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Real Madrid v Monaco : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

It's an away trip for Sébastien Pocognoli's Monaco side on Tuesday night, as they make their way to the Santiago Bernabéu for a Champions League meeting with Álvaro Arbeloa Coca's Real Madrid. We have custom-designed statistics for the biggest betting markets, from both teams to score to double chance, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are produced from these, and the odds come straight from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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Real Madrid's next match is v Villarreal at 20:00 on Saturday 24th January
Monaco's next match is v Le Havre at 18:00 on Saturday 24th January
The last European Champions League meeting between Real Madrid and Monaco was on Tuesday 20th January 2026
European Champions League
January 20th 2026
Real Madrid 6
1 Monaco
 
K. Mbappé 5'72' J. Teze
K. Mbappé 26'
F. Mastantuono 51'
T. Kehrer (OG) 55'
V. Júnior 63'
J. Bellingham 80'
 
RMD
MCO
Shots On
5
6
Shots Off
10
9
Corners
10
6
Possession
49%
51%
Fouls
9
11
Yellow/red cards
1/0
1/0
 
Real MadridMonaco
 
T. Courtois
J. Bellinghamfootball icon
E. Camavinga (F. García Torres 77')
F. Valverde Dipetta (D. Mesonero Miguel 83')
A. Tchouaméni
V. Júniorfootball icon
K. Mbappéfootball iconfootball icon
A. Guler (D. Carvajal Ramos 76')
R. Asencio del Rosario (D. Ceballos Fernández 46')
D. Huijsen
F. Mastantuonofootball icon (G. García Torres 71')
 (K. Ouattara 61') V. de Oliveira Campos
E. Dier
football iconJ. Teze
football iconT. Kehrer
P. Köhn
C. Oliveira Silva
(A. Bamba 73') D. Zakaria Lako Lado
(L. Michal 84') A. Golovin
(G. Ilenikhena 73') F. Balogun
M. Akliouche
(M. Coulibaly 61') A. Fati

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Real Madrid to win

Having examined the bookmakers' odds and collated stats regarding both sides ahead of this Champions League fixture, a bet on win / draw / win for Real Madrid to win on home turf is our recommendation. We predict they will have too much for Monaco, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have the pedigree to do so. It could be a tighter than we expect, but Real Madrid winning is the bet come Tuesday night.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Real Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 75% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Real Madrid
75%
3/10
2%
1/50
1%
Draw
14%
5/1
9%
1/50
8%
Monaco
10%
15/2
13%
1/50
21%
Real Madrid 2-1
9%
17/2
6%
15/2
6%
Real Madrid 2-0
9%
9/1
25%
5/1
19%
Real Madrid 3-1
8%
9/16/1
Real Madrid 3-0
8%
9/1
16%
18/5
12%
Draw 1-1
6%
11/1
9%
14/1
Real Madrid 1-0
6%
14/1
30%
12/1
26%
Real Madrid 4-1
6%
12/1
13%
7/1
Real Madrid 4-0
6%
14/118/5
18%
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1
11%
18/1
12%
Real Madrid 3-2
4%
18/1
19%
16/1
11%
Real Madrid 5-0
3%
22/1
12%
21/10
Real Madrid 5-1
3%
20/1
28%
1/1
11%
Monaco 2-1
3%
25/1
24%
25/1
17%
Real Madrid 4-2
3%
22/1
21%
20/1
9%
Monaco 1-0
2%
33/1
48%
20/1
Over 2.5 Goals
74%
3/10
10%
1/9
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
26%
5/2
36%
19/4
18%
Home 1st Goal
59%
4/111/3
1%
Away 1st Goal
40%
2/123/10
13%
No 1st Goal
1%
28/1
38%
20/1
24%
BTTS - Yes
60%
8/15
10%
15/8
9%
BTTS - No
40%
11/8
16%
4/11
15%
BTTS - Home Win
41%
5/4
15%
1/50
8%
BTTS - Draw
12%
5/1
8%
1/50
BTTS - Away Win
7%
11/1
9%
1/50
21%
Home/draw
89%
1/12
2%
1/50
3%
Away/draw
25%
12/5
5%
1/50
6%
Home/away
86%
1/8
1%
1/50
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
90%
1/12
4%
1/50
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
10%
7/1
33%
12/1
25%
Over 3.5 Goals
53%
8/11
18%
3/5
9%
Under 3.5 Goals
46%
11/10
21%
6/5
11%
Over 4.5 Goals
34%
13/8
25%
2/11
13%
Under 4.5 Goals
66%
1/2
15%
7/2
7%
Over 5.5 Goals
19%
7/2
25%
7/20
16%
Under 5.5 Goals
81%
1/5
6%
2/1
5%
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1/100
1%
1/200
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
28/1
38%
22/1
35%
Home DNB
85%
1/10
3%
1/50
3%
Away DNB
20%
6/1
17%
1/50
18%
Real Madrid win to nil
35%
7/4
10%
-
Monaco win to nil
4%
18/1
27%
-
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
45%
4/5
6%
1/40
Real Madrid / Monaco
2%
40/133/1
17%
Real Madrid / Draw
5%
16/114/1
12%
Draw / Real Madrid
18%
10/3100/1
15%
Draw / Monaco
5%
18/1
12%
125/1
12%
Draw / Draw
8%
10/1
22%
100/1
18%
Monaco / Real Madrid
5%
14/1
12%
1/50
12%
Monaco / Monaco
7%
14/1
15%
1/50
21%
Monaco / Draw
5%
18/11/50
12%
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Champions League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Real Madrid
Monaco
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal77001821 
-
-
-
-
2
Real Madrid75021115 
-
-
-
l
 
6-1A
3
Bayern65011115 
-
-
-
-
4
Spurs7421814 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
-
5
PSG74121013 
-
-
-
-
6
S. Lisbon7412513 
-
-
-
-
7
Man City7412413 
l
 
1-2F
-
d
 
2-2A
-
8
Atalanta6411213 
-
-
-
-
9
Inter7403612 
-
-
-
-
10
A.Madrid6402312 
-
-
-
-
11
Liverpool6402312 
-
l
 
1-0A
-
-
12
Dortmund7322411 
-
-
-
-
13
Newcastle6312710 
-
-
-
-
14
Chelsea6312510 
-
-
-
-
15
Barcelona6312310 
-
-
-
-
16
Marseille630339 
w
 
2-1A
-
-
-
17
Juventus623129 
w
 
1-0F
-
Jan 28
-
18
Galatasaray630309 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
-
19
Leverkusen7232-49 
-
-
-
-
20
Monaco7232-69 
w
 
6-1F
-
-
-
21
PSV622248 
-
-
-
-
22
Olympiakos7223-58 
-
w
 
3-4A
-
-
23
Napoli7223-58 
-
-
-
-
24
Kobenhavn7223-68 
-
-
-
-
25
Qarabag6213-37 
-
-
-
-
26
Brugge7214-57 
-
-
-
l
 
4-1A
27
Bodø7133-26 
-
-
-
w
 
0-1F
28
Benfica6204-26 
-
Jan 28
-
-
29
Paphos6132-56 
-
-
-
d
 
2-2F
30
Union SG6204-86 
-
-
-
-
31
Ajax7205-126 
-
-
-
-
32
A.Bilbao6123-55 
-
-
-
-
33
E.Frankfurt6114-84 
-
-
-
-
34
Slavia6033-93 
-
-
-
-
35
Villarreal7016-101 
-
-
-
-
36
Kairat Almaty7016-141 
-
w
 
0-5F
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
5
Monaco have not lost in 5 consecutive european games
Real Madrid 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Real Madrid1 - 2Man City
Real Madrid1 - 0Juventus
Real Madrid2 - 1Marseille
Real Madrid1 - 2Arsenal
Real Madrid2 - 1A.Madrid
Real Madrid3 - 1Man City
Real Madrid5 - 1Salzburg
Real Madrid1 - 3Milan
Real Madrid5 - 2Dortmund
Real Madrid3 - 1Stuttgart
Real Madrid2 - 1Bayern
Real Madrid3 - 3Man City
Real Madrid1 - 1RB Leipzig
Real Madrid4 - 2Napoli
Real Madrid3 - 0Braga
Real Madrid1 - 0Union Berlin
Real Madrid1 - 1Man City
Real Madrid2 - 0Chelsea
Real Madrid1 - 0Liverpool
Real Madrid5 - 1Celtic
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
12
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HReal Madrid1 - 2Man City
AReal Madrid4 - 3Olympiakos
AReal Madrid0 - 1Liverpool
HReal Madrid1 - 0Juventus
AReal Madrid5 - 0Kairat Almaty
HReal Madrid2 - 1Marseille
HReal Madrid1 - 2Arsenal
AReal Madrid0 - 3Arsenal
AReal Madrid0 - 1A.Madrid
HReal Madrid2 - 1A.Madrid
HReal Madrid3 - 1Man City
AReal Madrid3 - 2Man City
AReal Madrid3 - 0Brest
HReal Madrid5 - 1Salzburg
AReal Madrid3 - 2Atalanta
AReal Madrid0 - 2Liverpool
HReal Madrid1 - 3Milan
HReal Madrid5 - 2Dortmund
AReal Madrid0 - 1Lille
HReal Madrid3 - 1Stuttgart
Monaco 19TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Paphos2 - 2Monaco
Bodø0 - 1Monaco
Brugge4 - 1Monaco
Benfica3 - 3Monaco
Inter3 - 0Monaco
Arsenal3 - 0Monaco
Bologna0 - 1Monaco
D. Zagreb2 - 2Monaco
Leverkusen2 - 3Monaco
Ferencvaros1 - 1Monaco
Trabzonspor4 - 0Monaco
Red Star Bel.0 - 1Monaco
PSV2 - 2Monaco
Braga2 - 0Monaco
Sturm Graz1 - 1Monaco
PSV1 - 2Monaco
R.Sociedad1 - 1Monaco
Shakhtar1 - 2Monaco
Sparta0 - 2Monaco
A.Madrid2 - 0Monaco
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMonaco1 - 0Galatasaray
AMonaco2 - 2Paphos
AMonaco1 - 0Bodø
HMonaco0 - 0Spurs
HMonaco2 - 2Man City
AMonaco1 - 4Brugge
AMonaco3 - 3Benfica
HMonaco0 - 1Benfica
AMonaco0 - 3Inter
HMonaco1 - 0A Villa
AMonaco0 - 3Arsenal
HMonaco2 - 3Benfica
AMonaco1 - 0Bologna
HMonaco5 - 1Red Star Bel.
AMonaco2 - 2D. Zagreb
HMonaco2 - 1Barcelona
HMonaco2 - 3Leverkusen
AMonaco3 - 2Leverkusen
HMonaco4 - 1Red Star Bel.
AMonaco1 - 1Ferencvaros
Goal Statistics

Real Madrid's forwards have been excellent of late, finding the net twice or more in 4 consecutive Champions League outings. A PG of 2.8 suggests that run should continue on Tuesday night.

Goals have been an issue for Monaco of late. It has been 8 Champions League games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Tuesday night against Real Madrid.

Real Madrid 7th Monaco 19th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.8
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
16%
5+
22%
There is a 83% probability that Real Madrid will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability that Monaco will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+7
Real Madrid’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-16
Monaco have scored 16% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.4
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season
Real Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Monaco
2.8
1
Attack rating
21%
better
RMD
MCO
view stats
Games scored17
16
Failed to score3
4
Scored first13
9
Goals scored43
26
Avg. goals scored2.2
1.3
Avg. shots per game15
10
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
13
Avg. XG for2.2
1.9
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
28%
better
RMD
MCO
view stats
Games conceded12
15
Clean sheets8
5
Conceded first6
10
Goals conceded20
32
Avg. goals conceded1
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded9
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
7
Conversion rate against12%
15%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.7
KickOff rating
+28%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Real Madrid v Monaco will show here when available.

Real Madrid Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
71142
A TchouameniK MbappéV JuniorJ Bellingham
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Courtois GLK61
-
F Valverde DEF62
-
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF6
-
D. Huijsen DEF4
1
-
E Camavinga DEF511
1
-
A Güler MID73
1
-
A Tchouameni MID7
1
-
J Bellingham MID621
2
-
F. Mastantuono FWD41
-
K Mbappé FWD611
-
V Junior FWD714
1
-
Subs
A Lunin GLK1
-
F. González Pérez GLK
-
D Carvajal DEF2
1
D Alaba DEF1
-
F García DEF4
-
D Ceballos MID4
-
D. Mesonero Miguel MID1
-
G. García Torres FWD41
-
P. Fortuny Aubareda FWD
-
Monaco Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7322
M AklioucheF BalogunM AklioucheA Golovin
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Köhn GLK5
-
Vanderson DEF5
-
T Kehrer DEF7
1
-
E Dier DEF31
-
C Henrique DEF6
-
D Zakaria MID3
1
-
J Teze MID62
-
M Akliouche MID72
-
A Fati MID51
-
A Golovin MID5
2
-
F Balogun FWD73
-
Subs
J. Stawiecki GLK
-
Y Lienard GLK
-
K Ouattara DEF6
1
-
I. Touré MID
-
S. Nibombé MID
-
S. Idumbo Muzambo MID1
-
A. Bamba MID2
-
M. Coulibaly MID6
1
-
M Biereth  FWD6
1
-
G Ilenikhena FWD3
-
L. Michal FWD2
-