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Villarreal v Ajax : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio de la Cerámica, Castellón

Ajax, led by manager Fred Grim, visit Marcelino García Toral and his Villarreal side at the Estadio de la Cerámica on Tuesday night in the Champions League. You'll see statistics supporting our top of Villarreal to win below, but be sure to take a look at the 16 other betting markets we're covering too. We aim to deliver as full a picture as possible, with Champions League performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you feel able to make a well-informed bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from one of the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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Villarreal's next match is v Real Madrid at 20:00 on Saturday 24th January
Ajax's next match is v FC Volendam at 15:30 on Saturday 24th January
The last European Champions League meeting between Villarreal and Ajax was on Tuesday 20th January 2026
European Champions League
January 20th 2026
Villarreal 1
2 Ajax
 
T. Oluwaseyi 49'61' O. Gloukh
89' O. Edvardsen
 
VIL
AJA
Shots On
8
5
Shots Off
8
5
Corners
7
5
Possession
39%
61%
Fouls
11
10
Yellow/red cards
3/0
3/0
 
VillarrealAjax
 
R. Palma Veiga
S. Comesaña Veiga
?. Mouriño González
A. Tenas Ureña
R. Marín Zamora
T. Partey (D. Parejo Muñoz 74')
S. Cardona Bermúdez
N. Pépé (G. Mikautadze 72')
A. Moleiro González (T. Buchanan 46')
T. Oluwaseyifootball icon
A. Pérez Gutiérrez (G. Moreno Balaguero 72')
V. Jaroš
A. Gaaei
(K. Fitz-Jim 84') O. Wijndal
(K. Itakura 54') Y. Regeer
(O. Edvardsen 84') football iconO. Gloukh
(R. Bounida 71') K. Dolberg
M. Godts
Y. Baas
A. Bouwman
D. Klaassen
(S. Steur 71') J. Mokio

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Villarreal to win

As the Villarreal players ready themselves for this clash, the bookmakers are predicting a victory for them. The odds and our pre-match stats below point in that direction too, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) information we factor into our predictive algorithms. The Estadio de la Cerámica has rarely been a successful away day for Ajax in the past, and we we'd back more of the same on Tuesday night. A win / draw / win home win is the way to go.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Villarreal are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 72% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.57.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Villarreal
72%
1/3
15%
33/1
17%
Draw
16%
19/4
33%
4/1
37%
Ajax
13%
7/1
60%
2/9
46%
Villarreal 2-1
9%
8/1
6%
3/1
6%
Villarreal 3-1
8%
9/1
17%
16/1
14%
Villarreal 2-0
8%
9/1
11%
29/10
6%
Villarreal 3-0
7%
10/1
8%
19/4
17%
Draw 1-1
6%
11/1
41%
3/4
38%
Villarreal 1-0
6%
12/1
37%
19/5
22%
Villarreal 4-1
6%
14/1
29%
60/1
24%
Villarreal 4-0
5%
14/1
29%
10/1
32%
Draw 2-2
5%
14/112/1
25%
Villarreal 3-2
4%
16/1
19%
40/1
12%
Ajax 2-1
4%
22/1
53%
6/1
46%
Villarreal 4-2
3%
22/1
32%
100/1
19%
Villarreal 5-1
3%
22/1
44%
150/1
34%
Villarreal 5-0
3%
25/1
37%
22/1
34%
Ajax 1-0
2%
28/1
71%
10/1
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
74%
3/10
17%
1/1
13%
Under 2.5 Goals
26%
5/2
47%
8/11
33%
Home 1st Goal
57%
4/11
9%
10/21
10%
Away 1st Goal
41%
2/1
15%
11/4
18%
No 1st Goal
1%
28/1
71%
19/4
46%
BTTS - Yes
63%
8/15
6%
6/4
BTTS - No
37%
11/8
8%
10/21
2%
BTTS - Home Win
41%
13/10
20%
11/5
18%
BTTS - Draw
13%
5/1
20%
3/5
25%
BTTS - Away Win
9%
10/1
38%
19/4
29%
Home/draw
87%
1/12
8%
16/5
6%
Away/draw
28%
9/4
41%
1/1000
38%
Home/away
84%
1/7
5%
1/6
7%
Over 1.5 Goals
90%
1/12
8%
1/6
6%
Under 1.5 Goals
10%
7/1
60%
19/5
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
54%
4/5
24%
23/10
18%
Under 3.5 Goals
46%
1/1
27%
3/10
22%
Over 4.5 Goals
34%
7/4
36%
16/1
27%
Under 4.5 Goals
66%
4/9
18%
1/1000
15%
Over 5.5 Goals
19%
7/2
44%
60/1
33%
Under 5.5 Goals
81%
1/5
11%
1/300
8%
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1/150
2%
1/9
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
22/1
35%
19/4
46%
Home DNB
82%
1/9
11%
2/5
10%
Away DNB
24%
11/2
73%
17/10
53%
Villarreal win to nil
31%
7/4
8%
-
Ajax win to nil
4%
18/1
73%
-
Villarreal / Villarreal
43%
5/6
23%
17/2
22%
Villarreal / Ajax
2%
40/1
21%
55/1
12%
Villarreal / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
33/1
25%
Draw / Villarreal
18%
10/3
9%
3/4
Draw / Ajax
5%
18/1
73%
11/2
50%
Draw / Draw
9%
9/1
43%
13/5
38%
Ajax / Villarreal
5%
14/1
21%
33/1
12%
Ajax / Ajax
7%
12/1
53%
28/1
36%
Ajax / Draw
5%
18/1
27%
33/1
15%
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Champions League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Villarreal
Ajax
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal77001821 
-
-
-
-
2
Real Madrid75021115 
-
-
-
-
3
Bayern65011115 
-
-
-
-
4
Spurs7421814 
-
l
 
1-0A
-
-
5
PSG74121013 
-
-
-
-
6
S. Lisbon7412513 
-
-
-
-
7
Man City7412413 
l
 
0-2A
-
-
-
8
Atalanta6411213 
-
-
-
-
9
Inter7403612 
-
-
l
 
0-2A
-
10
A.Madrid6402312 
-
-
-
-
11
Liverpool6402312 
-
-
-
-
12
Dortmund7322411 
-
l
 
4-0A
-
-
13
Newcastle6312710 
-
-
-
-
14
Chelsea6312510 
-
-
-
l
 
5-1A
15
Barcelona6312310 
-
-
-
-
16
Marseille630339 
-
-
-
l
 
4-0A
17
Juventus623129 
d
 
2-2F
-
-
-
18
Galatasaray630309 
-
-
l
 
0-3A
-
19
Leverkusen7232-49 
-
Jan 28
-
-
20
Monaco7232-69 
-
-
-
-
21
PSV622248 
-
-
-
-
22
Olympiakos7223-58 
-
-
Jan 28
-
23
Napoli7223-58 
-
-
-
-
24
Kobenhavn7223-68 
l
 
2-3A
-
-
-
25
Qarabag6213-37 
-
-
-
w
 
2-4A
26
Brugge7214-57 
-
-
-
-
27
Bodø7133-26 
-
-
-
-
28
Benfica6204-26 
-
-
l
 
0-2A
-
29
Paphos6132-56 
-
l
 
1-0A
-
-
30
Union SG6204-86 
-
-
-
-
31
Ajax7205-126 
l
 
1-2F
-
-
-
32
A.Bilbao6123-55 
-
-
-
-
33
E.Frankfurt6114-84 
-
-
-
-
34
Slavia6033-93 
-
-
-
-
35
Villarreal7016-101 
-
-
-
w
 
1-2A
36
Kairat Almaty7016-141 
-
-
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
4
Villarreal have lost 4 consecutive european games
6
Villarreal have not won in 6 consecutive european games
Villarreal 35TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Villarreal2 - 3Kobenhavn
Villarreal0 - 2Man City
Villarreal2 - 2Juventus
Villarreal3 - 1Marseille
Villarreal0 - 0M. Haifa
Villarreal3 - 2Panathinaikos
Villarreal1 - 0Rennes
Villarreal0 - 1Anderlecht
Villarreal2 - 2Beer Sheva
Villarreal5 - 0Austria Wien
Villarreal4 - 3Lech Poznan
Villarreal4 - 2Hajduk Split
Villarreal2 - 3Liverpool
Villarreal1 - 0Bayern
Villarreal1 - 1Juventus
Villarreal0 - 2Man Utd
Villarreal2 - 0Young Boys
Villarreal2 - 2Atalanta
Villarreal1 - 1Man Utd
Villarreal2 - 1Arsenal
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HVillarreal2 - 3Kobenhavn
AVillarreal0 - 4Dortmund
AVillarreal0 - 1Paphos
HVillarreal0 - 2Man City
HVillarreal2 - 2Juventus
AVillarreal0 - 1Spurs
HVillarreal3 - 1Marseille
AVillarreal0 - 4Marseille
AVillarreal3 - 2Rennes
HVillarreal0 - 0M. Haifa
HVillarreal3 - 2Panathinaikos
AVillarreal2 - 1M. Haifa
HVillarreal1 - 0Rennes
AVillarreal0 - 2Panathinaikos
HVillarreal0 - 1Anderlecht
AVillarreal1 - 1Anderlecht
AVillarreal0 - 3Lech Poznan
HVillarreal2 - 2Beer Sheva
AVillarreal1 - 0Austria Wien
HVillarreal5 - 0Austria Wien
Ajax 34TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Qarabag2 - 4Ajax
Chelsea5 - 1Ajax
Marseille4 - 0Ajax
E.Frankfurt4 - 1Ajax
Union SG0 - 2Ajax
Rigas Futbola Skola1 - 0Ajax
R.Sociedad2 - 0Ajax
Qarabag0 - 3Ajax
Slavia1 - 1Ajax
Jagiellonia1 - 4Ajax
Panathinaikos0 - 1Ajax
Vojvodina1 - 3Ajax
A Villa4 - 0Ajax
Bodø1 - 1Ajax
Marseille4 - 3Ajax
Brighton2 - 0Ajax
AEK1 - 1Ajax
Ludogorets1 - 4Ajax
Union Berlin3 - 1Ajax
Rangers1 - 3Ajax
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
1
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAjax4 - 2Qarabag
HAjax0 - 2Benfica
HAjax0 - 3Galatasaray
AAjax1 - 5Chelsea
AAjax0 - 4Marseille
HAjax0 - 2Inter
AAjax1 - 4E.Frankfurt
HAjax1 - 2E.Frankfurt
HAjax0 - 2Union SG
AAjax2 - 0Union SG
HAjax2 - 1Galatasaray
AAjax0 - 1Rigas Futbola Skola
HAjax1 - 3Lazio
AAjax0 - 2R.Sociedad
HAjax5 - 0M. Tel-Aviv
AAjax3 - 0Qarabag
AAjax1 - 1Slavia
HAjax4 - 0Besiktas
HAjax3 - 0Jagiellonia
AAjax4 - 1Jagiellonia
Goal Statistics

Ajax have been abject at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 9 consecutive Champions League matches. This run could continue, with Villarreal's PG an impressive 2.7.

Villarreal 35th Ajax 34th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.7
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
1
18%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
5+
21%
There is a 82% probability that Villarreal will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Ajax will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
Villarreal’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+19
Ajax have scored 19% more goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season
Villarreal
PG (predicted goals)
Ajax
2.7
1.1
Attack rating
6%
better
VIL
AJA
view stats
Games scored14
15
Failed to score6
5
Scored first12
7
Goals scored35
32
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.6
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
17
Avg. XG for1.9
1.4
KickOff rating
+6%
Defence rating
31%
better
VIL
AJA
view stats
Games conceded14
18
Clean sheets6
2
Conceded first8
13
Goals conceded28
40
Avg. goals conceded1.4
2
Avg. shots/game conceded10
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
5
Conversion rate against15%
19%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.8
KickOff rating
+31%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Villarreal v Ajax will show here when available.

Villarreal Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7213
R VeigaT OluwaseyiR MarínS Mouriño
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Tenas GLK2
-
S Mouriño DEF6
3
-
R Marín DEF41
1
-
R Veiga DEF71
2
-
S Cardona DEF7
-
N Pépé MID71
-
S Comesaña MID71
1
-
T Partey MID4
1
-
A Moleiro MID7
1
-
T Oluwaseyi FWD62
-
A Pérez FWD5
-
Subs
L Júnior GLK5
-
D Conde GLK
-
A Pedraza DEF51
2
-
P. Navarro Badenes DEF2
-
D Parejo MID6
-
H. Lopez FWD
-
G Moreno FWD2
-
G Mikautadze FWD61
-
T Buchanan FWD6
-
Ajax Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7312
Y Baas O GloukhA GaaeiA Gaaei
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Jaroš GLK5
-
A Gaaei DEF611
2
-
A. Bouwman DEF2
1
-
Y Baas  DEF7
2
-
O Wijndal DEF5
1
-
D Klaassen MID7
1
-
Y Regeer MID7
-
J. Mokio MID6
1
-
O Gloukh FWD73
-
K Dolberg FWD41
-
M Godts FWD71
-
Subs
J. Heerkens GLK
-
R Pasveer GLK2
-
J Sutalo DEF5
-
G. Alders DEF1
-
L Rosa DEF31
1
-
K Itakura DEF6
1
-
K Fitz-Jim MID5
-
S. Steur MID21
-
A. Ouazane MID
-
R Moro FWD5
-
O Edvardsen FWD31
-
R. Bounida FWD3
-