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Monaco v Paris Saint-Germain : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 17th Feb, 20:00 BST, Stade Louis II, Fontvieille

Home advantage can be vital in the Champions League, and Sébastien Pocognoli’s Monaco will have the luxury of it on Tuesday night. Luis Enrique Martínez García’s Paris Saint-Germain are their visitors to the Stade Louis II. Analysing both teams' last 20 Champions League matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside the best odds.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: PSG to win

The turnout should be good at Stade Louis II on Tuesday night but, unfortunately, we predict the majority of those in attendance will be leaving the place 90 minutes later rather less happy than they arrived. The stats below, including head-to-head (H2H) records and recent form, are all pointing towards an away win in the win / draw / win market, with visitors PSG getting the better of hosts Monaco. An inquest will follow for home manager Sébastien Pocognoli but, in the meantime, we'd strongly recommend making the most of best bookie odds of 1.57 to back the away win.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Our predictive algorithm gives PSG a 82% chance of avoiding defeat in this match (i.e. either winning or drawing). This makes it the most likely outcome in the ‘Double chance’ market.

Explore the winning strategies and tips from expert double chance tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Monaco
18%
6.25
9%
5.25
Draw
20%
3.904.33
2%
PSG
63%
1.53
3%
1.57
PSG 2-1
10%
8.508.00
PSG 2-0
9%
9.008.50
Draw 1-1
9%
8.008.00
PSG 1-0
8%
9.508.50
PSG 3-1
7%
11.00
8%
10.00
PSG 3-0
7%
12.0011.00
Draw 2-2
5%
13.0012.00
8%
Monaco 2-1
5%
19.0015.00
Monaco 1-0
4%
21.0015.00
PSG 4-1
4%
21.0017.00
PSG 3-2
4%
21.0017.00
Draw 0-0
4%
17.0015.00
PSG 4-0
4%
21.0017.00
Monaco 2-0
2%
34.0023.00
PSG 4-2
2%
34.0026.00
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
1.53
3%
1.53
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
2.50
5%
2.38
3%
Home 1st Goal
42%
2.75
5%
2.80
3%
Away 1st Goal
56%
1.44
4%
1.48
No 1st Goal
2%
17.0013.00
BTTS - Yes
58%
1.621.65
1%
BTTS - No
42%
2.202.15
2%
BTTS - Home Win
10%
9.50
6%
7.50
6%
BTTS - Draw
16%
4.755.00
BTTS - Away Win
32%
2.882.88
Home/draw
37%
2.38
3%
2.30
3%
Away/draw
82%
1.13
1%
1.17
2%
Home/away
80%
1.251.20
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
1.171.17
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
5.004.60
Over 3.5 Goals
41%
2.302.30
Under 3.5 Goals
59%
1.621.57
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
23%
4.003.90
3%
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
1.251.22
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
7.007.00
7%
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1.101.08
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.031.02
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
15.00
12%
13.00
Home DNB
32%
4.50
4%
3.80
3%
Away DNB
76%
1.18
2%
1.22
Monaco win to nil
7%
13.00-
PSG win to nil
30%
3.00-
Monaco / Monaco
10%
9.50
6%
7.50
Monaco / PSG
5%
19.0017.00
Monaco / Draw
5%
17.00
13%
13.00
Draw / Monaco
7%
13.00
8%
11.00
Draw / PSG
18%
4.504.60
Draw / Draw
12%
7.006.50
PSG / Monaco
2%
41.00
21%
29.00
PSG / PSG
36%
2.302.25
PSG / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
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Double chance Champions League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Monaco
PSG
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal88001924 
-
-
-
-
2
Bayern87011421 
-
-
-
-
3
Liverpool86021218 
-
-
-
-
4
Spurs85211017 
-
-
-
-
5
Barcelona8512816 
-
-
-
-
6
Chelsea8512716 
-
-
-
-
7
S. Lisbon8512616 
-
-
-
-
8
Man City8512616 
-
-
-
-
9
Real Madrid8503915 
-
-
-
-
10
Inter8503815 
-
-
-
-
11
PSG84221014 
Feb 17
Feb 25
-
-
12
Newcastle84221014 
-
-
-
-
13
Juventus8341413 
-
-
-
-
14
A.Madrid8413213 
-
-
-
-
15
Atalanta8413013 
-
-
-
-
16
Leverkusen8332-112 
-
-
-
-
17
Dortmund8323211 
-
-
-
-
18
Olympiakos8323-411 
-
-
-
-
19
Brugge8314-210 
-
-
-
-
20
Galatasaray8314-210 
-
-
-
-
21
Monaco8242-610 
-
-
Feb 25
Feb 17
22
Qarabag8314-810 
-
-
-
-
23
Bodø8233-19 
-
-
-
-
24
Benfica8305-29 
-
-
-
-
25
Marseille8305-39 
-
-
-
-
26
Paphos8233-39 
-
-
-
-
27
Union SG8305-99 
-
-
-
-
28
PSV822408 
-
-
-
-
29
A.Bilbao8224-58 
-
-
-
-
30
Napoli8224-68 
-
-
-
-
31
Kobenhavn8224-98 
-
-
-
-
32
Ajax8206-136 
-
-
-
-
33
E.Frankfurt8116-114 
-
-
-
-
34
Slavia8035-143 
-
-
-
-
35
Villarreal8017-131 
-
-
-
-
36
Kairat Almaty8017-151 
-
-
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Double chance form
Monaco 19TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
HOME FORM Double Chance
Monaco0 - 0Juventus
Monaco1 - 0Galatasaray
Monaco0 - 0Spurs
Monaco2 - 2Man City
Monaco0 - 1Benfica
Monaco1 - 0A Villa
Monaco2 - 3Benfica
Monaco5 - 1Red Star Bel.
Monaco2 - 1Barcelona
Monaco2 - 3Leverkusen
Monaco4 - 1Red Star Bel.
Monaco3 - 1Trabzonspor
Monaco0 - 1Ferencvaros
Monaco1 - 1PSV
Monaco1 - 1Braga
Monaco2 - 1R.Sociedad
Monaco0 - 0PSV
Monaco1 - 0Sturm Graz
Monaco0 - 1Shakhtar
Monaco3 - 1Sparta
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Double Chance
HMonaco0 - 0Juventus
AMonaco1 - 6Real Madrid
HMonaco1 - 0Galatasaray
AMonaco2 - 2Paphos
AMonaco1 - 0Bodø
HMonaco0 - 0Spurs
HMonaco2 - 2Man City
AMonaco1 - 4Brugge
AMonaco3 - 3Benfica
HMonaco0 - 1Benfica
AMonaco0 - 3Inter
HMonaco1 - 0A Villa
AMonaco0 - 3Arsenal
HMonaco2 - 3Benfica
AMonaco1 - 0Bologna
HMonaco5 - 1Red Star Bel.
AMonaco2 - 2D. Zagreb
HMonaco2 - 1Barcelona
HMonaco2 - 3Leverkusen
AMonaco3 - 2Leverkusen
PSG 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
D
2
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Double Chance
S. Lisbon2 - 1PSG
A.Bilbao0 - 0PSG
Leverkusen2 - 7PSG
Barcelona1 - 2PSG
Arsenal0 - 1PSG
A Villa3 - 2PSG
Liverpool0 - 1PSG
Brest0 - 3PSG
Stuttgart1 - 4PSG
Salzburg0 - 3PSG
Bayern1 - 0PSG
Arsenal2 - 0PSG
Dortmund1 - 0PSG
Barcelona1 - 4PSG
R.Sociedad1 - 2PSG
Dortmund1 - 1PSG
Milan2 - 1PSG
Newcastle4 - 1PSG
Bayern2 - 0PSG
Juventus1 - 2PSG
Goals: Scored
56
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
OVERALL FORM Double Chance
HPSG1 - 1Newcastle
APSG1 - 2S. Lisbon
APSG0 - 0A.Bilbao
HPSG5 - 3Spurs
HPSG1 - 2Bayern
APSG7 - 2Leverkusen
APSG2 - 1Barcelona
HPSG4 - 0Atalanta
HPSG5 - 0Inter
HPSG2 - 1Arsenal
APSG1 - 0Arsenal
APSG2 - 3A Villa
HPSG3 - 1A Villa
APSG1 - 0Liverpool
HPSG0 - 1Liverpool
HPSG7 - 0Brest
APSG3 - 0Brest
APSG4 - 1Stuttgart
HPSG4 - 2Man City
APSG3 - 0Salzburg
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.2 is decent for Paris Saint-Germain in their meeting with Monaco, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 40 consecutive Champions League games.

Monaco 19th PSG 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
2.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Monaco will score no more than 1 goal
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
18%
There is a 64% probability that PSG will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-17
Monaco have scored 17% fewer goals at home than predicted
+2
PSG’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season
Monaco
PG (predicted goals)
PSG
1.1
2.2
Attack rating
MCO
PSG
33%
better
view stats
Games scored14
17
Failed to score6
3
Scored first9
14
Goals scored25
46
Avg. goals scored1.3
2.3
Avg. shots per game10
14
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate for12
16
Avg. XG for1.8
2
KickOff rating
+33%
Defence rating
MCO
PSG
14%
better
view stats
Games conceded12
12
Clean sheets8
8
Conceded first8
5
Goals conceded30
19
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1
Avg. shots/game conceded10
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against15%
15%
Avg. XG against1.5
0.9
KickOff rating
+14%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Monaco v PSG will show here when available.

Monaco Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8322
F BalogunF BalogunM AklioucheT Kehrer
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Kehrer DEF8
2
-
F Balogun FWD83
-
M Akliouche FWD82
-
J Teze DEF72
-
C Henrique DEF7
-
K Ouattara DEF7
1
-
M. Coulibaly MID7
1
-
P Köhn GLK6
-
Vanderson DEF6
-
A Golovin MID6
2
-
M Biereth  FWD6
1
-
M Salisu DEF5
2
-
A Fati FWD51
-
T Minamino FWD511
-
L Camara MID4
2
-
D Zakaria MID4
1
-
E Dier DEF31
-
A. Bamba MID3
-
L Hradecky GLK2
-
C Mawissa DEF2
1
-
K Diatta FWD21
1
-
S. Idumbo Muzambo MID1
-
PSG Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8532
N Mendes VitinhaK KvaratskheliaN Mendes 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Mendes  DEF822
2
-
W Pacho DEF82
-
W Zaïre-Emery MID8
1
-
Vitinha MID851
-
B Barcola FWD82
-
S. Mayulu MID71
-
G Ramos FWD72
-
K Kvaratskhelia FWD733
1
-
L Chevalier GLK6
-
Marquinhos DEF61
-
I Zabarnyi  DEF6
1
1
F Ruiz MID611
-
A Hakimi DEF53
1
-
J Neves MID511
-
O Dembélé FWD511
-
K Lee FWD51
-
D Doué FWD42
-
I. Mbaye FWD4
-
L Hernández  DEF3
1
Q. Ndjantou Mbitcha FWD31
-
M Safonov GLK2
-