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Benfica v FC Barcelona : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio da Luz, Lisbon

We’ve Champions League action to enjoy on Tuesday night, as Bruno Lage and his Benfica side host Hans-Dieter Flick’s FC Barcelona at the Estádio da Luz. Champions League statistics are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) performance included too. It's all on this page, with data visualisations and odds from leading bookmakers available for seventeen major betting markets using the tabs.

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Benfica's next match is v Casa Pia at 18:00 on Saturday 25th January
FC Barcelona's next match is v Valencia at 20:00 on Sunday 26th January
The last European Champions League meeting between Benfica and Barcelona was on Tuesday 21st January 2025
European Champions League
January 21st 2025
Benfica 4
5 Barcelona
 
V. Pavlidis 2'13' R. Lewandowski
V. Pavlidis 22'64' Raphinha
V. Pavlidis 30'78' R. Lewandowski
R. Araújo da Silva (OG) 68'86' E. García
90' Raphinha
 
BEF
BCN
Shots On
5
11
Shots Off
1
6
Corners
2
6
Possession
25%
75%
Fouls
9
9
Yellow/red cards
1/1
4/0
 
BenficaBarcelona
 
A. Trubin
?. Fernández
A. Tavares Silva
T. Araújo
N. Otamendi
F. Morris Luís
O. Kökçü (B. Rollheiser 80')
F. Aursnes (L. Barreiro Martins 61')
M. Aktürkoğlu (A. Hartmann Bah 71')
A. Schjelderup (Á. Di María Hernández 71')
V. Pavlidisfootball iconfootball iconfootball icon (M. Amdouni 80')
W. Szczęsny
P. Cubarsí Paredes
(E. García 74') J. Koundé
(F. Torres García 74') A. Balde Martínez
football iconR. Araújo da Silva
M. Casadó Torras
P. López
(F. Lopez Marin 62') Pablo Gaviria
football iconfootball iconRaphinha
(G. Martín Langreo 90') L. Yamal Nasraoui Ebana
football iconfootball iconR. Lewandowski

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As you can see, our prediction for Tuesday's fixture is over 2.5 goals, meaning that we expect Benfica and Barcelona to score 3 goals or more between them during the regulation 90 mins. 2 goals or less would mean it's a losing tip but, with statistics below suggesting there will be plenty of firepower on the pitch, we think it could well be a winner.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 45% chance of Barcelona coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Benfica
33%
11/5
11%
11/5
3%
Draw
22%
14/5
3%
14/5
Barcelona
45%
11/10
10%
11/10
2%
Draw 1-1
9%
7/1
7%
13/2
7%
Barcelona 2-1
9%
17/2
12%
15/2
6%
Benfica 2-1
7%
11/1
8%
9/1
Draw 2-2
7%
9/1
17%
17/2
5%
Barcelona 3-1
6%
14/111/1
Barcelona 1-0
5%
14/1
58%
11/1
26%
Barcelona 2-0
5%
14/1
36%
12/1
18%
Barcelona 3-2
5%
16/1
19%
12/1
13%
Benfica 1-0
4%
18/1
46%
12/1
8%
Benfica 3-1
4%
20/1
19%
16/1
Benfica 3-2
4%
20/1
28%
16/1
11%
Benfica 2-0
4%
22/1
10%
16/1
13%
Barcelona 3-0
3%
20/1
24%
16/1
13%
Barcelona 4-1
3%
25/1
10%
18/1
10%
Draw 0-0
3%
22/1
53%
14/1
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
70%
2/5
16%
2/5
9%
Under 2.5 Goals
30%
2/1
36%
9/5
18%
Home 1st Goal
48%
6/5
8%
6/5
Away 1st Goal
51%
8/13
3%
7/10
No 1st Goal
1%
22/1
53%
14/1
BTTS - Yes
70%
4/11
13%
4/11
9%
BTTS - No
30%
2/1
33%
15/8
18%
BTTS - Home Win
22%
7/2
25%
10/3
10%
BTTS - Draw
19%
3/1
11%
3/1
8%
BTTS - Away Win
29%
21/10
11%
2/1
8%
Home/draw
55%
7/10
7%
8/11
1%
Away/draw
67%
4/11
5%
7/20
2%
Home/away
78%
1/4
3%
1/4
Over 1.5 Goals
88%
1/8
7%
1/9
5%
Under 1.5 Goals
12%
5/1
33%
19/4
25%
Over 3.5 Goals
49%
1/1
24%
19/20
15%
Under 3.5 Goals
51%
4/5
20%
4/5
15%
Over 4.5 Goals
30%
12/5
24%
21/10
18%
Under 4.5 Goals
70%
1/3
11%
1/3
9%
Over 5.5 Goals
16%
9/2
39%
17/4
25%
Under 5.5 Goals
84%
1/7
7%
1/7
6%
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/50
1%
1/80
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
18/1
27%
14/1
15%
Home DNB
48%
11/8
9%
13/10
4%
Away DNB
60%
8/15
6%
11/20
3%
Benfica win to nil
11%
7/1
14%
-
Barcelona win to nil
16%
9/2
47%
-
Benfica / Benfica
17%
15/4
21%
19/5
4%
Benfica / Barcelona
4%
18/1
10%
16/1
Benfica / Draw
7%
12/1
13%
10/1
8%
Draw / Benfica
11%
7/113/2
7%
Draw / Barcelona
14%
5/1
20%
9/2
10%
Draw / Draw
12%
6/1
17%
5/1
4%
Barcelona / Benfica
4%
22/1
21%
18/1
10%
Barcelona / Barcelona
24%
9/4
5%
21/10
Barcelona / Draw
7%
12/110/1
8%
Win / draw / win Champions League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Benfica
Barcelona
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool77001321 
-
-
-
-
2
Barcelona Away76011518 
l
 
4-5F
-
-
-
3
Arsenal75111216 
-
-
-
-
4
Inter7511716 
-
-
-
-
5
A.Madrid7502515 
w
 
4-0F
-
-
-
6
Milan7502415 
-
-
-
-
7
Atalanta74211414 
-
-
Jan 29
-
8
Leverkusen7412613 
-
-
-
-
9
A Villa7412513 
-
-
-
-
10
Monaco7412313 
-
w
 
2-3A
-
l
 
2-1A
11
Feyenoord7412213 
l
 
1-3A
-
-
-
12
Lille7412213 
-
-
-
-
13
Brest7412213 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
-
14
Dortmund7403812 
-
-
-
w
 
2-3F
15
Bayern7403612 
-
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-1F
-
16
Real Madrid7403512 
-
-
-
-
17
Juventus7331412 
-
Jan 29
-
-
18
Celtic7331112 
-
-
-
-
19
PSV7322311 
-
-
-
-
20
Brugge7322-211 
-
-
-
-
21
Benfica Home7313210 
-
-
-
w
 
4-5A
22
PSG7313210 
-
-
-
-
23
S. Lisbon7313110 
-
-
-
-
24
Stuttgart7313-110 
-
-
-
-
25
Man City722328 
-
-
-
-
26
D. Zagreb7223-88 
-
-
-
-
27
Shakhtar7214-67 
-
-
-
-
28
Bologna7124-55 
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
-
29
Sparta7115-124 
-
-
-
-
30
RB Leipzig7106-63 
-
-
-
-
31
Girona7106-73 
-
-
-
-
32
Red Star Bel.7106-103 
-
w
 
1-2F
-
w
 
2-5F
33
Sturm Graz7106-103 
-
-
-
-
34
Salzburg7106-193 
-
-
-
-
35
S. Bratislava7007-180 
-
-
-
-
36
Young Boys7007-200 
-
-
w
 
5-0F
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
Benfica 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Barcelona 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
2
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Benfica since 2006
Benfica
Barcelona
Goals: Scored
3
2
Games: Scored
1 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
2 / 3
BEF
1
D
1
BCN
1
League games at Barcelona since 2006
Barcelona
Benfica
Goals: Scored
2
0
Games: Scored
1 / 3
0 / 3
Clean sheets
3 / 3
2 / 3
D
2
BCN
1
Goal Statistics

Benfica's fans will be hoping for goals on Tuesday night, not least because FC Barcelona have conceded in each of their last 9 Champions League games. A PG of 1.7 for Bruno Lage's side suggests that run should continue.

FC Barcelona's forwards have been in fine form of late, finding the net twice or more in 5 consecutive Champions League games. A PG of 2.0 suggests that run should continue on Tuesday night.

Benfica 18th Barcelona 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
2.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Benfica will score 1 or more goals
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Barcelona will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+2
Benfica’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-14
Barcelona have scored 14% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/287701/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Benfica
PG (predicted goals)
Barcelona
1.7
2
Attack rating
BEF
BCN
18%
better
view stats
Games scored17
18
Failed to score3
2
Scored first11
16
Goals scored47
58
Avg. goals scored2.4
2.9
Avg. shots per game12
12
Avg. shots per goal5
4
Conversion rate for20
24
Avg. XG for2
2.2
KickOff rating
+18%
Defence rating
20%
better
BEF
BCN
view stats
Games conceded11
15
Clean sheets9
5
Conceded first8
4
Goals conceded15
24
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded7
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
5
Conversion rate against10%
19%
Avg. XG against0.7
1.1
KickOff rating
+20%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Benfica v Barcelona will show here when available.

Benfica Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6322
A TrubinK AktürkogluJ BesteÁlvaro Fernandez
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Trubin GLK6
-
T Araújo DEF5
-
A Silva DEF3
-
N Otamendi DEF6
1
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF6
2
-
F Aursnes MID61
2
-
Florentino MID5
2
-
O Kökcü MID62
2
-
K Aktürkoglu FWD63
1
-
V Pavlidis FWD61
1
-
A Schjelderup FWD1
-
Subs
S Soares GLK
-
A Bah DEF511
1
-
J Beste DEF52
-
A Bajrami DEF
-
Ángel Di María MID612
-
L Barreiro MID3
-
N. Madeira Fernandes Félix MID
-
J. Seno Luis Rêgo MID
-
Z Amdouni FWD61
1
-
A Cabral FWD41
-
G Prestianni FWD
-
B Rollheiser FWD4
-
Barcelona Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6731
J KoundéR Lewandowski J KoundéP. Cubarsí Paredes
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
W Szczęsny GLK
-
J Koundé DEF63
-
R Araújo DEF
-
P. Cubarsí Paredes DEF6
1
-
A Balde DEF41
1
-
M Torras MID62
1
-
Pedri MID61
-
L Yamal MID512
-
Gavi MID3
-
Raphinha MID663
1
-
R Lewandowski  FWD67
-
Subs
I Peña GLK5
-
D. Kochen GLK
-
A Christensen DEF
-
E García DEF2
1
H. García DEF1
-
G. Martín Langreo DEF31
-
P Torre MID2
-
F. Lopez Marin MID413
-
F Jong MID5
-
F Torres FWD32
1
-
A Fati FWD2
-
P Victor FWD4
-