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Borussia Dortmund v Atalanta : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 17th Feb, 20:00 BST, Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund

We’ve Champions League action to look forward to on Tuesday night, as Niko Kovač and his Borussia Dortmund side host Raffaele Palladino’s Atalanta at the Signal Iduna Park. Stats for our tip of are shown below, including head-to-head history. Switching the market using the tabs below changes all stats and the odds, allowing you do find the bet that suits you best.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Dortmund or Atalanta are in the sort of form that would leave us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so we're going with over 1.5 goals. The stats tell us that both have form in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 80% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
The best bet in the ‘Double chance’ market would be ‘Home win/away win’, according to our predictive algorithm. This means that either side can win the match, but a draw is ruled out. We’ve given that outcome a 76% likelihood, and the bookies price it at 1.29.

Explore the winning strategies and tips from expert double chance tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Dortmund
48%
2.05
2%
2.05
2%
Draw
24%
3.503.60
3%
Atalanta
29%
3.60
6%
3.40
3%
Draw 1-1
11%
6.50
7%
7.00
Dortmund 2-1
9%
9.008.00
6%
Dortmund 1-0
8%
9.00
5%
8.50
Dortmund 2-0
7%
11.0010.00
Atalanta 2-1
7%
12.0011.00
Atalanta 1-0
6%
13.0011.00
Draw 2-2
6%
12.0012.00
9%
Dortmund 3-1
5%
15.0013.00
Draw 0-0
5%
13.0011.00
8%
Dortmund 3-0
4%
19.0015.00
Atalanta 2-0
4%
19.0015.00
Dortmund 3-2
4%
23.00
10%
19.00
Atalanta 3-1
3%
26.00
13%
21.00
11%
Atalanta 3-2
3%
29.0023.00
10%
Dortmund 4-1
2%
34.0023.00
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
1.731.70
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
2.102.05
2%
Home 1st Goal
52%
1.731.73
Away 1st Goal
46%
2.25
2%
2.30
2%
No 1st Goal
3%
13.0010.00
9%
BTTS - Yes
60%
1.62
3%
1.65
2%
BTTS - No
40%
2.20
2%
2.15
2%
BTTS - Home Win
25%
3.753.70
3%
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.334.33
BTTS - Away Win
16%
6.005.50
5%
Home/draw
71%
1.29
1%
1.30
2%
Away/draw
52%
1.73
2%
1.75
1%
Home/away
76%
1.291.29
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1.221.22
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
4.333.90
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
2.752.75
5%
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
1.441.40
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
5.005.00
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1.171.15
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
10.00
9%
9.50
6%
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1.06
1%
1.04
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.041.04
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
13.0011.00
Home DNB
64%
1.501.48
3%
Away DNB
45%
2.502.45
3%
Dortmund win to nil
22%
3.75
6%
-
Atalanta win to nil
13%
7.00
8%
-
Dortmund / Dortmund
25%
3.253.10
Dortmund / Atalanta
3%
29.00
12%
23.00
Dortmund / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
Draw / Dortmund
15%
5.505.25
5%
Draw / Atalanta
10%
8.00
7%
7.50
Draw / Draw
14%
6.005.25
5%
Atalanta / Dortmund
4%
21.0017.00
Atalanta / Atalanta
15%
5.505.25
5%
Atalanta / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Double chance Champions League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Dortmund
Atalanta
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal88001924 
-
-
-
-
2
Bayern87011421 
-
-
-
-
3
Liverpool86021218 
-
-
-
-
4
Spurs85211017 
-
-
-
-
5
Barcelona8512816 
-
-
-
-
6
Chelsea8512716 
-
-
-
-
7
S. Lisbon8512616 
-
-
-
-
8
Man City8512616 
-
-
-
-
9
Real Madrid8503915 
-
-
-
-
10
Inter8503815 
-
-
-
-
11
PSG84221014 
-
-
-
-
12
Newcastle84221014 
-
-
-
-
13
Juventus8341413 
-
-
-
-
14
A.Madrid8413213 
-
-
-
-
15
Atalanta8413013 
Feb 17
Feb 25
-
-
16
Leverkusen8332-112 
-
-
-
-
17
Dortmund8323211 
-
-
Feb 25
Feb 17
18
Olympiakos8323-411 
-
-
-
-
19
Brugge8314-210 
-
-
-
-
20
Galatasaray8314-210 
-
-
-
-
21
Monaco8242-610 
-
-
-
-
22
Qarabag8314-810 
-
-
-
-
23
Bodø8233-19 
-
-
-
-
24
Benfica8305-29 
-
-
-
-
25
Marseille8305-39 
-
-
-
-
26
Paphos8233-39 
-
-
-
-
27
Union SG8305-99 
-
-
-
-
28
PSV822408 
-
-
-
-
29
A.Bilbao8224-58 
-
-
-
-
30
Napoli8224-68 
-
-
-
-
31
Kobenhavn8224-98 
-
-
-
-
32
Ajax8206-136 
-
-
-
-
33
E.Frankfurt8116-114 
-
-
-
-
34
Slavia8035-143 
-
-
-
-
35
Villarreal8017-131 
-
-
-
-
36
Kairat Almaty8017-151 
-
-
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Double chance form
Dortmund 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Atalanta 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
Goal Statistics

Borussia Dortmund have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 28 consecutive Champions League outings. Their PG of 1.7 against Atalanta on Tuesday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Dortmund 10th Atalanta 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Dortmund will score 1 or more goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Atalanta will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+6
Dortmund’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+39
Atalanta have scored 39% more goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
2.1
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season
Dortmund
PG (predicted goals)
Atalanta
1.7
1.3
Attack rating
16%
better
BVB
ATA
view stats
Games scored17
15
Failed to score3
5
Scored first15
12
Goals scored36
29
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.5
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for18
16
Avg. XG for1.8
1.8
KickOff rating
+16%
Defence rating
BVB
ATA
16%
better
view stats
Games conceded13
10
Clean sheets7
10
Conceded first5
7
Goals conceded25
18
Avg. goals conceded1.3
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
9
Conversion rate against15%
11%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+16%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Dortmund v Atalanta will show here when available.

Dortmund Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8322
G KobelF NmechaJ BellinghamD Svensson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Kobel GLK8
-
J Bellingham MID82
-
F Nmecha MID83
-
S Guirassy  FWD832
-
D Svensson DEF72
1
1
R Bensebaini DEF72
2
-
J Ryerson DEF71
1
-
W Anton DEF71
1
-
N Schlotterbeck DEF7
-
J Brandt MID73
-
F Silva FWD711
-
M Beier FWD72
1
-
K Adeyemi  FWD722
2
-
Y Couto MID61
-
C Chukwuemeka MID611
-
E Can DEF5
-
M Sabitzer  MID52
-
N Süle DEF1
-
F. Mane DEF1
-
Atalanta Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8222
O Kossounou C KetelaereC KetelaereM Roon
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
O Kossounou  DEF8
1
-
M Roon MID81
2
-
N Krstovic FWD81
-
M Carnesecchi GLK7
1
-
B Djimsiti DEF7
1
-
D Zappacosta MID7
-
C Ketelaere MID722
-
Éderson MID711
1
-
H. Ahanor DEF6
1
-
L Bernasconi MID6
1
-
Y Musah MID61
2
-
L Samardžić MID62
1
-
R Bellanova MID6
1
-
G Scamacca FWD62
1
-
I Hien DEF5
-
M Pasalic MID51
-
K Sulemana FWD5
-
S Kolasinac DEF3
-
N Zalewski MID31
-
M Sportiello GLK1
-
G Scalvini DEF1
-