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FK Qarabag v Ajax : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 10th Dec, 17:45 BST, Bakı Olimpiya Stadionu, Baku

Fred Grim will be hoping for a vital away win in the Champions League on Wednesday evening, as he takes his Ajax side to the Bakı Olimpiya Stadionu to visit FK Qarabag and Qurban Qurbanov. We want you to make a smart bet on this match, so we've sifted through our extensive database and found the stats that matter the most. Head to head (H2H) and recent form is included, and it all goes into our algorithmic predictions. Odds from leading bookmakers are there to ensure you get the best price.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Here we have a pair of effective, attacking sides going head-to-head and, as such, we are predicting both of them to score at least 1 goal during the 90 mins. Can respective bosses Qurban Qurbanov or Fred Grim deliver a defensive plan that will shut out the opposition? Recent form statistics and historical head-to-heads, as well as the latest odds from the bookies, show that doesn't seem likely.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Qarabag are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 48% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Qarabag 48%	21/20	11/10
Draw 23%	13/5	27/10
Ajax 29%	12/5	11/5
Draw 1-1 11%	6/1	6/1
Qarabag 2-1 9%	8/1	15/2
Qarabag 1-0 8%	9/1	8/1
Qarabag 2-0 7%	10/1	10/1
Ajax 2-1 7%	11/1	9/1
Draw 2-2 6%	11/1	10/1
Ajax 1-0 6%	12/1	10/1
Qarabag 3-1 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw 0-0 5%	14/1	11/1
Qarabag 3-0 4%	18/1	16/1
Ajax 2-0 4%	20/1	14/1
Qarabag 3-2 4%	20/1	16/1
Ajax 3-1 3%	25/1	18/1
Ajax 3-2 3%	28/1	20/1
Qarabag 4-1 2%	28/1	22/1
Over 2.5 Goals 60%	4/6	13/20
Under 2.5 Goals 40%	6/5	23/20
Home 1st Goal 52%	4/6	3/4
Away 1st Goal 46%	6/5	6/5
No 1st Goal 3%	14/1	10/1
BTTS - Yes 61%	4/7	4/7
BTTS - No 39%	5/4	5/4
BTTS - Home Win 26%	13/5	13/5
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3	10/3
BTTS - Away Win 16%	5/1	4/1
Home/draw 72%	3/10	1/3
Away/draw 52%	8/11	8/11
Home/away 77%	2/7	2/7
Over 1.5 Goals 82%	1/5	1/5
Under 1.5 Goals 18%	7/2	16/5
Over 3.5 Goals 38%	13/8	8/5
Under 3.5 Goals 62%	1/2	10/21
Over 4.5 Goals 20%	7/2	7/2
Under 4.5 Goals 80%	1/5	2/11
Over 5.5 Goals 9%	8/1	15/2
Under 5.5 Goals 91%	1/14	1/18
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1/25	1/33
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	12/1	10/1
Home DNB 65%	4/9	8/15
Away DNB 45%	13/8	13/10
Qarabag win to nil 22%	3/1	-
Ajax win to nil 12%	6/1	-
Qarabag / Qarabag 25%	11/5	11/5
Qarabag / Ajax 3%	28/1	20/1
Qarabag / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1
Draw / Qarabag 15%	9/2	17/4
Draw / Ajax 11%	7/1	6/1
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1	9/2
Ajax / Qarabag 4%	20/1	16/1
Ajax / Ajax 15%	9/2	4/1
Ajax / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1

Win / draw / win Champions League table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Qarabag Ajax
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Arsenal	5	5	0	0	13	15	-	-	-	-
2	PSG	5	4	0	1	11	12	-	-	-	-
3	Bayern	5	4	0	1	9	12	-	-	-	-
4	Inter	5	4	0	1	9	12	-	-	l 0-2A	-
5	Real Madrid	5	4	0	1	7	12	-	-	-	-
6	Dortmund	5	3	1	1	6	10	-	-	-	-
7	Chelsea	5	3	1	1	6	10	d 2-2A	-	-	l 5-1A
8	S. Lisbon	5	3	1	1	6	10	-	-	-	-
9	Man City	5	3	1	1	5	10	-	-	-	-
10	Atalanta	5	3	1	1	1	10	-	-	-	-
11	Newcastle	5	3	0	2	7	9	-	-	-	-
12	A.Madrid	5	3	0	2	2	9	-	-	-	-
13	Liverpool	5	3	0	2	2	9	-	Jan 28	-	-
14	Galatasaray	5	3	0	2	1	9	-	-	l 0-3A	-
15	PSV	5	2	2	1	5	8	-	-	-	-
16	Spurs	5	2	2	1	3	8	-	-	-	-
17	Leverkusen	5	2	2	1	-2	8	-	-	-	-
18	Barcelona	5	2	1	2	2	7	-	-	-	-
19	Qarabag	5	2	1	2	-1	7	-	-	-	Dec 10
20	Napoli	5	2	1	2	-3	7	-	l 2-0A	-	-
21	Marseille	5	2	0	3	2	6	-	-	-	l 4-0A
22	Juventus	5	1	3	1	0	6	-	-	-	-
23	Monaco	5	1	3	1	-2	6	-	-	-	-
24	Paphos	5	1	3	1	-3	6	-	-	-	-
25	Union SG	5	2	0	3	-7	6	-	-	-	-
26	Brugge	5	1	1	3	-5	4	-	-	-	-
27	A.Bilbao	5	1	1	3	-5	4	-	l 3-1F	-	-
28	E.Frankfurt	5	1	1	3	-7	4	Jan 21	-	-	-
29	Kobenhavn	5	1	1	3	-7	4	w 2-0F	-	-	-
30	Benfica	5	1	0	4	-4	3	-	w 2-3A	l 0-2A	-
31	Slavia	5	0	3	2	-6	3	-	-	-	-
32	Bodø	5	0	2	3	-4	2	-	-	-	-
33	Olympiakos	5	0	2	3	-8	2	-	-	Jan 28	-
34	Villarreal	5	0	1	4	-8	1	-	-	-	Jan 20
35	Kairat Almaty	5	0	1	4	-10	1	-	-	-	-
36	Ajax	5	0	0	5	-15	0	Dec 10	-	-	-
37	Shelbourne							w 1-0F	w 0-3F	-	-
38	Skendija 79							w 5-1A	w 0-1F	-	-
39	Ferencvaros							l 2-3A	w 1-3A	-	-

	Next round
	Play Off

Win / draw / win form

Ajax have lost 8 consecutive european games

Ajax have not won in 8 consecutive european games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Qarabag	2 - 2	Chelsea
Qarabag	2 - 0	Kobenhavn
Qarabag	2 - 3	Ferencvaros
Qarabag	5 - 1	Skendija 79
Qarabag	1 - 0	Shelbourne
Qarabag	2 - 3	FCSB
Qarabag	1 - 4	Lyon
Qarabag	0 - 3	Ajax
Qarabag	1 - 2	Malmö
Qarabag	0 - 2	D. Zagreb
Qarabag	1 - 2	Ludogorets
Qarabag	5 - 0	Lincoln Red Imps
Qarabag	2 - 2	Leverkusen
Qarabag	0 - 2	Braga
Qarabag	2 - 1	Häcken
Qarabag	0 - 1	Leverkusen
Qarabag	1 - 0	Molde
Qarabag	1 - 1	Olimpija
Qarabag	2 - 1	HJK Helsinki
Qarabag	1 - 1	Rakow

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Qarabag	0 - 2	Napoli
H	Qarabag	2 - 2	Chelsea
A	Qarabag	1 - 3	A.Bilbao
H	Qarabag	2 - 0	Kobenhavn
A	Qarabag	3 - 2	Benfica
H	Qarabag	2 - 3	Ferencvaros
A	Qarabag	3 - 1	Ferencvaros
H	Qarabag	5 - 1	Skendija 79
A	Qarabag	1 - 0	Skendija 79
H	Qarabag	1 - 0	Shelbourne
A	Qarabag	3 - 0	Shelbourne
A	Qarabag	0 - 3	Olympiakos
H	Qarabag	2 - 3	FCSB
A	Qarabag	0 - 1	Elfsborg
H	Qarabag	1 - 4	Lyon
A	Qarabag	2 - 1	Bodø
H	Qarabag	0 - 3	Ajax
H	Qarabag	1 - 2	Malmö
A	Qarabag	0 - 3	Spurs
H	Qarabag	0 - 2	D. Zagreb

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Chelsea	5 - 1	Ajax
Marseille	4 - 0	Ajax
E.Frankfurt	4 - 1	Ajax
Union SG	0 - 2	Ajax
Rigas Futbola Skola	1 - 0	Ajax
R.Sociedad	2 - 0	Ajax
Qarabag	0 - 3	Ajax
Slavia	1 - 1	Ajax
Jagiellonia	1 - 4	Ajax
Panathinaikos	0 - 1	Ajax
Vojvodina	1 - 3	Ajax
A Villa	4 - 0	Ajax
Bodø	1 - 1	Ajax
Marseille	4 - 3	Ajax
Brighton	2 - 0	Ajax
AEK	1 - 1	Ajax
Ludogorets	1 - 4	Ajax
Union Berlin	3 - 1	Ajax
Rangers	1 - 3	Ajax
Napoli	4 - 2	Ajax

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Ajax	0 - 2	Benfica
H	Ajax	0 - 3	Galatasaray
A	Ajax	1 - 5	Chelsea
A	Ajax	0 - 4	Marseille
H	Ajax	0 - 2	Inter
A	Ajax	1 - 4	E.Frankfurt
H	Ajax	1 - 2	E.Frankfurt
H	Ajax	0 - 2	Union SG
A	Ajax	2 - 0	Union SG
H	Ajax	2 - 1	Galatasaray
A	Ajax	0 - 1	Rigas Futbola Skola
H	Ajax	1 - 3	Lazio
A	Ajax	0 - 2	R.Sociedad
H	Ajax	5 - 0	M. Tel-Aviv
A	Ajax	3 - 0	Qarabag
A	Ajax	1 - 1	Slavia
H	Ajax	4 - 0	Besiktas
H	Ajax	3 - 0	Jagiellonia
A	Ajax	4 - 1	Jagiellonia
H	Ajax	0 - 1	Panathinaikos

Goal Statistics

FK Qarabag's fans will be hoping for goals on Wednesday evening, not least because Ajax have conceded in each of their last 8 Champions League outings. A PG of 1.8 for Q. Qurbanov's side suggests that run should continue.

Goals have been difficult to come by for Ajax of late. It has been 8 Champions League games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Wednesday evening against FK Qarabag.

	Qarabag 19th	Ajax 36th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.8 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 17% 1 30% 2 27% 3 16% 4+ 11% There is a 83% probability that Qarabag will score 1 or more goals	0 27% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 73% probability that Ajax will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-11 Qarabag have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted	+13 Ajax have scored 13% more goals when away than predicted
	1.6 average goals scored	1.6 average goals scored
	1.6 conceded	2.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season

better

FKQ

AJA

view stats

Games scored	14		14
Failed to score	6		5
Scored first	8		8
Goals scored	29		26
Avg. goals scored	1.5		1.3
Avg. shots per game	10		9
Avg. shots per goal	7		7
Conversion rate for	15		15
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.4
KickOff rating		0%

better

FKQ

AJA

view stats

Games conceded	16		16
Clean sheets	4		3
Conceded first	12		11
Goals conceded	36		35
Avg. goals conceded	1.8		1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		5
Conversion rate against	17%		20%
Avg. XG against	1.9		1.6
KickOff rating		+5%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Qarabag v Ajax will show here when available.

Qarabag Champions League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
11	6	3	4
M Silva	L Andrade	A Zoubir	M Silva

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
E Cafarquliyev DEF	11		1	-
M Silva DEF	11			4 -
B Mustafazada DEF	11		1	-
P Bicalho MID	11		1	1 -
A Zoubir FWD	11	2	3	-
L Andrade FWD	11	6	2	-
M Kochalski GLK	10			1 -
K Medina DEF	10	1		4 -
K Borges MID	10	1	2	1 -
N Akhundzade FWD	10	2	2	2 -
E Addai FWD	10	1		-
M Jankovic MID	8	3	1	1 -
O Kashchuk FWD	8	2		1 -
M Qurbanly FWD	7	1		-
D Bolt DEF	6			1 -
Chriso MID	6			-
C. Durán Marquez FWD	5	1	1	-
S Mmaee DEF	2			-
F Buntic GLK	1			-
A Hüseynov DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	4	3	3
L Andrade	L Andrade	A Zoubir	K Borges

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L Andrade FWD	6	4	2	2
M Jankovic MID	3	3	1
A Zoubir FWD	2	3	3	1
N Akhundzade FWD	2	1	2	2
O Kashchuk FWD	2	4
K Medina DEF	1	1
K Borges MID	1	2	2	3
E Addai FWD	1	2		1
M Qurbanly FWD	1	1
C. Durán Marquez FWD	1	4	1
E Cafarquliyev DEF			1
M Silva DEF		2		1
B Mustafazada DEF			1	1
P Bicalho MID			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
295	18	52
A Zoubir	M Silva	M Silva

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Zoubir FWD	295	5	27
K Medina DEF	291	9	35
P Bicalho MID	282	9	17
M Jankovic MID	268	12	35
M Kochalski GLK	259		5
E Cafarquliyev DEF	248	11	25
B Mustafazada DEF	243	6	17
M Silva DEF	204	18	52
K Borges MID	165	7	29
L Andrade FWD	100	5	12
E Addai FWD	91	4	19
C. Durán Marquez FWD	39	5	15
N Akhundzade FWD	34		16
O Kashchuk FWD	33	3	14
D Bolt DEF	18	2	6
S Mmaee DEF	18		1
M Qurbanly FWD	6
Chriso MID	4		1

Ajax Champions League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
5	1	0	2
Y Baas	W Weghorst		A Gaaei

Players	Appserances	goals	cards
Y Baas DEF	5		1 -
J Sutalo DEF	5		-
Y Regeer MID	5		-
D Klaassen MID	5		1 -
O Gloukh MID	5		-
M Godts FWD	5		-
A Gaaei DEF	4		2 -
K Itakura DEF	4		1 -
O Wijndal DEF	4		-
K Taylor MID	4		1
J. Mokio MID	4		1 -
W Weghorst FWD	4	1	2 -
R Moro FWD	4		-
V Jaroš GLK	3		-
J. McConnell MID	3		1 -
K Fitz-Jim MID	3		-
R Pasveer GLK	2		-
L Rosa DEF	2		1 -
R. Bounida FWD	2		-
K Dolberg FWD	2		-
O Edvardsen FWD	2		-
G. Alders DEF	1		-
S Berghuis FWD	1		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	2	0	1
W Weghorst	R. Bounida		O Gloukh

Players	goals	shots on	big chances
W Weghorst FWD	1	1	1
D Klaassen MID		1
O Gloukh MID		1	1
M Godts FWD		1
A Gaaei DEF			1
K Taylor MID		1
J. Mokio MID		1
K Fitz-Jim MID			1
R. Bounida FWD		2	1
K Dolberg FWD		1
O Edvardsen FWD		1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
327	13	28
Y Baas	Y Baas	Y Baas

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Y Baas DEF	327	13	28
J Sutalo DEF	282	2	10
K Itakura DEF	239	6	15
Y Regeer MID	167	1	7
J. Mokio MID	156	7	15
O Wijndal DEF	130	5	12
V Jaroš GLK	129
D Klaassen MID	126	6	18
M Godts FWD	121	3	10
A Gaaei DEF	120	4	6
K Taylor MID	117	8	22
O Gloukh MID	106	1	9
R Pasveer GLK	87		1
L Rosa DEF	77	8	14
W Weghorst FWD	59	2	18
R. Bounida FWD	56	2	8
J. McConnell MID	39	1	4
O Edvardsen FWD	36	1	10
R Moro FWD	29		6
S Berghuis FWD	26		1
K Fitz-Jim MID	22	2	2
G. Alders DEF	22		3
K Dolberg FWD	5	1	3