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Lazio v Bayern Munich : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stadio Olimpico, Roma

Thomas Tuchel pays counterpart Maurizio Sarri a visit on Wednesday night in the Champions League, as their Bayern Munich and Lazio sides face each other at the Stadio Olimpico. Statistics power the predictions below for seventeen markets, and switching between them will display bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and a whole lot more besides. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also provided. Click on the tabs below to find out more.

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Lazio's next match is v Torino at 19:45 on Thursday 22nd February
Bayern Munich's next match is v RB Leipzig at 17:30 on Saturday 24th February
The last European Champions League meeting between Lazio and Bayern was on Wednesday 14th February 2024
European Champions League
February 14th 2024
Lazio 1
0 Bayern
 
C. Immobile 69'
 
LAZ
FCB
Shots On
4
Shots Off
2
10
Corners
3
5
Possession
36%
64%
Fouls
7
7
Yellow/red cards
1/1
 
LazioBayern
 
I. Provedel
A. Marušić
M. Fuentes (P. Gabarrón Gil 81')
E. Hysaj (M. Lazzari 60')
A. Romagnoli
L. Romero Alconchel (D. Kamada 81')
D. Cataldi
M. Guendouzi Olié
C. Immobilefootball icon (V. Castellanos Giménez 74')
G. Isaksen (P. Rodríguez Ledesma 74')
F. Anderson Pereira Gomes
M. Neuer
D. Upamecano
N. Mazraoui
M. Kim
R. Guerreiro
J. Kimmich
(M. de Ligt 73') L. Goretzka
J. Musiala
(M. Tel 81') L. Sané
(J. Choupo-Moting 81') T. Müller
H. Kane
Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

This Champions League tie, with Lazio and Bayern going head-to-head, offers great potential in the widely used 2.5 goals market, with a total of 3+ goals being scored seeming highly probable. Strikers for both will look to come out on the front foot and, having studied the relevant stats and odds, we're confident that a bet on over 2.5 goals is the one to go for.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 56% chance of Bayern coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Lazio
22%
15/4
17%
19/5
17%
4/1
9%
4/1
17%
Draw
23%
14/5
5%
27/10
12%
11/4
11%
14/5
14%
Bayern
56%
8/11
10%
8/11
10%
7/10
8%
7/10
15%
Draw 1-1
11%
13/26/1
13%
13/2
6%
6/1
13%
Bayern 1-0
10%
13/2
6%
13/2
6%
6/1
7%
13/2
Bayern 2-1
10%
15/27/17/17/1
Bayern 2-0
9%
15/2
6%
15/2
6%
7/17/1
7%
Bayern 3-1
6%
12/1
8%
12/1
8%
12/1
8%
13/1
27%
Lazio 1-0
6%
12/1
24%
12/1
24%
14/1
12%
12/1
13%
Bayern 3-0
6%
12/1
8%
12/1
8%
12/1
8%
12/1
24%
Lazio 2-1
6%
14/1
12%
14/1
12%
14/1
12%
14/1
6%
Draw 0-0
6%
11/1
8%
11/1
20%
11/1
8%
11/1
14%
Draw 2-2
5%
14/114/114/114/1
Bayern 3-2
3%
22/125/1
24%
22/1
10%
22/1
10%
Lazio 2-0
3%
22/1
21%
28/1
15%
25/1
24%
22/1
21%
Bayern 4-1
3%
25/1
24%
28/1
26%
25/1
13%
24/1
25%
Bayern 4-0
3%
25/1
24%
28/1
26%
25/1
24%
22/1
28%
Lazio 3-1
2%
33/1
17%
45/1
10%
33/1
17%
34/1
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
17/20
7%
4/5
8%
4/5
8%
17/20
12%
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
19/20
6%
10/11
11%
10/11
9%
19/20
8%
Home 1st Goal
42%
15/8
10%
9/5
7%
7/4
5%
-
Away 1st Goal
54%
4/9
3%
4/7
5%
8/15
6%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
11/1
8%
11/1
20%
10/1
15%
-
BTTS - Yes
55%
4/5
3%
3/4
3%
4/5
4%
4/5
2%
BTTS - No
45%
19/20
3%
20/21
5%
10/11
5%
19/20
1%
BTTS - Home Win
11%
15/2
15%
15/2
6%
15/2
6%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/118/5
8%
4/122/5
BTTS - Away Win
26%
13/5
13%
5/2
17%
12/5
10%
-
Home/draw
44%
21/20
11%
11/10
14%
23/20
10%
23/20
13%
Away/draw
78%
2/11
4%
2/11
4%
2/11
4%
1/6
7%
Home/away
77%
1/4
2%
2/7
6%
1/4
2%
7/25
8%
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
2/7
6%
1/4
4%
1/4
2%
1/4
5%
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
11/4
13%
13/5
15%
11/4
6%
14/5
13%
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
11/5
16%
2/1
15%
2/1
14%
43/20
15%
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
4/11
6%
4/11
6%
4/11
6%
7/20
4%
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
5/1
20%
19/4
25%
9/2
10%
21/4
20%
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/8
4%
1/8
4%
1/8
1%
1/9
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
12/1
30%
12/1
37%
9/1
11%
12/1
30%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/25
2%
1/25
2%
1/25
1%
1/50
3%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/20
1%
1/20
1%
1/251/25
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/1
15%
10/1
15%
9/121/2
18%
Home DNB
38%
12/5
21%
12/5
15%
5/2
19%
13/5
22%
Away DNB
72%
3/10
8%
3/10
7%
2/7
8%
7/25
10%
Lazio win to nil
10%
7/1
27%
15/2
23%
8/1
18%
-
Bayern win to nil
29%
2/1
9%
2/1
7%
9/5
6%
-
Lazio / Lazio
10%
13/2
17%
15/2
15%
7/1
11%
7/1
11%
Lazio / Bayern
4%
20/125/1
13%
20/1
11%
24/1
25%
Lazio / Draw
5%
14/1
12%
16/114/1
12%
14/1
Draw / Lazio
8%
17/2
14%
9/1
17%
10/1
15%
19/2
13%
Draw / Bayern
19%
7/2
4%
17/5
4%
7/2
4%
19/5
9%
Draw / Draw
15%
5/1
8%
9/2
15%
5/1
8%
24/5
11%
Bayern / Lazio
2%
33/150/140/145/1
Bayern / Bayern
32%
7/4
15%
9/5
14%
8/5
9%
13/8
23%
Bayern / Draw
6%
14/114/1
12%
14/114/1
bet365
Win / draw / win form
Lazio
20 games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
Bayern
20 games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
16
D
2
L
2
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
Goal Statistics

Bayern Munich's defensive record is very strong, Thomas Tuchel's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Champions League games. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Lazio makes sense in this context.

Lazio Bayern
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Lazio will score no more than 1 goal
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Bayern will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
-11
Lazio have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted
-2
Bayern’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
2.2
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Statistics Champions League - 2023/2023 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/268432/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Lazio
PG (predicted goals)
Bayern
1.1
1.8
Attack rating
LAZ
FCB
21%
better
view stats
Games scored15
16
Failed to score5
4
Scored first13
14
Goals scored22
42
Avg. goals scored1.1
2.1
Avg. shots per game8
13
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate14%
16%
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
19%
better
LAZ
FCB
view stats
Games conceded10
12
Clean sheets10
8
Conceded first5
5
Goals conceded16
23
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
6
Conversion rate10%
16%
KickOff rating
+19%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Lazio v Bayern will show here when available.

Lazio Champions League squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7412
I ProvedelC ImmobileA RomagnoliM Guendouzi
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Provedel GLK71
-
A Marusic DEF6
1
-
M Gila  DEF3
-
A Romagnoli DEF51
1
-
E Hysaj DEF5
-
M Guendouzi MID71
2
-
D Cataldi MID4
-
L Alberto MID71
1
-
G Isaksen FWD41
-
C Immobile FWD74
1
-
F Anderson FWD71
-
Subs
L Sepe  GLK
1
-
F Magro GLK
-
Patric DEF5
2
-
N Casale DEF2
1
-
M Lazzari  MID7
-
D Kamada MID6
-
L. Napolitano MID
-
Pedro FWD72
2
-
T Castellanos FWD6
2
-
Bayern Champions League squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12433
S BoeyH KaneH KaneS Boey
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Neuer  GLK4
-
N Mazraoui  DEF51
-
D Upamecano DEF6
1
M Kim DEF6
-
R Guerreiro DEF3
-
J Kimmich MID72
1
-
L Goretzka MID6
2
-
L Sané MID711
1
-
T Müller MID61
-
J Musiala MID622
1
-
H Kane FWD743
-
Subs
S Ulreich GLK3
1
-
M. Schmitt GLK
-
M Ligt DEF2
-
E Dier DEF
-
S Boey DEF
-
A Pavlović MID1
-
E Choupo-Moting FWD4
-
B Zaragoza FWD
-
M Tel FWD721
-