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Bologna v Aston Villa : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna

Bologna are in Europa League action on Thursday night, as Vincenzo Italiano attempts to outsmart Unai Emery Etxegoien and his Aston Villa side at the Renato Dall'Ara. The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games each side has played (home, away and overall) with weighting given to top teams. All the stats and graphics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head-to-head stats for this fixture are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided directly from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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Bologna's next match is v A Villa at 20:00 on Thursday 16th April
Aston Villa's next match is v Bologna at 20:00 on Thursday 16th April

The last European Europa League meeting between Bologna and A Villa was on Thursday 9th April 2026

European Europa League

April 9th 2026

Bologna 1	3 A Villa

J. Rowe 90'	44' E. Konsa Ngoyo
	51' O. Watkins
	90' O. Watkins

	BOL AVL
Shots On	4 4
Shots Off	5 4
Corners	4 3
Possession	58% 42%
Fouls	19 15
Yellow/red cards	2/0 1/0

Bologna	A Villa

F. Ravaglia R. Freuler (N. Cambiaghi 90') S. Castro (J. Odgaard 82') F. Bernardeschi J. Rowe T. Heggem J. Neto Lopes J. Lucumí Bonilla J. Miranda González L. Ferguson (R. Orsolini 67') T. Pobega (N. Moro 67')	M. Cash E. Konsa Ngoyo L. Digne P. Francisco Torres J. McGinn Y. Tielemans (L. Bailey Butler 88') E. Buendía O. Watkins D. Martínez (L. Bogarde 80') A. Mvom Onana (I. Maatsen 88') M. Rogers

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Europa League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to win this match, but what is clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Bologna and A Villa have delivered a host of under 3.5 goal games recently, and key performance statistics point towards more of the same. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Thursday night, and the bookies have it priced at 1.25.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 46% chance of A Villa coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Bologna 24%	29/10 10%	200/1 10%
Draw 26%	12/5 3%	22/1 2%
A Villa 50%	1/1 8%	1/66 6%
A Villa 1-0 12%	11/2 6%	14/5
Draw 1-1 12%	11/2	10/3
A Villa 2-0 9%	8/1	1/4 9%
A Villa 2-1 9%	8/1 5%	13/2
Draw 0-0 8%	15/2 5%	14/5
Bologna 1-0 8%	9/1 6%	11/2 6%
Bologna 2-1 6%	12/1 9%	12/1 5%
A Villa 3-0 5%	16/1 9%	13/2 11%
A Villa 3-1 5%	16/1 10%	28/1 12%
Draw 2-2 5%	14/1	45/1
Bologna 2-0 4%	18/1	12/1 15%
A Villa 3-2 2%	28/1	150/1
Bologna 3-1 2%	33/1 13%	33/1 10%
A Villa 4-0 2%	40/1 20%	45/1
A Villa 4-1 2%	40/1	100/1 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%	11/10 5%	13/5 2%
Under 2.5 Goals 54%	8/11 4%	1/4 1%
Home 1st Goal 42%	6/4 5%	6/4 5%
Away 1st Goal 53%	4/6 6%	5/4 5%
No 1st Goal 5%	15/2 5%	27/10
BTTS - Yes 49%	19/20	5/1
BTTS - No 51%	4/5	1/10 2%
BTTS - Home Win 11%	15/2 8%	125/1 5%
BTTS - Draw 18%	15/4	40/1
BTTS - Away Win 21%	7/2 10%	11/2 8%
Home/draw 50%	4/5 9%	16/1 6%
Away/draw 76%	1/4 3%	1/1000 4%
Home/away 74%	3/10 2%	1/500
Over 1.5 Goals 72%	4/11	1/4
Under 1.5 Goals 28%	11/5	27/10
Over 3.5 Goals 25%	3/1 7%	10/1 6%
Under 3.5 Goals 75%	1/4 1%	1/25 3%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%	7/1 7%	70/1 7%
Under 4.5 Goals 89%	1/12 1%	1/1000 1%
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	16/1	1/50
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1/33	1/50
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	1/14	1/4
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	8/1 5%	27/10 6%
Home DNB 42%	7/4 13%	125/1 10%
Away DNB 68%	2/5 9%	1/1000 6%
Bologna win to nil 14%	11/2 10%	-
A Villa win to nil 29%	9/4 6%	-
Bologna / Bologna 13%	11/2 5%	125/1 11%
Bologna / A Villa 3%	25/1	33/1
Bologna / Draw 6%	14/1	125/1
Draw / Bologna 10%	7/1 8%	33/1
Draw / A Villa 17%	4/1	28/1 9%
Draw / Draw 17%	4/1	25/1
A Villa / Bologna 3%	33/1	17/2
A Villa / A Villa 25%	11/5 10%	4/9 7%
A Villa / Draw 6%	14/1	13/5

Win / draw / win Europa League table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Bologna A Villa
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Lyon	8	7	0	1	13	21	-	-	-	-
2	A Villa	8	7	0	1	8	21	l 1-3A	l 1-0A	-	-
3	Midtjylland	8	6	1	1	10	19	-	-	-	-
4	Real Betis	8	5	2	1	6	17	-	-	-	-
5	Porto	8	5	2	1	6	17	-	-	-	-
6	Braga	8	5	2	1	6	17	-	-	-	-
7	Freiburg	8	5	2	1	6	17	d 1-1F	-	-	-
8	Roma	8	5	1	2	7	16	d 1-1F	w 3-4F	-	-
9	Genk	8	5	1	2	4	16	-	-	-	-
10	Bologna	8	4	3	1	7	15	-	-	w 1-0F	w 1-3F
11	Stuttgart	8	5	0	3	6	15	-	-	-	-
12	Ferencvaros	8	4	3	1	1	15	-	-	-	-
13	Nottm Forest	8	4	2	2	8	14	-	-	-	-
14	Plzen	8	3	5	0	5	14	-	-	-	-
15	Red Star Bel.	8	4	2	2	1	14	-	-	-	-
16	Celta	8	4	1	3	4	13	-	w 1-2A	-	-
17	PAOK	8	3	3	2	3	12	-	-	-	-
18	Lille	8	4	0	4	3	12	-	-	w 2-0F	w 0-1F
19	Fenerbahce	8	3	3	2	3	12	-	-	-	w 0-1F
20	Panathinaikos	8	3	3	2	2	12	-	-	-	-
21	Celtic	8	3	2	3	-2	11	d 2-2A	-	-	-
22	Ludogorets	8	3	1	4	-3	10	-	-	-	-
23	D. Zagreb	8	3	1	4	-4	10	-	-	-	-
24	Brann	8	2	3	3	-2	9	d 0-00-0	w 0-1F	-	-
25	Young Boys	8	3	0	5	-6	9	-	-	w 2-1F	-
26	Sturm Graz	8	2	1	5	-6	7	-	-	-	-
27	FCSB	8	2	1	5	-7	7	-	w 1-2F	-	-
28	GA Eagles	8	2	1	5	-8	7	-	-	-	l 2-1F
29	Feyenoord	8	2	0	6	-4	6	-	-	-	w 0-2F
30	Basel	8	2	0	6	-4	6	-	-	-	w 1-2F
31	Salzburg	8	2	0	6	-5	6	w 4-1F	-	w 3-2A	-
32	Rangers	8	1	1	6	-9	4	-	-	-	-
33	Nice	8	1	0	7	-8	3	-	-	-	-
34	Utrecht	8	0	1	7	-10	1	-	-	-	-
35	Malmö	8	0	1	7	-11	1	-	-	-	-
36	M. Tel-Aviv	8	0	1	7	-20	1	-	w 0-3F	w 2-0F	-

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Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

7 / 10

Conceded

7 / 10

Clean sheets

3 / 10

Failed to score

3 / 10

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bologna	1 - 1	Roma
Bologna	1 - 0	Brann
Bologna	2 - 2	Celtic
Bologna	4 - 1	Salzburg
Bologna	0 - 0	Brann
Bologna	1 - 1	Freiburg
Bologna	2 - 1	Dortmund
Bologna	1 - 2	Lille
Bologna	0 - 1	Monaco
Bologna	0 - 0	Shakhtar

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Bologna	3 - 3	Roma
H	Bologna	1 - 1	Roma
H	Bologna	1 - 0	Brann
A	Bologna	1 - 0	Brann
A	Bologna	3 - 0	M. Tel-Aviv
H	Bologna	2 - 2	Celtic
A	Bologna	2 - 1	Celta
H	Bologna	4 - 1	Salzburg
H	Bologna	0 - 0	Brann
A	Bologna	2 - 1	FCSB
H	Bologna	1 - 1	Freiburg
A	Bologna	0 - 1	A Villa
A	Bologna	1 - 1	S. Lisbon
H	Bologna	2 - 1	Dortmund
A	Bologna	0 - 0	Benfica
H	Bologna	1 - 2	Lille
H	Bologna	0 - 1	Monaco
A	Bologna	0 - 2	A Villa
A	Bologna	0 - 2	Liverpool
H	Bologna	0 - 0	Shakhtar

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lille	0 - 1	A Villa
Fenerbahce	0 - 1	A Villa
Basel	1 - 2	A Villa
GA Eagles	2 - 1	A Villa
Feyenoord	0 - 2	A Villa
PSG	3 - 1	A Villa
Brugge	1 - 3	A Villa
Monaco	1 - 0	A Villa
RB Leipzig	2 - 3	A Villa
Brugge	1 - 0	A Villa
Young Boys	0 - 3	A Villa
Olympiakos	2 - 0	A Villa
Lille	2 - 1	A Villa
Ajax	0 - 0	A Villa
Hsk Zrinjski Mostar	1 - 1	A Villa
AZ Alkmaar	1 - 4	A Villa
L. Warsaw	3 - 2	A Villa
Hibernian	0 - 5	A Villa
Rapid Wien	1 - 1	A Villa
Rapid Wien	1 - 0	A Villa

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	A Villa	2 - 0	Lille
A	A Villa	1 - 0	Lille
H	A Villa	3 - 2	Salzburg
A	A Villa	1 - 0	Fenerbahce
A	A Villa	2 - 1	Basel
H	A Villa	2 - 1	Young Boys
H	A Villa	2 - 0	M. Tel-Aviv
A	A Villa	1 - 2	GA Eagles
A	A Villa	2 - 0	Feyenoord
H	A Villa	1 - 0	Bologna
H	A Villa	3 - 2	PSG
A	A Villa	1 - 3	PSG
H	A Villa	3 - 0	Brugge
A	A Villa	3 - 1	Brugge
H	A Villa	4 - 2	Celtic
A	A Villa	0 - 1	Monaco
A	A Villa	3 - 2	RB Leipzig
H	A Villa	0 - 0	Juventus
A	A Villa	0 - 1	Brugge
H	A Villa	2 - 0	Bologna

Goal Statistics

Aston Villa have been steady in attack of late, finding the net in 15 consecutive Europa League games. Their PG of 1.5 against Bologna on Thursday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Bologna 10th	A Villa 2nd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.0 goals	1.5 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 37% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 74% probability of Bologna scoring 1 goal or less	0 22% 1 33% 2 25% 3 13% 4+ There is a 78% probability that A Villa will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
10 home / away league games	-28 Bologna have scored 28% fewer goals at home than predicted	-5 A Villa’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.2 average goals scored	1.6 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Europa League - 2025/2025 season

10%

better

BOL

AVL

view stats

Games scored	17		16
Failed to score	3		4
Scored first	14		11
Goals scored	27		25
Avg. goals scored	1.4		1.3
Avg. shots per game	11		9
Avg. shots per goal	8		8
Conversion rate for	12		13
Avg. XG for	1.5		1.4
KickOff rating		+10%

BOL

AVL

better

view stats

Games conceded	14		13
Clean sheets	6		7
Conceded first	6		8
Goals conceded	25		25
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		7
Conversion rate against	18%		14%
Avg. XG against	1.3		1.3
KickOff rating		+1%

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Bologna v A Villa will show here when available.

Bologna Europa League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
11	5	3	3
L Ferguson	F Bernardeschi	N Cambiaghi	J Lucumí

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
F Ravaglia GLK	4			-
J Mário DEF	4	1		1 -
T Heggem DEF	7			1 -
J Lucumí DEF	10		1	3 -
J Miranda DEF	9		1	3 -
L Ferguson MID	13			2 -
R Freuler MID	9			1 -
T Pobega MID	9	1		1 -
F Bernardeschi FWD	12	5		2 -
S Castro FWD	11	2	2	-
J Rowe FWD	11	4	2	1 -
Subs
M. Pessina GLK				-
M. Franceschelli GLK				-
N Casale DEF	5			1 -
N Zortea DEF	9		2	1 -
S Sohm MID	2			-
N Moro MID	10		1	-
R Orsolini FWD	12	3		1 -
J Odgaard FWD	10	2	1	1 -
N Cambiaghi FWD	11	1	3	1 -
F. Castaldo FWD				-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	11	3	5
F Bernardeschi	F Bernardeschi	N Cambiaghi	J Miranda

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
F Bernardeschi FWD	5	11		4
J Rowe FWD	4	5	2	4
Subs
R Orsolini FWD	3	11		3
S Castro FWD	2	9	2
Subs
J Odgaard FWD	2	8	1	1
J Mário DEF	1	2		1
T Pobega MID	1	4		1
Subs
N Cambiaghi FWD	1	4	3	1
T Heggem DEF				1
J Lucumí DEF		4	1
J Miranda DEF		5	1	5
L Ferguson MID		6
R Freuler MID		1
Subs
N Casale DEF		1		1
N Zortea DEF		2	2	1
N Moro MID		1	1	2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
549	24	71
J Lucumí	R Freuler	L Ferguson

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
J Lucumí DEF	549	22	63
L Ferguson MID	524	20	71
R Freuler MID	484	24	36
J Miranda DEF	437	6	30
Subs
N Moro MID	436	9	27
T Heggem DEF	292	14	18
Subs
N Zortea DEF	258	10	30
F Bernardeschi FWD	249	11	39
J Rowe FWD	191	11	45
F Ravaglia GLK	178
J Mário DEF	177	6	27
Subs
N Casale DEF	176	7	20
T Pobega MID	164	16	28
Subs
R Orsolini FWD	152	1	30
N Cambiaghi FWD	141	13	43
S Castro FWD	122	5	37
Subs
J Odgaard FWD	108	5	31
S Sohm MID	8	1	1

A Villa Europa League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
8	3	4	2
P Torres	J McGinn	E Buendía	M Cash

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
E Martínez GLK	7			1 -
M Cash DEF	8		1	2 -
E Konsa DEF	8	1		1 -
P Torres DEF	8			-
L Digne DEF	7			2 -
A Onana MID	9			1 -
Y Tielemans MID	5	1	3	1 -
J McGinn MID	8	3		2 -
M Rogers MID	11	1	2	2 -
E Buendía MID	11	1	4	1 -
O Watkins FWD	11	3	1	-
Subs
M Bizot GLK	4			1 -
J Wright GLK				-
V Lindelöf DEF	8			2 -
T Mings DEF	3	1		-
A García DEF	1			-
I Maatsen DEF	9	1		1 -
H Elliot MID	4			-
D Luiz MID	2			1 -
L Bogarde MID	10			1 -
T Abraham FWD	2			-
L Bailey FWD	3	1		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	9	4	4
J McGinn	O Watkins	E Buendía	M Rogers

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J McGinn MID	3	3
O Watkins FWD	3	9	1	2
E Konsa DEF	1	1
Y Tielemans MID	1	2	3	3
M Rogers MID	1	5	2	4
E Buendía MID	1	3	4	3
Subs
T Mings DEF	1	2		1
I Maatsen DEF	1	2		2
L Bailey FWD	1	1
M Cash DEF		2	1	1
A Onana MID		3		1
Subs
H Elliot MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
502	18	40
P Torres	A Onana	M Rogers

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
P Torres DEF	502	5	18
E Konsa DEF	445	4	26
Subs
V Lindelöf DEF	437	3	9
L Bogarde MID	415	13	39
A Onana MID	402	18	36
E Martínez GLK	295	1	3
M Rogers MID	270	1	40
E Buendía MID	258	18	38
Subs
I Maatsen DEF	229	14	29
L Digne DEF	225	8	18
M Cash DEF	189	8	18
Y Tielemans MID	174	5	11
Subs
T Mings DEF	165	3	13
M Bizot GLK	148		2
J McGinn MID	143	2	13
O Watkins FWD	109	4	27
Subs
D Luiz MID	104	9	13
H Elliot MID	73	3	6
T Abraham FWD	14	2	6
L Bailey FWD	6		3
A García DEF	5	1	5

European Europa League match betting previews, predictions and odds

Bologna v Aston Villa : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Bologna v A Villa will show here when available.

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