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FK Qarabag v Chelsea : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu (Bakı (Baku)), Baku

Qurban Qurbanov welcomes Enzo Maresca to the Bakı Olimpiya Stadionu on Wednesday evening, as their FK Qarabag and Chelsea troops meet in the Champions League. We've got odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for 17 top betting markets plus predictions, stats and head to head (H2H) data for these two clubs. You can access it all using the tabs below.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Champions League Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Chelsea's next match is v Wolves at 20:00 on Saturday 8th November
The last European Champions League meeting between Qarabag and Chelsea was on Wednesday 5th November 2025
European Champions League
November 5th 2025
Qarabag 2
2 Chelsea
 
L. Livramento Andrade 29'16' E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves
M. Janković 39'52' A. Garnacho
 
FKQ
CHE
Shots On
3
4
Shots Off
3
8
Corners
2
8
Possession
39%
61%
Fouls
9
19
Yellow/red cards
2/0
3/0
 
QarabagChelsea
 
M. de Barros da Silva
B. Mustafazadə
M. Jankovićfootball icon
K. Borges Malinowski (E. Addai 31')
A. Zoubir (O. Kashchuk 75')
E. Cəfərquliyev (D. de Castro 75')
P. Rodrigues Bicalho
L. Livramento Andradefootball icon (T. Bayramov 61')
K. Medina Renteria
C. Durán Marquez (N. Axundzadə 61')
M. Kochalski
R. Lynch Sanchez
M. Cucurella
O. Adarabioyo
J. Hato
(E. Fernández 46') A. Nascimento dos Santos
(A. Garnacho 46') J. Bynoe-Gittens
(F. Buonanotte 71') J. Junqueira de Jesus
(M. Caicedo Corozo 8') R. Lavia
(L. Delap 46') T. George
football iconE. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves
R. James

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Chelsea to win

Nobody in the Champions League wants to be beaten in front of their home supporters, but the statistics below suggest that is set to be Qarabag's fate as they go head-to-head with Chelsea at Bakı Olimpiya Stadionu on Wednesday evening. The bookmakers agree, with all placing the away win as the most likely outcome at odds of 1.35, and so does our predictive algorithm. We've calculated the away win in the win / draw / win market has a 70% probability, making it a clear bet of the day here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 69% chance of Chelsea coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Qarabag
12%
13/220/1
17%
Draw
16%
9/22/11
5%
Chelsea
71%
1/319/4
1%
Chelsea 2-0
10%
7/119/4
Chelsea 2-1
9%
8/1
6%
18/5
Chelsea 3-0
8%
17/25/1
Chelsea 3-1
8%
9/19/2
Chelsea 1-0
8%
17/217/2
6%
Draw 1-1
7%
9/16/1
6%
Chelsea 4-0
5%
14/18/1
Chelsea 4-1
5%
16/117/2
Draw 2-2
4%
18/11/2
Chelsea 3-2
4%
20/1
10%
13/5
Qarabag 2-1
4%
22/117/4
10%
Draw 0-0
3%
20/112/1
15%
Qarabag 1-0
3%
22/118/1
10%
Chelsea 5-0
3%
25/114/1
Chelsea 5-1
2%
28/116/1
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
4/9
2%
1/12
Under 2.5 Goals
33%
7/4
5%
6/1
2%
Home 1st Goal
39%
9/411/4
6%
Away 1st Goal
59%
1/33/10
2%
No 1st Goal
2%
20/111/1
BTTS - Yes
56%
3/417/20
BTTS - No
44%
1/117/20
BTTS - Home Win
7%
12/111/1
17%
BTTS - Draw
13%
11/24/9
4%
BTTS - Away Win
36%
13/82/1
1%
Home/draw
29%
9/41/9
3%
Away/draw
88%
1/101/150
2%
Home/away
84%
1/718/5
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
86%
1/71/20
Under 1.5 Goals
14%
9/28/1
Over 3.5 Goals
46%
6/51/7
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
54%
4/64/1
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
27%
11/418/5
6%
Under 4.5 Goals
73%
2/71/6
Over 5.5 Goals
14%
11/225/1
8%
Under 5.5 Goals
86%
1/91/1000
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/501/66
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
18/112/1
15%
Home DNB
24%
11/29/2
15%
Away DNB
83%
1/91/8
2%
Qarabag win to nil
5%
16/1
12%
-
Chelsea win to nil
35%
11/8-
Qarabag / Qarabag
7%
14/119/10
8%
Qarabag / Chelsea
5%
16/1
12%
21/10
12%
Qarabag / Draw
5%
18/112/5
12%
Draw / Qarabag
5%
16/128/1
13%
Draw / Chelsea
19%
10/3
8%
13/2
Draw / Draw
10%
15/214/1
7%
Chelsea / Qarabag
2%
40/1125/1
17%
Chelsea / Chelsea
42%
10/1133/1
5%
Chelsea / Draw
5%
16/180/1
Win / draw / win Champions League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Qarabag
Chelsea
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern44001112 
-
-
-
l
 
3-1A
2
Arsenal44001112 
-
-
-
-
3
Inter44001012 
-
-
-
-
4
Man City4310710 
-
-
-
-
5
PSG430199 
-
-
-
-
6
Newcastle430189 
-
-
-
-
7
Real Madrid430169 
-
-
-
-
8
Liverpool430159 
-
Jan 28
-
-
9
Galatasaray430129 
-
-
-
-
10
Spurs422058 
-
-
-
-
11
Barcelona421157 
-
-
Nov 25
-
12
Chelsea421137 
d
 
2-2A
-
-
-
13
S. Lisbon421137 
-
-
-
-
14
Dortmund421127 
-
-
-
-
15
Qarabag421117 
-
-
-
d
 
2-2F
16
Atalanta4211-27 
-
-
-
Dec 9
17
A.Madrid420216 
-
-
-
-
18
PSV412125 
-
-
-
-
19
Monaco4121-25 
-
-
-
-
20
Paphos4121-35 
-
-
Jan 21
-
21
Leverkusen4121-45 
-
-
-
-
22
Brugge4112-24 
-
-
-
-
23
E.Frankfurt4112-44 
Jan 21
-
-
-
24
Napoli4112-54 
-
Nov 25
-
Jan 28
25
Marseille410313 
-
-
-
-
26
Juventus4031-13 
-
-
-
-
27
A.Bilbao4103-53 
-
l
 
3-1F
-
-
28
Union SG4103-83 
-
-
-
-
29
Bodø4022-32 
-
-
-
-
30
Slavia4022-62 
-
-
-
-
31
Olympiakos4022-72 
-
-
-
-
32
Villarreal4013-41 
-
-
-
-
33
Kobenhavn4013-81 
w
 
2-0F
-
-
-
34
Kairat Almaty4013-91 
-
-
-
-
35
Benfica4004-60 
-
w
 
2-3A
w
 
1-0F
-
36
Ajax4004-130 
Dec 10
-
w
 
5-1F
-
37
Shelbourne 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
-
-
38
Skendija 79 
w
 
5-1A
w
 
0-1F
-
-
39
Ferencvaros 
l
 
2-3A
w
 
1-3A
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
Qarabag 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Lost
11
Chelsea 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
D
1
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
52
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
Lost
5
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.4 is decent for Chelsea in their clash with FK Qarabag, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 18 consecutive Champions League matches.

Qarabag 15th Chelsea 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
2.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Qarabag scoring 1 goal or less
0
1
20%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
25%
There is a 72% probability that Chelsea will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-10
Qarabag’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+10
Chelsea’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season
Qarabag
PG (predicted goals)
Chelsea
1
2.5
Attack rating
FKQ
CHE
33%
better
view stats
Games scored14
19
Failed to score6
1
Scored first9
14
Goals scored30
42
Avg. goals scored1.5
2.1
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for15
20
Avg. XG for1.2
1.8
KickOff rating
+33%
Defence rating
FKQ
CHE
34%
better
view stats
Games conceded16
12
Clean sheets4
8
Conceded first11
5
Goals conceded37
21
Avg. goals conceded1.9
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded10
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against18%
14%
Avg. XG against1.8
1.2
KickOff rating
+34%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Qarabag v Chelsea will show here when available.

Qarabag Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10634
M SilvaL AndradeA ZoubirM Silva
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Kochalski GLK9
1
-
M Silva DEF10
4
-
B Mustafazada DEF101
-
K Medina  DEF91
3
-
E Cafarquliyev DEF101
-
P Bicalho MID101
1
-
M Jankovic MID731
-
L Andrade MID1062
-
K Borges  MID1012
1
-
A Zoubir MID1023
-
C. Durán Marquez FWD411
-
Subs
S Mahammadaliyev  GLK
-
F Buntic GLK1
-
S Mmaee DEF1
-
D Bolt DEF5
1
-
T Bayramov DEF811
1
-
A Hüseynov  DEF1
-
H. Cəbrayılzadə DEF1
-
B Hüseynov DEF
-
Chriso MID6
-
O Kashchuk MID72
1
-
N Akhundzade FWD922
2
-
E Addai FWD91
-
Chelsea Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3222
R SánchezE. Almeida de Oliveira GonçalvesA SantosA Santos
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Sánchez GLK3
-
R James  DEF3
1
-
T Adarabioyo DEF3
1
-
J Hato DEF2
-
M Cucurella  DEF3
-
R Lavia MID2
-
A Santos MID32
2
-
E. Almeida de Oliveira Gonçalves MID42
1
-
J Pedro  MID3
1
1
J Bynoe-Gittens MID31
-
T. George FWD31
-
Subs
F Jörgensen GLK1
-
M. Merrick GLK
-
T Chalobah DEF3
-
M Gusto DEF21
-
W Fofana DEF11
-
J. Acheampong DEF2
-
M Caicedo MID41
1
-
F Buonanotte MID3
1
-
E Fernández MID41
1
-
L Delap FWD1
-
M Guiu FWD11
-
A Garnacho FWD31
-
European Champions League match betting previews, predictions and odds