FREE BETS	ODDS	RETURNS	BET
	-	-
	-	-

Benfica v Real Madrid : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 17th Feb, 20:00 BST, Estádio da Luz, Lisbon

Benfica and their manager José Mario Felix dos Santos Mourinho will be aiming to beat Álvaro Arbeloa Coca and his Real Madrid side on Tuesday night, as the pair meet at the Estádio da Luz in the Champions League. Analysing both clubs' last 20 Champions League matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As loyal fans of Real Madrid prepare themselves for this clash, they have reason to expect some real entertainment. After analysing the relevant statistics and past head-to-head (H2H) fixture history, it looks as though over 2.5 goals will be a worthwhile bet, as both clubs know they way to goal and either could win. The prediction and odds are in agreement: over 2.5 goals is the bet to go for.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 51% chance of Real Madrid coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Benfica 27%	3/1 5%	27/10
Draw 22%	13/5 6%	29/10
Real Madrid 51%	17/20	10/11
Draw 1-1 10%	13/2 7%	13/2
Real Madrid 2-1 10%	15/2 6%	7/1
Real Madrid 1-0 7%	10/1	17/2
Real Madrid 2-0 7%	10/1	9/1
Benfica 2-1 7%	12/1 13%	10/1
Draw 2-2 6%	10/1	10/1
Real Madrid 3-1 6%	12/1	11/1
Benfica 1-0 5%	16/1	12/1
Real Madrid 3-0 5%	16/1	14/1
Real Madrid 3-2 4%	18/1	16/1
Draw 0-0 4%	16/1	14/1
Benfica 2-0 3%	22/1	16/1
Real Madrid 4-1 3%	25/1 13%	18/1
Benfica 3-1 3%	28/1	20/1
Benfica 3-2 3%	28/1	22/1
Over 2.5 Goals 63%	8/15 3%	8/15
Under 2.5 Goals 37%	6/4 5%	11/8
Home 1st Goal 45%	5/4 2%	11/8
Away 1st Goal 53%	8/13	13/20
No 1st Goal 2%	16/1	12/1
BTTS - Yes 63%	1/2	8/15
BTTS - No 37%	6/4	11/8
BTTS - Home Win 16%	5/1 8%	9/2
BTTS - Draw 18%	10/3 8%	10/3
BTTS - Away Win 29%	11/5	21/10
Home/draw 49%	10/11	10/11
Away/draw 74%	2/9	1/4
Home/away 78%	2/7 1%	1/4
Over 1.5 Goals 84%	1/6	1/6
Under 1.5 Goals 16%	4/1	18/5
Over 3.5 Goals 41%	13/10 3%	13/10
Under 3.5 Goals 59%	8/13 3%	11/20
Over 4.5 Goals 23%	3/1 8%	3/1
Under 4.5 Goals 77%	1/4 2%	2/9
Over 5.5 Goals 11%	6/1 13%	6/1
Under 5.5 Goals 89%	1/10 2%	1/12
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1/33	1/50
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	14/1	12/1
Home DNB 42%	7/4 8%	17/10
Away DNB 67%	2/5 3%	2/5
Benfica win to nil 11%	8/1	-
Real Madrid win to nil 23%	11/4	-
Benfica / Benfica 14%	5/1	9/2
Benfica / Real Madrid 4%	18/1	16/1
Benfica / Draw 6%	14/1 15%	11/1
Draw / Benfica 9%	8/1	15/2
Draw / Real Madrid 15%	9/2 10%	17/4
Draw / Draw 13%	11/2	5/1
Real Madrid / Benfica 3%	28/1	22/1
Real Madrid / Real Madrid 29%	15/8	7/4
Real Madrid / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1

Win / draw / win Champions League table

Benfica have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 24th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

6 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn zero and won 1. Benfica have conceded 12 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 4 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Benfica have played 6 games at home, winning 4, drawing 0 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 11 goals, conceded 6 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Real Madrid lay in 9th place on 15 points in the Champions League league table having played 8 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 6 games against teams below them in the table, winning 5, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored 20 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Real Madrid have conceded 9 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Real Madrid have played 4 away games, winning 2, drawing 0 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 2.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 2 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Benfica Real Madrid
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Arsenal	8	8	0	0	19	24	-	-	-	-
2	Bayern	8	7	0	1	14	21	-	-	-	-
3	Liverpool	8	6	0	2	12	18	-	-	-	-
4	Spurs	8	5	2	1	10	17	-	-	-	-
5	Barcelona	8	5	1	2	8	16	-	-	-	-
6	Chelsea	8	5	1	2	7	16	-	-	-	-
7	S. Lisbon	8	5	1	2	6	16	-	-	-	-
8	Man City	8	5	1	2	6	16	-	-	-	-
9	Real Madrid	8	5	0	3	9	15	Feb 17	Feb 25	-	-
10	Inter	8	5	0	3	8	15	-	-	-	-
11	PSG	8	4	2	2	10	14	-	-	-	-
12	Newcastle	8	4	2	2	10	14	-	-	-	-
13	Juventus	8	3	4	1	4	13	-	-	-	-
14	A.Madrid	8	4	1	3	2	13	-	-	-	-
15	Atalanta	8	4	1	3	0	13	-	-	-	-
16	Leverkusen	8	3	3	2	-1	12	-	-	-	-
17	Dortmund	8	3	2	3	2	11	-	-	-	-
18	Olympiakos	8	3	2	3	-4	11	-	-	-	-
19	Brugge	8	3	1	4	-2	10	-	-	-	-
20	Galatasaray	8	3	1	4	-2	10	-	-	-	-
21	Monaco	8	2	4	2	-6	10	-	-	-	-
22	Qarabag	8	3	1	4	-8	10	-	-	-	-
23	Bodø	8	2	3	3	-1	9	-	-	-	-
24	Benfica	8	3	0	5	-2	9	-	-	Feb 25	Feb 17
25	Marseille	8	3	0	5	-3	9	-	-	-	-
26	Paphos	8	2	3	3	-3	9	-	-	-	-
27	Union SG	8	3	0	5	-9	9	-	-	-	-
28	PSV	8	2	2	4	0	8	-	-	-	-
29	A.Bilbao	8	2	2	4	-5	8	-	-	-	-
30	Napoli	8	2	2	4	-6	8	-	-	-	-
31	Kobenhavn	8	2	2	4	-9	8	-	-	-	-
32	Ajax	8	2	0	6	-13	6	-	-	-	-
33	E.Frankfurt	8	1	1	6	-11	4	-	-	-	-
34	Slavia	8	0	3	5	-14	3	-	-	-	-
35	Villarreal	8	0	1	7	-13	1	-	-	-	-
36	Kairat Almaty	8	0	1	7	-15	1	-	-	-	-

	Next round
	Play Off

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Benfica	4 - 2	Real Madrid
Benfica	2 - 0	Napoli
Benfica	0 - 1	Leverkusen
Benfica	2 - 3	Qarabag
Benfica	1 - 0	Fenerbahce
Benfica	2 - 0	Nice
Benfica	0 - 1	Barcelona
Benfica	3 - 3	Monaco
Benfica	4 - 5	Barcelona
Benfica	0 - 0	Bologna
Benfica	1 - 3	Feyenoord
Benfica	4 - 0	A.Madrid
Benfica	2 - 1	Marseille
Benfica	2 - 2	Rangers
Benfica	2 - 1	Toulouse
Benfica	3 - 3	Inter
Benfica	0 - 1	R.Sociedad
Benfica	0 - 2	Salzburg
Benfica	0 - 2	Inter
Benfica	5 - 1	Brugge

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Benfica	4 - 2	Real Madrid
A	Benfica	0 - 2	Juventus
H	Benfica	2 - 0	Napoli
A	Benfica	2 - 0	Ajax
H	Benfica	0 - 1	Leverkusen
A	Benfica	0 - 3	Newcastle
A	Benfica	0 - 1	Chelsea
H	Benfica	2 - 3	Qarabag
H	Benfica	1 - 0	Fenerbahce
A	Benfica	0 - 0	Fenerbahce
H	Benfica	2 - 0	Nice
A	Benfica	2 - 0	Nice
A	Benfica	1 - 3	Barcelona
H	Benfica	0 - 1	Barcelona
H	Benfica	3 - 3	Monaco
A	Benfica	1 - 0	Monaco
A	Benfica	2 - 0	Juventus
H	Benfica	4 - 5	Barcelona
H	Benfica	0 - 0	Bologna
A	Benfica	3 - 2	Monaco

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Benfica	4 - 2	Real Madrid
Olympiakos	3 - 4	Real Madrid
Liverpool	1 - 0	Real Madrid
Kairat Almaty	0 - 5	Real Madrid
Arsenal	3 - 0	Real Madrid
A.Madrid	1 - 0	Real Madrid
Man City	2 - 3	Real Madrid
Brest	0 - 3	Real Madrid
Atalanta	2 - 3	Real Madrid
Liverpool	2 - 0	Real Madrid
Lille	1 - 0	Real Madrid
Dortmund	0 - 2	Real Madrid
Bayern	2 - 2	Real Madrid
Man City	1 - 1	Real Madrid
RB Leipzig	0 - 1	Real Madrid
Union Berlin	2 - 3	Real Madrid
Braga	1 - 2	Real Madrid
Napoli	2 - 3	Real Madrid
Man City	4 - 0	Real Madrid
Chelsea	0 - 2	Real Madrid

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Real Madrid	2 - 4	Benfica
H	Real Madrid	6 - 1	Monaco
H	Real Madrid	1 - 2	Man City
A	Real Madrid	4 - 3	Olympiakos
A	Real Madrid	0 - 1	Liverpool
H	Real Madrid	1 - 0	Juventus
A	Real Madrid	5 - 0	Kairat Almaty
H	Real Madrid	2 - 1	Marseille
H	Real Madrid	1 - 2	Arsenal
A	Real Madrid	0 - 3	Arsenal
A	Real Madrid	0 - 1	A.Madrid
H	Real Madrid	2 - 1	A.Madrid
H	Real Madrid	3 - 1	Man City
A	Real Madrid	3 - 2	Man City
A	Real Madrid	3 - 0	Brest
H	Real Madrid	5 - 1	Salzburg
A	Real Madrid	3 - 2	Atalanta
A	Real Madrid	0 - 2	Liverpool
H	Real Madrid	1 - 3	Milan
H	Real Madrid	5 - 2	Dortmund

Goal Statistics

Real Madrid's defensive record is very strong, Á. Arbeloa Coca's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive Champions League games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for Benfica makes sense in this context.

Real Madrid have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 6 consecutive Champions League matches. Their PG of 1.9 against Benfica on Tuesday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

	Benfica 25th	Real Madrid 7th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 26% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 61% probability that Benfica will score no more than 1 goal	0 15% 1 28% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 13% There is a 85% probability that Real Madrid will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-1 Benfica’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+2 Real Madrid’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.9 average goals scored	1.8 average goals scored
	1.6 conceded	1.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season

BEF

RMD

16%

better

view stats

Games scored	14		17
Failed to score	6		3
Scored first	11		13
Goals scored	37		45
Avg. goals scored	1.9		2.3
Avg. shots per game	12		13
Avg. shots per goal	6		6
Conversion rate for	16		17
Avg. XG for	1.9		2.1
KickOff rating		+16%

18%

better

BEF

RMD

view stats

Games conceded	10		14
Clean sheets	10		6
Conceded first	7		6
Goals conceded	16		25
Avg. goals conceded	0.8		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	6		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		8
Conversion rate against	13%		13%
Avg. XG against	0.8		1.3
KickOff rating		+18%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Benfica v Real Madrid will show here when available.

Benfica Champions League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
12	3	4	3
A Trubin	A Schjelderup	F Aursnes	R Ríos

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Trubin GLK	12	1		-
N Otamendi DEF	12			2 -
A Dedic DEF	12			1 -
F Aursnes MID	12	1	4	1 -
E Barrenechea MID	12	1		2 -
V Pavlidis FWD	12	2	2	-
S Dahl DEF	11	1	1	2 -
L Barreiro MID	11	2	1	2 -
A Silva DEF	10			2 -
R Ríos MID	10	1	1	3 -
F Ivanovic FWD	10	1	1	-
H Sudakov MID	8		2	-
A Schjelderup FWD	8	3	1	1 -
T Araújo DEF	7			1 -
G Prestianni FWD	6			1 -
H Araújo FWD	4			-
D Lukébakio FWD	3			2 -
J. Seno Luis Rêgo MID	2			-
J. Formoso Neto DEF	1			-
Manu MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	8	4	4
A Schjelderup	V Pavlidis	F Aursnes	F Aursnes

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Schjelderup FWD	3	4	1	3
V Pavlidis FWD	2	8	2	3
L Barreiro MID	2	4	1	2
A Trubin GLK	1	1
F Aursnes MID	1	2	4	4
E Barrenechea MID	1	2		2
S Dahl DEF	1	1	1	3
R Ríos MID	1	6	1	1
F Ivanovic FWD	1	4	1	1
N Otamendi DEF		5		1
A Dedic DEF		2
A Silva DEF		2		1
H Sudakov MID		3	2	3
G Prestianni FWD		2
D Lukébakio FWD		6

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
658	31	61
N Otamendi	S Dahl	A Dedic

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
N Otamendi DEF	658	13	57
E Barrenechea MID	594	19	61
F Aursnes MID	470	20	39
A Dedic DEF	462	25	61
R Ríos MID	460	18	56
A Silva DEF	402	10	25
S Dahl DEF	374	31	41
A Trubin GLK	314		8
T Araújo DEF	258	6	15
H Sudakov MID	234	8	29
V Pavlidis FWD	231	7	50
L Barreiro MID	186	14	42
A Schjelderup FWD	150	10	26
F Ivanovic FWD	99	12	45
G Prestianni FWD	99	5	18
D Lukébakio FWD	83	4	15
H Araújo FWD	13		3
J. Seno Luis Rêgo MID	11	2	2
Manu MID	3

Real Madrid Champions League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
8	13	4	4
A Tchouameni	K Mbappé	A Güler	Álvaro Fernandez

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Güler MID	8		4	1 -
A Tchouameni MID	8			2 -
V Junior FWD	8	1	4	1 -
T Courtois GLK	7		1	-
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF	7		1	1 1
J Bellingham MID	7	2	1	2 -
F Valverde MID	7		2	-
K Mbappé FWD	7	13		-
B Díaz FWD	7	1		1 -
Álvaro Fernandez DEF	6			4 -
E Camavinga MID	6	1	1	1 -
D. Huijsen DEF	5			2 -
F. Mastantuono FWD	5	1		-
Rodrygo FWD	5	1	1	2 1
F García DEF	4			-
D Ceballos MID	4			-
G. García Torres FWD	4		1	-
T Alexander-Arnold DEF	3			-
Éder Militão DEF	3			1 -
D Alaba DEF	2			-
D Carvajal DEF	2			1
A Lunin GLK	1			-
A Rüdiger DEF	1			1 -
F Mendy DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
13	22	4	5
K Mbappé	K Mbappé	A Güler	V Junior

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K Mbappé FWD	13	22		4
J Bellingham MID	2	4	1
V Junior FWD	1	7	4	5
B Díaz FWD	1	5		1
E Camavinga MID	1	1	1	1
F. Mastantuono FWD	1	5		2
Rodrygo FWD	1	5	1	4
A Güler MID		5	4	3
A Tchouameni MID		3		1
T Courtois GLK			1	1
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF		1	1	1
F Valverde MID			2	1
D. Huijsen DEF		1
G. García Torres FWD			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
453	18	41
A Tchouameni	Álvaro Fernandez	J Bellingham

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Tchouameni MID	453	12	31
F Valverde MID	402	6	18
A Güler MID	357	8	28
Álvaro Fernandez DEF	322	18	40
D. Huijsen DEF	312	9	27
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF	299	5	17
J Bellingham MID	261	15	41
V Junior FWD	252	4	34
K Mbappé FWD	238		27
D Ceballos MID	201	5	9
T Courtois GLK	194		1
E Camavinga MID	184	10	23
Éder Militão DEF	139	4	15
Rodrygo FWD	103	1	20
B Díaz FWD	88	5	12
F. Mastantuono FWD	86	3	16
D Alaba DEF	64	1	4
F García DEF	63	1	3
T Alexander-Arnold DEF	62	2	2
F Mendy DEF	48		4
A Rüdiger DEF	43	1	2
A Lunin GLK	42
D Carvajal DEF	36	2	2
G. García Torres FWD	19	1	1

European Champions League match betting previews, predictions and odds

Galatasaray v Juventus

Benfica v Real Madrid

Tue 17th Feb, 20:00

Qarabag v Newcastle

Wed 18th Feb, 17:45

Olympiakos v Leverkusen

Benfica v Real Madrid : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Benfica have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 24th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Real Madrid lay in 9th place on 15 points in the Champions League league table having played 8 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Benfica v Real Madrid will show here when available.

About.

Betting offers

Betting Tips

Key Competitions