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Paphos v Monaco : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 26th Nov, 17:45 BST, Alphamega Stadium, Limassol

It's a long trek for Sébastien Pocognoli's Monaco side on Wednesday evening, as they visit the Alphamega Stadium for a Champions League showdown with Juan Carlos Carcedo Mardones's Paphos. For every Champions League match preview, KickOff dives into the stats for multiple markets. Meaningful stats, including head-to-head results, are then brought forward alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Monaco to win

Absolutely no club, players or staff in the Champions League wants to lose in front of their home fans, but the stats below suggest that is set to be Paphos's fate as they go head-to-head with Monaco at Alphamega Stadium on Wednesday evening. The UK's top bookmakers agree, making an away win the most likely outcome at odds of 1.60, and so does our predictive algorithm. We've calculated the away win in the win / draw / win market has a 60% probability, making it a clear bet of the day here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 60% chance of Monaco coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Paphos
19%
5.50
10%
4.80
Draw
21%
3.904.20
Monaco
60%
1.60
3%
1.62
Monaco 2-1
10%
8.508.00
Draw 1-1
10%
7.50
6%
8.00
Monaco 2-0
9%
9.00
5%
8.50
Monaco 1-0
9%
8.50
15%
8.00
Monaco 3-1
7%
12.0011.00
Monaco 3-0
6%
13.0012.00
Draw 2-2
5%
13.0013.00
Paphos 2-1
5%
17.0013.00
Paphos 1-0
5%
17.00
11%
13.00
Draw 0-0
4%
15.00
12%
13.00
Monaco 3-2
4%
21.00
11%
17.00
Monaco 4-1
4%
21.0017.00
Monaco 4-0
3%
23.0019.00
Paphos 2-0
2%
29.0021.00
Monaco 4-2
2%
34.0026.00
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
1.62
3%
1.60
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
2.30
3%
2.25
Home 1st Goal
42%
2.60
4%
2.75
Away 1st Goal
56%
1.50
2%
1.50
No 1st Goal
3%
15.00
12%
12.00
BTTS - Yes
58%
1.67
6%
1.67
BTTS - No
42%
2.10
7%
2.10
BTTS - Home Win
11%
9.00
13%
7.50
BTTS - Draw
16%
4.755.00
BTTS - Away Win
31%
3.10
3%
3.00
Home/draw
40%
2.30
5%
2.25
Away/draw
81%
1.14
3%
1.17
Home/away
79%
1.251.22
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1.20
3%
1.18
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
4.50
10%
4.33
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
2.50
9%
2.45
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
1.53
6%
1.50
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
4.50
13%
4.20
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1.20
4%
1.20
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
8.00
14%
8.00
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1.08
2%
1.06
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.031.02
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
15.00
12%
12.00
Home DNB
33%
4.00
7%
3.60
Away DNB
75%
1.22
2%
1.25
Paphos win to nil
8%
11.00-
Monaco win to nil
30%
3.00
8%
-
Paphos / Paphos
10%
8.50
6%
7.00
Paphos / Monaco
4%
19.0017.00
Paphos / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / Paphos
8%
11.009.50
Draw / Monaco
18%
4.50
5%
4.40
Draw / Draw
13%
6.50
7%
6.00
Monaco / Paphos
3%
34.0029.00
Monaco / Monaco
33%
2.40
4%
2.40
Monaco / Draw
6%
15.00
15%
13.00
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Win / draw / win Champions League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Paphos
Monaco
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern44001112 
l
 
1-5A
-
-
-
2
Arsenal44001112 
-
-
-
-
3
Inter44001012 
-
-
-
-
4
Man City4310710 
-
-
d
 
2-2A
-
5
PSG430199 
-
-
-
-
6
Newcastle430189 
-
-
-
-
7
Real Madrid430169 
-
-
-
Jan 20
8
Liverpool430159 
-
-
-
-
9
Galatasaray430129 
-
-
Dec 9
-
10
Spurs422058 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
-
11
Barcelona421157 
-
-
-
-
12
Chelsea421137 
-
Jan 21
-
-
13
S. Lisbon421137 
-
-
-
-
14
Dortmund421127 
-
-
-
-
15
Qarabag421117 
-
-
-
-
16
Atalanta4211-27 
-
-
-
-
17
A.Madrid420216 
-
-
-
-
18
PSV412125 
-
-
-
-
19
Monaco4121-25 
Nov 26
-
-
-
20
Paphos4121-35 
-
-
-
Nov 26
21
Leverkusen4121-45 
-
-
-
-
22
Brugge4112-24 
-
-
-
l
 
4-1A
23
E.Frankfurt4112-44 
-
-
-
-
24
Napoli4112-54 
-
-
-
-
25
Marseille410313 
-
-
-
-
26
Juventus4031-13 
-
Dec 10
Jan 28
-
27
A.Bilbao4103-53 
-
-
-
-
28
Union SG4103-83 
-
-
-
-
29
Bodø4022-32 
-
-
-
w
 
0-1F
30
Slavia4022-62 
Jan 28
-
-
-
31
Olympiakos4022-72 
-
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
32
Villarreal4013-41 
w
 
1-0F
-
-
-
33
Kobenhavn4013-81 
-
-
-
-
34
Kairat Almaty4013-91 
-
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
35
Benfica4004-60 
-
-
-
-
36
Ajax4004-130 
-
-
-
-
37
M. Tel-Aviv 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
-
-
38
Dynamo Kyiv 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
-
-
39
Red Star Bel. 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2F
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
Paphos 20TH
14 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
13 / 14
Conceded
6 / 14
Clean sheets
8 / 14
Failed to score
1 / 14
Won
9
D
2
Lost
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Paphos1 - 0Villarreal
Paphos1 - 5Bayern
Paphos1 - 1Red Star Bel.
Paphos2 - 0Dynamo Kyiv
Paphos1 - 1M. Tel-Aviv
Paphos1 - 0Djurgårdens
Paphos2 - 1Omnia Nicosia
Paphos2 - 0Celje
Paphos1 - 0Astana
Paphos0 - 1Heidenheim
Paphos3 - 0CFR Cluj
Paphos1 - 0CSKA 1948 Sofia
Paphos1 - 0VMFD Zalgiris
Paphos2 - 5Elfsborg
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPaphos1 - 0Villarreal
APaphos0 - 0Kairat Almaty
HPaphos1 - 5Bayern
APaphos0 - 0Olympiakos
HPaphos1 - 1Red Star Bel.
APaphos2 - 1Red Star Bel.
HPaphos2 - 0Dynamo Kyiv
APaphos1 - 0Dynamo Kyiv
APaphos1 - 0M. Tel-Aviv
HPaphos1 - 1M. Tel-Aviv
APaphos0 - 3Djurgårdens
HPaphos1 - 0Djurgårdens
HPaphos2 - 1Omnia Nicosia
APaphos1 - 1Omnia Nicosia
APaphos2 - 2FC Lugano
HPaphos2 - 0Celje
APaphos2 - 3Fiorentina
HPaphos1 - 0Astana
HPaphos0 - 1Heidenheim
APaphos4 - 1Petrocub
Monaco 19TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bodø0 - 1Monaco
Brugge4 - 1Monaco
Benfica3 - 3Monaco
Inter3 - 0Monaco
Arsenal3 - 0Monaco
Bologna0 - 1Monaco
D. Zagreb2 - 2Monaco
Leverkusen2 - 3Monaco
Ferencvaros1 - 1Monaco
Trabzonspor4 - 0Monaco
Red Star Bel.0 - 1Monaco
PSV2 - 2Monaco
Braga2 - 0Monaco
Sturm Graz1 - 1Monaco
PSV1 - 2Monaco
R.Sociedad1 - 1Monaco
Shakhtar1 - 2Monaco
Sparta0 - 2Monaco
A.Madrid2 - 0Monaco
Brugge1 - 1Monaco
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMonaco1 - 0Bodø
HMonaco0 - 0Spurs
HMonaco2 - 2Man City
AMonaco1 - 4Brugge
AMonaco3 - 3Benfica
HMonaco0 - 1Benfica
AMonaco0 - 3Inter
HMonaco1 - 0A Villa
AMonaco0 - 3Arsenal
HMonaco2 - 3Benfica
AMonaco1 - 0Bologna
HMonaco5 - 1Red Star Bel.
AMonaco2 - 2D. Zagreb
HMonaco2 - 1Barcelona
HMonaco2 - 3Leverkusen
AMonaco3 - 2Leverkusen
HMonaco4 - 1Red Star Bel.
AMonaco1 - 1Ferencvaros
AMonaco0 - 4Trabzonspor
HMonaco3 - 1Trabzonspor
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Paphos of late. It has been 5 Champions League matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Wednesday evening against Monaco.

A PG of 2.1 is decent for Monaco in their meeting with Paphos, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 16 consecutive Champions League games.

Paphos 20th Monaco 19th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
2.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Paphos will score no more than 1 goal
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
16%
There is a 61% probability that Monaco will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
14 home / away league games
-18
Paphos have scored 18% fewer goals at home than predicted
-17
Monaco have scored 17% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season
Paphos
PG (predicted goals)
Monaco
1.1
2.1
Attack rating
%
better
MCO
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
MCO
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Paphos v Monaco will show here when available.

Paphos Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10213
N MichaelM OrsicP PêpêB Felipe
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Michael GLK10
-
D Goldar DEF10
1
-
K Pileas DEF10
-
D Luckassen DEF101
2
-
V Dragomir MID10
-
P Pêpê MID1011
2
-
I Sunjic MID10
1
-
M Orsic FWD1021
1
-
B Felipe DEF91
2
1
Jajá FWD92
2
-
A Silva FWD91
-
K Sema FWD91
-
B Langa DEF8
2
-
J Correia FWD821
2
1
D Quina MID7
3
-
M Bassouamina FWD61
-
D Luiz DEF4
-
L Dimata FWD3
-
P Pedrão DEF1
-
Monaco Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4111
P KöhnF BalogunM AklioucheT Kehrer
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Köhn GLK4
-
T Kehrer DEF4
1
-
K Ouattara DEF4
1
-
M. Coulibaly MID4
1
-
F Balogun FWD41
-
M Akliouche FWD41
-
M Biereth  FWD4
-
J Teze DEF31
-
C Henrique DEF3
-
M Salisu DEF3
1
-
A Fati FWD31
-
T Minamino FWD31
-
E Dier DEF21
-
C Mawissa DEF2
1
-
Vanderson DEF2
-
A Golovin MID2
-
G Ilenikhena FWD2
-
K Diatta FWD21
1
-
S. Idumbo Muzambo MID1
-
L Camara MID1
-
A. Bamba MID1
-