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Paris Saint-Germain v Chelsea : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 11th Mar, 20:00 BST, Parc des Princes, Paris

The Champions League is the focus for both Paris Saint-Germain and Chelsea on Wednesday night, as managers Luis Enrique Martínez García and Liam Rosenior battle it out at the Parc des Princes. We provide predictions based on extensive statistical analysis of each side, across 17 major betting markets. Data shown and the odds change with each market, and head-to-head statistics are included for all.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Analysing all relevant stats, including historical head-to-head (H2H) data, we fully expect this fixture to deliver both happiness and misery to both home and away fans. We expect both PSG and Chelsea to find the back of the net during the 90 mins, but the ultimate winner of the game seems less clear. The odds point towards a both teams to score bet, and that's what we'd recommend going with.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think PSG are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.85.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
PSG 50%	1.91 9%	1.91 3%
Draw 23%	3.80 3%	3.80
Chelsea 27%	3.70 10%	3.60 10%
Draw 1-1 10%	7.50 6%	7.50
PSG 2-1 10%	8.50	8.00
PSG 1-0 8%	10.00	9.50 6%
PSG 2-0 7%	11.00 10%	10.00
Chelsea 2-1 7%	13.00 13%	11.00
Draw 2-2 6%	12.00 8%	11.00
PSG 3-1 6%	13.00	13.00 9%
Chelsea 1-0 5%	15.00 12%	12.00
PSG 3-0 4%	17.00 13%	15.00 15%
Draw 0-0 4%	17.00	13.00
PSG 3-2 4%	21.00 11%	17.00
Chelsea 2-0 4%	21.00 19%	17.00 19%
Chelsea 3-1 3%	26.00 10%	21.00 9%
PSG 4-1 3%	26.00 13%	21.00
Chelsea 3-2 3%	29.00	23.00
Over 2.5 Goals 62%	1.62 3%	1.60 1%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%	2.30 3%	2.25
Home 1st Goal 52%	1.67 6%	1.67 3%
Away 1st Goal 45%	2.25 5%	2.38 4%
No 1st Goal 2%	17.00	12.00 8%
BTTS - Yes 62%	1.53 3%	1.57
BTTS - No 38%	2.38 6%	2.30 2%
BTTS - Home Win 28%	3.40 10%	3.25 3%
BTTS - Draw 18%	4.33 9%	4.40 2%
BTTS - Away Win 16%	6.00 14%	5.50 4%
Home/draw 73%	1.29 6%	1.29 2%
Away/draw 50%	1.83 9%	1.85 5%
Home/away 77%	1.25	1.25
Over 1.5 Goals 83%	1.17	1.18
Under 1.5 Goals 17%	5.00	4.40
Over 3.5 Goals 40%	2.38	2.45 1%
Under 3.5 Goals 60%	1.57	1.50
Over 4.5 Goals 22%	4.33	4.20 5%
Under 4.5 Goals 78%	1.22	1.20
Over 5.5 Goals 11%	8.00	8.00
Under 5.5 Goals 90%	1.08	1.07
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1.03	1.02
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	15.00 13%	12.00
Home DNB 66%	1.40 5%	1.44 5%
Away DNB 43%	2.75 15%	2.62 7%
PSG win to nil 23%	3.75 7%	-
Chelsea win to nil 11%	8.00 11%	-
PSG / PSG 28%	3.00 14%	2.80 4%
PSG / Chelsea 3%	29.00	23.00 12%
PSG / Draw 6%	13.00	12.00
Draw / PSG 15%	5.50 10%	5.25
Draw / Chelsea 10%	8.50 11%	8.00 6%
Draw / Draw 13%	6.50	5.75
Chelsea / PSG 4%	21.00 11%	17.00
Chelsea / Chelsea 14%	6.00 14%	5.50 4%
Chelsea / Draw 6%	15.00	11.00

Win / draw / win Champions League table

PSG have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

4 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn zero and won 2. PSG have conceded 8 goals, scored 9, scored in every game and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

PSG have played 5 games at home, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 13 goals, conceded 8 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and scored in every home league game.

Chelsea lay in 6th place on 16 points in the Champions League league table having played 8 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 6 games against teams below them in the table, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 13 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Chelsea have conceded 7 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Chelsea have played 4 away games, winning 1, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 2.3 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	PSG Chelsea
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Arsenal	8	8	0	0	19	24	-	-	-	-
2	Bayern	8	7	0	1	14	21	l 1-2A	-	-	l 3-1A
3	Liverpool	8	6	0	2	12	18	-	-	-	-
4	Spurs	8	5	2	1	10	17	w 5-3A	-	-	-
5	Barcelona	8	5	1	2	8	16	-	w 1-2A	w 3-0F	-
6	Chelsea	8	5	1	2	7	16	Mar 11	Mar 17	-	-
7	S. Lisbon	8	5	1	2	6	16	-	l 2-1A	-	-
8	Man City	8	5	1	2	6	16	-	-	-	-
9	Real Madrid	8	5	0	3	9	15	-	-	-	-
10	Inter	8	5	0	3	8	15	-	-	-	-
11	PSG	8	4	2	2	10	14	-	-	Mar 17	Mar 11
12	Newcastle	8	4	2	2	10	14	d 1-1F	-	-	-
13	Juventus	8	3	4	1	4	13	-	-	-	-
14	A.Madrid	8	4	1	3	2	13	-	-	-	-
15	Atalanta	8	4	1	3	0	13	w 4-0F	-	-	l 2-1F
16	Leverkusen	8	3	3	2	-1	12	-	w 2-7F	-	-
17	Dortmund	8	3	2	3	2	11	-	-	-	-
18	Olympiakos	8	3	2	3	-4	11	-	-	-	-
19	Brugge	8	3	1	4	-2	10	-	-	-	-
20	Galatasaray	8	3	1	4	-2	10	-	-	-	-
21	Monaco	8	2	4	2	-6	10	d 2-2A	w 2-3A	-	-
22	Qarabag	8	3	1	4	-8	10	-	-	-	d 2-2F
23	Bodø	8	2	3	3	-1	9	-	-	-	-
24	Benfica	8	3	0	5	-2	9	-	-	w 1-0F	-
25	Marseille	8	3	0	5	-3	9	-	-	-	-
26	Paphos	8	2	3	3	-3	9	-	-	w 1-0F	-
27	Union SG	8	3	0	5	-9	9	-	-	-	-
28	PSV	8	2	2	4	0	8	-	-	-	-
29	A.Bilbao	8	2	2	4	-5	8	-	d 0-00-0	-	-
30	Napoli	8	2	2	4	-6	8	-	-	-	w 2-3F
31	Kobenhavn	8	2	2	4	-9	8	-	-	-	-
32	Ajax	8	2	0	6	-13	6	-	-	w 5-1F	-
33	E.Frankfurt	8	1	1	6	-11	4	-	-	-	-
34	Slavia	8	0	3	5	-14	3	-	-	-	-
35	Villarreal	8	0	1	7	-13	1	-	-	-	-
36	Kairat Almaty	8	0	1	7	-15	1	-	-	-	-

	Next round
	Play Off

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
PSG	2 - 2	Monaco
PSG	1 - 1	Newcastle
PSG	5 - 3	Spurs
PSG	1 - 2	Bayern
PSG	4 - 0	Atalanta
PSG	5 - 0	Inter
PSG	2 - 1	Arsenal
PSG	3 - 1	A Villa
PSG	0 - 1	Liverpool
PSG	7 - 0	Brest
PSG	4 - 2	Man City
PSG	1 - 2	A.Madrid
PSG	1 - 1	PSV
PSG	1 - 0	Girona
PSG	0 - 1	Dortmund
PSG	2 - 3	Barcelona
PSG	2 - 0	R.Sociedad
PSG	1 - 1	Newcastle
PSG	3 - 0	Milan
PSG	2 - 0	Dortmund

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	PSG	2 - 2	Monaco
A	PSG	3 - 2	Monaco
H	PSG	1 - 1	Newcastle
A	PSG	1 - 2	S. Lisbon
A	PSG	0 - 0	A.Bilbao
H	PSG	5 - 3	Spurs
H	PSG	1 - 2	Bayern
A	PSG	7 - 2	Leverkusen
A	PSG	2 - 1	Barcelona
H	PSG	4 - 0	Atalanta
H	PSG	5 - 0	Inter
H	PSG	2 - 1	Arsenal
A	PSG	1 - 0	Arsenal
A	PSG	2 - 3	A Villa
H	PSG	3 - 1	A Villa
A	PSG	1 - 0	Liverpool
H	PSG	0 - 1	Liverpool
H	PSG	7 - 0	Brest
A	PSG	3 - 0	Brest
A	PSG	4 - 1	Stuttgart

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Napoli	2 - 3	Chelsea
Atalanta	2 - 1	Chelsea
Qarabag	2 - 2	Chelsea
Bayern	3 - 1	Chelsea
Real Betis	1 - 4	Chelsea
Djurgårdens	1 - 4	Chelsea
L. Warsaw	0 - 3	Chelsea
Kobenhavn	1 - 2	Chelsea
Astana	1 - 3	Chelsea
Heidenheim	0 - 2	Chelsea
Panathinaikos	1 - 4	Chelsea
Servette	2 - 1	Chelsea
Real Madrid	2 - 0	Chelsea
Dortmund	1 - 0	Chelsea
Salzburg	1 - 2	Chelsea
Milan	0 - 2	Chelsea
D. Zagreb	1 - 0	Chelsea
Real Madrid	1 - 3	Chelsea
Lille	1 - 2	Chelsea
Zenit	3 - 3	Chelsea

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

20 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

0 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Chelsea	3 - 2	Napoli
H	Chelsea	1 - 0	Paphos
A	Chelsea	1 - 2	Atalanta
H	Chelsea	3 - 0	Barcelona
A	Chelsea	2 - 2	Qarabag
H	Chelsea	5 - 1	Ajax
H	Chelsea	1 - 0	Benfica
A	Chelsea	1 - 3	Bayern
A	Chelsea	4 - 1	Real Betis
H	Chelsea	1 - 0	Djurgårdens
A	Chelsea	4 - 1	Djurgårdens
H	Chelsea	1 - 2	L. Warsaw
A	Chelsea	3 - 0	L. Warsaw
H	Chelsea	1 - 0	Kobenhavn
A	Chelsea	2 - 1	Kobenhavn
H	Chelsea	5 - 1	Shamrock
A	Chelsea	3 - 1	Astana
A	Chelsea	2 - 0	Heidenheim
H	Chelsea	8 - 0	Noah
A	Chelsea	4 - 1	Panathinaikos

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

PSG

Chelsea

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 4

4 / 4

Clean sheets

0 / 4

1 / 4

PSG

CHE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT PSG
PSG	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
PSG	3 - 1
	0 - 3	Chelsea

Chelsea

PSG

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 4

2 / 4

Clean sheets

2 / 4

1 / 4

PSG

CHE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Chelsea
	1 - 2	PSG
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Chelsea	2 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Goal Statistics

Paris Saint-Germain have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 11 consecutive Champions League matches. Their PG of 1.9 against Chelsea on Wednesday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	PSG 11th	Chelsea 6th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.9 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 15% 1 29% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 12% There is a 85% probability that PSG will score 1 or more goals	0 27% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 73% probability that Chelsea will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+8 PSG’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+17 Chelsea have scored 17% more goals when away than predicted
	2.4 average goals scored	2.1 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season

PSG

CHE

14%

better

view stats

Games scored	17		19
Failed to score	3		1
Scored first	11		10
Goals scored	43		43
Avg. goals scored	2.2		2.2
Avg. shots per game	14		10
Avg. shots per goal	7		5
Conversion rate for	15		21
Avg. XG for	2.2		2.3
KickOff rating		+14%

23%

better

PSG

CHE

view stats

Games conceded	12		17
Clean sheets	8		3
Conceded first	8		10
Goals conceded	22		28
Avg. goals conceded	1.1		1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded	6		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		6
Conversion rate against	18%		18%
Avg. XG against	0.9		1.4
KickOff rating		+23%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between PSG v Chelsea will show here when available.

PSG Champions League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
10	5	4	2
N Mendes	Vitinha	A Hakimi	N Mendes

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Mendes DEF	10	2	2	2 -
W Pacho DEF	10	2		-
W Zaïre-Emery MID	10		1	1 -
Vitinha MID	10	5	1	-
B Barcola FWD	10		3	-
G Ramos FWD	9	2		-
K Kvaratskhelia FWD	9	4	3	1 -
Marquinhos DEF	8	2		-
A Hakimi DEF	7	1	4	1 -
S. Mayulu MID	7	1		-
J Neves MID	7	1	1	-
K Lee FWD	7		1	-
L Chevalier GLK	6			-
I Zabarnyi DEF	6			1 1
F Ruiz MID	6	1	1	-
D Doué FWD	6	4	1	-
O Dembélé FWD	6	1	1	-
M Safonov GLK	4			1 -
L Hernández DEF	4			1
I. Mbaye FWD	4			-
Q. Ndjantou Mbitcha FWD	3		1	-
P. Fernández Sarmiento MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	12	4	6
Vitinha	Vitinha	A Hakimi	D Doué

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Vitinha MID	5	12	1	2
K Kvaratskhelia FWD	4	7	3
D Doué FWD	4	6	1	6
N Mendes DEF	2	6	2	5
W Pacho DEF	2	2		1
G Ramos FWD	2	5
Marquinhos DEF	2	2		1
A Hakimi DEF	1	5	4	2
S. Mayulu MID	1	4
J Neves MID	1	4	1	2
F Ruiz MID	1	6	1	4
O Dembélé FWD	1	4	1
W Zaïre-Emery MID		3	1	4
B Barcola FWD		6	3	2
K Lee FWD		3	1	3
I. Mbaye FWD		2		1
Q. Ndjantou Mbitcha FWD		1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1083	19	63
Vitinha	Vitinha	N Mendes

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Vitinha MID	1083	19	31
W Pacho DEF	668	14	38
N Mendes DEF	626	17	63
W Zaïre-Emery MID	559	15	26
Marquinhos DEF	542	8	35
A Hakimi DEF	509	8	23
J Neves MID	402	11	34
K Kvaratskhelia FWD	383	6	43
F Ruiz MID	315	10	16
B Barcola FWD	297	13	33
D Doué FWD	250	11	37
K Lee FWD	191	6	16
O Dembélé FWD	174	2	7
L Chevalier GLK	168		1
I Zabarnyi DEF	149	7	11
S. Mayulu MID	139	8	21
L Hernández DEF	110	2	4
M Safonov GLK	92		2
G Ramos FWD	46	2	13
I. Mbaye FWD	42	4	10
Q. Ndjantou Mbitcha FWD	38	1	4
P. Fernández Sarmiento MID	4

Chelsea Champions League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
7	3	2	2
E Fernández	E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves	R James	E Fernández

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
E Fernández MID	8	2	1	2 -
M Caicedo MID	8	2		1 -
R Sánchez GLK	7			-
M Cucurella DEF	7			-
R James DEF	7		2	1 -
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD	7	3		1 -
A Garnacho FWD	7	1		-
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD	7		1	1 -
M Gusto DEF	6		1	1 -
T Chalobah DEF	6			1 -
P Neto FWD	6			1 -
J Pedro FWD	6	3		1 1
W Fofana DEF	5		1	1 -
A Santos MID	5		2	2 -
J. Acheampong DEF	4			-
T Adarabioyo DEF	4			1 -
B Badiashile DEF	4			-
J Hato DEF	3			-
L Delap FWD	3	1		-
F Jörgensen GLK	2			-
C Palmer MID	2	1	2	-
R Lavia MID	2			-
M Guiu FWD	1	1		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	7	2	3
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves	E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves	R James	E Fernández

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD	3	7		1
J Pedro FWD	3	4
E Fernández MID	2	4	1	3
M Caicedo MID	2	5		1
A Garnacho FWD	1	5		1
L Delap FWD	1	1
C Palmer MID	1	1	2	2
M Guiu FWD	1	2
R Sánchez GLK				1
R James DEF		2	2	1
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD		2	1	1
M Gusto DEF			1
P Neto FWD		4		1
W Fofana DEF			1	2
A Santos MID		1	2	1
J. Acheampong DEF		1		1
B Badiashile DEF				1
J Hato DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
522	20	33
M Caicedo	M Caicedo	M Cucurella

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Caicedo MID	522	20	30
E Fernández MID	366	7	31
R James DEF	344	7	14
W Fofana DEF	311	2	12
T Chalobah DEF	298	1	11
M Cucurella DEF	292	20	33
B Badiashile DEF	278	4	6
R Sánchez GLK	244		4
T Adarabioyo DEF	212	5	8
M Gusto DEF	193	9	16
A Santos MID	190	6	11
J Hato DEF	187	5	14
P Neto FWD	159	4	18
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves FWD	149	5	23
A Garnacho FWD	123	7	20
J Pedro FWD	115	5	26
J. Acheampong DEF	107	5	9
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD	84	4	20
R Lavia MID	53	2	2
C Palmer MID	52	1	4
F Jörgensen GLK	20
L Delap FWD	18	1	4
M Guiu FWD	3

European Champions League match betting previews, predictions and odds

Galatasaray v Liverpool

Tue 10th Mar, 17:45

Newcastle v Barcelona

Real Madrid v Man City

Man City v Real Madrid

Tue 17th Mar, 20:00

Barcelona v Newcastle

Wed 18th Mar, 17:45

Spurs v A.Madrid

Wed 18th Mar, 20:00

Liverpool v Galatasaray

Wed 18th Mar, 20:00

Bayern v Atalanta

Wed 18th Mar, 20:00

Paris Saint-Germain v Chelsea : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

PSG have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Chelsea lay in 6th place on 16 points in the Champions League league table having played 8 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

The line-ups for the Champions League match between PSG v Chelsea will show here when available.

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