FC Porto's team badge Arsenal's team badge

FC Porto v Arsenal : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio do Dragão, Porto

Sergio Conceicao and Mikel Arteta meet in the Champions League on Wednesday night, as FC Porto face Arsenal at the Estádio do Dragão. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, statistics for seventeen major betting market have been laid out below, with head to head (H2H) records and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. The best odds are also given.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Champions League Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

FC Porto's next match is v Benfica at 20:30 on Sunday 3rd March
Arsenal's next match is v Sheff Utd at 20:00 on Monday 4th March
The last European Champions League meeting between Porto and Arsenal was on Wednesday 21st February 2024
European Champions League
February 21st 2024
Porto 1
0 Arsenal
 
W. Rodrigues do Nascimento Galeno 90'
 
PTO
ARS
Shots On
2
Shots Off
4
5
Corners
1
10
Possession
35%
65%
Fouls
14
22
Yellow/red cards
3/0
3/0
 
PortoArsenal
 
D. Meireles Costa
Otavio Ataide
J. Neto Lopes
K. Laveran Lima Ferreira
W. Nascimento Borges (S. Antunes Eustáquio 90')
N. González Iglesias (I. Jaime Pajuelo 81')
A. Varela
W. Rodrigues do Nascimento Galenofootball icon
E. Aquino Cossa
F. Conceição (G. Albuquerque Borges 86')
F. de Lima Barbosa (A. Martínez López 85')
D. Raya Martin
J. Kiwior
W. Saliba
G. dos Santos Magalhães
B. White
M. Ødegaard
K. Havertz
D. Rice
G. Martinelli Silva
B. Saka
(J. Frello Filho 74') L. Trossard
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest we don't have an obvious winner here, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that Porto and Arsenal will score at least a couple of goals between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head historically, and neither Sergio Conceicao or Mikel Arteta has served up too many 0-0s recently either. The bookies predict over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.33 equating to about a 73% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 59% chance of Arsenal coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Porto
18%
9/2
22%
9/2
29%
9/2
27%
24/5
33%
Draw
22%
3/1
7%
29/10
5%
3/1
7%
3/1
9%
Arsenal
59%
8/13
7%
8/13
10%
8/13
10%
3/5
10%
Arsenal 1-0
12%
6/1
13%
6/1
18%
11/2
19%
13/2
6%
Arsenal 2-0
11%
13/2
17%
13/2
21%
13/2
17%
13/2
17%
Draw 1-1
11%
13/2
7%
13/2
7%
13/213/2
7%
Arsenal 2-1
10%
15/27/17/115/2
6%
Arsenal 3-0
7%
11/1
20%
11/1
20%
11/1
20%
10/1
21%
Draw 0-0
6%
10/1
15%
11/1
8%
11/1
8%
12/1
4%
Arsenal 3-1
6%
12/112/112/112/1
4%
Porto 1-0
6%
14/114/114/115/1
23%
Porto 2-1
5%
16/1
13%
16/1
31%
14/1
15%
15/1
28%
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1
13%
16/1
31%
14/1
15%
14/1
20%
Arsenal 4-0
3%
22/1
21%
25/1
24%
22/1
21%
19/1
23%
Arsenal 4-1
3%
25/125/1
10%
25/122/1
8%
Arsenal 3-2
3%
25/1
13%
25/1
24%
22/1
10%
22/1
15%
Porto 2-0
3%
25/1
13%
33/1
31%
28/1
26%
25/1
24%
Porto 3-1
1%
40/1
21%
50/1
50%
40/1
21%
35/1
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
17/20
7%
4/5
6%
4/5
4%
3/4
4%
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
19/20
6%
10/11
9%
10/11
5%
21/20
Home 1st Goal
40%
21/10
13%
2/1
15%
15/8
11%
-
Away 1st Goal
56%
2/5
7%
1/2
7%
1/2
4%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
10/1
15%
11/1
8%
10/1
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
50%
10/11
12%
4/5
11%
5/6
10%
4/5
11%
BTTS - No
50%
10/11
7%
10/11
11%
5/6
13%
23/25
10%
BTTS - Home Win
9%
9/1
25%
17/2
36%
17/2
36%
-
BTTS - Draw
16%
4/1
5%
19/5
9%
4/1
9%
19/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
25%
5/212/5
3%
12/5-
Home/draw
41%
5/4
13%
13/10
15%
5/4
13%
11/8
20%
Away/draw
82%
1/7
3%
1/7
5%
1/6
4%
2/15
3%
Home/away
78%
2/9
2%
1/41/41/4
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
2/7
6%
1/4
2%
2/7
6%
11/50
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
11/4
13%
13/5
10%
5/2
13%
16/5
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
11/5
16%
2/1
11%
9/4
18%
19/10
1%
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
4/11
6%
4/11
6%
1/3
5%
2/5
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
9/2
10%
19/4
15%
5/1
20%
23/5
2%
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/7
3%
1/8
3%
1/9
3%
2/15
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/1
18%
11/1
20%
9/121/2
12%
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/25
1%
1/22
1%
1/251/40
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/20
1%
1/20
1%
1/251/40
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/1
15%
10/1
15%
9/123/2
Home DNB
34%
3/1
18%
11/4
25%
3/1
23%
33/10
34%
Away DNB
75%
2/9
6%
1/4
8%
2/9
8%
11/50
6%
Porto win to nil
9%
8/19/1
18%
17/2
12%
-
Arsenal win to nil
34%
13/8
19%
17/10
21%
8/5
16%
-
Porto / Porto
9%
8/1
20%
9/1
33%
8/1
29%
17/2
41%
Porto / Arsenal
4%
20/122/120/122/1
15%
Porto / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
16/1
13%
14/115/1
23%
Draw / Porto
7%
10/1
16%
10/1
22%
11/1
20%
11/1
33%
Draw / Arsenal
19%
10/3
9%
16/5
9%
10/3
6%
18/5
2%
Draw / Draw
14%
5/119/4
1%
5/121/4
12%
Arsenal / Porto
2%
40/1
21%
55/1
37%
50/1
24%
50/1
50%
Arsenal / Arsenal
34%
6/4
9%
8/5
10%
6/4
9%
11/8
10%
Arsenal / Draw
6%
14/116/1
13%
14/114/1
15%
bet365
Win / draw / win form
Porto
20 games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
Arsenal
20 games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
Games at Porto since 2006
Porto
Arsenal
Goals: Scored
4
1
Games: Scored
2 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
1 / 3
PTO
2
D
1
All games since 2006
Porto
Arsenal
Goals: Scored
4
12
Games: Scored
2 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
4 / 6
PTO
2
D
1
ARS
3
Goal Statistics

Arsenal have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 9 consecutive Champions League games. Their PG of 1.8 against FC Porto on Wednesday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Porto Arsenal
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
1.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of Porto scoring 1 goal or less
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 84% probability that Arsenal will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
-10
Porto’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+10
Arsenal’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
2.0
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Statistics Champions League - 2023/2023 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/268435/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Porto
PG (predicted goals)
Arsenal
0.9
1.8
Attack rating
PTO
ARS
5%
better
view stats
Games scored17
16
Failed to score3
4
Scored first14
16
Goals scored40
48
Avg. goals scored2
2.4
Avg. shots per game11
12
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate18%
20%
KickOff rating
+5%
Defence rating
9%
better
PTO
ARS
view stats
Games conceded11
13
Clean sheets9
7
Conceded first5
4
Goals conceded17
18
Avg. goals conceded0.9
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded7
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
7
Conversion rate11%
14%
KickOff rating
+9%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Porto v Arsenal will show here when available.

Porto Champions League squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7542
D CostaGalenoGalenoJ Mário
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK7
-
J Mário DEF71
2
-
Pepe  DEF62
-
O Silva DEF11
-
Wendell DEF4
-
A Varela MID7
-
N González  MID5
1
-
F Conceição MID711
2
-
Pepê MID612
2
-
Galeno MID654
-
Evanilson  FWD641
-
Subs
C Ramos GLK
1
-
J Sánchez DEF5
-
J. da Silva Figueiredo Freitas DEF
-
F Cardoso DEF3
1
-
I Jaime MID4
-
A Franco MID41
-
R Baró MID1
-
S Eustaquio MID71
1
-
M Grujić MID2
-
D Namaso FWD3
-
T Martínez FWD2
-
G Borges FWD2
-
Arsenal Champions League squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7342
W SalibaB SakaB SakaD Rice
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Raya GLK6
-
B White DEF7
1
-
W Saliba DEF7
-
G Magalhães DEF7
-
J Kiwior DEF5
1
-
M Ødegaard MID621
-
D Rice MID71
2
-
K Havertz MID71
1
-
B Saka FWD634
-
L Trossard FWD621
-
G Martinelli FWD422
-
Subs
A Ramsdale GLK1
-
K Hein GLK
-
C Soares DEF1
-
J. Sweet DEF
-
A. Heaven DEF
-
E Rowe MID3
-
Jorginho MID61
1
-
F Vieira MID3
-
M Elneny MID2
-
E Nwaneri MID
-
E Nketiah FWD41
-
R Nelson FWD52
-