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Monaco v Aston Villa : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 21st Jan, 17:45 BST, Stade Louis II, Fontvieille

We’ve Champions League action to enjoy on Tuesday evening, as Adi Hutter and his Monaco side host Unai Emery’s Aston Villa at the Stade Louis II. Our predictions for each betting market are based on the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with weighting given to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are designed specifically for the betting market in question. Head to head (H2H) stats for this fixture are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided straight from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Here is a pair of impressive, attacking teams going head-to-head and, as such, we're predicting both of them to score at least 1 goal during the 90 mins. Can respective bosses Adi Hutter or Unai Emery mastermind a defensive masterclass to scupper our tip? Recent form stats and historical head-to-heads, as well as the latest odds from the bookies, do not suggest so.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Monaco are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.35.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Monaco
43%
27/20
6%
13/10
3%
Draw
24%
5/2
3%
13/5
3%
A Villa
33%
9/5
7%
15/8
3%
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1
8%
11/2
Monaco 2-1
9%
17/2
5%
15/2
Monaco 1-0
8%
9/115/2
A Villa 2-1
8%
10/1
10%
17/2
6%
A Villa 1-0
7%
11/1
9%
17/2
6%
Monaco 2-0
6%
12/110/1
Draw 2-2
6%
11/110/1
Monaco 3-1
5%
16/1
11%
12/1
13%
Draw 0-0
5%
12/110/1
10%
A Villa 2-0
5%
14/112/1
A Villa 3-1
4%
20/116/1
Monaco 3-0
3%
22/1
12%
16/1
Monaco 3-2
3%
22/1
12%
16/1
11%
A Villa 3-2
3%
25/118/1
10%
A Villa 3-0
2%
28/1
12%
22/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
7/10
3%
4/6
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
11/10
2%
11/10
5%
Home 1st Goal
50%
8/11
5%
3/4
Away 1st Goal
47%
11/10
2%
6/5
No 1st Goal
3%
12/19/1
BTTS - Yes
61%
4/7
3%
3/5
3%
BTTS - No
39%
5/4
2%
5/4
5%
BTTS - Home Win
23%
10/3
4%
29/10
7%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/316/5
BTTS - Away Win
18%
4/1
5%
18/5
4%
Home/draw
67%
2/5
3%
2/5
Away/draw
57%
4/7
5%
3/5
2%
Home/away
76%
2/7
1%
2/7
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
2/92/9
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
10/33/1
8%
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
7/413/8
6%
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
4/94/9
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
4/118/5
8%
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1/61/6
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
9/1
9%
8/1
10%
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/16
1%
1/18
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/251/33
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/110/1
10%
Home DNB
60%
8/11
5%
4/6
2%
Away DNB
50%
1/1
9%
21/20
3%
Monaco win to nil
20%
7/2
10%
-
A Villa win to nil
15%
9/2
10%
-
Monaco / Monaco
22%
11/4
6%
13/5
3%
Monaco / A Villa
3%
25/120/1
Monaco / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Monaco
14%
5/19/2
Draw / A Villa
12%
11/211/2
8%
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
9%
17/4
5%
A Villa / Monaco
4%
22/118/1
A Villa / A Villa
18%
7/2
4%
7/2
2%
A Villa / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Champions League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Monaco
A Villa
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool66001218 
-
-
-
-
2
Barcelona65011415 
w
 
2-1F
-
-
-
3
Arsenal6411913 
-
l
 
3-0A
-
-
4
Leverkusen6411713 
-
-
-
-
5
A Villa Away6411613 
Jan 21
-
-
-
6
Inter6411613 
-
Jan 29
-
-
7
Brest6411413 
-
-
-
-
8
Lille6411313 
-
-
-
-
9
Dortmund6402912 
-
-
-
-
10
Bayern6402912 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
-
11
A.Madrid6402412 
-
-
-
-
12
Milan6402312 
-
-
-
-
13
Atalanta6321911 
-
-
-
-
14
Juventus6321411 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
-
15
Benfica6312310 
l
 
2-3F
-
-
-
16
Monaco Home6312210 
-
-
-
Jan 21
17
S. Lisbon6312210 
-
-
-
-
18
Feyenoord6312-110 
-
-
-
-
19
Brugge6312-210 
-
-
-
l
 
1-0A
20
Real Madrid630319 
-
-
-
-
21
Celtic623109 
-
-
Jan 29
-
22
Man City622248 
-
-
-
-
23
PSV622228 
-
-
-
-
24
D. Zagreb6222-58 
-
d
 
2-2A
-
-
25
PSG621307 
-
-
-
-
26
Stuttgart6213-37 
-
-
-
-
27
Shakhtar6114-84 
-
-
-
-
28
Sparta6114-114 
-
-
-
-
29
Sturm Graz6105-53 
-
-
-
-
30
Girona6105-63 
-
-
-
-
31
Red Star Bel.6105-93 
w
 
5-1F
-
-
-
32
Salzburg6105-153 
-
-
-
-
33
Bologna6024-62 
-
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
-
34
RB Leipzig6006-70 
-
-
-
w
 
2-3F
35
S. Bratislava6006-160 
-
-
-
-
36
Young Boys6006-190 
-
-
-
w
 
0-3F
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
Monaco 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Monaco2 - 3Benfica
Monaco5 - 1Red Star Bel.
Monaco2 - 1Barcelona
Monaco2 - 3Leverkusen
Monaco4 - 1Red Star Bel.
Monaco3 - 1Trabzonspor
Monaco0 - 1Ferencvaros
Monaco1 - 1PSV
Monaco1 - 1Braga
Monaco2 - 1R.Sociedad
Monaco0 - 0PSV
Monaco1 - 0Sturm Graz
Monaco0 - 1Shakhtar
Monaco3 - 1Sparta
Monaco0 - 2Dortmund
Monaco0 - 4Brugge
Monaco1 - 2A.Madrid
Monaco1 - 4RB Leipzig
Monaco1 - 2Besiktas
Monaco0 - 3Porto
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMonaco0 - 3Arsenal
HMonaco2 - 3Benfica
AMonaco1 - 0Bologna
HMonaco5 - 1Red Star Bel.
AMonaco2 - 2D. Zagreb
HMonaco2 - 1Barcelona
HMonaco2 - 3Leverkusen
AMonaco3 - 2Leverkusen
HMonaco4 - 1Red Star Bel.
AMonaco1 - 1Ferencvaros
AMonaco0 - 4Trabzonspor
HMonaco3 - 1Trabzonspor
HMonaco0 - 1Ferencvaros
AMonaco1 - 0Red Star Bel.
AMonaco2 - 2PSV
HMonaco1 - 1PSV
HMonaco1 - 1Braga
AMonaco0 - 2Braga
AMonaco1 - 1Sturm Graz
HMonaco2 - 1R.Sociedad
A Villa 5TH
18 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
13 / 18
Conceded
13 / 18
Clean sheets
5 / 18
Failed to score
5 / 18
Won
8
D
3
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
RB Leipzig2 - 3A Villa
Brugge1 - 0A Villa
Young Boys0 - 3A Villa
Olympiakos2 - 0A Villa
Lille2 - 1A Villa
Ajax0 - 0A Villa
Hsk Zrinjski Mostar1 - 1A Villa
AZ Alkmaar1 - 4A Villa
L. Warsaw3 - 2A Villa
Hibernian0 - 5A Villa
Rapid Wien1 - 1A Villa
Rapid Wien1 - 0A Villa
CSKA M2 - 0A Villa
Hamburg3 - 1A Villa
Slavia0 - 1A Villa
Litex Lovech1 - 3A Villa
Litex1 - 3A Villa
FH1 - 4A Villa
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA Villa3 - 2RB Leipzig
HA Villa0 - 0Juventus
AA Villa0 - 1Brugge
HA Villa2 - 0Bologna
HA Villa1 - 0Bayern
AA Villa3 - 0Young Boys
AA Villa0 - 2Olympiakos
HA Villa2 - 4Olympiakos
AA Villa1 - 2Lille
HA Villa2 - 1Lille
HA Villa4 - 0Ajax
AA Villa0 - 0Ajax
AA Villa1 - 1Hsk Zrinjski Mostar
HA Villa2 - 1L. Warsaw
HA Villa2 - 1AZ Alkmaar
AA Villa4 - 1AZ Alkmaar
HA Villa1 - 0Hsk Zrinjski Mostar
AA Villa2 - 3L. Warsaw
HA Villa3 - 0Hibernian
AA Villa5 - 0Hibernian
Goal Statistics
Monaco 16th A Villa 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Monaco will score 1 or more goals
0
25%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 75% probability that A Villa will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-12
Monaco have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted
=0
A Villa’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.7
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/287694/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Monaco
PG (predicted goals)
A Villa
1.6
1.4
Attack rating
13%
better
MCO
AVL
view stats
Games scored16
15
Failed to score4
5
Scored first11
10
Goals scored33
26
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.3
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for16
14
Avg. XG for2
1.6
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
2%
better
MCO
AVL
view stats
Games conceded16
16
Clean sheets4
4
Conceded first7
9
Goals conceded29
30
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against18%
16%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+2%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Monaco v A Villa will show here when available.

Monaco Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6222
T KehrerM AklioucheVandersonT Kehrer
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Kehrer DEF611
2
-
C Henrique DEF6
-
Vanderson DEF62
1
-
A Golovin MID61
-
L Camara MID6
2
-
B Embolo FWD612
1
-
E Seghir FWD61
1
-
M Akliouche FWD621
-
T Minamino FWD521
-
G Ilenikhena FWD51
-
R Majecki GLK4
-
W Singo DEF411
1
1
M Salisu DEF41
1
-
S Magassa MID41
-
D Zakaria MID41
2
-
E Matazo MID3
-
F Balogun FWD3
1
-
P Köhn GLK2
-
C Mawissa DEF21
2
-
K Diatta FWD2
-
K Ouattara DEF1
-
J Teze DEF1
-
A Villa Champions League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6323
E MartínezJ DuránY TielemansD Carlos
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Martínez GLK6
-
D Carlos DEF6
3
-
P Torres DEF61
1
-
M Rogers MID611
-
Y Tielemans MID612
1
-
J Durán FWD63
1
-
E Konsa DEF5
1
-
I Maatsen DEF5
1
-
J McGinn MID521
-
R Barkley MID51
1
-
O Watkins FWD52
-
L Digne DEF4
1
-
J Ramsey MID41
-
B Kamara MID4
1
-
L Bailey FWD4
1
-
A Onana MID31
-
E Buendía MID3
-
M Cash DEF2
-
K. Nedeljković DEF2
-
T Mings DEF1
1
-
L Bogarde DEF1
-