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Borussia Dortmund v Villarreal : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 25th Nov, 20:00 BST, Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund

Tuesday night sees Niko Kovač’s Borussia Dortmund and Marcelino García Toral’s Villarreal go head to head in a Champions League battle at the Signal Iduna Park. In this preview you'll find odds for 17 top betting markets plus predictions, statistics and head-to-head data for both teams. Simply click through the tabs below to explore.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Our predictive algorithm suggests there is a 80% chance of Dortmund and Villarreal scoring at least two goals in this Champions League clash. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are included in the calculation , and it seems the bookmakers are predicting the same. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at 1.22.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Dortmund are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.73.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Dortmund 55%	8/11 4%	7/10
Draw 22%	27/10 3%	3/1
Villarreal 22%	15/4 10%	18/5
Draw 1-1 11%	6/1 7%	13/2
Dortmund 2-1 10%	15/2	7/1
Dortmund 1-0 9%	15/2 6%	13/2
Dortmund 2-0 9%	8/1 6%	15/2
Dortmund 3-1 6%	12/1	11/1
Villarreal 2-1 6%	14/1	12/1
Villarreal 1-0 6%	14/1	12/1
Dortmund 3-0 6%	14/1 15%	11/1
Draw 2-2 5%	12/1 13%	12/1
Draw 0-0 5%	12/1	11/1
Dortmund 3-2 3%	20/1 9%	18/1
Villarreal 2-0 3%	25/1	20/1
Dortmund 4-1 3%	25/1 13%	18/1
Dortmund 4-0 3%	25/1	18/1
Villarreal 3-1 2%	33/1	25/1
Over 2.5 Goals 57%	8/11	4/6
Under 2.5 Goals 43%	11/10	11/10
Home 1st Goal 54%	4/7 3%	8/15
Away 1st Goal 43%	6/4 4%	17/10
No 1st Goal 3%	12/1	10/1
BTTS - Yes 57%	4/6 2%	8/11
BTTS - No 43%	11/10 2%	21/20
BTTS - Home Win 27%	12/5	11/5
BTTS - Draw 17%	7/2 5%	19/5
BTTS - Away Win 12%	7/1 6%	13/2
Home/draw 78%	2/11 1%	2/11
Away/draw 45%	21/20 7%	23/20
Home/away 78%	2/7 3%	1/4
Over 1.5 Goals 80%	2/9	2/9
Under 1.5 Goals 20%	10/3	29/10
Over 3.5 Goals 35%	7/4	17/10
Under 3.5 Goals 65%	4/9	4/9
Over 4.5 Goals 18%	4/1	19/5
Under 4.5 Goals 82%	1/6	1/6
Over 5.5 Goals 8%	9/1	8/1
Under 5.5 Goals 92%	1/16	1/20
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1/25	1/33
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	12/1	10/1
Home DNB 71%	2/7	2/7
Away DNB 38%	5/2	12/5
Dortmund win to nil 28%	9/4 8%	-
Villarreal win to nil 10%	8/1	-
Dortmund / Dortmund 31%	13/8 1%	6/4
Dortmund / Villarreal 3%	33/1	28/1
Dortmund / Draw 6%	12/1	12/1
Draw / Dortmund 17%	15/4	7/2
Draw / Villarreal 8%	9/1	8/1
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1	19/4
Villarreal / Dortmund 4%	20/1	16/1
Villarreal / Villarreal 11%	13/2 6%	6/1
Villarreal / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win Champions League table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Dortmund Villarreal
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Bayern	4	4	0	0	11	12	-	-	-	-
2	Arsenal	4	4	0	0	11	12	-	-	-	-
3	Inter	4	4	0	0	10	12	Jan 28	-	-	-
4	Man City	4	3	1	0	7	10	-	l 4-1A	l 0-2A	-
5	PSG	4	3	0	1	9	9	-	-	-	-
6	Newcastle	4	3	0	1	8	9	-	-	-	-
7	Real Madrid	4	3	0	1	6	9	-	-	-	-
8	Liverpool	4	3	0	1	5	9	-	-	-	-
9	Galatasaray	4	3	0	1	2	9	-	-	-	-
10	Spurs	4	2	2	0	5	8	-	Jan 20	-	l 1-0A
11	Barcelona	4	2	1	1	5	7	-	-	-	-
12	Chelsea	4	2	1	1	3	7	-	-	-	-
13	S. Lisbon	4	2	1	1	3	7	-	-	-	-
14	Dortmund	4	2	1	1	2	7	-	-	-	Nov 25
15	Qarabag	4	2	1	1	1	7	-	-	-	-
16	Atalanta	4	2	1	1	-2	7	-	-	-	-
17	A.Madrid	4	2	0	2	1	6	-	-	-	-
18	PSV	4	1	2	1	2	5	-	-	-	-
19	Monaco	4	1	2	1	-2	5	-	-	-	-
20	Paphos	4	1	2	1	-3	5	-	-	-	l 1-0A
21	Leverkusen	4	1	2	1	-4	5	-	-	-	Jan 28
22	Brugge	4	1	1	2	-2	4	-	-	-	-
23	E.Frankfurt	4	1	1	2	-4	4	-	-	-	-
24	Napoli	4	1	1	2	-5	4	-	-	-	-
25	Marseille	4	1	0	3	1	3	-	-	-	-
26	Juventus	4	0	3	1	-1	3	-	d 4-4F	d 2-2F	-
27	A.Bilbao	4	1	0	3	-5	3	w 4-1F	-	-	-
28	Union SG	4	1	0	3	-8	3	-	-	-	-
29	Bodø	4	0	2	2	-3	2	Dec 10	-	-	-
30	Slavia	4	0	2	2	-6	2	-	-	-	-
31	Olympiakos	4	0	2	2	-7	2	-	-	-	-
32	Villarreal	4	0	1	3	-4	1	Nov 25	-	-	-
33	Kobenhavn	4	0	1	3	-8	1	-	w 2-4F	Dec 10	-
34	Kairat Almaty	4	0	1	3	-9	1	-	-	-	-
35	Benfica	4	0	0	4	-6	0	-	-	-	-
36	Ajax	4	0	0	4	-13	0	-	-	Jan 20	-

	Next round
	Play Off

Win / draw / win form

Villarreal have lost 3 consecutive away european games

Villarreal have failed to score in 3 consecutive away european games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Dortmund	4 - 1	A.Bilbao
Dortmund	3 - 1	Barcelona
Dortmund	1 - 1	Lille
Dortmund	0 - 0	S. Lisbon
Dortmund	3 - 1	Shakhtar
Dortmund	2 - 3	Barcelona
Dortmund	1 - 0	Sturm Graz
Dortmund	7 - 1	Celtic
Dortmund	0 - 2	Real Madrid
Dortmund	1 - 0	PSG
Dortmund	4 - 2	A.Madrid
Dortmund	2 - 0	PSV
Dortmund	1 - 1	PSG
Dortmund	2 - 0	Newcastle
Dortmund	0 - 0	Milan
Dortmund	1 - 0	Chelsea
Dortmund	0 - 0	Man City
Dortmund	1 - 1	Sevilla
Dortmund	3 - 0	Kobenhavn
Dortmund	2 - 4	Rangers

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Dortmund	1 - 4	Man City
A	Dortmund	4 - 2	Kobenhavn
H	Dortmund	4 - 1	A.Bilbao
A	Dortmund	4 - 4	Juventus
H	Dortmund	3 - 1	Barcelona
A	Dortmund	0 - 4	Barcelona
A	Dortmund	2 - 1	Lille
H	Dortmund	1 - 1	Lille
H	Dortmund	0 - 0	S. Lisbon
A	Dortmund	3 - 0	S. Lisbon
H	Dortmund	3 - 1	Shakhtar
A	Dortmund	1 - 2	Bologna
H	Dortmund	2 - 3	Barcelona
A	Dortmund	3 - 0	D. Zagreb
H	Dortmund	1 - 0	Sturm Graz
A	Dortmund	2 - 5	Real Madrid
H	Dortmund	7 - 1	Celtic
A	Dortmund	3 - 0	Brugge
H	Dortmund	0 - 2	Real Madrid
A	Dortmund	1 - 0	PSG

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Paphos	1 - 0	Villarreal
Spurs	1 - 0	Villarreal
Marseille	4 - 0	Villarreal
Rennes	2 - 3	Villarreal
M. Haifa	1 - 2	Villarreal
Panathinaikos	2 - 0	Villarreal
Anderlecht	1 - 1	Villarreal
Lech Poznan	3 - 0	Villarreal
Austria Wien	0 - 1	Villarreal
Beer Sheva	1 - 2	Villarreal
Hajduk Split	0 - 2	Villarreal
Liverpool	2 - 0	Villarreal
Bayern	1 - 1	Villarreal
Juventus	0 - 3	Villarreal
Atalanta	2 - 3	Villarreal
Young Boys	1 - 4	Villarreal
Man Utd	2 - 1	Villarreal
Arsenal	0 - 0	Villarreal
D. Zagreb	0 - 1	Villarreal
Dynamo Kyiv	0 - 2	Villarreal

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Villarreal	0 - 1	Paphos
H	Villarreal	0 - 2	Man City
H	Villarreal	2 - 2	Juventus
A	Villarreal	0 - 1	Spurs
H	Villarreal	3 - 1	Marseille
A	Villarreal	0 - 4	Marseille
A	Villarreal	3 - 2	Rennes
H	Villarreal	0 - 0	M. Haifa
H	Villarreal	3 - 2	Panathinaikos
A	Villarreal	2 - 1	M. Haifa
H	Villarreal	1 - 0	Rennes
A	Villarreal	0 - 2	Panathinaikos
H	Villarreal	0 - 1	Anderlecht
A	Villarreal	1 - 1	Anderlecht
A	Villarreal	0 - 3	Lech Poznan
H	Villarreal	2 - 2	Beer Sheva
A	Villarreal	1 - 0	Austria Wien
H	Villarreal	5 - 0	Austria Wien
A	Villarreal	2 - 1	Beer Sheva
H	Villarreal	4 - 3	Lech Poznan

Goal Statistics

Borussia Dortmund have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 18 consecutive Champions League matches. Their PG of 1.9 against Villarreal on Tuesday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

	Dortmund 14th	Villarreal 32nd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.9 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 15% 1 29% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 12% There is a 85% probability that Dortmund will score 1 or more goals	0 33% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 70% probability that Villarreal will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+2 Dortmund’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-9 Villarreal’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.9 average goals scored	1.3 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.2 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season

15%

better

BVB

VIL

view stats

Games scored	20		16
Failed to score	0		4
Scored first	14		14
Goals scored	40		42
Avg. goals scored	2		2.1
Avg. shots per game	9		11
Avg. shots per goal	5		5
Conversion rate for	21		20
Avg. XG for	1.6		1.8
KickOff rating		+15%

BVB

VIL

10%

better

view stats

Games conceded	12		12
Clean sheets	8		8
Conceded first	6		6
Goals conceded	26		20
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		1
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		9
Conversion rate against	15%		11%
Avg. XG against	1.1		1.2
KickOff rating		+10%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Dortmund v Villarreal will show here when available.

Dortmund Champions League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
4	3	2	1
G Kobel	F Nmecha	J Bellingham	R Bensebaini

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G Kobel GLK	4			-
R Bensebaini DEF	4	2		1 -
J Ryerson DEF	4		1	-
W Anton DEF	4	1		1 -
D Svensson MID	4	1		1 -
J Bellingham MID	4		2	-
M Sabitzer MID	4		2	-
F Nmecha MID	4	3		-
M Beier FWD	4		1	1 -
S Guirassy FWD	4	1	2	-
N Schlotterbeck DEF	3			-
J Brandt MID	3	1		-
C Chukwuemeka MID	3	1	1	-
F Silva FWD	3	1		-
K Adeyemi FWD	3	1	2	-
Y Couto MID	2	1		-
P Groß MID	2			-
E Can DEF	1			-
N Süle DEF	1			-
A Anselmino DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	4	2	2
F Nmecha	S Guirassy	J Bellingham	J Ryerson

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
F Nmecha MID	3	3		2
R Bensebaini DEF	2	2
W Anton DEF	1	2
D Svensson MID	1	1
S Guirassy FWD	1	4	2
J Brandt MID	1	2
C Chukwuemeka MID	1	1	1
F Silva FWD	1	1
K Adeyemi FWD	1	2	2	1
Y Couto MID	1	1
J Ryerson DEF			1	2
J Bellingham MID		1	2
M Sabitzer MID		1	2	1
M Beier FWD			1
N Süle DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
326	10	20
W Anton	J Ryerson	R Bensebaini

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
W Anton DEF	326	7	15
R Bensebaini DEF	267	7	20
N Schlotterbeck DEF	182	4	7
F Nmecha MID	162	4	10
J Ryerson DEF	155	10	18
D Svensson MID	127	6	12
G Kobel GLK	127
M Sabitzer MID	120	8	12
J Bellingham MID	118	4	8
S Guirassy FWD	81		20
Y Couto MID	81	4	7
N Süle DEF	68		3
K Adeyemi FWD	64	5	16
M Beier FWD	59	4	11
J Brandt MID	51		3
C Chukwuemeka MID	36	2	8
E Can DEF	30		1
P Groß MID	20	1	1
F Silva FWD	11	1	2
A Anselmino DEF	6

Villarreal Champions League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
4	1	1	2
R Veiga	R Veiga	N Pépé	R Veiga

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Pedraza DEF	4			1 -
R Veiga DEF	4	1		2 -
S Mouriño DEF	4			2 -
S Cardona DEF	4			-
S Comesaña MID	4			1 -
P Gueye MID	4			2 -
D Parejo MID	4			-
G Mikautadze FWD	4	1		-
A Moleiro FWD	4			1 -
N Pépé FWD	4		1	-
L Júnior GLK	3			-
J Foyth DEF	3			-
T Oluwaseyi FWD	3			-
T Buchanan FWD	3			-
A Pérez FWD	3			-
T Partey MID	2			-
I Akhomach FWD	2		1	1 -
A Tenas GLK	1			-
R Marín DEF	1			-
M Solomon FWD	1			-
G Moreno FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	3	1	2
R Veiga	P Gueye	N Pépé	A Moleiro

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
R Veiga DEF	1	1
G Mikautadze FWD	1	1
A Pedraza DEF		1
S Cardona DEF				1
S Comesaña MID		2
P Gueye MID		3		1
A Moleiro FWD				2
N Pépé FWD			1	2
T Oluwaseyi FWD		1
T Buchanan FWD		1
A Pérez FWD		1
I Akhomach FWD			1	1
R Marín DEF		1		1
M Solomon FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
228	19	35
R Veiga	S Mouriño	S Mouriño

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
R Veiga DEF	228	5	11
S Mouriño DEF	187	19	35
P Gueye MID	184	8	24
J Foyth DEF	180	4	11
N Pépé FWD	127	7	23
S Comesaña MID	108	3	11
D Parejo MID	87	2	4
S Cardona DEF	64	4	7
L Júnior GLK	61		3
A Pedraza DEF	59	4	5
R Marín DEF	54	4	7
T Partey MID	49	3	4
G Mikautadze FWD	42	3	9
A Tenas GLK	38
T Buchanan FWD	30	1	6
A Pérez FWD	29	1	12
A Moleiro FWD	26		3
G Moreno FWD	16		4
T Oluwaseyi FWD	13		5
M Solomon FWD	12	2	3
I Akhomach FWD	8