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Benfica v Inter Milan : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio da Luz, Lisbon

Simone Inzaghi takes his Inter Milan team to the Estádio da Luz in the Champions League on Wednesday night, with Roger Schmidt's Benfica their challengers. All the odds are provided straight from top bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from stats over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Champions League match data, including head-to-head performance. Hit the tabs below to explore.

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Benfica's next match is v Salzburg at 20:00 on Tuesday 12th December
Inter Milan's next match is v R.Sociedad at 20:00 on Tuesday 12th December
The last European Champions League meeting between Benfica and Inter was on Wednesday 29th November 2023
European Champions League
November 29th 2023
Benfica 3
3 Inter
 
J. Naval da Costa Eduardo 5'51' M. Arnautović
J. Naval da Costa Eduardo 13'58' D. Frattesi
J. Naval da Costa Eduardo 34'72' A. Sánchez Sánchez
 
BEF
INT
Shots On
6
8
Shots Off
4
4
Corners
2
6
Possession
41%
59%
Fouls
11
9
Yellow/red cards
2/1
1/0
 
BenficaInter
 
A. Trubin
A. Tavares Silva
F. Rodrigues
N. Otamendi
F. Morris Luís (O. Kökçü 79')
J. Naval da Costa Eduardofootball iconfootball iconfootball icon (F. Lima Silva Machado 90')
F. Aursnes
J. Gonçalves Neves
R. Fernandes Ferreira da Silva (T. Antunes Gouveia 90')
C. Tengstedt (P. Musa 79')
Á. Di María Hernández (T. Araújo 89')
E. Audero Mulyadi
F. Acerbi
(J. Cuadrado Bello 67') M. Darmian
(F. Dimarco 77') S. de Vrij
Y. Bisseck
K. Asllani
C. Zopalato Neves
football iconD. Frattesi
(N. Barella 68') D. Klaassen
(L. Martínez 79') football iconA. Sánchez Sánchez
(M. Thuram 68') football iconM. Arnautović
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there's no obvious winner in this fixture, but good reason to think Benfica and Inter will score at least a couple of goals between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Roger Schmidt or Simone Inzaghi has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s lately either. The bookmakers predict over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.29 equating to roughly a 76% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Benfica are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.63.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Benfica
41%
13/10
21%
13/10
13%
7/5
4%
13/10
22%
Draw
25%
12/523/1023/1047/20
3%
Inter
34%
21/10
30%
21/10
19%
2/1
7%
11/5
36%
Draw 1-1
12%
11/211/211/25/1
6%
Benfica 1-0
9%
7/1
20%
7/1
16%
15/2
6%
13/2
21%
Benfica 2-1
9%
17/2
14%
8/1
5%
8/117/2
5%
Inter 1-0
8%
17/2
12%
17/217/28/1
6%
Inter 2-1
8%
10/1
16%
10/1
16%
9/121/2
28%
Benfica 2-0
7%
10/1
27%
10/1
27%
11/1
8%
10/1
21%
Draw 0-0
6%
9/1
9%
9/1
9%
9/1
9%
17/2
10%
Draw 2-2
6%
12/112/112/114/1
20%
Inter 2-0
5%
14/1
25%
16/1
31%
14/115/1
45%
Benfica 3-1
4%
18/1
17%
18/1
10%
18/118/1
10%
Inter 3-1
3%
22/1
21%
25/1
24%
22/1
10%
24/1
47%
Benfica 3-0
3%
20/1
28%
22/1
21%
22/1
12%
19/1
31%
Benfica 3-2
3%
28/128/125/125/1
Inter 3-2
2%
33/1
31%
33/1
31%
28/1
12%
30/1
35%
Inter 3-0
2%
33/1
48%
40/1
41%
33/1
17%
29/1
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
19/20
3%
10/11
4%
10/11
4%
11/10
11%
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
17/20
3%
4/5
6%
4/5
2%
8/11
8%
Home 1st Goal
49%
8/11
21%
20/23
9%
9/10
1%
-
Away 1st Goal
47%
5/4
25%
5/4
13%
11/10
2%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
9/1
9%
9/1
9%
9/1-
BTTS - Yes
56%
3/4
3%
8/11
4%
8/11
4%
41/50
8%
BTTS - No
44%
1/1
2%
21/20
5%
Evs
5%
10/11
8%
BTTS - Home Win
20%
15/4
14%
17/5
7%
7/2-
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2
4%
16/5
5%
16/57/2
2%
BTTS - Away Win
17%
5/1
33%
19/4
25%
9/2
10%
-
Home/draw
66%
4/11
11%
4/11
6%
2/5
3%
4/11
15%
Away/draw
59%
4/7
12%
3/5
11%
8/158/13
16%
Home/away
75%
3/101/3
2%
1/3
2%
7/20
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
3/10
1%
3/10
4%
2/71/3
5%
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
5/2
7%
23/10
8%
5/29/4
11%
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
12/5
6%
23/10
10%
9/414/5
15%
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
1/3
2%
3/10
2%
1/31/4
5%
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
11/2
8%
11/2
12%
11/2
8%
7/1
23%
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/9
1%
1/10
2%
1/10
1%
1/14
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/114/1
15%
-17/1
20%
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/251/28-1.00
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/16
1%
1/18
1%
1/20
1%
1/18
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
9/1
9%
9/1
9%
8/1
10%
17/2
14%
Home DNB
41%
8/13
23%
4/6
9%
8/1113/20
24%
Away DNB
34%
6/5
32%
11/10
15%
Evs5/4
32%
Benfica win to nil
21%
3/1
27%
3/1
17%
16/5
3%
-
Inter win to nil
17%
9/2
27%
9/2
15%
4/1-
Benfica / Benfica
21%
11/4
21%
29/10
15%
3/127/10
23%
Benfica / Inter
3%
28/1
12%
33/1
17%
28/135/1
44%
Benfica / Draw
6%
12/114/112/112/1
Draw / Benfica
15%
9/2
15%
17/4
13%
5/124/5
17%
Draw / Inter
12%
6/1
17%
6/1
17%
6/16/1
21%
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1
9%
4/1
4%
4/14/1
4%
Inter / Benfica
3%
25/1
10%
28/125/128/1
Inter / Inter
17%
4/1
33%
9/2
22%
18/5
2%
21/5
39%
Inter / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
14/112/112/1
Win / draw / win form
Benfica
20 games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
see results
HOME FORM
Benfica0 - 1R.Sociedad
Benfica0 - 2Salzburg
Benfica0 - 2Inter
Benfica5 - 1Brugge
Benfica4 - 3Juventus
Benfica1 - 1PSG
Benfica2 - 0M. Haifa
Benfica3 - 0Dynamo Kyiv
Benfica4 - 1Midtjylland
Benfica1 - 3Liverpool
Benfica2 - 2Ajax
Benfica2 - 0Dynamo Kyiv
Benfica0 - 4Bayern
Benfica3 - 0Barcelona
Benfica2 - 1PSV
Benfica2 - 0Spartak M
Benfica1 - 1Arsenal
Benfica4 - 0Lech Poznan
Benfica3 - 3Rangers
Benfica3 - 0S. Liege
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
see results
OVERALL FORM
ABenfica1 - 3R.Sociedad
HBenfica0 - 1R.Sociedad
ABenfica0 - 1Inter
HBenfica0 - 2Salzburg
ABenfica3 - 3Inter
HBenfica0 - 2Inter
HBenfica5 - 1Brugge
ABenfica2 - 0Brugge
ABenfica6 - 1M. Haifa
HBenfica4 - 3Juventus
ABenfica1 - 1PSG
HBenfica1 - 1PSG
ABenfica2 - 1Juventus
HBenfica2 - 0M. Haifa
HBenfica3 - 0Dynamo Kyiv
ABenfica2 - 0Dynamo Kyiv
ABenfica3 - 1Midtjylland
HBenfica4 - 1Midtjylland
ABenfica3 - 3Liverpool
HBenfica1 - 3Liverpool
Inter
20 games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
see results
AWAY FORM
Salzburg0 - 1Inter
R.Sociedad1 - 1Inter
Man City1 - 0Inter
Milan0 - 2Inter
Benfica0 - 2Inter
Porto0 - 0Inter
Bayern2 - 0Inter
Barcelona3 - 3Inter
Plzen0 - 2Inter
Liverpool0 - 1Inter
Real Madrid2 - 0Inter
Sheriff1 - 3Inter
Shakhtar0 - 0Inter
B. M'gladbach2 - 3Inter
Real Madrid3 - 2Inter
Shakhtar0 - 0Inter
Sevilla3 - 2Inter
Ludogorets0 - 2Inter
Slavia1 - 3Inter
Dortmund3 - 2Inter
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
see results
OVERALL FORM
AInter1 - 0Salzburg
HInter2 - 1Salzburg
HInter1 - 0Benfica
AInter1 - 1R.Sociedad
AInter0 - 1Man City
HInter1 - 0Milan
AInter2 - 0Milan
HInter3 - 3Benfica
AInter2 - 0Benfica
AInter0 - 0Porto
HInter1 - 0Porto
AInter0 - 2Bayern
HInter4 - 0Plzen
AInter3 - 3Barcelona
HInter1 - 0Barcelona
AInter2 - 0Plzen
HInter0 - 2Bayern
AInter1 - 0Liverpool
HInter0 - 2Liverpool
AInter0 - 2Real Madrid
Goal Statistics

Benfica have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 17 consecutive Champions League games. Their PG of 1.5 against Inter Milan on Wednesday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Benfica's defensive record is very strong, Roger Schmidt's men having conceded 1 or less in 8 consecutive Champions League matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for Inter Milan makes sense in this context.

Benfica Inter
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Benfica will score 1 or more goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Inter will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
+14
Benfica have scored 14% more goals at home than predicted
-5
Inter’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.1
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Statistics Champions League - 2023/2023 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/267832/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Benfica
PG (predicted goals)
Inter
1.5
1.3
Attack rating
BEF
INT
18%
better
view stats
Games scored16
19
Failed to score4
1
Scored first13
16
Goals scored37
41
Avg. goals scored1.9
2.1
Avg. shots per game12
12
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate16%
17%
KickOff rating
+18%
Defence rating
BEF
INT
31%
better
view stats
Games conceded13
9
Clean sheets7
11
Conceded first6
4
Goals conceded22
13
Avg. goals conceded1.1
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
11
Conversion rate12%
9%
KickOff rating
+31%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Benfica v Inter will show here when available.

Benfica Champions League squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5322
A TrubinJ MárioC TengstedtA Silva
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Trubin GLK5
1
-
F Aursnes DEF5
-
A Silva DEF4
2
N Otamendi DEF51
1
-
Morato DEF4
1
-
Florentino MID2
1
-
J Neves MID5
-
Ángel Di María MID4
-
R Silva MID51
1
-
J Mário MID43
1
-
C Tengstedt FWD32
-
Subs
S Soares GLK
-
L Kokubo GLK
-
J Victor DEF
-
T Araújo DEF2
-
D Jurásek DEF3
-
O Kökcü MID4
-
Chiquinho MID5
-
P Musa FWD5
-
T Gouveia FWD3
-
A Cabral FWD3
-
Inter Champions League squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4222
C AugustoA SánchezD FrattesiK Asllani
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Audero GLK1
-
Y Bisseck DEF21
1
-
S Vrij DEF4
-
F Acerbi DEF41
-
K Asllani MID5
2
-
M Darmian MID4
-
D Frattesi MID412
1
-
D Klaassen MID3
-
C Augusto MID5
-
A Sánchez FWD52
-
M Arnautovic  FWD21
-
Subs
Y Sommer GLK4
-
R Gennaro GLK
-
F Dimarco DEF5
-
G. Stabile DEF
-
J Cuadrado MID1
1
-
H Calhanoglu  MID31
1
-
H Mkhitaryan MID4
2
-
N Barella  MID5
1
-
I. Kamate MID
-
A Stankovic MID
-
M Thuram FWD51
-
L Martínez FWD52
1
-