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Marseille v Newcastle United : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 25th Nov, 20:00 BST, Stade Vélodrome, Marseille

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Champions League, and Roberto De Zerbi’s Marseille will have the joy of it on Tuesday night. Eddie Howe’s Newcastle United are their visitors to the Stade Vélodrome. Statistics for our tip of are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Switching the market with the tabs changes all statistics and the odds, allowing you do find the bet that suits you best.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The KickOff predictive algorithm suggests there is a 78% probability of Marseille and Newcastle serving up at least 2 goals in this Champions League match. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are factored into that calculation , and it would appear that the bookies are predicting the same. This over 1.5 goals tip is available with best odds of 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 41% chance of Newcastle coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Marseille
34%
3.00
11%
2.88
Draw
25%
3.25
2%
3.50
Newcastle
41%
2.35
8%
2.38
Draw 1-1
12%
6.506.50
Newcastle 2-1
9%
9.50
5%
9.00
Newcastle 1-0
9%
9.50
14%
8.50
Marseille 2-1
8%
11.0010.00
Marseille 1-0
8%
11.00
8%
9.50
Newcastle 2-0
6%
12.00
8%
11.00
Draw 2-2
6%
12.00
9%
12.00
Draw 0-0
6%
12.00
8%
10.00
Marseille 2-0
5%
15.0013.00
Newcastle 3-1
4%
19.0015.00
Marseille 3-1
4%
23.00
10%
17.00
Newcastle 3-0
3%
23.0019.00
Newcastle 3-2
3%
26.00
13%
19.00
Marseille 3-2
3%
29.00
12%
21.00
Marseille 3-0
2%
29.0023.00
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
1.80
4%
1.75
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
2.00
5%
1.95
Home 1st Goal
47%
2.05
3%
2.10
Away 1st Goal
49%
1.831.91
No 1st Goal
3%
12.00
8%
9.50
BTTS - Yes
58%
1.62
3%
1.65
BTTS - No
42%
2.20
2%
2.15
BTTS - Home Win
18%
5.50
16%
4.80
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.004.20
BTTS - Away Win
21%
4.334.20
Home/draw
59%
1.57
3%
1.57
Away/draw
66%
1.36
3%
1.40
Home/away
75%
1.331.30
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1.25
2%
1.25
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
4.00
8%
3.60
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
3.00
9%
2.88
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
1.40
3%
1.40
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
5.50
10%
5.25
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1.14
3%
1.14
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
11.00
10%
10.00
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1.05
1%
1.04
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.041.04
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
12.00
8%
10.00
Home DNB
52%
2.10
5%
2.05
Away DNB
58%
1.67
3%
1.70
Marseille win to nil
16%
5.50-
Newcastle win to nil
20%
4.33
13%
-
Marseille / Marseille
17%
4.75
10%
4.50
Marseille / Newcastle
4%
23.0019.00
Marseille / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
Draw / Marseille
12%
7.00
8%
6.50
Draw / Newcastle
14%
6.005.50
Draw / Draw
15%
5.50
8%
5.00
Newcastle / Marseille
3%
26.00
13%
21.00
Newcastle / Newcastle
22%
3.75
6%
3.70
Newcastle / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
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Win / draw / win Champions League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Marseille
Newcastle
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern44001112 
-
-
-
-
2
Arsenal44001112 
-
-
-
-
3
Inter44001012 
-
-
-
-
4
Man City4310710 
-
-
-
-
5
PSG430199 
-
-
-
Jan 28
6
Newcastle430189 
Nov 25
-
-
-
7
Real Madrid430169 
-
l
 
2-1F
-
-
8
Liverpool430159 
Jan 21
-
-
-
9
Galatasaray430129 
-
-
-
-
10
Spurs422058 
-
-
-
-
11
Barcelona421157 
-
-
l
 
1-2A
-
12
Chelsea421137 
-
-
-
-
13
S. Lisbon421137 
-
l
 
2-1F
-
-
14
Dortmund421127 
-
-
-
-
15
Qarabag421117 
-
-
-
-
16
Atalanta4211-27 
l
 
0-1A
-
-
-
17
A.Madrid420216 
-
-
-
-
18
PSV412125 
-
-
Jan 21
-
19
Monaco4121-25 
-
-
-
-
20
Paphos4121-35 
-
-
-
-
21
Leverkusen4121-45 
-
-
-
Dec 10
22
Brugge4112-24 
-
Jan 28
-
-
23
E.Frankfurt4112-44 
-
-
-
-
24
Napoli4112-54 
-
-
-
-
25
Marseille410313 
-
-
-
Nov 25
26
Juventus4031-13 
-
-
-
-
27
A.Bilbao4103-53 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
-
28
Union SG4103-83 
-
Dec 9
-
w
 
0-4F
29
Bodø4022-32 
-
-
-
-
30
Slavia4022-62 
-
-
-
-
31
Olympiakos4022-72 
-
-
-
-
32
Villarreal4013-41 
-
-
-
-
33
Kobenhavn4013-81 
-
-
-
-
34
Kairat Almaty4013-91 
-
-
-
-
35
Benfica4004-60 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
-
36
Ajax4004-130 
w
 
4-0F
-
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
Marseille 25TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Marseille0 - 1Atalanta
Marseille4 - 0Ajax
Marseille1 - 1Atalanta
Marseille1 - 0Benfica
Marseille4 - 0Villarreal
Marseille3 - 1Shakhtar
Marseille4 - 3Ajax
Marseille3 - 1AEK
Marseille2 - 2Brighton
Marseille2 - 1Panathinaikos
Marseille1 - 2Spurs
Marseille4 - 1S. Lisbon
Marseille0 - 1E.Frankfurt
Marseille0 - 0Feyenoord
Marseille2 - 1PAOK
Marseille2 - 1Basel
Marseille3 - 1Qarabag
Marseille1 - 0Lok. Moscow
Marseille2 - 2Lazio
Marseille0 - 0Galatasaray
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMarseille0 - 1Atalanta
AMarseille1 - 2S. Lisbon
HMarseille4 - 0Ajax
AMarseille1 - 2Real Madrid
AMarseille0 - 3Atalanta
HMarseille1 - 1Atalanta
HMarseille1 - 0Benfica
AMarseille1 - 2Benfica
AMarseille1 - 3Villarreal
HMarseille4 - 0Villarreal
HMarseille3 - 1Shakhtar
AMarseille2 - 2Shakhtar
AMarseille0 - 1Brighton
HMarseille4 - 3Ajax
AMarseille2 - 0AEK
HMarseille3 - 1AEK
HMarseille2 - 2Brighton
AMarseille3 - 3Ajax
HMarseille2 - 1Panathinaikos
AMarseille0 - 1Panathinaikos
Newcastle 6TH
16 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
9 / 16
Conceded
7 / 16
Clean sheets
9 / 16
Failed to score
7 / 16
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Union SG0 - 4Newcastle
PSG1 - 1Newcastle
Dortmund2 - 0Newcastle
Milan0 - 0Newcastle
Benfica3 - 1Newcastle
Anzhi Mak0 - 0Newcastle
Metalist0 - 1Newcastle
Bordeaux2 - 0Newcastle
Brugge2 - 2Newcastle
Maratimo0 - 0Newcastle
AZ Alkmaar2 - 0Newcastle
Z.Waregem1 - 3Newcastle
E.Frankfurt0 - 0Newcastle
Palermo0 - 1Newcastle
Levadia0 - 1Newcastle
Ventspils0 - 1Newcastle
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNewcastle2 - 0A.Bilbao
HNewcastle3 - 0Benfica
ANewcastle4 - 0Union SG
HNewcastle1 - 2Barcelona
HNewcastle1 - 2Milan
ANewcastle1 - 1PSG
ANewcastle0 - 2Dortmund
HNewcastle0 - 1Dortmund
HNewcastle4 - 1PSG
ANewcastle0 - 0Milan
HNewcastle1 - 1Benfica
ANewcastle1 - 3Benfica
HNewcastle1 - 0Anzhi Mak
ANewcastle0 - 0Anzhi Mak
ANewcastle1 - 0Metalist
HNewcastle0 - 0Metalist
ANewcastle0 - 2Bordeaux
HNewcastle1 - 1Maratimo
ANewcastle2 - 2Brugge
HNewcastle1 - 0Brugge
Goal Statistics

Newcastle United have been steady in attack of late, finding the net in 6 consecutive Champions League outings. Their PG of 1.5 against Marseille on Tuesday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Marseille 25th Newcastle 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Marseille will score no more than 1 goal
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Newcastle will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+10
Marseille’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
=0
Newcastle’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.0
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season
Marseille
PG (predicted goals)
Newcastle
1.4
1.5
Attack rating
25%
better
MAR
NEW
view stats
Games scored17
15
Failed to score3
5
Scored first13
12
Goals scored46
29
Avg. goals scored2.3
1.5
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for21
15
Avg. XG for1.7
1.6
KickOff rating
+25%
Defence rating
MAR
NEW
17%
better
view stats
Games conceded14
10
Clean sheets6
10
Conceded first7
5
Goals conceded21
19
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against13%
12%
Avg. XG against1.1
1
KickOff rating
+17%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Marseille v Newcastle will show here when available.

Marseille Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4332
G RulliI PaixãoP AubameyangB Pavard
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Rulli GLK4
-
B Pavard DEF4
2
-
M Murillo DEF4
-
M O'Riley MID4
1
-
P Höjbjerg MID4
1
-
P Aubameyang FWD413
-
M Greenwood  FWD411
-
I Paixão FWD431
-
N Aguerd DEF3
1
-
Emerson DEF3
1
1
C Egan-Riley DEF3
-
A Vermeeren MID31
-
A Gomes MID3
-
T Weah FWD31
-
U Garcia DEF2
-
L Balerdi DEF2
1
-
F Medina DEF2
1
-
R. Vaz FWD2
-
G Kondogbia MID1
-
B Nadir MID1
-
A Gouiri FWD1
-
Newcastle Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4422
N Pope A GordonJ MurphyJoelinton
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Pope  GLK41
-
M Thiaw DEF4
1
-
D Burn DEF41
1
-
S Botman DEF4
-
K Trippier DEF41
-
Joelinton MID41
2
-
B Guimarães MID4
-
A Elanga FWD4
-
N Woltemade FWD41
-
A Gordon FWD441
-
H Barnes FWD431
-
S Tonali MID31
-
L Miley MID3
-
J Murphy FWD32
-
L Hall DEF2
-
F Schär DEF2
-
J Ramsey MID2
-
J Willock MID2
-
W Osula FWD21
-
T Livramento  DEF1
-