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Benfica v Toulouse : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio da Luz, Lisbon

Carles Martínez Novell is aiming for a vital away win in the Europa League on Thursday night, as he takes his Toulouse side to the Estádio da Luz to visit Benfica and Roger Schmidt. Statistics for our tip of over 2.5 goals are shown below, including head-to-head history. Changing the market using the tabs below changes all statistics and the odds, making it easier than ever to find the right bet for you.

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Benfica's next match is v Porto at 20:30 on Sunday 3rd March
Toulouse's next match is v Nice at 12:00 on Sunday 3rd March
The last European Europa League meeting between Benfica and Toulouse was on Thursday 15th February 2024
European Europa League
February 15th 2024
Benfica 2
1 Toulouse
 
Á. Di María Hernández 68'75' M. Desler
Á. Di María Hernández 90'
 
BEF
TOU
Shots On
5
2
Shots Off
15
2
Corners
6
2
Possession
58%
42%
Fouls
7
13
Yellow/red cards
1/0
6/1
 
BenficaToulouse
 
A. Trubin
?. Fernández (A. Hartmann Bah 59')
A. Tavares Silva
N. Otamendi
J. Naval da Costa Eduardo (D. Neres Campos 59')
F. Aursnes
O. Kökçü
J. Gonçalves Neves
Á. Di María Hernándezfootball iconfootball icon
R. Fernandes Ferreira da Silva
A. Mendonça Cabral (M. Santos Almeida 87')
G. Restes
R. Nicolaisen
L. Costa
football iconM. Desler
G. Suazo Urbina
(C. Mawissa Elebi 70') M. Diarra
(C. Cásseres Yepes 77') S. Spierings
V. Sierro
(N. Skyttä 86') Y. Gboho
(W. Shavy 69') A. Dønnum
(F. Magri 77') T. Dallinga
Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As Roger Schmidt and his side approach kick-off, we're predicting a combined total of over 3 goals scored during the match. Statistics imply both teams have the weapons to deliver up top, an encouraging sign for the neutrals. With a real favourite to win the fixture, we think the best tip as they go head-to-head is over 2.5 goals.

The market is becoming increasingly assured in Benfica and Toulouse's ability to score 3 goals or more between them on Thursday, with odds shortening on over 2.5 goals and drifting on under 2.5 goals. All signs are good for our prediction.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Benfica are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 71% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.36.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Benfica
71%
1/3
5%
1/3
8%
3/10
7%
8/25
12%
Draw
17%
17/4
17%
21/5
18%
9/2
22%
22/5
24%
Toulouse
12%
15/2
13%
17/2
19%
17/2
27%
17/2
65%
Benfica 2-0
11%
13/2
15%
6/1
8%
6/1
8%
6/1
Benfica 2-1
10%
15/215/27/115/2
6%
Benfica 1-0
9%
15/2
31%
15/2
31%
7/1
33%
15/2
21%
Benfica 3-0
9%
8/18/1
5%
15/2
11%
15/2
15%
Draw 1-1
8%
9/1
18%
9/1
18%
10/1
29%
9/1
25%
Benfica 3-1
8%
10/1
8%
10/1
8%
9/1
17%
19/2
9%
Benfica 4-0
5%
14/1
12%
14/1
21%
12/1
24%
13/1
22%
Benfica 4-1
4%
16/1
26%
16/1
26%
16/1
26%
17/1
14%
Draw 2-2
4%
18/1
10%
18/118/116/1
6%
Draw 0-0
4%
16/1
55%
18/1
58%
16/1
42%
17/1
44%
Toulouse 2-1
3%
22/1
10%
25/1
13%
25/1
24%
22/1
44%
Toulouse 1-0
3%
20/1
24%
25/1
37%
25/1
53%
22/1
64%
Benfica 3-2
3%
22/1
21%
22/1
21%
22/1
12%
20/1
9%
Benfica 5-0
3%
25/1
24%
28/1
29%
25/1
37%
22/1
44%
Benfica 5-1
2%
28/1
29%
33/1
33%
33/1
33%
29/1
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
8/15
15%
8/15
13%
8/15
15%
8/15
13%
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
7/5
20%
7/5
23%
11/8
25%
6/4
27%
Home 1st Goal
60%
1/4
4%
1/3
5%
3/10
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
38%
3/114/5
6%
13/5
6%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
16/1
55%
18/1
58%
14/1
25%
-
BTTS - Yes
52%
4/5
12%
5/6
6%
5/6
9%
17/20
3%
BTTS - No
48%
19/20
15%
10/11
9%
5/6
6%
10/11
4%
BTTS - Home Win
33%
7/4
21%
7/4
15%
7/4
17%
-
BTTS - Draw
13%
11/25/1
4%
11/2
8%
27/5
14%
BTTS - Away Win
6%
12/114/1
15%
12/1-
Home/draw
88%
1/12
2%
1/16
3%
1/14
3%
1/16
3%
Away/draw
29%
9/4
18%
12/5
18%
23/10
20%
47/20
37%
Home/away
83%
1/6
1%
1/6
4%
1/7
5%
2/13
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1/6
6%
2/13
8%
1/6
6%
1/7
6%
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
4/1
25%
4/1
33%
7/2
20%
17/4
34%
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
11/8
26%
13/10
21%
11/8
27%
27/20
24%
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
4/7
15%
4/7
15%
8/15
15%
4/7
18%
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
3/1
27%
29/10
29%
3/1
33%
16/5
30%
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
1/4
10%
2/9
8%
2/9
10%
11/50
9%
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
7/1
27%
13/2
38%
13/2
32%
7/1
33%
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/12
3%
1/12
3%
1/14
4%
1/16
4%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/40
3%
1/40
3%
1/33
1%
1.00
3%
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
16/1
55%
16/1
42%
10/1
10%
16/1
36%
Home DNB
83%
1/9
3%
1/10
2%
1/12
4%
1/12
7%
Away DNB
24%
11/2
18%
11/2
18%
6/1
27%
13/2
67%
Benfica win to nil
39%
5/4
2%
13/1023/20
2%
-
Toulouse win to nil
5%
14/1
36%
18/1
46%
16/1
42%
-
Benfica / Benfica
45%
10/11
9%
1/1
11%
5/6
15%
22/25
13%
Benfica / Toulouse
1%
40/180/1
14%
66/180/1
76%
Benfica / Draw
4%
16/120/1
11%
18/1
12%
18/1
19%
Draw / Benfica
21%
3/13/1
3%
16/5
5%
7/2
2%
Draw / Toulouse
4%
16/1
13%
18/1
27%
18/1
27%
18/1
65%
Draw / Draw
10%
7/1
23%
7/1
23%
15/2
31%
7/1
28%
Toulouse / Benfica
4%
16/1
19%
20/1
19%
18/1
10%
20/1
Toulouse / Toulouse
5%
14/1
15%
18/1
27%
12/1
8%
15/1
88%
Toulouse / Draw
4%
18/120/118/1
12%
20/1
31%
bet365
Win / draw / win form
Benfica
20 games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
Toulouse
9 games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
7
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
4 / 9
Conceded
9 / 9
Clean sheets
0 / 9
Failed to score
5 / 9
Won
2
D
1
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
10 / 19
Conceded
15 / 19
Clean sheets
4 / 19
Failed to score
9 / 19
Won
6
Draw
4
Lost
9
Goal Statistics

Benfica's forwards have been in fine form of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 7 consecutive Europa League matches. A PG of 2.4 suggests that run should continue on Thursday night.

Benfica Toulouse
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.4
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
22%
There is a 69% probability that Benfica will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
43%
1
36%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 79% probability of Toulouse scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
+17
Benfica have scored 17% more goals at home than predicted
=0
Toulouse’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.1
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
2.3
conceded
 
Statistics Europa League - 2023/2023 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/268452/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Benfica
PG (predicted goals)
Toulouse
2.4
0.9
Attack rating
35%
better
BEF
TOU
view stats
Games scored18
14
Failed to score2
6
Scored first12
9
Goals scored47
26
Avg. goals scored2.4
1.3
Avg. shots per game13
8
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate19%
15%
KickOff rating
+35%
Defence rating
29%
better
BEF
TOU
view stats
Games conceded11
15
Clean sheets9
5
Conceded first6
8
Goals conceded16
26
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded11
8
Conversion rate9%
13%
KickOff rating
+29%

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Benfica v Toulouse will show here when available.

Benfica Europa League squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2201
A TrubinÁngel Di MaríaO Kökcü
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Trubin GLK2
-
F Aursnes DEF2
-
A Silva DEF2
-
N Otamendi DEF2
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF2
-
J Neves MID2
-
O Kökcü MID2
1
-
Ángel Di María MID22
-
R Silva MID2
-
J Mário MID2
-
A Cabral FWD2
-
Subs
S Soares GLK
-
A Gomes GLK
-
A Bah DEF2
1
-
Morato DEF1
-
T Araújo DEF
-
Florentino MID
-
D Neres  FWD2
-
C Tengstedt FWD1
-
B Rollheiser FWD
-
M Leonardo FWD1
-
T Gouveia FWD
-
Toulouse Europa League squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8423
G. RestesT DallingaA DönnumA Dönnum
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G. Restes GLK8
2
-
M Desler DEF71
2
-
L Costa DEF7
1
-
R Nicolaisen DEF8
1
-
M Diarra DEF8
1
-
S Spierings MID2
1
-
V Sierro MID81
1
-
A Dönnum MID812
3
-
Y Gboho MID2
-
G Suazo MID82
2
-
T Dallinga FWD842
-
Subs
J Lacombe GLK
-
Álex Domínguez GLK
-
W Kamanzi DEF6
2
-
C Mawissa DEF2
2
-
C Yepes MID7
1
-
C Gelabert MID61
-
N Skyttä MID2
1
-
S Babicka FWD2
-
I Cissoko FWD1
-
F Magri FWD81
2
-