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Ajax v Lazio : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Amsterdam ArenA, Amsterdam

Marco Baroni is aiming for a crucial away win in the Europa League on Thursday night, as he takes his Lazio side to the Amsterdam ArenA to visit Ajax and Francesco Farioli. Analysing both clubs' last 20 Europa League matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside the best odds.

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Ajax's next match is v Almere City at 15:45 on Sunday 15th December
Lazio's next match is v Inter at 19:45 on Monday 16th December
The last European Europa League meeting between Ajax and Lazio was on Thursday 12th December 2024
European Europa League
December 12th 2024
Ajax 1
3 Lazio
 
B. Traoré 47'12' L. Tchaouna
52' F. Dele-Bashiru
77' P. Rodríguez Ledesma
 
AJA
LAZ
Shots On
6
6
Shots Off
8
2
Corners
2
Possession
54%
46%
Fouls
8
18
Yellow/red cards
3/0
3/0
 
AjaxLazio
 
R. Pasveer
J. Šutalo
Y. Baas
D. Rensch (A. Gaaei 78')
J. Hato
K. Taylor (C. Kjelder Rasmussen 78')
J. Henderson
M. Godts (K. Fitz-Jim 57')
B. Brobbey (W. Weghorst 72')
S. Berghuis (C. Akpom 72')
B. Traoréfootball icon
C. Mandas
(N. Varela Tavares 69') L. Pellegrini
S. Gigot
(M. Fuentes 72') P. Gabarrón Gil
(A. Marušić 46') M. Lazzari
football iconF. Dele-Bashiru
N. Rovella
V. Castellanos Giménez
(M. Zaccagni 46') B. Dia
football iconL. Tchaouna
(M. Guendouzi Olié 88') football iconP. Rodríguez Ledesma

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Europa League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

We have a pair of impressive, attacking groups going head-to-head and, as such, we're predicting both of them to score at least 1 goal during the 90 minutes. Can respective bosses Francesco Farioli or Marco Baroni find a tactical plan to top their opponent? Recent form stats and historical head-to-heads, as well as the latest odds from the bookmakers, do not suggest so.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Ajax are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 45% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Ajax
45%
5/4
2%
5/4
2%
Draw
24%
5/2
6%
12/5
3%
Lazio
32%
21/10
5%
21/10
3%
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1
8%
11/2
Ajax 2-1
9%
8/17/1
Ajax 1-0
8%
9/18/1
Lazio 2-1
8%
10/1
8%
17/2
5%
Ajax 2-0
7%
11/110/1
Lazio 1-0
7%
11/1
8%
9/1
9%
Draw 2-2
6%
11/1
9%
9/1
Ajax 3-1
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
Draw 0-0
5%
12/19/1
9%
Lazio 2-0
4%
16/1
11%
14/1
Ajax 3-0
4%
20/116/1
Ajax 3-2
4%
20/116/1
Lazio 3-1
3%
20/1
9%
16/1
Lazio 3-2
3%
25/118/1
Ajax 4-1
2%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
4/613/20
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
6/511/10
2%
Home 1st Goal
51%
8/11
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
47%
6/5
2%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
12/1-
BTTS - Yes
61%
4/7
3%
11/20
1%
BTTS - No
39%
5/4
5%
13/10
3%
BTTS - Home Win
24%
3/1
7%
11/4
4%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3
8%
3/1
BTTS - Away Win
18%
9/219/5
Home/draw
68%
4/11
2%
4/11
1%
Away/draw
55%
8/13
3%
8/13
2%
Home/away
76%
2/7
3%
3/10
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
2/9
2%
2/9
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
10/3
4%
3/1
5%
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
7/4
5%
8/5
4%
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
4/9
4%
10/21
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
4/1
11%
7/2
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1/6
3%
2/11
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
9/1
11%
15/2
6%
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/16
1%
1/18
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/251/25
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/19/1
9%
Home DNB
61%
8/13
3%
8/13
3%
Away DNB
48%
6/5
2%
23/20
4%
Ajax win to nil
20%
10/3-
Lazio win to nil
14%
5/1
8%
-
Ajax / Ajax
22%
13/5
3%
13/5
6%
Ajax / Lazio
3%
25/120/1
Ajax / Draw
7%
12/110/1
Draw / Ajax
15%
9/217/4
Draw / Lazio
12%
6/1
7%
11/2
7%
Draw / Draw
14%
5/14/1
Lazio / Ajax
4%
22/1
10%
18/1
Lazio / Lazio
16%
15/4
5%
19/5
4%
Lazio / Draw
6%
12/111/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Europa League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Ajax
Lazio
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lazio Away65101116 
l
 
1-3A
-
-
-
2
A.Bilbao6510916 
-
-
-
-
3
Anderlecht6420514 
-
-
-
-
4
Lyon6411813 
-
-
-
-
5
E.Frankfurt6411413 
-
-
-
-
6
Galatasaray6330412 
Jan 30
-
-
-
7
Man Utd6330412 
-
-
-
-
8
Rangers6321611 
-
-
-
-
9
Spurs6321411 
-
-
-
-
10
FCSB6321211 
-
-
-
-
11
Ajax Home6312810 
-
-
-
w
 
1-3F
12
R.Sociedad6312410 
-
l
 
2-0A
Jan 23
-
13
Bodø6312110 
-
-
-
-
14
Roma623139 
-
-
-
-
15
Olympiakos623129 
-
-
-
-
16
Ferencvaros630319 
-
-
-
-
17
Plzen623119 
-
-
-
-
18
Porto622228 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
-
19
AZ Alkmaar622208 
-
-
-
-
20
Union SG622208 
-
-
-
-
21
Fenerbahce6222-28 
-
-
-
-
22
PAOK621327 
-
-
-
-
23
Midtjylland6213-27 
-
-
-
-
24
Elfsborg6213-37 
-
-
-
-
25
Braga6213-37 
-
-
-
Jan 30
26
Hoffenheim6132-36 
-
-
-
-
27
M. Tel-Aviv6204-66 
w
 
5-0F
-
-
-
28
Besiktas6204-76 
w
 
4-0F
-
-
-
29
Slavia6114-24 
-
d
 
1-1F
-
-
30
Twente6042-34 
-
-
-
w
 
0-2F
31
Malmö6114-64 
-
-
-
-
32
Ludogorets6033-53 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
-
33
Qarabag6105-103 
-
w
 
0-3F
-
-
34
Rigas Futbola Skola6024-72 
-
Jan 23
-
-
35
Nice6024-82 
-
-
w
 
4-1F
-
36
Dynamo Kyiv6006-140 
-
-
-
w
 
0-3F
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
Ajax 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Lazio 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

Ajax have been consistent in front of goal of late, finding the net in 20 consecutive Europa League games. Their PG of 1.7 against Lazio on Thursday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Ajax 11th Lazio 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Ajax will score 1 or more goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 75% probability that Lazio will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-11
Ajax have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted
-24
Lazio have scored 24% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Europa League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/287841/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Ajax
PG (predicted goals)
Lazio
1.7
1.4
Attack rating
11%
better
AJA
LAZ
view stats
Games scored19
18
Failed to score1
2
Scored first11
14
Goals scored50
41
Avg. goals scored2.5
2.1
Avg. shots per game12
11
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for22
19
Avg. XG for2
1.7
KickOff rating
+11%
Defence rating
2%
better
AJA
LAZ
view stats
Games conceded11
13
Clean sheets9
7
Conceded first9
5
Goals conceded18
19
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
7
Conversion rate against12%
13%
Avg. XG against1.1
0.8
KickOff rating
+2%

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Ajax v Lazio will show here when available.

Ajax Europa League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12436
R PasveerK TaylorK TaylorK Taylor
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Pasveer GLK12
-
D Rensch DEF111
-
J Sutalo DEF111
1
-
Y Baas  DEF11
1
1
J Hato DEF1211
4
-
S Berghuis  MID812
-
J Henderson MID101
3
-
K Taylor MID1143
6
-
B Traoré FWD932
-
B Brobbey FWD923
1
-
M Godts FWD1043
-
Subs
D Ramaj GLK
-
J Gorter GLK
-
D. Janse DEF
-
A Gaaei DEF8
1
-
A Kaplan DEF1
-
D Rugani DEF4
-
K Hlynsson MID4
-
B Boomen MID112
2
-
K Fitz-Jim MID1031
2
-
C Rasmussen  FWD8
-
C Akpom FWD1241
2
-
W Weghorst FWD311
1
-
Lazio Europa League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6433
L TchaounaPedroPedroS Gigot 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Mandas GLK5
-
M Lazzari  DEF3
-
Patric DEF5
1
-
S Gigot  DEF4
3
-
L Pellegrini DEF6
3
-
N Rovella MID61
2
-
F Dele-Bashiru MID422
-
L Tchaouna MID611
1
-
B Dia MID62
-
Pedro MID643
-
T Castellanos FWD621
-
Subs
A Furlanetto GLK
-
I Provedel GLK1
-
N Tavares DEF2
-
M Gila  DEF5
-
A Marusic DEF6
-
M Guendouzi MID4
1
-
M Zaccagni MID611
2
-
G Isaksen FWD411
1
-
T Noslin FWD2
1
European Europa League match betting previews, predictions and odds