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Manchester City v Inter Milan : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 18th Sep, 20:00 BST, Etihad Stadium, Manchester

Pep Guardiola's Manchester City side are on home soil in the Champions League on Wednesday night, as Simone Inzaghi's Inter Milan travel to the Etihad Stadium. Our goal is for you to win betting on this match, so every stats you could possibly need to make a smart selection is published below. Flip between seventeen markets or take our top tip. We've got predictions, head to head (H2H) analysis and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for each one.

Best Tip: Man City to win

A Champions League victory in front of their own fans for Pep Guardiola's Man City team win in the win / draw / win market is what we're predicting. Stats suggest that their form is good coming into the match, and they should be too strong for their visitors. The odds from the bookies suggest so too, and when that happens you've got a pretty compelling case. A Man City win is the way to go, but it could be a close one.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Man City are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 64% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.50.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Man City
64%
-1.50
7%
Draw
19%
-4.50
6%
Inter
17%
-6.00
14%
Man City 2-1
10%
-7.50
Man City 2-0
8%
-7.50
7%
Draw 1-1
8%
-8.00
6%
Man City 3-1
8%
-10.00
5%
Man City 1-0
7%
-7.50
Man City 3-0
7%
-10.00
11%
Draw 2-2
6%
-13.00
13%
Inter 2-1
5%
-15.00
12%
Man City 4-1
4%
-15.00
Man City 3-2
4%
-17.00
Man City 4-0
4%
-15.00
15%
Inter 1-0
3%
-15.00
12%
Draw 0-0
3%
-13.00
Man City 4-2
3%
-23.00
12%
Inter 3-2
2%
-29.00
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
-1.55
Under 2.5 Goals
32%
-2.30
BTTS - Yes
62%
-1.70
3%
BTTS - No
38%
-2.05
5%
BTTS - Home Win
36%
-2.80
2%
BTTS - Draw
16%
-5.25
9%
BTTS - Away Win
11%
-8.50
15%
Home/draw
83%
-1.12
2%
Away/draw
36%
-2.50
11%
Home/away
81%
-1.20
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
87%
-1.18
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
13%
-4.50
Over 3.5 Goals
47%
-2.38
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
53%
-1.55
Over 4.5 Goals
28%
-4.00
3%
Under 4.5 Goals
72%
-1.22
Over 5.5 Goals
15%
-7.00
Under 5.5 Goals
85%
-1.08
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
-1.02
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
-13.00
Home DNB
77%
-1.18
4%
Away DNB
30%
-4.40
16%
Man City / Man City
35%
-2.20
7%
Man City / Inter
3%
-29.00
15%
Man City / Draw
6%
-13.00
13%
Draw / Man City
18%
-4.20
5%
Draw / Inter
7%
-11.00
15%
Draw / Draw
12%
-6.50
Inter / Man City
5%
-17.00
Inter / Inter
9%
-8.50
15%
Inter / Draw
5%
-15.00
bet365
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Win / draw / win form
23
Man City have not lost in 23 consecutive european games
Man City
20 games
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
Draw
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMan City1 - 1Real Madrid
AMan City3 - 3Real Madrid
HMan City3 - 1Kobenhavn
AMan City3 - 1Kobenhavn
AMan City3 - 2Red Star Bel.
HMan City3 - 2RB Leipzig
HMan City3 - 0Young Boys
AMan City3 - 1Young Boys
AMan City3 - 1RB Leipzig
HMan City3 - 1Red Star Bel.
HMan City1 - 0Inter
HMan City4 - 0Real Madrid
AMan City1 - 1Real Madrid
AMan City1 - 1Bayern
HMan City3 - 0Bayern
HMan City7 - 0RB Leipzig
AMan City1 - 1RB Leipzig
HMan City3 - 1Sevilla
AMan City0 - 0Dortmund
AMan City0 - 0Kobenhavn
Inter
20 games
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AInter1 - 2A.Madrid
HInter1 - 0A.Madrid
HInter0 - 0R.Sociedad
AInter3 - 3Benfica
AInter1 - 0Salzburg
HInter2 - 1Salzburg
HInter1 - 0Benfica
AInter1 - 1R.Sociedad
AInter0 - 1Man City
HInter1 - 0Milan
AInter2 - 0Milan
HInter3 - 3Benfica
AInter2 - 0Benfica
AInter0 - 0Porto
HInter1 - 0Porto
AInter0 - 2Bayern
HInter4 - 0Plzen
AInter3 - 3Barcelona
HInter1 - 0Barcelona
AInter2 - 0Plzen
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

Manchester City's forwards have been excellent of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 13 consecutive Champions League outings. A PG of 2.4 suggests that run should continue on Wednesday night.

Manchester City's defensive record is to be admired, Pep Guardiola's men having conceded 1 or less in 11 consecutive Champions League matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for Inter Milan makes sense in this context.

Man City Inter
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.4
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
21%
There is a 69% probability that Man City will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Inter will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
+13
Man City have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted
-8
Inter’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.9
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/287594/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Man City
PG (predicted goals)
Inter
2.4
1.2
Attack rating
6%
better
MCI
INT
view stats
Games scored19
19
Failed to score1
1
Scored first14
16
Goals scored53
44
Avg. goals scored2.7
2.2
Avg. shots per game14
12
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for19
18
Avg. XG for2.2
2
KickOff rating
+6%
Defence rating
MCI
INT
16%
better
view stats
Games conceded12
10
Clean sheets8
10
Conceded first5
4
Goals conceded16
14
Avg. goals conceded0.8
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded6
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
13
Conversion rate against13%
8%
Avg. XG against1
1.2
KickOff rating
+16%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Man City v Inter will show here when available.

Man City Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
0000
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Ortega GLK
-
S Carson GLK
-
Ederson GLK
-
M Akanji DEF
-
K Walker DEF
-
J Stones DEF
-
J Wilson-Esbrand DEF
-
R Lewis DEF
-
J Gvardiol DEF
-
R Dias DEF
-
N Aké  DEF
-
M Nunes MID
-
B Silva MID
-
J McAtee MID
-
I Gündogan MID
-
M Kovacic MID
-
Rodri MID
-
K Bruyne MID
-
S Sávio FWD
-
J Doku FWD
-
E Haaland FWD
-
O Bobb FWD
-
P Foden FWD
-
J Grealish FWD
-
Inter Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
0000
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Y Sommer GLK
-
J Martínez GLK
-
R Gennaro GLK
-
I Radu  GLK
-
M Darmian DEF
-
D Dumfries DEF
-
B Pavard DEF
-
Y Bisseck DEF
-
S Vrij DEF
-
F Dimarco DEF
-
A Bastoni DEF
-
T Palacios DEF
-
F Acerbi DEF
-
K Asllani MID
-
H Mkhitaryan MID
-
H Calhanoglu  MID
-
T Buchanan MID
-
N Barella  MID
-
D Frattesi MID
-
C Augusto MID
-
P Zielinski MID
-
E Salcedo FWD
-
L Martínez FWD
-
J Correa FWD
-
M Arnautovic  FWD
-
M Thuram FWD
-
M Taremi FWD
-