PSV's team badge Borussia Dortmund's team badge

PSV v Borussia Dortmund : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Philips Stadion, Eindhoven

Peter Bosz and Edin Terzic pit their wits in the Champions League on Tuesday night, as PSV face Borussia Dortmund at the Philips Stadion. This preview has odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for 17 different markets, alongside bespoke data that updates as you explore. Our predictions run off 20-game form, so all stats are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home, away and overall records can be found, while there's also head-to-head history towards the bottom of the page.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Champions League Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

PSV's next match is v PEC Zwolle at 19:00 on Saturday 24th February
Borussia Dortmund's next match is v Hoffenheim at 16:30 on Sunday 25th February
The last European Champions League meeting between PSV and Dortmund was on Tuesday 20th February 2024
European Champions League
February 20th 2024
PSV 1
1 Dortmund
 
L. de Jong 56'24' D. Malen
 
PSV
BVB
Shots On
4
5
Shots Off
8
3
Corners
4
4
Possession
55%
45%
Fouls
8
14
Yellow/red cards
1/0
2/0
 
PSVDortmund
 
W. Benítez
J. Teze
O. Boscagli (A. Obispo 90')
S. Dest
M. Tillman
J. Schouten
J. Veerman
I. Saibari Ben El Basra (M. Ferreira dos Santos 83')
J. Bakayoko
L. de Jongfootball icon
H. Lozano Bahena (R. Pepi 75')
A. Meyer
N. Schlotterbeck
J. Ryerson
M. Hummels
I. Maatsen
E. Can
M. Sabitzer
(J. Brandt 62') M. Reus
(S. Özcan 82') football iconD. Malen
(Y. Moukoko 82') N. Füllkrug
(M. Wolf 68') J. Sancho
Best Tip: Both teams to score

Here we have a pair of effective, attacking teams going head-to-head and, as such, we're predicting both of them to score at least 1 goal during the 90 minutes. Can respective managers Peter Bosz or Edin Terzic find a tactical plan to top their opponent? Recent form stats and historical head-to-heads, as well as the latest odds from the bookmakers, show that doesn't seem likely.

The stats and the odds are in alignment here, with movement in the both teams to score market giving us further confidence in our prediction. Odds are shortening on both teams to score, and drifting on them failing to do so.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think PSV are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.23.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
PSV
47%
1/1
9%
1/1
11%
11/10
7%
26/25
15%
Draw
23%
14/5
9%
11/4
7%
11/4
7%
11/4
9%
Dortmund
31%
5/2
13%
12/5
13%
11/5
7%
5/2
23%
Draw 1-1
10%
13/2
7%
13/2
7%
7/1
14%
6/1
8%
PSV 2-1
9%
8/115/2
6%
15/2
6%
15/2
6%
Dortmund 2-1
7%
11/1
9%
11/1
20%
10/1
10%
11/1
26%
PSV 1-0
7%
10/1
16%
10/1
10%
10/1
16%
21/2
21%
Draw 2-2
7%
10/1
8%
10/1
8%
10/1
8%
10/1
PSV 2-0
6%
11/111/1
8%
12/123/2
PSV 3-1
6%
12/1
24%
12/1
24%
14/1
12%
13/1
13%
Dortmund 1-0
5%
16/1
42%
14/1
25%
14/1
25%
14/1
36%
PSV 3-2
4%
18/1
17%
16/1
19%
16/1
19%
17/1
10%
Dortmund 2-0
4%
20/1
24%
22/1
35%
18/1
12%
19/1
33%
PSV 3-0
4%
18/1
10%
18/1
17%
18/1
10%
16/1
19%
Draw 0-0
4%
18/1
46%
18/1
27%
16/1
31%
16/1
36%
Dortmund 3-1
3%
22/125/1
13%
20/120/1
17%
Dortmund 3-2
3%
25/1
10%
22/1
12%
20/1
19%
22/1
10%
PSV 4-1
3%
25/1
24%
28/1
29%
28/1
15%
24/1
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
1/2
12%
1/2
7%
1/2
10%
13/25
8%
Under 2.5 Goals
36%
6/4
19%
29/20
14%
6/4
19%
6/4
18%
Home 1st Goal
52%
4/7
6%
8/11
6%
8/11
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
47%
13/10
5%
13/10
7%
23/20
2%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
18/1
46%
18/1
27%
14/1
25%
-
BTTS - Yes
64%
1/2
4%
4/9
6%
4/9
8%
1/2
1%
BTTS - No
36%
6/4
11%
8/5
8%
13/8
17%
6/4
5%
BTTS - Home Win
27%
9/4
19%
11/5
15%
9/4
13%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/316/5
5%
16/5
5%
33/10
2%
BTTS - Away Win
18%
9/24/1
5%
18/5
8%
-
Home/draw
69%
2/7
5%
3/10
4%
4/11
3%
8/25
4%
Away/draw
53%
4/5
8%
4/5
11%
8/11
7%
4/5
18%
Home/away
77%
1/4
3%
1/4
3%
1/4
4%
7/25
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
1/6
4%
2/13
4%
1/7
7%
2/15
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
4/1
15%
21/5
20%
4/1
25%
9/2
26%
Over 3.5 Goals
42%
13/10
16%
6/5
14%
5/4
18%
13/10
15%
Under 3.5 Goals
58%
8/13
13%
3/5
11%
4/7
12%
3/5
14%
Over 4.5 Goals
24%
3/1
20%
11/4
17%
11/4
25%
16/5
19%
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
1/4
7%
1/4
6%
1/4
10%
11/50
6%
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
6/1
30%
6/1
22%
6/1
22%
7/1
16%
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
1/10
4%
1/11
3%
1/12
3%
1/14
3%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/40
2%
1/40
2%
-1/100
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
18/1
46%
16/1
13%
-16/1
36%
Home DNB
63%
4/9
11%
1/2
10%
8/15
6%
1/2
12%
Away DNB
46%
13/8
19%
6/4
19%
11/8
8%
31/20
26%
PSV win to nil
20%
10/317/5
4%
10/3-
Dortmund win to nil
12%
7/1
33%
7/1
33%
6/1
17%
-
PSV / PSV
25%
21/10
14%
9/4
13%
11/5
11%
41/20
19%
PSV / Dortmund
3%
25/128/125/1
10%
29/1
20%
PSV / Draw
6%
12/114/1
15%
12/112/1
8%
Draw / PSV
15%
9/221/5
5%
5/124/5
Draw / Dortmund
11%
7/1
14%
7/1
14%
15/2
13%
15/2
26%
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2
8%
11/2
13%
11/2
18%
27/5
21%
Dortmund / PSV
4%
18/1
17%
20/1
19%
18/1
17%
20/1
9%
Dortmund / Dortmund
16%
9/2
10%
5/1
15%
4/19/2
22%
Dortmund / Draw
6%
12/114/1
15%
12/112/1
8%
bet365
Win / draw / win form
PSV
20 games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
Dortmund
20 games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
Goal Statistics

PSV have been steady in attack of late, finding the net in 38 consecutive Champions League outings. Their PG of 1.8 against Borussia Dortmund on Tuesday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

PSV's defensive record is very strong, Peter Bosz's men having conceded 1 or less in 12 consecutive Champions League outings. An average PG rating of 1.4 for Borussia Dortmund makes sense in this context.

PSV Dortmund
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that PSV will score 1 or more goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Dortmund will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
+15
PSV have scored 15% more goals at home than predicted
-8
Dortmund’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.2
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Statistics Champions League - 2023/2023 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/268434/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
PSV
PG (predicted goals)
Dortmund
1.8
1.4
Attack rating
27%
better
PSV
BVB
view stats
Games scored20
17
Failed to score0
3
Scored first14
13
Goals scored54
35
Avg. goals scored2.7
1.8
Avg. shots per game17
11
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate16%
16%
KickOff rating
+27%
Defence rating
25%
better
PSV
BVB
view stats
Games conceded11
14
Clean sheets9
6
Conceded first6
6
Goals conceded13
24
Avg. goals conceded0.7
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded7
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded11
9
Conversion rate9%
11%
KickOff rating
+25%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between PSV v Dortmund will show here when available.

PSV Champions League squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11854
W BenítezL JongJ BakayokoH Lozano
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
W Benítez GLK11
-
J Teze DEF1112
-
J Schouten DEF8
1
-
O Boscagli DEF10
2
-
S Dest DEF91
-
M Tillman MID81
2
-
J Veerman MID1023
1
-
I Saibari MID113
-
J Bakayoko FWD1115
-
L Jong FWD1082
1
-
H Lozano FWD6
4
-
Subs
J Drommel GLK
-
B Waterman GLK
-
A Ramalho DEF10
2
-
S Sambo DEF3
1
-
A Obispo DEF2
-
M Júnior DEF2
-
P Aanholt DEF4
-
I. Babadi MID41
-
R Pepi FWD921
1
-
Dortmund Champions League squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7133
M HummelsD MalenM Sabitzer N Schlotterbeck
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Meyer GLK1
-
J Ryerson DEF5
1
-
M Hummels DEF7
2
-
N Schlotterbeck DEF71
3
-
I Maatsen DEF1
1
-
M Sabitzer  MID63
-
E Can MID5
3
-
D Malen MID61
-
M Reus MID711
-
J Sancho MID1
-
N Füllkrug FWD711
-
Subs
M Lotka GLK
-
R Bensebaini DEF5
-
J Brandt MID61
-
S Özcan MID6
-
M Wolf MID5
1
-
K. Wätjen MID
-
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD41
-
S. Bamba FWD
-
J Duranville FWD
-
Y Moukoko FWD3
-