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Napoli v Chelsea : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

San Paolo, Castelvolturno

Liam Rosenior leads his Chelsea side to the San Paolo in the Champions League on Wednesday night, with Antonio Conte's Napoli their challengers. This preview has odds from leading bookmakers for 17 different betting markets, alongside supporting data that changes as you go between markets. Our predictions run off 20-game form, so all statistics are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home vs away and overall records can be explored, while you'll also find head to head (H2H) history later on in the preview.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Champions League Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Napoli's next match is v Roma at 19:45 on Sunday 15th February
Chelsea's next match is v Leeds at 19:30 on Tuesday 10th February
The last European Champions League meeting between Napoli and Chelsea was on Wednesday 28th January 2026
European Champions League
January 28th 2026
Napoli 2
3 Chelsea
 
A. Vergara 33'19' E. Fernández
R. Højlund 43'61' J. Junqueira de Jesus
82' J. Junqueira de Jesus
 
NAP
CHE
Shots On
5
5
Shots Off
2
3
Corners
4
1
Possession
46%
54%
Fouls
15
15
Yellow/red cards
2/0
1/0
 
NapoliChelsea
 
A. Meret
A. Buongiorno
J. Nunes Jesus (M. Gutiérrez Ortega 67')
M. Olivera Miramontes
S. McTominay
R. Højlundfootball icon
G. Di Lorenzo
E. Elmas (R. Lukaku Menama 82')
L. Spinazzola (S. Beukema 82')
A. Vergarafootball icon
S. Lobotka
R. Lynch Sanchez
M. Cucurella
football iconE. Fernández
(J. Bynoe-Gittens 59') A. Nascimento dos Santos
(C. Palmer 46') P. Lomba Neto
football iconfootball iconJ. Junqueira de Jesus
R. James
(T. Chalobah 59') M. Gusto
W. Fofana
M. Caicedo Corozo
(A. Garnacho 74') E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead are tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Napoli and Chelsea will score a minimum of 2 between them during 90 mins. This is based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 78%. Bookies have it available at 1.15.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Napoli are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.62.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Napoli
31%
21/10
4%
33/1
1%
Draw
24%
13/59/2
5%
Chelsea
44%
6/5
3%
2/11
4%
Draw 1-1
11%
11/219/5
13%
Chelsea 2-1
9%
8/1
5%
4/1
Chelsea 1-0
9%
8/1
6%
11/2
25%
Napoli 2-1
7%
10/19/4
5%
Napoli 1-0
7%
10/1
5%
8/1
29%
Chelsea 2-0
7%
10/1
8%
5/1
20%
Draw 2-2
6%
12/121/20
26%
Draw 0-0
5%
11/17/1
33%
Chelsea 3-1
5%
16/1
11%
8/1
13%
Napoli 2-0
5%
16/1
13%
14/1
20%
Chelsea 3-0
4%
20/1
13%
8/1
Napoli 3-1
3%
22/19/2
13%
Chelsea 3-2
3%
22/11/2
24%
Napoli 3-2
3%
28/117/4
35%
Napoli 3-0
2%
33/1
10%
28/1
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
4/5
14%
1/6
22%
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
1/1
13%
19/5
24%
Home 1st Goal
47%
11/10
5%
11/8
5%
Away 1st Goal
50%
4/5
4%
4/5
3%
No 1st Goal
3%
11/113/2
27%
BTTS - Yes
58%
4/611/20
16%
BTTS - No
42%
11/105/4
20%
BTTS - Home Win
17%
9/2
9%
25/1
21%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/317/4
5%
BTTS - Away Win
23%
3/1
6%
2/13
20%
Home/draw
56%
4/6
2%
19/5
Away/draw
69%
4/11
7%
1/1000
1%
Home/away
76%
2/72/15
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/41/10
10%
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
3/111/2
28%
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
2/13/10
40%
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
2/511/5
17%
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
9/23/4
60%
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/71/1
10%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
10/129/20
69%
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/201/2
6%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/251/14
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
11/113/2
33%
Home DNB
48%
5/4
9%
22/1
Away DNB
61%
4/7
6%
1/1000
Napoli win to nil
15%
5/1
10%
-
Chelsea win to nil
22%
3/1
4%
-
Napoli / Napoli
16%
4/1
4%
8/13
5%
Napoli / Chelsea
4%
22/111/2
11%
Napoli / Draw
6%
12/113/5
Draw / Napoli
11%
6/125/1
8%
Draw / Chelsea
15%
9/220/1
8%
Draw / Draw
15%
9/222/1
17%
Chelsea / Napoli
3%
28/133/1
11%
Chelsea / Chelsea
24%
5/270/1
4%
Chelsea / Draw
6%
12/1100/1
9%
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Win / draw / win Champions League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Napoli
Chelsea
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal88001924 
-
-
-
-
2
Bayern87011421 
-
-
-
l
 
3-1A
3
Liverpool86021218 
-
-
-
-
4
Spurs85211017 
-
-
-
-
5
Barcelona8512816 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
-
6
Chelsea8512716 
l
 
2-3A
-
-
-
7
S. Lisbon8512616 
w
 
2-1F
-
-
-
8
Man City8512616 
-
l
 
2-0A
-
-
9
Real Madrid8503915 
-
-
-
-
10
Inter8503815 
-
-
-
-
11
PSG84221014 
-
-
-
-
12
Newcastle84221014 
-
-
-
-
13
Juventus8341413 
-
-
-
-
14
A.Madrid8413213 
-
-
-
-
15
Atalanta8413013 
-
-
-
l
 
2-1F
16
Leverkusen8332-112 
-
-
-
-
17
Dortmund8323211 
-
-
-
-
18
Olympiakos8323-411 
-
-
-
-
19
Brugge8314-210 
-
-
-
-
20
Galatasaray8314-210 
-
-
-
-
21
Monaco8242-610 
-
-
-
-
22
Qarabag8314-810 
w
 
2-0F
-
-
d
 
2-2F
23
Bodø8233-19 
-
-
-
-
24
Benfica8305-29 
-
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
-
25
Marseille8305-39 
-
-
-
-
26
Paphos8233-39 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
-
27
Union SG8305-99 
-
-
-
-
28
PSV822408 
-
l
 
6-2F
-
-
29
A.Bilbao8224-58 
-
-
-
-
30
Napoli8224-68 
-
-
-
w
 
2-3F
31
Kobenhavn8224-98 
-
d
 
1-1F
-
-
32
Ajax8206-136 
-
-
w
 
5-1F
-
33
E.Frankfurt8116-114 
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
-
34
Slavia8035-143 
-
-
-
-
35
Villarreal8017-131 
-
-
-
-
36
Kairat Almaty8017-151 
-
-
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
Napoli 23RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Napoli2 - 0Qarabag
Napoli0 - 0E.Frankfurt
Napoli2 - 1S. Lisbon
Napoli1 - 1Barcelona
Napoli2 - 0Braga
Napoli1 - 1Union Berlin
Napoli2 - 3Real Madrid
Napoli1 - 1Milan
Napoli3 - 0E.Frankfurt
Napoli3 - 0Rangers
Napoli4 - 2Ajax
Napoli4 - 1Liverpool
Napoli2 - 4Barcelona
Napoli3 - 2Leicester
Napoli3 - 0L. Warsaw
Napoli2 - 3Spartak M
Napoli2 - 1Granada
Napoli1 - 1R.Sociedad
Napoli2 - 0Rijeka
Napoli0 - 1AZ Alkmaar
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANapoli1 - 1Kobenhavn
ANapoli0 - 2Benfica
HNapoli2 - 0Qarabag
HNapoli0 - 0E.Frankfurt
ANapoli2 - 6PSV
HNapoli2 - 1S. Lisbon
ANapoli0 - 2Man City
ANapoli1 - 3Barcelona
HNapoli1 - 1Barcelona
HNapoli2 - 0Braga
ANapoli2 - 4Real Madrid
HNapoli1 - 1Union Berlin
ANapoli1 - 0Union Berlin
HNapoli2 - 3Real Madrid
ANapoli2 - 1Braga
HNapoli1 - 1Milan
ANapoli0 - 1Milan
HNapoli3 - 0E.Frankfurt
ANapoli2 - 0E.Frankfurt
ANapoli0 - 0Liverpool
Chelsea 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
2
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Atalanta2 - 1Chelsea
Qarabag2 - 2Chelsea
Bayern3 - 1Chelsea
Real Betis1 - 4Chelsea
Djurgårdens1 - 4Chelsea
L. Warsaw0 - 3Chelsea
Kobenhavn1 - 2Chelsea
Astana1 - 3Chelsea
Heidenheim0 - 2Chelsea
Panathinaikos1 - 4Chelsea
Servette2 - 1Chelsea
Real Madrid2 - 0Chelsea
Dortmund1 - 0Chelsea
Salzburg1 - 2Chelsea
Milan0 - 2Chelsea
D. Zagreb1 - 0Chelsea
Real Madrid1 - 3Chelsea
Lille1 - 2Chelsea
Zenit3 - 3Chelsea
Malmö0 - 1Chelsea
Goals: Scored
56
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
16
D
1
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HChelsea1 - 0Paphos
AChelsea1 - 2Atalanta
HChelsea3 - 0Barcelona
AChelsea2 - 2Qarabag
HChelsea5 - 1Ajax
HChelsea1 - 0Benfica
AChelsea1 - 3Bayern
AChelsea4 - 1Real Betis
HChelsea1 - 0Djurgårdens
AChelsea4 - 1Djurgårdens
HChelsea1 - 2L. Warsaw
AChelsea3 - 0L. Warsaw
HChelsea1 - 0Kobenhavn
AChelsea2 - 1Kobenhavn
HChelsea5 - 1Shamrock
AChelsea3 - 1Astana
AChelsea2 - 0Heidenheim
HChelsea8 - 0Noah
AChelsea4 - 1Panathinaikos
HChelsea4 - 2Gent
Goal Statistics

Chelsea have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 22 consecutive Champions League games. Their PG of 1.6 against Napoli on Wednesday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Napoli 23rd Chelsea 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Napoli will score no more than 1 goal
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Chelsea will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-4
Napoli’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+10
Chelsea’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.0
average goals scored
2.0
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season
Napoli
PG (predicted goals)
Chelsea
1.3
1.6
Attack rating
NAP
CHE
35%
better
view stats
Games scored13
19
Failed to score7
1
Scored first11
13
Goals scored23
38
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.9
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate for13
18
Avg. XG for1.5
2
KickOff rating
+35%
Defence rating
15%
better
NAP
CHE
view stats
Games conceded11
13
Clean sheets9
7
Conceded first6
6
Goals conceded17
23
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against12%
14%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.4
KickOff rating
+15%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Napoli v Chelsea will show here when available.

Napoli Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8422
S McTominayS McTominayM OliveraG Lorenzo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Meret GLK1
-
G Lorenzo DEF7
1
1
A Buongiorno DEF7
-
J Jesus DEF7
1
-
L Spinazzola MID61
1
-
S Lobotka MID6
-
S McTominay MID84
-
M Olivera MID62
-
A Vergara FWD41
1
-
E Elmas FWD71
1
-
R Höjlund FWD73
1
-
Subs
N Contini GLK
-
D. Spinelli GLK
-
M Gutiérrez DEF5
1
-
S Beukema DEF6
-
C. Garofalo DEF
-
E. De Chiara MID
-
R Lukaku  FWD1
-
Chelsea Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7322
M CaicedoE. Almeida de Oliveira GonçalvesR James A Santos
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Sánchez GLK7
-
M Gusto DEF61
1
-
R James  DEF72
1
-
W Fofana DEF51
1
-
M Cucurella  DEF7
-
A Santos MID52
2
-
M Caicedo MID82
1
-
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves MID73
1
-
E Fernández MID821
2
-
P Neto MID6
1
-
J Pedro  FWD63
1
1
Subs
F Jörgensen GLK2
-
M. Merrick GLK
-
B Badiashile  DEF4
-
J Hato DEF3
-
T Chalobah DEF6
1
-
J. Acheampong DEF4
-
C Palmer MID212
-
L Delap FWD31
-
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD71
1
-
T. George FWD41
-
M Guiu FWD11
-
A Garnacho FWD71
-