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Chelsea v Paphos : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 21st Jan, 20:00 BST, Stamford Bridge, London

Chelsea and their boss Liam Rosenior will be hoping for victory against Juan Carlos Carcedo Mardones and his Paphos side on Wednesday night, as the pair meet at the Stamford Bridge in the Champions League. The odds you see on the page are delivered straight from top bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. We pay particular attention to Champions League match data, including head to head (H2H) performance. Click the tabs below to explore it all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Chelsea to win

A Champions League home win for Enzo Maresca's Chelsea side win in the win / draw / win market is what we're predicting. Statistics suggest that their form is good coming into the match, and they should have too much for the opposition. The odds from the bookies are pointing in the same direction, and when that happens you've got a pretty compelling case. A Chelsea win is the way to go, but we wouldn't expect a whitewash.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Chelsea are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 85% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.17.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Chelsea
86%
1/9
13%
2/13
6%
Draw
9%
17/2
73%
8/1
29%
Paphos
5%
18/1
73%
12/1
30%
Chelsea 3-0
11%
13/26/1
7%
Chelsea 2-0
10%
7/1
14%
13/2
Chelsea 4-0
9%
8/1
18%
8/1
10%
Chelsea 3-1
8%
10/1
10%
9/1
5%
Chelsea 2-1
7%
11/1
20%
9/1
11%
Chelsea 4-1
6%
12/1
13%
12/1
Chelsea 1-0
6%
11/1
26%
9/1
11%
Chelsea 5-0
6%
12/1
32%
11/1
20%
Draw 1-1
4%
18/1
58%
14/1
25%
Chelsea 5-1
4%
18/1
17%
16/1
11%
Chelsea 6-0
3%
20/1
38%
16/1
26%
Chelsea 3-2
3%
28/1
12%
22/1
10%
Draw 2-2
2%
28/1
26%
22/1
21%
Chelsea 6-1
2%
28/1
29%
25/1
10%
Chelsea 4-2
2%
33/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
76%
2/7
10%
3/10
4%
Under 2.5 Goals
24%
11/4
36%
9/4
13%
Home 1st Goal
65%
2/9
2%
2/11
3%
Away 1st Goal
34%
3/1
7%
19/5
14%
No 1st Goal
1%
28/1
38%
22/1
21%
BTTS - Yes
48%
1/1
3%
21/20
7%
BTTS - No
51%
3/4
3%
7/10
6%
BTTS - Home Win
38%
7/5
9%
8/5
1%
BTTS - Draw
8%
9/1
33%
17/2
27%
BTTS - Away Win
3%
25/1
24%
16/1
31%
Home/draw
95%
1/50
1%
1/33
2%
Away/draw
14%
11/2
50%
17/4
31%
Home/away
90%
1/14
5%
1/16
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
90%
1/12
4%
1/12
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
9%
7/1
33%
6/1
17%
Over 3.5 Goals
56%
8/11
14%
3/4
10%
Under 3.5 Goals
44%
11/10
17%
19/20
8%
Over 4.5 Goals
37%
13/8
23%
13/8
13%
Under 4.5 Goals
63%
1/2
13%
4/9
8%
Over 5.5 Goals
21%
10/3
28%
10/3
18%
Under 5.5 Goals
79%
2/9
8%
1/5
6%
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1/100
1%
1/1000
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
25/1
24%
22/1
21%
Home DNB
92%
1/33
2%
1/33
3%
Away DNB
11%
16/1
55%
9/1
33%
Chelsea win to nil
48%
5/6
9%
-
Paphos win to nil
2%
28/1
26%
-
Chelsea / Chelsea
56%
4/9
11%
10/21
10%
Chelsea / Paphos
1%
66/1
31%
45/1
12%
Chelsea / Draw
3%
25/1
24%
20/1
24%
Draw / Chelsea
19%
3/118/5
5%
Draw / Paphos
3%
33/1
31%
22/1
35%
Draw / Draw
6%
14/1
50%
11/1
20%
Paphos / Chelsea
5%
16/116/1
Paphos / Paphos
3%
33/1
48%
14/1
15%
Paphos / Draw
3%
28/1
26%
20/1
11%
Win / draw / win Champions League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Chelsea
Paphos
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal77001821 
-
-
-
-
2
Real Madrid75021115 
-
-
-
-
3
Bayern65011115 
-
l
 
3-1A
l
 
1-5A
-
4
Spurs7421814 
-
-
-
-
5
PSG74121013 
-
-
-
-
6
S. Lisbon7412513 
-
-
-
-
7
Man City7412413 
-
-
-
-
8
Atalanta6411213 
-
l
 
2-1F
-
-
9
Inter7403612 
-
-
-
-
10
A.Madrid6402312 
-
-
-
-
11
Liverpool6402312 
-
-
-
-
12
Dortmund7322411 
-
-
-
-
13
Newcastle6312710 
-
-
-
-
14
Chelsea6312510 
-
-
-
Jan 21
15
Barcelona6312310 
w
 
3-0F
-
-
-
16
Marseille630339 
-
-
-
-
17
Juventus623129 
-
-
-
l
 
2-0A
18
Galatasaray630309 
-
-
-
-
19
Leverkusen7232-49 
-
-
-
-
20
Monaco7232-69 
-
-
d
 
2-2A
-
21
PSV622248 
-
-
-
-
22
Olympiakos7223-58 
-
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
23
Napoli7223-58 
-
Jan 28
-
-
24
Kobenhavn7223-68 
-
-
-
-
25
Qarabag6213-37 
-
d
 
2-2F
-
-
26
Brugge7214-57 
-
-
-
-
27
Bodø7133-26 
-
-
-
-
28
Benfica6204-26 
w
 
1-0F
-
-
-
29
Paphos6132-56 
Jan 21
-
-
-
30
Union SG6204-86 
-
-
-
-
31
Ajax7205-126 
w
 
5-1F
-
-
-
32
A.Bilbao6123-55 
-
-
-
-
33
E.Frankfurt6114-84 
-
-
-
-
34
Slavia6033-93 
-
-
Jan 28
-
35
Villarreal7016-101 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
-
36
Kairat Almaty7016-141 
-
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
4
Chelsea have won 4 consecutive home european games
3
Paphos have failed to score in 3 consecutive away european games
Chelsea 13TH
20 league games
Home
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
16
D
1
L
3
Goals: Scored
56
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
15
D
1
L
4
Paphos 26TH
15 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
9 / 15
Conceded
11 / 15
Clean sheets
4 / 15
Failed to score
6 / 15
Won
4
Draw
4
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
Goal Statistics
Chelsea 13th Paphos 26th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
3.3
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
1
12%
2
20%
3
22%
4
18%
5+
27%
There is a 28% probability that Chelsea will score 5 or more goals in this match
0
50%
1
35%
2
12%
3
4+
There is a 85% probability of Paphos scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+9
Chelsea’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-11
Paphos have scored 11% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.6
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season
Chelsea
PG (predicted goals)
Paphos
3.3
0.7
Attack rating
33%
better
CHE
view stats
Games scored19
16
Failed to score1
4
Scored first13
11
Goals scored39
23
Avg. goals scored2
1.2
Avg. shots per game11
11
Avg. shots per goal5
9
Conversion rate for18
11
Avg. XG for2
1.4
KickOff rating
+33%
Defence rating
CHE
9%
better
view stats
Games conceded13
11
Clean sheets7
9
Conceded first6
7
Goals conceded25
22
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
9
Conversion rate against15%
11%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.6
KickOff rating
+9%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Chelsea v Paphos will show here when available.

Chelsea Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5322
E FernándezE. Almeida de Oliveira GonçalvesR James A Santos
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Fernández MID611
1
-
M Caicedo MID61
1
-
R Sánchez GLK5
-
M Cucurella  DEF5
-
T Chalobah DEF5
1
-
R James  DEF52
1
-
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD53
1
-
A Garnacho FWD51
-
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD51
-
J. Acheampong DEF4
-
T Adarabioyo DEF4
1
-
M Gusto DEF41
1
-
A Santos MID42
2
-
T. George FWD41
-
P Neto FWD4
1
-
J Pedro  FWD41
1
1
W Fofana DEF31
-
J Hato DEF2
-
B Badiashile  DEF2
-
R Lavia MID2
-
L Delap FWD21
-
F Jörgensen GLK1
-
C Palmer MID11
-
M Guiu FWD11
-
Paphos Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12223
N MichaelM OrsicM OrsicB Felipe
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Michael GLK12
-
D Goldar DEF12
2
-
D Luckassen DEF121
2
-
V Dragomir MID12
-
P Pêpê MID1211
2
-
I Sunjic MID12
2
-
M Orsic FWD1222
1
-
B Felipe DEF111
2
1
K Pileas DEF11
-
Jajá FWD112
2
-
A Silva FWD111
-
B Langa DEF10
2
-
K Sema MID91
-
D Quina MID9
3
-
J Correia FWD921
2
1
M Bassouamina FWD81
-
D Luiz DEF61
1
-
L Dimata FWD4
-
P Pedrão DEF1
-