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Real Madrid v Napoli : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

Carlo Ancelotti and Walter Mazzarri take on one another in the Champions League on Wednesday night, as Real Madrid face Napoli at the Santiago Bernabéu. We've got bespoke stats for all of the main betting markets, from from under 0.5 goals to over 5.5, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are generated from these, and the odds come straight from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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Real Madrid's next match is v Union Berlin at 20:00 on Tuesday 12th December
Napoli's next match is v Juventus at 19:45 on Friday 8th December
The last European Champions League meeting between Real Madrid and Napoli was on Wednesday 29th November 2023
European Champions League
November 29th 2023
Real Madrid 4
2 Napoli
 
R. Silva de Goes 11'9' G. Simeone
J. Bellingham 22'47' A. Zambo Anguissa
Seguin 84'
J. Sanmartín Mato 90'
 
RMD
NAP
Shots On
9
3
Shots Off
10
2
Corners
5
4
Possession
53%
47%
Fouls
6
14
Yellow/red cards
2/0
 
Real MadridNapoli
 
A. Lunin
D. Carvajal Ramos
A. Rüdiger
D. Olatukunbo Alaba
F. Mendy (J. Fernández Iglesias 87')
D. Ceballos Fernández (J. Sanmartín Mato 57')
B. Abdelkader Diaz (Seguin 65')
F. Valverde Dipetta
T. Kroos
J. Bellinghamfootball icon
R. Silva de Goesfootball icon
A. Meret
Natan
G. Di Lorenzo
(A. Zanoli 87') J. Nunes Jesus
A. Rrahmani
(E. Elmas 65') P. Zieliński
(G. Raspadori 87') S. Lobotka
football iconA. Zambo Anguissa
(V. Osimhen 46') football iconG. Simeone
(J. Cajuste 78') M. Politano
K. Kvaratskhelia
Best Tip: Both teams to score

We have a pair of effective, attacking teams going head-to-head and, as such, we're predicting both of them to score at least 1 goal during the 90 minutes. Can respective managers Carlo Ancelotti or Walter Mazzarri deliver a defensive plan that will shut out the opposition? Latest form statistics and historical head-to-heads, as well as the latest odds from the bookies, do not suggest so.

The statistics and the odds are in alignment here, with movement in the both teams to score market giving us further belief in our prediction. The odds are shortening on both teams to score, and drifting on them failing to do so.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Real Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.85.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Real Madrid
55%
7/10
2%
8/11
4%
4/5
8%
7/10
3%
Draw
22%
10/3
8%
29/1011/4
6%
3/1
Napoli
23%
10/3
9%
18/5
4%
16/5
9%
18/5
5%
Draw 1-1
10%
7/1
7%
13/27/113/2
Real Madrid 2-1
10%
15/27/17/17/1
Real Madrid 1-0
8%
17/2
19%
8/1
6%
15/2
6%
15/2
6%
Real Madrid 2-0
8%
17/2
12%
17/2
6%
17/2
12%
8/1
6%
Real Madrid 3-1
6%
11/1
8%
11/112/123/2
4%
Napoli 2-1
6%
12/1
13%
14/112/1
13%
13/1
Draw 2-2
6%
14/112/112/112/1
7%
Real Madrid 3-0
5%
14/1
15%
14/1
15%
14/1
15%
13/1
12%
Napoli 1-0
5%
14/116/114/114/1
7%
Draw 0-0
4%
16/1
31%
14/114/1
15%
14/1
15%
Real Madrid 3-2
4%
20/1
9%
18/1
10%
18/1
10%
20/1
5%
Real Madrid 4-1
3%
22/125/125/1
13%
22/1
Napoli 2-0
3%
22/1
12%
28/125/122/1
Real Madrid 4-0
3%
25/1
13%
28/1
12%
28/1
12%
22/1
Napoli 3-1
2%
28/1
15%
33/1
17%
28/1
15%
29/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
3/5
6%
4/7
6%
8/13
3%
4/6
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
13/10
10%
5/4
5%
6/5
5%
6/5
3%
Home 1st Goal
54%
4/94/7
3%
4/7
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
44%
13/8
9%
33/20
5%
6/4
5%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
16/1
31%
14/112/1-
BTTS - Yes
61%
8/13
5%
4/7
6%
4/7
6%
4/6
2%
BTTS - No
39%
6/5
7%
5/4
5%
5/4
7%
23/20
2%
BTTS - Home Win
30%
21/10
5%
2/1
3%
11/5-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/17/2
2%
7/2
2%
19/5
4%
BTTS - Away Win
13%
6/1
18%
6/1
7%
11/2
13%
-
Home/draw
77%
1/5
2%
1/5
3%
2/9
3%
1/5
2%
Away/draw
45%
11/10
2%
11/10
2%
Evs
7%
23/20
4%
Home/away
78%
1/5
2%
1/41/41/4
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1/5
2%
2/11
2%
1/5
2%
2/11
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
7/2
4%
7/2
6%
10/3
8%
7/2
5%
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
6/4
9%
29/20
6%
6/4
5%
33/20
5%
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
8/15
6%
1/2
4%
1/2
4%
4/9
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
7/2
10%
13/4
8%
7/24/1
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
1/5
3%
1/5
3%
1/62/13
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
8/1
10%
15/2
11%
7/1
11%
9/1
9%
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/14
1%
1/14
1%
1/16
1%
1/20
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/33
1%
1/33
1%
-1/50
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
14/1
15%
14/1
15%
-13/1
Home DNB
55%
1/3
3%
1/3
3%
1/3
3%
3/10
1%
Away DNB
23%
9/4
7%
9/4
7%
9/4
7%
12/5
9%
Real Madrid win to nil
25%
12/5
13%
12/5
10%
23/10
10%
-
Napoli win to nil
10%
8/117/2
5%
15/2
11%
-
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
31%
13/8
1%
7/4
2%
7/4
10%
31/20
3%
Real Madrid / Napoli
2%
28/1
15%
40/1
11%
33/1
17%
40/1
14%
Real Madrid / Draw
6%
14/114/112/1
13%
13/1
7%
Draw / Real Madrid
17%
15/4
6%
18/5
5%
4/1
9%
4/1
6%
Draw / Napoli
9%
17/2
5%
9/19/1
9%
19/2
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2
8%
5/15/1
8%
27/5
2%
Napoli / Real Madrid
4%
18/1
10%
20/120/122/1
15%
Napoli / Napoli
12%
6/1
13%
7/1
11%
11/2
13%
6/1
7%
Napoli / Draw
6%
14/114/114/115/1
14%
Win / draw / win form
Real Madrid
20 games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
15
D
2
L
3
see results
HOME FORM
Real Madrid3 - 0Braga
Real Madrid1 - 0Union Berlin
Real Madrid1 - 1Man City
Real Madrid2 - 0Chelsea
Real Madrid1 - 0Liverpool
Real Madrid5 - 1Celtic
Real Madrid2 - 1Shakhtar
Real Madrid2 - 0RB Leipzig
Real Madrid3 - 1Man City
Real Madrid1 - 3Chelsea
Real Madrid3 - 1PSG
Real Madrid2 - 0Inter
Real Madrid2 - 1Shakhtar
Real Madrid1 - 2Sheriff
Real Madrid1 - 1Chelsea
Real Madrid3 - 1Liverpool
Real Madrid3 - 1Atalanta
Real Madrid2 - 0B. M'gladbach
Real Madrid3 - 2Inter
Real Madrid2 - 3Shakhtar
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
see results
OVERALL FORM
HReal Madrid3 - 0Braga
AReal Madrid2 - 1Braga
AReal Madrid3 - 2Napoli
HReal Madrid1 - 0Union Berlin
AReal Madrid0 - 4Man City
HReal Madrid1 - 1Man City
AReal Madrid2 - 0Chelsea
HReal Madrid2 - 0Chelsea
HReal Madrid1 - 0Liverpool
AReal Madrid5 - 2Liverpool
HReal Madrid5 - 1Celtic
AReal Madrid2 - 3RB Leipzig
AReal Madrid1 - 1Shakhtar
HReal Madrid2 - 1Shakhtar
HReal Madrid2 - 0RB Leipzig
AReal Madrid3 - 0Celtic
AReal Madrid1 - 0Liverpool
HReal Madrid3 - 1Man City
AReal Madrid3 - 4Man City
HReal Madrid1 - 3Chelsea
Napoli
20 games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
see results
AWAY FORM
Union Berlin0 - 1Napoli
Braga1 - 2Napoli
Milan1 - 0Napoli
E.Frankfurt0 - 2Napoli
Liverpool2 - 0Napoli
Ajax1 - 6Napoli
Rangers0 - 3Napoli
Barcelona1 - 1Napoli
Spartak M2 - 1Napoli
L. Warsaw1 - 4Napoli
Leicester2 - 2Napoli
Granada2 - 0Napoli
AZ Alkmaar1 - 1Napoli
Rijeka1 - 2Napoli
R.Sociedad0 - 1Napoli
Barcelona3 - 1Napoli
Liverpool1 - 1Napoli
Salzburg2 - 3Napoli
Genk0 - 0Napoli
Arsenal2 - 0Napoli
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
see results
OVERALL FORM
HNapoli1 - 1Union Berlin
ANapoli1 - 0Union Berlin
HNapoli2 - 3Real Madrid
ANapoli2 - 1Braga
HNapoli1 - 1Milan
ANapoli0 - 1Milan
HNapoli3 - 0E.Frankfurt
ANapoli2 - 0E.Frankfurt
ANapoli0 - 2Liverpool
HNapoli3 - 0Rangers
HNapoli4 - 2Ajax
ANapoli6 - 1Ajax
ANapoli3 - 0Rangers
HNapoli4 - 1Liverpool
HNapoli2 - 4Barcelona
ANapoli1 - 1Barcelona
HNapoli3 - 2Leicester
ANapoli1 - 2Spartak M
ANapoli4 - 1L. Warsaw
HNapoli3 - 0L. Warsaw
Goal Statistics

Real Madrid's forwards have been excellent of late, finding the net twice or more in 3 consecutive Champions League matches. A PG of 2.0 suggests that run should continue on Wednesday night.

Real Madrid's defensive record is to be admired, Carlo Ancelotti's men having conceded 1 or less in 8 consecutive Champions League outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for Napoli makes sense in this context.

Real Madrid Napoli
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Real Madrid will score 1 or more goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 70% probability that Napoli will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
+4
Real Madrid’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-3
Napoli’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.2
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Statistics Champions League - 2023/2023 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/267828/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Real Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Napoli
2
1.2
Attack rating
18%
better
RMD
NAP
view stats
Games scored19
17
Failed to score1
3
Scored first11
12
Goals scored46
36
Avg. goals scored2.3
1.8
Avg. shots per game13
12
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate17%
15%
KickOff rating
+18%
Defence rating
27%
better
RMD
NAP
view stats
Games conceded10
14
Clean sheets10
6
Conceded first8
7
Goals conceded14
26
Avg. goals conceded0.7
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded11
7
Conversion rate9%
15%
KickOff rating
+27%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Real Madrid v Napoli will show here when available.

Real Madrid Champions League squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5421
A RüdigerJ BellinghamJ BellinghamJ Bellingham
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Lunin GLK2
-
D Carvajal DEF4
-
A Rüdiger DEF51
-
D Alaba DEF21
-
F Mendy DEF4
-
F Valverde MID5
-
T Kroos MID4
-
D Ceballos MID2
-
J Bellingham MID442
1
-
B Díaz FWD311
-
Rodrygo FWD531
-
Subs
F. González Pérez GLK
-
L Cañizares GLK
-
N Fernández DEF5
1
-
F García DEF3
-
L Vázquez MID41
1
-
M Martín MID
-
N Paz MID21
-
T. Zidane Fernandez MID
-
Joselu FWD41
-
G. García Torres FWD
-
Napoli Champions League squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5111
A MeretG LorenzoG LorenzoA Rrahmani
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Meret GLK5
-
G Lorenzo DEF511
-
A Rrahmani DEF4
1
-
Natan DEF5
1
-
J Jesus DEF2
1
-
F Anguissa MID41
1
-
S Lobotka MID5
-
P Zielinski MID51
1
-
M Politano FWD51
1
-
G Simeone FWD51
1
-
K Kvaratskhelia FWD51
-
Subs
P Gollini GLK
-
N Contini GLK
-
L Østigård DEF31
-
A Zanoli DEF1
-
E Elmas MID4
-
J Cajuste MID4
1
-
G Gaetano MID
-
V Osimhen FWD31
1
-
A Zerbin FWD
-
G Raspadori FWD51
1
-