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Napoli v FK Qarabag : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 25th Nov, 20:00 BST, San Paolo, Castelvolturno

Napoli and their boss Antonio Conte will be looking to get one over on Qurban Qurbanov and his FK Qarabag side on Tuesday night, as the pair clash at the San Paolo in the Champions League. Our aim is to give you all the tools you need to make a smart, well-informed bet on this tie, so we've sifted through our 20+ year database and pulled out the stats that matter the most. Head-to-head and recent form is included, and these are used to generate our predictions. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are there to get you maximum bang for your buck.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Napoli to win

As the stadium fills and the Napoli players ready themselves for this game, the bookmakers are predicting success for them. The odds and our pre-match statistics below point in that direction too, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) data we take advantage of in our predictive algorithms. The San Paolo has not been a successful away day for Qarabag in the past, and we we think that will be the case again on Tuesday night. A win / draw / win home win is the bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Napoli are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 74% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Napoli
74%
1.29
3%
1.30
1%
Draw
16%
5.755.75
4%
Qarabag
10%
9.00
18%
9.50
5%
Napoli 2-0
12%
7.00
8%
6.50
Napoli 3-0
10%
8.008.00
Napoli 1-0
10%
8.00
6%
7.50
Napoli 2-1
9%
9.008.00
6%
Napoli 3-1
8%
11.0010.00
Draw 1-1
7%
11.0010.00
Napoli 4-0
6%
13.00
8%
12.00
9%
Napoli 4-1
5%
17.0015.00
Draw 0-0
4%
17.0015.00
Draw 2-2
4%
21.00
9%
19.00
Qarabag 1-0
3%
23.00
12%
19.00
10%
Napoli 3-2
3%
26.0019.00
10%
Napoli 5-0
3%
23.00
10%
19.00
Qarabag 2-1
3%
26.00
10%
21.00
9%
Napoli 5-1
2%
29.0023.00
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
1.531.53
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
2.502.38
1%
Home 1st Goal
61%
1.30
1%
1.29
Away 1st Goal
36%
3.40
6%
3.90
3%
No 1st Goal
2%
17.0013.00
BTTS - Yes
50%
1.95
3%
1.95
3%
BTTS - No
50%
1.80
3%
1.80
3%
BTTS - Home Win
33%
2.882.80
BTTS - Draw
12%
7.00
7%
6.50
7%
BTTS - Away Win
5%
15.00
12%
13.00
13%
Home/draw
90%
1.07
2%
1.06
1%
Away/draw
26%
3.50
7%
3.50
3%
Home/away
84%
1.141.13
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
1.171.17
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
5.004.60
Over 3.5 Goals
41%
2.38
3%
2.30
Under 3.5 Goals
59%
1.57
3%
1.55
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
23%
4.003.90
3%
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
1.251.22
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
8.00
14%
7.00
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1.08
2%
1.08
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.031.02
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
17.0013.00
Home DNB
85%
1.08
1%
1.07
Away DNB
21%
8.00
11%
7.00
7%
Napoli win to nil
42%
2.10
5%
-
Qarabag win to nil
5%
17.00
11%
-
Napoli / Napoli
45%
1.80
4%
1.83
2%
Napoli / Qarabag
2%
51.0041.00
Napoli / Draw
4%
19.0017.00
Draw / Napoli
20%
4.003.90
Draw / Qarabag
4%
21.0015.00
12%
Draw / Draw
10%
8.507.50
6%
Qarabag / Napoli
4%
19.0017.00
Qarabag / Qarabag
5%
17.00
11%
13.00
Qarabag / Draw
4%
21.0017.00
11%
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Win / draw / win Champions League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Napoli
Qarabag
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern44001112 
-
-
-
-
2
Arsenal44001112 
-
-
-
-
3
Inter44001012 
-
-
-
-
4
Man City4310710 
-
l
 
2-0A
-
-
5
PSG430199 
-
-
-
-
6
Newcastle430189 
-
-
-
-
7
Real Madrid430169 
-
-
-
-
8
Liverpool430159 
-
-
-
Jan 28
9
Galatasaray430129 
-
-
-
-
10
Spurs422058 
-
-
-
-
11
Barcelona421157 
-
-
-
-
12
Chelsea421137 
Jan 28
-
d
 
2-2A
-
13
S. Lisbon421137 
w
 
2-1F
-
-
-
14
Dortmund421127 
-
-
-
-
15
Qarabag421117 
Nov 25
-
-
-
16
Atalanta4211-27 
-
-
-
-
17
A.Madrid420216 
-
-
-
-
18
PSV412125 
-
l
 
6-2F
-
-
19
Monaco4121-25 
-
-
-
-
20
Paphos4121-35 
-
-
-
-
21
Leverkusen4121-45 
-
-
-
-
22
Brugge4112-24 
-
-
-
-
23
E.Frankfurt4112-44 
d
 
0-00-0
-
Jan 21
-
24
Napoli4112-54 
-
-
-
Nov 25
25
Marseille410313 
-
-
-
-
26
Juventus4031-13 
-
-
-
-
27
A.Bilbao4103-53 
-
-
-
l
 
3-1F
28
Union SG4103-83 
-
-
-
-
29
Bodø4022-32 
-
-
-
-
30
Slavia4022-62 
-
-
-
-
31
Olympiakos4022-72 
-
-
-
-
32
Villarreal4013-41 
-
-
-
-
33
Kobenhavn4013-81 
-
Jan 20
w
 
2-0F
-
34
Kairat Almaty4013-91 
-
-
-
-
35
Benfica4004-60 
-
Dec 10
-
w
 
2-3A
36
Ajax4004-130 
-
-
Dec 10
-
37
Shelbourne 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
38
Skendija 79 
-
-
w
 
5-1A
w
 
0-1F
39
Ferencvaros 
-
-
l
 
2-3A
w
 
1-3A
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
5
Napoli have not lost in 5 consecutive home european games
Napoli 24TH
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Napoli0 - 0E.Frankfurt
Napoli2 - 1S. Lisbon
Napoli1 - 1Barcelona
Napoli2 - 0Braga
Napoli1 - 1Union Berlin
Napoli2 - 3Real Madrid
Napoli1 - 1Milan
Napoli3 - 0E.Frankfurt
Napoli3 - 0Rangers
Napoli4 - 2Ajax
Napoli4 - 1Liverpool
Napoli2 - 4Barcelona
Napoli3 - 2Leicester
Napoli3 - 0L. Warsaw
Napoli2 - 3Spartak M
Napoli2 - 1Granada
Napoli1 - 1R.Sociedad
Napoli2 - 0Rijeka
Napoli0 - 1AZ Alkmaar
Napoli1 - 1Barcelona
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNapoli0 - 0E.Frankfurt
ANapoli2 - 6PSV
HNapoli2 - 1S. Lisbon
ANapoli0 - 2Man City
ANapoli1 - 3Barcelona
HNapoli1 - 1Barcelona
HNapoli2 - 0Braga
ANapoli2 - 4Real Madrid
HNapoli1 - 1Union Berlin
ANapoli1 - 0Union Berlin
HNapoli2 - 3Real Madrid
ANapoli2 - 1Braga
HNapoli1 - 1Milan
ANapoli0 - 1Milan
HNapoli3 - 0E.Frankfurt
ANapoli2 - 0E.Frankfurt
ANapoli0 - 0Liverpool
HNapoli3 - 0Rangers
HNapoli4 - 2Ajax
ANapoli6 - 1Ajax
Qarabag 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
1
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
A.Bilbao3 - 1Qarabag
Benfica2 - 3Qarabag
Ferencvaros1 - 3Qarabag
Skendija 790 - 1Qarabag
Shelbourne0 - 3Qarabag
Olympiakos3 - 0Qarabag
Elfsborg1 - 0Qarabag
Bodø1 - 2Qarabag
Spurs3 - 0Qarabag
D. Zagreb3 - 0Qarabag
Ludogorets2 - 3Qarabag
Lincoln Red Imps0 - 2Qarabag
Leverkusen3 - 2Qarabag
Braga2 - 4Qarabag
Molde2 - 2Qarabag
Leverkusen5 - 1Qarabag
Häcken0 - 1Qarabag
Olimpija0 - 2Qarabag
HJK Helsinki1 - 2Qarabag
Rakow3 - 2Qarabag
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
D
1
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HQarabag2 - 2Chelsea
AQarabag1 - 3A.Bilbao
HQarabag2 - 0Kobenhavn
AQarabag3 - 2Benfica
HQarabag2 - 3Ferencvaros
AQarabag3 - 1Ferencvaros
HQarabag5 - 1Skendija 79
AQarabag1 - 0Skendija 79
HQarabag1 - 0Shelbourne
AQarabag3 - 0Shelbourne
AQarabag0 - 3Olympiakos
HQarabag2 - 3FCSB
AQarabag0 - 1Elfsborg
HQarabag1 - 4Lyon
AQarabag2 - 1Bodø
HQarabag0 - 3Ajax
HQarabag1 - 2Malmö
AQarabag0 - 3Spurs
HQarabag0 - 2D. Zagreb
AQarabag0 - 3D. Zagreb
Goal Statistics
Napoli 24th Qarabag 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.5
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
24%
There is a 71% probability that Napoli will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of Qarabag scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-3
Napoli’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+35
Qarabag have scored 35% more goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season
Napoli
PG (predicted goals)
Qarabag
2.5
0.8
Attack rating
2%
better
NAP
FKQ
view stats
Games scored14
14
Failed to score6
6
Scored first12
8
Goals scored27
29
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.5
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
15
Avg. XG for1.5
1.3
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
35%
better
NAP
FKQ
view stats
Games conceded11
16
Clean sheets9
4
Conceded first5
12
Goals conceded21
37
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded8
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
17%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.8
KickOff rating
+35%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Napoli v Qarabag will show here when available.

Napoli Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4221
V Milinković-SavićS McTominayK BruyneM Politano
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Milinković-Savić GLK4
-
F Anguissa MID4
-
S McTominay MID42
-
D Neres  FWD41
-
M Politano FWD4
1
-
S Beukema DEF3
-
A Buongiorno DEF3
-
G Lorenzo DEF3
1
L Spinazzola DEF31
1
-
J Jesus DEF3
-
M Gutiérrez DEF3
1
-
E Elmas MID3
-
K Bruyne MID32
-
S Lobotka MID3
-
B Gilmour MID3
-
R Höjlund FWD32
-
N Lang FWD3
-
M Olivera DEF2
-
L Lucca FWD2
1
A Rrahmani DEF1
1
-
Qarabag Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10634
M SilvaL AndradeA ZoubirM Silva
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Cafarquliyev DEF101
-
M Silva DEF10
4
-
B Mustafazada DEF101
-
P Bicalho MID101
1
-
K Borges  MID1012
1
-
L Andrade FWD1062
-
A Zoubir FWD1023
-
M Kochalski GLK9
1
-
K Medina  DEF91
3
-
N Akhundzade FWD922
2
-
E Addai FWD91
-
M Jankovic MID731
-
M Qurbanly FWD71
-
O Kashchuk FWD72
1
-
Chriso MID6
-
D Bolt DEF5
1
-
C. Durán Marquez FWD411
-
F Buntic GLK1
-
S Mmaee DEF1
-
A Hüseynov  DEF1
-