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FC Basel v Aston Villa : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 11th Dec, 20:00 BST, St Jakob-Park, Basel

Thursday night at the St Jakob-Park, and it’s a Europa League clash between FC Basel and Aston Villa. Ludovic Magnin and Unai Emery Etxegoien will be doing all they can to guide their side to the win. We've got predictions, tips, and odds from leading bookmakers and head-to-head statistics across all the main betting markets, all with the aim of helping you find a winning bet on this Europa League clash.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Europa League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

This Europa League fixture, with Basel and A Villa going head-to-head, offers real intrigue in the popular under 2.5 goals market, with 3 goals or more being scored looking highly likely. Attackers on both sides will look to take advantage of an open match and, having analysed the relevant stats and odds, we're confident that a bet on over 2.5 goals is the one to go for.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 53% chance of A Villa coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Basel 25%	27/10	3/1
Draw 22%	16/5	3/1
A Villa 53%	4/5	4/5
Draw 1-1 10%	15/2	7/1
A Villa 2-1 10%	15/2	7/1
A Villa 1-0 7%	9/1	8/1
A Villa 2-0 7%	9/1	9/1
A Villa 3-1 6%	12/1	11/1
Basel 2-1 6%	12/1	11/1
Draw 2-2 6%	12/1	10/1
Basel 1-0 5%	14/1	12/1
A Villa 3-0 5%	14/1	12/1
A Villa 3-2 4%	18/1	16/1
Draw 0-0 4%	18/1	12/1
Basel 2-0 3%	22/1	18/1
A Villa 4-1 3%	22/1	18/1
Basel 3-1 3%	25/1	22/1
Basel 3-2 3%	28/1	22/1
Over 2.5 Goals 64%	4/7	8/15
Under 2.5 Goals 36%	11/8	11/8
Home 1st Goal 45%	13/10	7/5
Away 1st Goal 53%	8/13	8/13
No 1st Goal 2%	18/1	12/1
BTTS - Yes 63%	4/7	11/20
BTTS - No 37%	5/4	13/10
BTTS - Home Win 15%	5/1	5/1
BTTS - Draw 18%	4/1	7/2
BTTS - Away Win 30%	21/10	2/1
Home/draw 47%	19/20	1/1
Away/draw 75%	2/7	1/4
Home/away 78%	2/9	1/4
Over 1.5 Goals 84%	1/6	1/6
Under 1.5 Goals 16%	4/1	18/5
Over 3.5 Goals 42%	11/8	13/10
Under 3.5 Goals 58%	4/7	11/20
Over 4.5 Goals 23%	10/3	29/10
Under 4.5 Goals 77%	2/9	2/9
Over 5.5 Goals 11%	7/1	6/1
Under 5.5 Goals 89%	1/12	1/12
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1/50	1/40
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	18/1	12/1
Home DNB 40%	7/4	19/10
Away DNB 69%	2/5	7/20
Basel win to nil 10%	7/1	-
A Villa win to nil 24%	11/4	-
Basel / Basel 13%	11/2	5/1
Basel / A Villa 4%	18/1	16/1
Basel / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1
Draw / Basel 9%	8/1	15/2
Draw / A Villa 16%	4/1	19/5
Draw / Draw 13%	11/2	5/1
A Villa / Basel 3%	28/1	25/1
A Villa / A Villa 29%	7/4	17/10
A Villa / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1

Win / draw / win Europa League table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Basel A Villa
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Lyon	5	4	0	1	9	12	-	l 2-0A	-	-
2	Midtjylland	5	4	0	1	7	12	-	-	-	-
3	A Villa	5	4	0	1	5	12	Dec 11	-	-	-
4	Freiburg	5	3	2	0	5	11	-	l 2-1A	-	-
5	Real Betis	5	3	2	0	5	11	-	-	-	-
6	Ferencvaros	5	3	2	0	4	11	-	-	-	-
7	Braga	5	3	1	1	4	10	-	-	-	-
8	Porto	5	3	1	1	3	10	-	-	-	-
9	Genk	5	3	1	1	2	10	-	l 2-1A	-	-
10	Celta	5	3	0	2	4	9	-	-	-	-
11	Lille	5	3	0	2	4	9	-	-	-	-
12	Stuttgart	5	3	0	2	4	9	w 2-0F	-	-	-
13	Plzen	5	2	3	0	4	9	Jan 29	-	-	-
14	Panathinaikos	5	3	0	2	2	9	-	-	-	-
15	Roma	5	3	0	2	2	9	-	-	-	-
16	Nottm Forest	5	2	2	1	4	8	-	-	-	-
17	PAOK	5	2	2	1	3	8	-	-	-	-
18	Bologna	5	2	2	1	3	8	-	-	w 1-0F	-
19	Brann	5	2	2	1	3	8	-	-	-	-
20	Fenerbahce	5	2	2	1	0	8	-	-	-	Jan 22
21	Celtic	5	2	1	2	-1	7	-	-	-	-
22	Red Star Bel.	5	2	1	2	-1	7	-	-	-	-
23	D. Zagreb	5	2	1	2	-3	7	-	-	-	-
24	Basel	5	2	0	3	0	6	-	-	-	Dec 11
25	Ludogorets	5	2	0	3	-3	6	-	-	-	-
26	Young Boys	5	2	0	3	-5	6	-	-	w 2-1F	-
27	GA Eagles	5	2	0	3	-5	6	-	-	-	l 2-1F
28	Sturm Graz	5	1	1	3	-3	4	-	-	-	-
29	Salzburg	5	1	0	4	-5	3	-	Jan 22	Jan 29	-
30	Feyenoord	5	1	0	4	-5	3	-	-	-	w 0-2F
31	FCSB	5	1	0	4	-5	3	w 3-1F	-	-	-
32	Utrecht	5	0	1	4	-5	1	-	-	-	-
33	Rangers	5	0	1	4	-7	1	-	-	-	-
34	Malmö	5	0	1	4	-8	1	-	-	-	-
35	M. Tel-Aviv	5	0	1	4	-13	1	-	-	w 2-0F	-
36	Nice	5	0	0	5	-8	0	-	-	-	-

	Next round
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Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Basel	3 - 1	FCSB
Basel	2 - 0	Stuttgart
Basel	1 - 1	Kobenhavn
Basel	1 - 3	Tobol Kostanay
Basel	1 - 2	Fiorentina
Basel	2 - 2	Nice
Basel	2 - 2	S. Bratislava
Basel	2 - 0	Trabzonspor
Basel	2 - 2	VMFD Zalgiris
Basel	0 - 2	S. Bratislava
Basel	3 - 1	Pyunik Yerevan
Basel	2 - 0	CSK Sofia
Basel	2 - 1	Brondby
Basel	2 - 0	Crusaders
Basel	1 - 2	Marseille
Basel	3 - 0	Qarabag
Basel	3 - 1	Omnia Nicosia
Basel	4 - 2	Kairat Almaty
Basel	3 - 1	Hammarby
Basel	4 - 0	Ujpest

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Basel	1 - 2	Genk
H	Basel	3 - 1	FCSB
A	Basel	0 - 2	Lyon
H	Basel	2 - 0	Stuttgart
A	Basel	1 - 2	Freiburg
A	Basel	0 - 2	Kobenhavn
H	Basel	1 - 1	Kobenhavn
A	Basel	2 - 1	Tobol Kostanay
H	Basel	1 - 3	Tobol Kostanay
H	Basel	1 - 2	Fiorentina
A	Basel	2 - 1	Fiorentina
A	Basel	1 - 1	Nice
H	Basel	2 - 2	Nice
A	Basel	2 - 2	S. Bratislava
H	Basel	2 - 2	S. Bratislava
H	Basel	2 - 0	Trabzonspor
A	Basel	0 - 1	Trabzonspor
A	Basel	2 - 1	Pyunik Yerevan
H	Basel	2 - 2	VMFD Zalgiris
A	Basel	3 - 3	S. Bratislava

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
GA Eagles	2 - 1	A Villa
Feyenoord	0 - 2	A Villa
PSG	3 - 1	A Villa
Brugge	1 - 3	A Villa
Monaco	1 - 0	A Villa
RB Leipzig	2 - 3	A Villa
Brugge	1 - 0	A Villa
Young Boys	0 - 3	A Villa
Olympiakos	2 - 0	A Villa
Lille	2 - 1	A Villa
Ajax	0 - 0	A Villa
Hsk Zrinjski Mostar	1 - 1	A Villa
AZ Alkmaar	1 - 4	A Villa
L. Warsaw	3 - 2	A Villa
Hibernian	0 - 5	A Villa
Rapid Wien	1 - 1	A Villa
Rapid Wien	1 - 0	A Villa
CSKA M	2 - 0	A Villa
Hamburg	3 - 1	A Villa
Slavia	0 - 1	A Villa

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	A Villa	2 - 1	Young Boys
H	A Villa	2 - 0	M. Tel-Aviv
A	A Villa	1 - 2	GA Eagles
A	A Villa	2 - 0	Feyenoord
H	A Villa	1 - 0	Bologna
H	A Villa	3 - 2	PSG
A	A Villa	1 - 3	PSG
H	A Villa	3 - 0	Brugge
A	A Villa	3 - 1	Brugge
H	A Villa	4 - 2	Celtic
A	A Villa	0 - 1	Monaco
A	A Villa	3 - 2	RB Leipzig
H	A Villa	0 - 0	Juventus
A	A Villa	0 - 1	Brugge
H	A Villa	2 - 0	Bologna
H	A Villa	1 - 0	Bayern
A	A Villa	3 - 0	Young Boys
A	A Villa	0 - 2	Olympiakos
H	A Villa	2 - 4	Olympiakos
A	A Villa	1 - 2	Lille

Goal Statistics

	Basel 24th	A Villa 3rd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	2.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 27% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 62% probability that Basel will score no more than 1 goal	0 14% 1 27% 2 27% 3 18% 4+ 14% There is a 86% probability that A Villa will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	=0 Basel’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	=0 A Villa’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	2.2 average goals scored	1.5 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	1.3 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Europa League - 2025/2025 season

BSL

AVL

12%

better

view stats

Games scored	15		15
Failed to score	5		4
Scored first	8		11
Goals scored	28		29
Avg. goals scored	1.4		1.5
Avg. shots per game	11		9
Avg. shots per goal	8		6
Conversion rate for	12		17
Avg. XG for	1.9		1.4
KickOff rating		+12%

BSL

AVL

10%

better

view stats

Games conceded	13		12
Clean sheets	7		7
Conceded first	10		7
Goals conceded	24		18
Avg. goals conceded	1.2		0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	9		8
Conversion rate against	11%		12%
Avg. XG against	1.6		1.3
KickOff rating		+10%

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Basel v A Villa will show here when available.

Basel Europa League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
5	3	2	2
L Leroy	X Shaqiri	X Shaqiri	A Ajeti

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Leroy MID	5		1	1 -
X Shaqiri MID	5	3	2	-
P Otele FWD	5	2		-
M Broschinski FWD	5	1		-
M Hitz GLK	4			-
N Vouilloz DEF	4			1 -
F Daniliuc DEF	4			-
D Schmid DEF	4			1 -
A Barisic DEF	4			1 -
K Koindredi MID	4			-
Metinho MID	4			-
M. Soticek MID	4		1	-
A Ajeti FWD	4	1		2 -
I Salah FWD	4	1		1 -
J Adjetey DEF	3			-
K Rüegg DEF	3			-
A. Bačanin MID	3			-
J. Agbonifo FWD	3			-
B Traoré FWD	3		1	1 -
K Tsunemoto DEF	2			1 -
M Salvi GLK	1			-
M. Cissé DEF	1			-
A. Junior Zé FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	6	2	3
X Shaqiri	X Shaqiri	X Shaqiri	X Shaqiri

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
X Shaqiri MID	3	6	2	3
P Otele FWD	2	3
M Broschinski FWD	1	2
A Ajeti FWD	1	2
I Salah FWD	1	2
L Leroy MID		5	1
Metinho MID		1
M. Soticek MID			1
J Adjetey DEF		1
J. Agbonifo FWD		1
B Traoré FWD		1	1
A. Junior Zé FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
248	16	27
F Daniliuc	L Leroy	L Leroy

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
F Daniliuc DEF	248	4	17
Metinho MID	233	10	18
L Leroy MID	199	16	27
X Shaqiri MID	187		15
D Schmid DEF	167	9	21
A Barisic DEF	152	9	26
J Adjetey DEF	149	3	13
N Vouilloz DEF	113	2	8
M Hitz GLK	112		2
P Otele FWD	110	2	11
B Traoré FWD	70	5	14
K Koindredi MID	60	1	6
K Tsunemoto DEF	59	4	11
A. Bačanin MID	55	3	5
M. Cissé DEF	49	5	7
I Salah FWD	46		3
M. Soticek MID	39	2	10
A Ajeti FWD	38	1	8
M Broschinski FWD	35		5
J. Agbonifo FWD	30	6	12
K Rüegg DEF	28	4	5
M Salvi GLK	18		1
A. Junior Zé FWD	10		2

A Villa Europa League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
5	3	2	1
I Maatsen	D Malen	M Rogers	I Maatsen

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
I Maatsen DEF	5	1		1 -
P Torres DEF	5			-
E Buendía MID	5	1		-
B Kamara MID	5		1	-
M Rogers MID	5		2	1 -
O Watkins FWD	5			-
E Guessand FWD	5	1		-
D Malen FWD	5	3		-
V Lindelöf DEF	4			1 -
E Konsa DEF	4			-
J McGinn MID	4	2		1 -
L Bogarde MID	4			-
J Sancho FWD	4			-
E Martínez GLK	3			-
M Cash DEF	3			1 -
A Onana MID	3			1 -
M Bizot GLK	2			1 -
L Digne DEF	2			-
Y Tielemans MID	2		1	-
T Mings DEF	1			-
R Barkley MID	1			-
H Elliot MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	8	2	3
D Malen	D Malen	M Rogers	M Rogers

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
D Malen FWD	3	8
J McGinn MID	2	2
I Maatsen DEF	1	2		2
E Buendía MID	1	2		1
E Guessand FWD	1	4		1
B Kamara MID			1	1
M Rogers MID		2	2	3
O Watkins FWD		5
J Sancho FWD		3		1
A Onana MID		1		1
Y Tielemans MID		1	1
R Barkley MID				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
291	13	25
P Torres	I Maatsen	I Maatsen

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
P Torres DEF	291	3	10
E Konsa DEF	249	2	15
I Maatsen DEF	189	13	25
V Lindelöf DEF	186	2	4
B Kamara MID	176	7	25
L Bogarde MID	176	5	13
A Onana MID	157	8	16
M Rogers MID	128	1	21
J Sancho FWD	128	2	9
E Martínez GLK	113		1
E Buendía MID	108	6	16
J McGinn MID	97	1	6
E Guessand FWD	90	6	16
M Bizot GLK	89		1
M Cash DEF	79	3	8
Y Tielemans MID	67	2	3
T Mings DEF	55		2
O Watkins FWD	38		10
D Malen FWD	36	3	14
R Barkley MID	21	1	2
L Digne DEF	16	1	2
H Elliot MID	9		1