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Benfica v Marseille : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio da Luz, Lisbon

Thursday night sees Roger Schmidt’s Benfica and Jean-Louis Gasset’s Marseille go up against one another in a Europa League battle at the Estádio da Luz. Stats for our tip of are shown below, including head-to-head history. Changing the market with the tabs changes all statistics and the odds from leading bookmakers, so be sure to have a browse to find the best bet for you.

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Benfica's next match is v Marseille at 20:00 on Thursday 18th April
Marseille's next match is v Benfica at 20:00 on Thursday 18th April
The last European Europa League meeting between Benfica and Marseille was on Thursday 11th April 2024
European Europa League
April 11th 2024
Benfica 2
1 Marseille
 
R. Fernandes Ferreira da Silva 16'67' P. Aubameyang
Á. Di María Hernández 52'
 
BEF
MAR
Shots On
3
2
Shots Off
3
5
Corners
5
8
Possession
57%
43%
Fouls
9
8
Yellow/red cards
1/0
 
BenficaMarseille
 
A. Trubin
A. Tavares Silva
A. Hartmann Bah
N. Otamendi
F. Morris Luís
F. Aursnes
J. Gonçalves Neves
C. Tengstedt (M. Santos Almeida 71')
Á. Di María Hernándezfootball icon
R. Fernandes Ferreira da Silvafootball icon
D. Neres Campos (J. Naval da Costa Eduardo 71')
P. López Sabata
(E. Soglo 67') C. Mbemba Mangulu
S. Gigot
L. Balerdi Rossa
J. Veretout
(I. Ndiaye 45') Q. Merlin
G. Kondogbia
A. Harit
(A. Ounahi 53') F. Pemi Moumbagna
L. Tomaz de Lima
football iconP. Aubameyang
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead we're predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Benfica and Marseille will score at least 2 between them during 90 mins. This is based on each side's recent form stats, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 79%. The bookies have it at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Benfica are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.85.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Benfica
56%
7/10
17%
8/11
18%
4/5
14%
10/13
13%
Draw
22%
11/4
10%
14/5
6%
11/4
7%
11/4
6%
Marseille
22%
4/1
43%
18/5
39%
16/5
24%
17/5
29%
Draw 1-1
10%
6/1
8%
6/1
8%
13/2
7%
6/1
4%
Benfica 2-1
10%
15/2
6%
13/2
6%
7/1
6%
7/1
6%
Benfica 1-0
9%
15/213/27/115/2
Benfica 2-0
9%
8/1
10%
7/1
16%
17/2
14%
17/2
5%
Benfica 3-1
6%
12/1
13%
10/1
15%
12/1
13%
12/1
13%
Marseille 2-1
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
20%
12/1
18%
13/1
27%
Benfica 3-0
6%
12/1
32%
11/1
20%
14/1
21%
14/1
12%
Draw 2-2
5%
12/111/1
9%
12/112/1
4%
Marseille 1-0
5%
14/1
25%
11/1
26%
14/1
25%
13/1
27%
Draw 0-0
5%
12/1
8%
10/1
10%
12/1
18%
13/1
17%
Benfica 3-2
3%
20/1
9%
16/1
11%
20/1
9%
19/1
5%
Marseille 2-0
3%
25/1
37%
18/1
27%
22/1
35%
20/1
24%
Benfica 4-1
3%
22/1
32%
18/1
17%
25/1
24%
24/1
19%
Benfica 4-0
3%
25/1
37%
18/1
27%
28/1
29%
25/1
28%
Marseille 3-1
2%
33/1
31%
25/1
37%
28/1
12%
29/1
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
7/10
6%
-4/6
7%
7/10
4%
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
11/10
5%
-11/10
10%
23/20
9%
Home 1st Goal
54%
4/9
11%
-3/5
8%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
15/8
20%
-6/4
11%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
12/1
8%
-11/1
9%
-
BTTS - Yes
57%
4/64/64/613/20
1%
BTTS - No
43%
11/1011/1011/1059/50
1%
BTTS - Home Win
28%
9/4
19%
11/5
16%
23/10
12%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
7/2
4%
18/5
6%
7/2
7%
7/2
BTTS - Away Win
12%
7/1
23%
6/1
27%
6/1
17%
-
Home/draw
78%
1/6
9%
2/11
11%
2/9
6%
11/50
5%
Away/draw
44%
11/10
21%
11/10
21%
Evs
16%
26/25
19%
Home/away
78%
1/4
4%
1/4
3%
1/4
4%
7/25
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
2/9
2%
-2/9
2%
1/5
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
10/3
8%
-3/1
7%
17/5
10%
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
7/4
8%
-7/4
8%
7/4
10%
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
4/9
3%
-2/5
3%
4/9
7%
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
4/1
9%
-4/1
9%
17/4
13%
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1/6
3%
-1/7
1%
1/7
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
9/1
9%
-8/1
10%
19/2
5%
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/16
1%
-1/20
1%
1/25
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/25-1/251/50
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/1
8%
-9/112/1
8%
Home DNB
71%
2/7
10%
2/7
14%
4/11
9%
7/20
9%
Away DNB
37%
5/2
34%
12/5
43%
2/1
20%
11/5
29%
Benfica win to nil
28%
9/4
13%
-11/5
11%
-
Marseille win to nil
10%
9/1
54%
-7/1
23%
-
Benfica / Benfica
31%
13/8
19%
13/8
19%
7/4
15%
7/4
15%
Benfica / Marseille
2%
33/1
17%
25/1
13%
33/140/1
32%
Benfica / Draw
6%
12/112/1
8%
14/1
15%
13/1
8%
Draw / Benfica
17%
15/4
5%
17/5
12%
4/1
9%
4/1
6%
Draw / Marseille
9%
17/2
27%
8/1
29%
9/1
18%
9/1
25%
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
9%
9/2
10%
5/1
9%
5/1
9%
Marseille / Benfica
4%
20/1
9%
16/1
11%
20/1
9%
20/1
9%
Marseille / Marseille
12%
13/2
36%
6/1
33%
11/2
18%
6/1
27%
Marseille / Draw
6%
14/112/1
8%
14/1
15%
13/1
8%
bet365
Win / draw / win form
Benfica
20 games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Marseille
20 games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
Goal Statistics
Benfica Marseille
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
13%
There is a 85% probability that Benfica will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Marseille will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
+10
Benfica’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-25
Marseille have scored 25% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Statistics Europa League - 2023/2023 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/273945/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Benfica
PG (predicted goals)
Marseille
1.9
1.1
Attack rating
27%
better
BEF
MAR
view stats
Games scored18
16
Failed to score2
4
Scored first13
9
Goals scored47
32
Avg. goals scored2.4
1.6
Avg. shots per game12
11
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate20%
15%
KickOff rating
+27%
Defence rating
36%
better
BEF
MAR
view stats
Games conceded10
17
Clean sheets10
3
Conceded first6
11
Goals conceded17
26
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
6
Conversion rate11%
16%
KickOff rating
+36%

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Benfica v Marseille will show here when available.

Benfica Europa League squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5412
A TrubinÁngel Di MaríaÁngel Di MaríaA Bah
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Trubin GLK5
-
A Bah DEF5
2
-
A Silva DEF5
-
N Otamendi DEF5
-
F Aursnes DEF5
-
J Neves MID5
-
Florentino MID3
-
Ángel Di María MID541
1
-
R Silva MID52
-
D Neres  MID51
1
-
C Tengstedt FWD31
1
-
Subs
A Gomes GLK
-
S Soares GLK
-
T Araújo DEF
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF3
-
Morato DEF1
-
O Kökcü MID3
1
-
J Mário MID4
-
A Cabral FWD3
-
M Leonardo FWD4
-
T Gouveia FWD2
-
B Rollheiser FWD
-
Marseille Europa League squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
101063
P LópezP AubameyangA Harit L Balerdi
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P López GLK10
1
-
C Mbemba DEF103
1
-
S Gigot  DEF6
2
-
L Balerdi DEF9
3
-
L Henrique MID4
-
G Kondogbia MID101
1
-
J Veretout MID1032
-
Q Merlin MID5
2
-
A Harit  MID1116
-
P Aubameyang MID10102
-
F Moumbagna FWD4
-
Subs
R Blanco GLK1
-
Y M'Madi DEF
-
M Murillo DEF5
-
A Ounahi MID91
2
-
E. Soglo MID4
-
R. Daou MID
-
I Ndiaye FWD111
-
J Correa FWD5
-