5 goals. The stats show that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 77% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Benfica
37%
13/8
10%
7/4
2%
Draw
25%
12/59/4
2%
A.Madrid
37%
17/10
15%
8/5
4%
Draw 1-1
12%
11/25/1
Benfica 1-0
9%
17/2
5%
15/2
6%
A.Madrid 1-0
9%
17/2
12%
7/1
7%
Benfica 2-1
8%
9/1
9%
8/1
A.Madrid 2-1
8%
9/1
5%
8/1
6%
Draw 0-0
6%
10/115/2
6%
A.Madrid 2-0
6%
12/1
8%
11/1
9%
Benfica 2-0
6%
12/1
13%
11/1
Draw 2-2
6%
12/110/1
8%
A.Madrid 3-1
4%
20/1
11%
14/1
12%
Benfica 3-1
4%
20/1
9%
16/1
Benfica 3-0
3%
25/1
10%
20/1
A.Madrid 3-0
3%
25/1
13%
18/1
Benfica 3-2
3%
28/120/1
9%
A.Madrid 3-2
3%
28/1
12%
20/1
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
10/1117/20
8%
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
10/1117/20
6%
Home 1st Goal
48%
5/6
17%
-
Away 1st Goal
48%
21/20
14%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
10/1-
BTTS - Yes
57%
7/104/6
7%
BTTS - No
43%
21/2011/10
10%
BTTS - Home Win
19%
4/1
9%
19/5
9%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/33/1
8%
BTTS - Away Win
19%
4/1
11%
18/5
4%
Home/draw
63%
4/9
8%
10/21
1%
Away/draw
63%
4/9
3%
4/9
Home/away
75%
3/101/3
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
2/72/7
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
11/412/5
10%
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
12/52/1
12%
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
1/37/20
5%
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
5/119/4
12%
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/81/8
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/110/1
15%
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/251/33
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/201/18
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/115/2
Home DNB
55%
5/6
13%
10/11
2%
Away DNB
55%
5/6
10%
4/5
3%
Benfica win to nil
19%
7/2
18%
-
A.Madrid win to nil
19%
7/2
13%
-
Benfica / Benfica
19%
10/3
9%
10/3
2%
Benfica / A.Madrid
3%
25/120/1
Benfica / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
11/1
Draw / Benfica
14%
5/1
8%
5/1
Draw / A.Madrid
14%
5/1
9%
19/4
5%
Draw / Draw
16%
9/218/5
A.Madrid / Benfica
3%
25/1
10%
20/1
9%
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
19%
10/3
8%
3/1
3%
A.Madrid / Draw
6%
12/111/1
bet365
Win / draw / win form
Benfica
20 games
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
A.Madrid
20 games
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

Atletico de Madrid's defensive record is to be admired, Diego Simeone's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Champions League games. An average PG rating of 1.4 for Benfica makes sense in this context.

Benfica A.Madrid
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Benfica will score no more than 1 goal
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that A.Madrid will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
+11
Benfica have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
-14
A.Madrid have scored 14% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/287616/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Benfica
PG (predicted goals)
A.Madrid
1.4
1.4
Attack rating
BEF
ATM
1%
better
view stats
Games scored17
18
Failed to score3
2
Scored first12
11
Goals scored40
34
Avg. goals scored2
1.7
Avg. shots per game13
10
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
18
Avg. XG for2
1.4
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
5%
better
BEF
ATM
view stats
Games conceded12
11
Clean sheets8
9
Conceded first8
8
Goals conceded15
19
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
9
Conversion rate against10%
11%
Avg. XG against0.7
1.1
KickOff rating
+5%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Benfica v A.Madrid will show here when available.

Benfica Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2212
A TrubinO KökcüA BahF Aursnes
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Trubin GLK2
-
A Bah DEF211
-
T Araújo DEF1
-
N Otamendi DEF2
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF2
1
-
F Aursnes MID21
2
-
Florentino MID2
-
O Kökcü MID22
-
Ángel Di María MID21
-
K Aktürkoglu MID22
-
V Pavlidis FWD2
-
Subs
A Gomes GLK
-
S Soares GLK
-
A Silva DEF2
-
I Kaboré DEF1
1
-
J Beste DEF21
-
A Bajrami DEF
-
L Barreiro MID2
-
G Prestianni MID
-
B Rollheiser MID2
-
Z Amdouni FWD2
-
A Cabral FWD
-
A Schjelderup FWD
-
A.Madrid Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2112
J OblakJ GiménezM LlorenteJ Giménez
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Oblak GLK2
-
J Giménez DEF21
2
-
A Witsel DEF2
-
R Mandava DEF2
1
-
M Llorente MID21
-
R Paul MID2
1
-
Koke MID2
-
S Lino MID2
-
Ángel Correa MID2
1
-
A Griezmann MID211
-
J Álvarez FWD2
-
Subs
A Gomis GLK
-
J Musso GLK
-
C Lenglet DEF
-
N Molina DEF2
-
J Galán DEF
-
G. Spina DEF
-
C Gallagher MID2
-
T Lemar MID
-
R Riquelme MID1
-
J Serrano MID1
1
-
A Sörloth FWD2
-
G Simeone FWD1
-