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Chelsea v Paris Saint-Germain : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 17th Mar, 20:00 BST, Stamford Bridge, London

the Stamford Bridge is the setting on Tuesday night, as Liam Rosenior's Chelsea host Luis Enrique Martínez García's Paris Saint-Germain in the Champions League. The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games for each team (at home, away or overall) with additional weight assigned to top teams. All the stats and graphics are tailored for the selected market. Head-to-head stats for this fixture are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided directly from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

In alignment, our prediction and the odds from the bookies suggest that this Champions League tie is going to be entertaining, with at least 3 goals to scored in the fixture. As we don't have an obvious winner here given their latest form, we're going with the statistics and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point strongly towards a tip of over 2.5 goals.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Chelsea are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 45% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Chelsea 45%	11/10	11/10
Draw 22%	16/5	29/10
PSG 33%	19/10	21/10
Draw 1-1 9%	15/2	7/1
Chelsea 2-1 9%	17/2	15/2
PSG 2-1 7%	10/1	9/1
Draw 2-2 7%	11/1	9/1
Chelsea 1-0 6%	12/1	10/1
Chelsea 3-1 6%	14/1	11/1
Chelsea 2-0 5%	14/1	11/1
PSG 1-0 5%	14/1	12/1
Chelsea 3-2 4%	18/1	14/1
PSG 3-1 4%	20/1	16/1
PSG 2-0 4%	18/1	16/1
PSG 3-2 4%	20/1	18/1
Chelsea 3-0 3%	18/1	16/1
Draw 0-0 3%	22/1	16/1
Chelsea 4-1 3%	22/1	20/1
Over 2.5 Goals 69%	4/9	4/9
Under 2.5 Goals 31%	7/4	13/8
Home 1st Goal 51%	8/11	8/11
Away 1st Goal 48%	21/20	23/20
No 1st Goal 1%	22/1	14/1
BTTS - Yes 68%	4/9	4/9
BTTS - No 32%	13/8	13/8
BTTS - Home Win 28%	9/4	11/5
BTTS - Draw 19%	7/2	16/5
BTTS - Away Win 21%	7/2	17/5
Home/draw 67%	2/5	4/11
Away/draw 55%	7/10	8/11
Home/away 78%	2/9	1/4
Over 1.5 Goals 87%	1/7	2/15
Under 1.5 Goals 13%	9/2	17/4
Over 3.5 Goals 47%	11/10	11/10
Under 3.5 Goals 53%	8/11	4/6
Over 4.5 Goals 28%	5/2	12/5
Under 4.5 Goals 72%	3/10	2/7
Over 5.5 Goals 15%	5/1	5/1
Under 5.5 Goals 85%	1/8	1/9
Over 0.5 Goals 97%	1/80	1/100
Under 0.5 Goals 3%	22/1	14/1
Home DNB 60%	4/7	4/7
Away DNB 48%	5/4	5/4
Chelsea win to nil 17%	7/2	-
PSG win to nil 12%	6/1	-
Chelsea / Chelsea 25%	9/4	21/10
Chelsea / PSG 4%	22/1	20/1
Chelsea / Draw 7%	12/1	10/1
Draw / Chelsea 14%	5/1	19/4
Draw / PSG 11%	13/2	13/2
Draw / Draw 12%	6/1	11/2
PSG / Chelsea 4%	18/1	16/1
PSG / PSG 17%	15/4	7/2
PSG / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1

Win / draw / win Champions League table

Chelsea have played 8 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the Champions League league table. Chelsea have a great home record this season winning all their home games and keeping 3 clean sheets.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below in the table, having won 4, drawn 1 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have scored in every game. They have been outscored by their opponents by 21 goals to 17 goals.

Home League Performance

Chelsea have played 4 games at home winning 4, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored 10 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 1 goal at home.

PSG are in 11th position in the Champions League on 14 points having played 8 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

1 of those games has been a losing match. They have conceded 7 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 13 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 0 and won 3. PSG have conceded 10 goals, scored 14, scored in every game and have kept no clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Chelsea PSG
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Arsenal	8	8	0	0	19	24	-	-	-	-
2	Bayern	8	7	0	1	14	21	-	l 3-1A	l 1-2A	-
3	Liverpool	8	6	0	2	12	18	-	-	-	-
4	Spurs	8	5	2	1	10	17	-	-	w 5-3A	-
5	Barcelona	8	5	1	2	8	16	w 3-0F	-	-	w 1-2A
6	Chelsea	8	5	1	2	7	16	-	-	w 5-2F	Mar 17
7	S. Lisbon	8	5	1	2	6	16	-	-	-	l 2-1A
8	Man City	8	5	1	2	6	16	-	-	-	-
9	Real Madrid	8	5	0	3	9	15	-	-	-	-
10	Inter	8	5	0	3	8	15	-	-	-	-
11	PSG	8	4	2	2	10	14	Mar 17	l 5-2A	-	-
12	Newcastle	8	4	2	2	10	14	-	-	d 1-1F	-
13	Juventus	8	3	4	1	4	13	-	-	-	-
14	A.Madrid	8	4	1	3	2	13	-	-	-	-
15	Atalanta	8	4	1	3	0	13	-	l 2-1F	w 4-0F	-
16	Leverkusen	8	3	3	2	-1	12	-	-	-	w 2-7F
17	Dortmund	8	3	2	3	2	11	-	-	-	-
18	Olympiakos	8	3	2	3	-4	11	-	-	-	-
19	Brugge	8	3	1	4	-2	10	-	-	-	-
20	Galatasaray	8	3	1	4	-2	10	-	-	-	-
21	Monaco	8	2	4	2	-6	10	-	-	d 2-2A	w 2-3A
22	Qarabag	8	3	1	4	-8	10	-	d 2-2F	-	-
23	Bodø	8	2	3	3	-1	9	-	-	-	-
24	Benfica	8	3	0	5	-2	9	w 1-0F	-	-	-
25	Marseille	8	3	0	5	-3	9	-	-	-	-
26	Paphos	8	2	3	3	-3	9	w 1-0F	-	-	-
27	Union SG	8	3	0	5	-9	9	-	-	-	-
28	PSV	8	2	2	4	0	8	-	-	-	-
29	A.Bilbao	8	2	2	4	-5	8	-	-	-	d 0-00-0
30	Napoli	8	2	2	4	-6	8	-	w 2-3F	-	-
31	Kobenhavn	8	2	2	4	-9	8	-	-	-	-
32	Ajax	8	2	0	6	-13	6	w 5-1F	-	-	-
33	E.Frankfurt	8	1	1	6	-11	4	-	-	-	-
34	Slavia	8	0	3	5	-14	3	-	-	-	-
35	Villarreal	8	0	1	7	-13	1	-	-	-	-
36	Kairat Almaty	8	0	1	7	-15	1	-	-	-	-

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Win / draw / win form

Chelsea have won 5 consecutive home european games

Chelsea have not lost in 5 consecutive home european games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

8 / 20

Clean sheets

12 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Chelsea	1 - 0	Paphos
Chelsea	3 - 0	Barcelona
Chelsea	5 - 1	Ajax
Chelsea	1 - 0	Benfica
Chelsea	1 - 0	Djurgårdens
Chelsea	1 - 2	L. Warsaw
Chelsea	1 - 0	Kobenhavn
Chelsea	5 - 1	Shamrock
Chelsea	8 - 0	Noah
Chelsea	4 - 2	Gent
Chelsea	2 - 0	Servette
Chelsea	0 - 2	Real Madrid
Chelsea	2 - 0	Dortmund
Chelsea	2 - 1	D. Zagreb
Chelsea	3 - 0	Milan
Chelsea	1 - 1	Salzburg
Chelsea	1 - 3	Real Madrid
Chelsea	2 - 0	Lille
Chelsea	4 - 0	Juventus
Chelsea	4 - 0	Malmö

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

20 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

0 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Chelsea	2 - 5	PSG
A	Chelsea	3 - 2	Napoli
H	Chelsea	1 - 0	Paphos
A	Chelsea	1 - 2	Atalanta
H	Chelsea	3 - 0	Barcelona
A	Chelsea	2 - 2	Qarabag
H	Chelsea	5 - 1	Ajax
H	Chelsea	1 - 0	Benfica
A	Chelsea	1 - 3	Bayern
A	Chelsea	4 - 1	Real Betis
H	Chelsea	1 - 0	Djurgårdens
A	Chelsea	4 - 1	Djurgårdens
H	Chelsea	1 - 2	L. Warsaw
A	Chelsea	3 - 0	L. Warsaw
H	Chelsea	1 - 0	Kobenhavn
A	Chelsea	2 - 1	Kobenhavn
H	Chelsea	5 - 1	Shamrock
A	Chelsea	3 - 1	Astana
A	Chelsea	2 - 0	Heidenheim
H	Chelsea	8 - 0	Noah

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Monaco	2 - 3	PSG
S. Lisbon	2 - 1	PSG
A.Bilbao	0 - 0	PSG
Leverkusen	2 - 7	PSG
Barcelona	1 - 2	PSG
Arsenal	0 - 1	PSG
A Villa	3 - 2	PSG
Liverpool	0 - 1	PSG
Brest	0 - 3	PSG
Stuttgart	1 - 4	PSG
Salzburg	0 - 3	PSG
Bayern	1 - 0	PSG
Arsenal	2 - 0	PSG
Dortmund	1 - 0	PSG
Barcelona	1 - 4	PSG
R.Sociedad	1 - 2	PSG
Dortmund	1 - 1	PSG
Milan	2 - 1	PSG
Newcastle	4 - 1	PSG
Bayern	2 - 0	PSG

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	PSG	5 - 2	Chelsea
H	PSG	2 - 2	Monaco
A	PSG	3 - 2	Monaco
H	PSG	1 - 1	Newcastle
A	PSG	1 - 2	S. Lisbon
A	PSG	0 - 0	A.Bilbao
H	PSG	5 - 3	Spurs
H	PSG	1 - 2	Bayern
A	PSG	7 - 2	Leverkusen
A	PSG	2 - 1	Barcelona
H	PSG	4 - 0	Atalanta
H	PSG	5 - 0	Inter
H	PSG	2 - 1	Arsenal
A	PSG	1 - 0	Arsenal
A	PSG	2 - 3	A Villa
H	PSG	3 - 1	A Villa
A	PSG	1 - 0	Liverpool
H	PSG	0 - 1	Liverpool
H	PSG	7 - 0	Brest
A	PSG	3 - 0	Brest

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Chelsea

PSG

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 4

2 / 4

Clean sheets

2 / 4

1 / 4

CHE

PSG

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Chelsea
	1 - 2	PSG
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Chelsea	2 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

PSG

Chelsea

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 5

5 / 5

Clean sheets

0 / 5

1 / 5

CHE

PSG

FIXTURE HISTORY AT PSG
PSG	5 - 2
PSG	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
PSG	3 - 1
	0 - 3	Chelsea

Goal Statistics

Chelsea have been steady in attack of late, finding the net in 24 consecutive Champions League outings. Their PG of 1.9 against Paris Saint-Germain on Tuesday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

	Chelsea 6th	PSG 11th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.9 goals	1.6 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 15% 1 28% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 13% There is a 85% probability that Chelsea will score 1 or more goals	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 8% There is a 80% probability that PSG will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+7 Chelsea’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+3 PSG’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	2.6 average goals scored	1.8 average goals scored
	0.7 conceded	1.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season

13%

better

CHE

PSG

view stats

Games scored	19		17
Failed to score	1		3
Scored first	10		12
Goals scored	43		43
Avg. goals scored	2.2		2.2
Avg. shots per game	10		14
Avg. shots per goal	5		7
Conversion rate for	22		15
Avg. XG for	2.3		2.3
KickOff rating		+13%

CHE

PSG

30%

better

view stats

Games conceded	17		12
Clean sheets	3		8
Conceded first	10		7
Goals conceded	31		21
Avg. goals conceded	1.6		1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		6
Avg. shots/goal conceded	5		6
Conversion rate against	20%		17%
Avg. XG against	1.4		0.8
KickOff rating		+30%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Chelsea v PSG will show here when available.

Chelsea Champions League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
8	3	2	2
E Fernández	E Fernández	E Fernández	E Fernández

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
E Fernández MID	9	3	2	2 -
M Caicedo MID	9	2		1 -
M Cucurella DEF	8			-
R James DEF	8		2	1 -
A Garnacho FWD	8	1		-
R Sánchez GLK	7			-
M Gusto DEF	7	1	1	1 -
T Chalobah DEF	7			1 -
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD	7	3		1 -
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD	7		1	1 -
P Neto FWD	7		1	1 -
J Pedro FWD	7	3		1 1
W Fofana DEF	6		1	1 -
A Santos MID	5		2	2 -
J. Acheampong DEF	4			-
T Adarabioyo DEF	4			1 -
B Badiashile DEF	4			-
L Delap FWD	4	1		-
F Jörgensen GLK	3			-
J Hato DEF	3			-
R Lavia MID	3			-
C Palmer MID	3	1	2	-
M Guiu FWD	1	1		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	7	2	4
E Fernández	E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves	E Fernández	E Fernández

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
E Fernández MID	3	5	2	4
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD	3	7		1
J Pedro FWD	3	5
M Caicedo MID	2	5		1
A Garnacho FWD	1	5		1
M Gusto DEF	1	1	1
L Delap FWD	1	1
C Palmer MID	1	2	2	2
M Guiu FWD	1	2
R James DEF		2	2	3
R Sánchez GLK				1
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD		2	1	1
P Neto FWD		4	1	2
W Fofana DEF			1	2
A Santos MID		1	2	1
J. Acheampong DEF		1		1
B Badiashile DEF				1
J Hato DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
561	25	38
M Caicedo	M Caicedo	M Caicedo

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Caicedo MID	561	25	38
E Fernández MID	401	11	37
R James DEF	387	9	20
W Fofana DEF	357	3	14
T Chalobah DEF	345	1	11
M Cucurella DEF	339	22	35
B Badiashile DEF	278	4	6
R Sánchez GLK	244		4
M Gusto DEF	223	13	24
T Adarabioyo DEF	212	5	8
A Santos MID	189	6	11
J Hato DEF	187	5	14
P Neto FWD	181	4	20
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD	149	5	23
J Pedro FWD	140	5	31
A Garnacho FWD	123	7	20
J. Acheampong DEF	107	5	9
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD	85	4	20
F Jörgensen GLK	76
C Palmer MID	72	2	7
R Lavia MID	58	2	3
L Delap FWD	18	1	4
M Guiu FWD	3

PSG Champions League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
11	6	4	2
N Mendes	Vitinha	K Kvaratskhelia	N Mendes

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Mendes DEF	11	2	2	2 -
W Pacho DEF	11	2	1	-
W Zaïre-Emery MID	11		1	1 -
Vitinha MID	11	6	1	-
B Barcola FWD	11	1	3	-
K Kvaratskhelia FWD	10	5	4	2 -
Marquinhos DEF	9	2		-
G Ramos FWD	9	2		-
A Hakimi DEF	8	1	4	1 -
S. Mayulu MID	8	1		-
J Neves MID	8	1	2	-
K Lee FWD	8		1	-
D Doué FWD	7	4	2	-
O Dembélé FWD	7	2	1	-
L Chevalier GLK	6			-
I Zabarnyi DEF	6			1 1
F Ruiz MID	6	1	1	-
M Safonov GLK	5			1 -
L Hernández DEF	5			1
I. Mbaye FWD	4			-
Q. Ndjantou Mbitcha FWD	3		1	-
P. Fernández Sarmiento MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	13	4	7
Vitinha	Vitinha	K Kvaratskhelia	D Doué

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Vitinha MID	6	13	1	2
K Kvaratskhelia FWD	5	8	4	1
D Doué FWD	4	6	2	7
N Mendes DEF	2	6	2	5
W Pacho DEF	2	2	1	1
Marquinhos DEF	2	2		1
G Ramos FWD	2	5
O Dembélé FWD	2	6	1
B Barcola FWD	1	8	3	2
A Hakimi DEF	1	5	4	2
S. Mayulu MID	1	4
J Neves MID	1	5	2	2
F Ruiz MID	1	6	1	4
W Zaïre-Emery MID		3	1	4
K Lee FWD		3	1	3
I. Mbaye FWD		2		1
Q. Ndjantou Mbitcha FWD		1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1180	20	64
Vitinha	Vitinha	N Mendes

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Vitinha MID	1180	20	34
W Pacho DEF	744	18	43
N Mendes DEF	681	18	64
Marquinhos DEF	615	8	36
W Zaïre-Emery MID	598	17	29
A Hakimi DEF	569	12	29
J Neves MID	457	18	42
K Kvaratskhelia FWD	390	6	46
B Barcola FWD	326	16	36
F Ruiz MID	315	10	16
D Doué FWD	289	12	42
O Dembélé FWD	214	2	7
K Lee FWD	199	6	16
L Chevalier GLK	168		1
I Zabarnyi DEF	149	7	11
S. Mayulu MID	143	8	21
L Hernández DEF	124	2	5
M Safonov GLK	116		2
G Ramos FWD	46	2	13
I. Mbaye FWD	42	4	10
Q. Ndjantou Mbitcha FWD	38	1	4
P. Fernández Sarmiento MID	9

European Champions League match betting previews, predictions and odds

Man City v Real Madrid

Tue 17th Mar, 20:00

Barcelona v Newcastle

Liverpool v Galatasaray

Wed 18th Mar, 20:00

Chelsea v Paris Saint-Germain : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Chelsea have played 8 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the Champions League league table. Chelsea have a great home record this season winning all their home games and keeping 3 clean sheets.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

PSG are in 11th position in the Champions League on 14 points having played 8 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Chelsea v PSG will show here when available.

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