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Paphos v Villarreal : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Alphamega Stadium, Limassol

Wednesday evening sees Juan Carlos Carcedo Mardones’s Paphos and Marcelino Toral’s Villarreal go up against one another in a Champions League clash at the Tsirion Athlítiko Kentro. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, stats for seventeen major betting market have been laid out below, with head to head (H2H) history and particularly important form streaks highlighted. The best odds are provided too.

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Villarreal's next match is v Espanyol at 20:00 on Saturday 8th November

The last European Champions League meeting between Paphos and Villarreal was on Wednesday 5th November 2025

European Champions League

November 5th 2025

Paphos 1	0 Villarreal

D. Luckassen 46'

	VIL
Shots On	2 5
Shots Off	3 9
Corners	2 3
Possession	41% 59%
Fouls	12 13
Yellow/red cards	1/0 2/0

Paphos	Villarreal

D. Moreira Marinho D. Goldar Gómez B. Souza da Silva D. Quina (B. Langa 87') D. Luckassen I. Šunjić V. Dragomir M. Oršić (Jajá 78') P. Figueiredo Rodrigues (A. Oliveira Silva 78') N. Michael K. Sema (K. Pileas 72')	L. Reis Júnior J. Foyth R. Palma Veiga (S. Comesaña Veiga 63') D. Parejo Muñoz (T. Oluwaseyi 56') G. Mikautadze ?. Mouriño González (A. Pedraza Sag 63') S. Cardona Bermúdez P. Gueye N. Pépé (M. Solomon 56') A. Moleiro González (G. Moreno Balaguero 63') A. Pérez Gutiérrez

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Villarreal to win

This one could be one way traffic and, unfortunately for the home side, that way is Villarreal's. We predict Wednesday's visitors to Alphamega Stadium will be coming away victorious, and it's a view backed up by each side's respective recent form stats, head-to-head (H2H) records and the odds from GB's top bookmakers too. They make an away win in the win / draw / win market the most likely outcome, and are willing to give a best price of 1.53.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 65% chance of Villarreal coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Paphos 9%	17/2 24%	1/14 9%
Draw 16%	5/1 16%	17/2 5%
Villarreal 75%	2/7 10%	60/1 4%
Villarreal 2-0 13%	5/1 6%	17/4 7%
Villarreal 1-0 11%	13/2 7%	23/10
Villarreal 3-0 10%	13/2 17%	10/1 5%
Villarreal 2-1 9%	8/1	25/1
Draw 1-1 8%	10/1 13%	17/4
Villarreal 3-1 7%	10/1 15%	90/1
Villarreal 4-0 6%	11/1 17%	22/1 12%
Draw 0-0 4%	14/1 25%	3/1 10%
Villarreal 4-1 4%	18/1 9%	100/1 12%
Draw 2-2 3%	22/1	90/1
Paphos 1-0 3%	20/1 27%	2/9
Villarreal 5-0 3%	22/1 17%	45/1 12%
Paphos 2-1 3%	25/1 27%	40/1 15%
Villarreal 3-2 3%	28/1	100/1
Villarreal 5-1 2%	33/1 20%	125/1 10%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%	8/13 10%	40/1 5%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%	13/10 15%	1/1000 5%
Home 1st Goal 35%	13/5 14%	4/1 3%
Away 1st Goal 63%	3/10 7%	1/2 3%
No 1st Goal 3%	14/1 25%	3/1 10%
BTTS - Yes 46%	11/10	7/1
BTTS - No 54%	4/6	1/16
BTTS - Home Win 5%	16/1 22%	40/1 6%
BTTS - Draw 12%	13/2 10%	17/4 5%
BTTS - Away Win 30%	21/10 12%	25/1 3%
Home/draw 25%	5/2 17%	1/1000 5%
Away/draw 91%	1/14 5%	7/1 2%
Home/away 84%	1/8 3%	1/18 2%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%	1/5 4%	11/2 2%
Under 1.5 Goals 18%	7/2 13%	1/10 11%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%	13/8 12%	125/1 7%
Under 3.5 Goals 62%	1/2 7%	1/1000 6%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%	7/2 18%	80/1 8%
Under 4.5 Goals 80%	1/5 5%	1/1000 3%
Over 5.5 Goals 10%	8/1 18%	100/1 6%
Under 5.5 Goals 90%	1/14 2%	1/1000 1%
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1/33 1%	2/9 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	14/1 25%	3/1 9%
Home DNB 20%	7/1 33%	1/1000 10%
Away DNB 86%	1/12 6%	22/1 2%
Paphos win to nil 5%	16/1 44%	-
Villarreal win to nil 45%	1/1 9%	-
Paphos / Paphos 5%	18/1 29%	22/1 13%
Paphos / Villarreal 4%	20/1 10%	28/1
Paphos / Draw 4%	22/1	28/1
Draw / Paphos 4%	20/1 18%	8/1
Draw / Villarreal 21%	11/4 4%	19/20 3%
Draw / Draw 11%	7/1 17%	5/2 4%
Villarreal / Paphos 2%	50/1 21%	60/1 17%
Villarreal / Villarreal 44%	4/5 16%	9/2 4%
Villarreal / Draw 4%	18/1	28/1 15%

Win / draw / win Champions League table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Paphos Villarreal
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Bayern	4	4	0	0	11	12	l 1-5A	-	-	-
2	Arsenal	4	4	0	0	11	12	-	-	-	-
3	Inter	4	4	0	0	10	12	-	-	-	-
4	Man City	4	3	1	0	7	10	-	-	l 0-2A	-
5	PSG	4	3	0	1	9	9	-	-	-	-
6	Newcastle	4	3	0	1	8	9	-	-	-	-
7	Real Madrid	4	3	0	1	6	9	-	-	-	-
8	Liverpool	4	3	0	1	5	9	-	-	-	-
9	Galatasaray	4	3	0	1	2	9	-	-	-	-
10	Spurs	4	2	2	0	5	8	-	-	-	l 1-0A
11	Barcelona	4	2	1	1	5	7	-	-	-	-
12	Chelsea	4	2	1	1	3	7	-	Jan 21	-	-
13	S. Lisbon	4	2	1	1	3	7	-	-	-	-
14	Dortmund	4	2	1	1	2	7	-	-	-	Nov 25
15	Qarabag	4	2	1	1	1	7	-	-	-	-
16	Atalanta	4	2	1	1	-2	7	-	-	-	-
17	A.Madrid	4	2	0	2	1	6	-	-	-	-
18	PSV	4	1	2	1	2	5	-	-	-	-
19	Monaco	4	1	2	1	-2	5	Nov 26	-	-	-
20	Paphos	4	1	2	1	-3	5	-	-	-	l 1-0A
21	Leverkusen	4	1	2	1	-4	5	-	-	-	Jan 28
22	Brugge	4	1	1	2	-2	4	-	-	-	-
23	E.Frankfurt	4	1	1	2	-4	4	-	-	-	-
24	Napoli	4	1	1	2	-5	4	-	-	-	-
25	Marseille	4	1	0	3	1	3	-	-	-	-
26	Juventus	4	0	3	1	-1	3	-	Dec 10	d 2-2F	-
27	A.Bilbao	4	1	0	3	-5	3	-	-	-	-
28	Union SG	4	1	0	3	-8	3	-	-	-	-
29	Bodø	4	0	2	2	-3	2	-	-	-	-
30	Slavia	4	0	2	2	-6	2	Jan 28	-	-	-
31	Olympiakos	4	0	2	2	-7	2	-	d 0-00-0	-	-
32	Villarreal	4	0	1	3	-4	1	w 1-0F	-	-	-
33	Kobenhavn	4	0	1	3	-8	1	-	-	Dec 10	-
34	Kairat Almaty	4	0	1	3	-9	1	-	d 0-00-0	-	-
35	Benfica	4	0	0	4	-6	0	-	-	-	-
36	Ajax	4	0	0	4	-13	0	-	-	Jan 20	-
37	M. Tel-Aviv							d 1-1F	w 0-1F	-	-
38	Dynamo Kyiv							w 2-0F	w 0-1F	-	-
39	Red Star Bel.							d 1-1A	w 1-2F	-	-

	Next round
	Play Off

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 13

Conceded

6 / 13

Clean sheets

7 / 13

Failed to score

1 / 13

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Paphos	1 - 5	Bayern
Paphos	1 - 1	Red Star Bel.
Paphos	2 - 0	Dynamo Kyiv
Paphos	1 - 1	M. Tel-Aviv
Paphos	1 - 0	Djurgårdens
Paphos	2 - 1	Omnia Nicosia
Paphos	2 - 0	Celje
Paphos	1 - 0	Astana
Paphos	0 - 1	Heidenheim
Paphos	3 - 0	CFR Cluj
Paphos	1 - 0	CSKA 1948 Sofia
Paphos	1 - 0	VMFD Zalgiris
Paphos	2 - 5	Elfsborg

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Paphos	0 - 0	Kairat Almaty
H	Paphos	1 - 5	Bayern
A	Paphos	0 - 0	Olympiakos
H	Paphos	1 - 1	Red Star Bel.
A	Paphos	2 - 1	Red Star Bel.
H	Paphos	2 - 0	Dynamo Kyiv
A	Paphos	1 - 0	Dynamo Kyiv
A	Paphos	1 - 0	M. Tel-Aviv
H	Paphos	1 - 1	M. Tel-Aviv
A	Paphos	0 - 3	Djurgårdens
H	Paphos	1 - 0	Djurgårdens
H	Paphos	2 - 1	Omnia Nicosia
A	Paphos	1 - 1	Omnia Nicosia
A	Paphos	2 - 2	FC Lugano
H	Paphos	2 - 0	Celje
A	Paphos	2 - 3	Fiorentina
H	Paphos	1 - 0	Astana
H	Paphos	0 - 1	Heidenheim
A	Paphos	4 - 1	Petrocub
H	Paphos	3 - 0	CFR Cluj

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Spurs	1 - 0	Villarreal
Marseille	4 - 0	Villarreal
Rennes	2 - 3	Villarreal
M. Haifa	1 - 2	Villarreal
Panathinaikos	2 - 0	Villarreal
Anderlecht	1 - 1	Villarreal
Lech Poznan	3 - 0	Villarreal
Austria Wien	0 - 1	Villarreal
Beer Sheva	1 - 2	Villarreal
Hajduk Split	0 - 2	Villarreal
Liverpool	2 - 0	Villarreal
Bayern	1 - 1	Villarreal
Juventus	0 - 3	Villarreal
Atalanta	2 - 3	Villarreal
Young Boys	1 - 4	Villarreal
Man Utd	2 - 1	Villarreal
Arsenal	0 - 0	Villarreal
D. Zagreb	0 - 1	Villarreal
Dynamo Kyiv	0 - 2	Villarreal
Salzburg	0 - 2	Villarreal

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Villarreal	0 - 2	Man City
H	Villarreal	2 - 2	Juventus
A	Villarreal	0 - 1	Spurs
H	Villarreal	3 - 1	Marseille
A	Villarreal	0 - 4	Marseille
A	Villarreal	3 - 2	Rennes
H	Villarreal	0 - 0	M. Haifa
H	Villarreal	3 - 2	Panathinaikos
A	Villarreal	2 - 1	M. Haifa
H	Villarreal	1 - 0	Rennes
A	Villarreal	0 - 2	Panathinaikos
H	Villarreal	0 - 1	Anderlecht
A	Villarreal	1 - 1	Anderlecht
A	Villarreal	0 - 3	Lech Poznan
H	Villarreal	2 - 2	Beer Sheva
A	Villarreal	1 - 0	Austria Wien
H	Villarreal	5 - 0	Austria Wien
A	Villarreal	2 - 1	Beer Sheva
H	Villarreal	4 - 3	Lech Poznan
A	Villarreal	2 - 0	Hajduk Split

Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.1 is fairly strong for Villarreal in their meeting with Paphos, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 19 consecutive Champions League games.

	Paphos 20th	Villarreal 32nd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	0.7 goals	2.4 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 49% 1 35% 2 12% 3 4+ There is a 84% probability of Paphos scoring 1 goal or less	0 1 22% 2 26% 3 21% 4+ 22% There is a 69% probability that Villarreal will score 2 or more goals in this match

	20 home / away league games
13 home / away league games	-20 Paphos have scored 20% fewer goals at home than predicted	+3 Villarreal’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.4 average goals scored	1.4 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	1.2 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season

VIL

25%

better

view stats

Games scored	16		17
Failed to score	4		3
Scored first	11		15
Goals scored	27		45
Avg. goals scored	1.4		2.3
Avg. shots per game	12		11
Avg. shots per goal	9		5
Conversion rate for	12		21
Avg. XG for	1.5		1.8
KickOff rating		+25%

better

VIL

view stats

Games conceded	11		12
Clean sheets	9		8
Conceded first	7		5
Goals conceded	20		21
Avg. goals conceded	1		1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	9		9
Conversion rate against	11%		12%
Avg. XG against	1.5		1.3
KickOff rating		0%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Paphos v Villarreal will show here when available.

Paphos Champions League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
10	2	1	3
N Michael	M Orsic	B Felipe	B Felipe

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Michael GLK	10			-
B Felipe DEF	9		1	2 1
D Luckassen DEF	10	1		2 -
D Luiz DEF	4			-
K Sema DEF	9		1	-
I Sunjic MID	10			1 -
D Goldar MID	10			1 -
P Pêpê MID	10	1	1	2 -
M Orsic FWD	10	2	1	1 -
V Dragomir FWD	10			-
D Quina FWD	7			3 -
Subs
J Gorter GLK				-
P. Petrou GLK				-
K Pileas DEF	10			-
B Langa DEF	8			2 -
M Bassouamina FWD	6	1		-
L Dimata FWD	3			-
Jajá FWD	9	2		2 -
A Silva FWD	9	1		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	3	1	2
M Orsic	D Luiz	B Felipe	D Luckassen

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Orsic FWD	2	3	1	1
Subs
Jajá FWD	2	3
D Luckassen DEF	1	1		2
P Pêpê MID	1	1	1	2
Subs
M Bassouamina FWD	1
A Silva FWD	1	1
B Felipe DEF		2	1
D Luiz DEF		3
K Sema DEF			1	1
V Dragomir FWD		1
D Quina FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
256	14	29
P Pêpê	B Felipe	D Luckassen

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
P Pêpê MID	256	3	16
D Luckassen DEF	221	5	29
N Michael GLK	213		6
D Goldar MID	187	6	23
I Sunjic MID	175	11	20
M Orsic FWD	126	5	11
B Felipe DEF	112	14	22
V Dragomir FWD	110	4	18
D Luiz DEF	103	4	9
Subs
K Pileas DEF	103	3	11
Jajá FWD	52	5	24
D Quina FWD	51	5	14
K Sema DEF	43	8	16
Subs
B Langa DEF	42	3	6
A Silva FWD	37	2	7
M Bassouamina FWD	19		2
L Dimata FWD	11		3

Villarreal Champions League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
4	1	1	2
S Mouriño	R Veiga	N Pépé	S Mouriño

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Júnior GLK	3			-
S Mouriño DEF	4			2 -
J Foyth DEF	3			-
R Veiga DEF	4	1		2 -
S Cardona DEF	4			-
N Pépé MID	4		1	-
D Parejo MID	4			-
P Gueye MID	4			2 -
A Moleiro MID	4			1 -
A Pérez FWD	3			-
G Mikautadze FWD	4	1		-
Subs
A Tenas GLK	1			-
A Altimira DEF				-
R Marín DEF	1			-
A Pedraza DEF	4			1 -
P. Navarro Badenes DEF				-
S Comesaña MID	4			1 -
T Partey MID	2			-
M Solomon FWD	1			-
G Moreno FWD	1			-
I Akhomach FWD	2		1	1 -
T Buchanan FWD	3			-
T Oluwaseyi FWD	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	3	1	2
R Veiga	P Gueye	N Pépé	N Pépé

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
R Veiga DEF	1	1
G Mikautadze FWD	1	1
S Cardona DEF				1
N Pépé MID			1	2
P Gueye MID		3		1
A Moleiro MID				2
A Pérez FWD		1
Subs
R Marín DEF		1		1
A Pedraza DEF		1
S Comesaña MID		2
M Solomon FWD		1
I Akhomach FWD			1	1
T Buchanan FWD		1
T Oluwaseyi FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
228	19	35
R Veiga	S Mouriño	S Mouriño

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
R Veiga DEF	228	5	11
S Mouriño DEF	187	19	35
P Gueye MID	184	8	24
J Foyth DEF	180	4	11
N Pépé MID	127	7	23
Subs
S Comesaña MID	108	3	11
D Parejo MID	87	2	4
S Cardona DEF	64	4	7
L Júnior GLK	61		3
Subs
A Pedraza DEF	59	4	5
R Marín DEF	54	4	7
T Partey MID	49	3	4
G Mikautadze FWD	42	3	9
Subs
A Tenas GLK	38
T Buchanan FWD	30	1	6
A Pérez FWD	29	1	12
A Moleiro MID	26		3
Subs
G Moreno FWD	16		4
T Oluwaseyi FWD	13		5
M Solomon FWD	12	2	3
I Akhomach FWD	8

European Champions League match betting previews, predictions and odds

Paphos v Villarreal : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Paphos v Villarreal will show here when available.

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