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Celta de Vigo v Sport-Club Freiburg : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 16th Apr, 17:45 BST, Balaídos, Vigo, Pontevedra

Thursday evening at the Balaídos, and it’s a Europa League showdown between Celta de Vigo and Sport-Club Freiburg. Claudio Giráldez González and Julian Schuster will be doing all they can to ensure victory. Statistics power the predictions below for 17 individual betting markets, and switching between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and unique league tables. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also provided. Hit the tabs below to explore.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Europa League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Celta or Freiburg are in the sort of form that would have us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The stats tell us that both have form in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 77% chance of 2 goals or more.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Celta are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.95.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Celta 49%	1.95 2%	1.95 8%
Draw 25%	3.50 3%	3.60 4%
Freiburg 26%	3.90 3%	3.75 15%
Draw 1-1 12%	6.50 7%	6.50 7%
Celta 1-0 11%	7.50 6%	7.50 6%
Celta 2-1 9%	9.00	8.50
Celta 2-0 9%	9.50	8.50
Freiburg 1-0 7%	11.00	11.00 15%
Draw 0-0 7%	10.00 9%	9.50 14%
Freiburg 2-1 7%	13.00	12.00 8%
Draw 2-2 5%	15.00	13.00 8%
Celta 3-1 5%	17.00 13%	13.00 8%
Celta 3-0 5%	15.00	13.00 8%
Freiburg 2-0 4%	19.00	17.00 19%
Celta 3-2 3%	26.00	23.00 21%
Freiburg 3-1 2%	29.00	23.00 12%
Celta 4-1 2%	29.00	23.00 21%
Freiburg 3-2 2%	41.00 21%	26.00
Over 2.5 Goals 50%	1.91	1.85 11%
Under 2.5 Goals 50%	1.91	1.85 12%
Home 1st Goal 52%	1.67	1.67 6%
Away 1st Goal 44%	2.40 4%	2.50 5%
No 1st Goal 4%	10.00 9%	9.00 10%
BTTS - Yes 53%	1.80 3%	1.80 6%
BTTS - No 47%	1.95 3%	1.95 5%
BTTS - Home Win 22%	4.00	3.90 15%
BTTS - Draw 18%	4.50 5%	4.50
BTTS - Away Win 13%	7.50 7%	6.50
Home/draw 74%	1.25	1.25 4%
Away/draw 51%	1.80 2%	1.83 9%
Home/away 75%	1.29	1.29 3%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%	1.29	1.29 6%
Under 1.5 Goals 25%	3.75	3.50 13%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%	3.40	3.10 18%
Under 3.5 Goals 72%	1.33	1.33 8%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%	6.00	6.00 25%
Under 4.5 Goals 86%	1.13	1.11 5%
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	13.00	12.00 33%
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	1.04	1.02 3%
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1.06 1%	1.05 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	10.00 9%	9.50 5%
Home DNB 66%	1.40 3%	1.40 8%
Away DNB 44%	2.75 5%	2.70 16%
Celta win to nil 27%	3.40	-
Freiburg win to nil 14%	6.50	-
Celta / Celta 27%	3.10	2.88 11%
Celta / Freiburg 3%	34.00 17%	26.00
Celta / Draw 6%	13.00	12.00 8%
Draw / Celta 16%	5.00	5.00 4%
Draw / Freiburg 10%	8.00	7.50 12%
Draw / Draw 15%	5.50	5.00 5%
Freiburg / Celta 4%	23.00	19.00
Freiburg / Freiburg 13%	6.00	6.00 14%
Freiburg / Draw 6%	15.00	13.00

Win / draw / win Europa League table

Celta have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

6 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 2 and won 1. Celta have conceded 9 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 1 match and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Celta have played 6 games at home, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 10 goals, conceded 6 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and scored in every home league game.

Freiburg lay in 7th place on 17 points in the Europa League league table having played 8 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 18 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Freiburg have conceded 6 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Freiburg have played 5 away games, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 0.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Celta Freiburg
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Lyon	8	7	0	1	13	21	d 1-1F	w 0-2F	-	-
2	A Villa	8	7	0	1	8	21	-	-	-	-
3	Midtjylland	8	6	1	1	10	19	-	-	-	-
4	Real Betis	8	5	2	1	6	17	-	-	-	-
5	Porto	8	5	2	1	6	17	-	-	-	-
6	Braga	8	5	2	1	6	17	-	-	-	-
7	Freiburg	8	5	2	1	6	17	Apr 16	l 3-0A	-	-
8	Roma	8	5	1	2	7	16	-	-	-	-
9	Genk	8	5	1	2	4	16	-	-	w 5-1F	l 1-0A
10	Bologna	8	4	3	1	7	15	l 1-2F	-	-	d 1-1A
11	Stuttgart	8	5	0	3	6	15	-	l 2-1A	-	-
12	Ferencvaros	8	4	3	1	1	15	-	-	-	-
13	Nottm Forest	8	4	2	2	8	14	-	-	-	-
14	Plzen	8	3	5	0	5	14	-	-	-	d 0-00-0
15	Red Star Bel.	8	4	2	2	1	14	-	d 1-1F	-	-
16	Celta	8	4	1	3	4	13	-	-	w 3-0F	Apr 16
17	PAOK	8	3	3	2	3	12	w 3-1A	w 1-2F	-	-
18	Lille	8	4	0	4	3	12	w 2-1F	-	-	l 1-0A
19	Fenerbahce	8	3	3	2	3	12	-	-	-	-
20	Panathinaikos	8	3	3	2	2	12	-	-	-	-
21	Celtic	8	3	2	3	-2	11	-	-	-	-
22	Ludogorets	8	3	1	4	-3	10	-	l 3-2A	-	-
23	D. Zagreb	8	3	1	4	-4	10	-	w 0-3F	-	-
24	Brann	8	2	3	3	-2	9	-	-	-	-
25	Young Boys	8	3	0	5	-6	9	-	-	-	-
26	Sturm Graz	8	2	1	5	-6	7	-	-	-	-
27	FCSB	8	2	1	5	-7	7	-	-	-	-
28	GA Eagles	8	2	1	5	-8	7	-	-	-	-
29	Feyenoord	8	2	0	6	-4	6	-	-	-	-
30	Basel	8	2	0	6	-4	6	-	-	w 2-1F	-
31	Salzburg	8	2	0	6	-5	6	-	-	w 1-0F	-
32	Rangers	8	1	1	6	-9	4	-	-	-	-
33	Nice	8	1	0	7	-8	3	w 2-1F	-	-	w 1-3A
34	Utrecht	8	0	1	7	-10	1	-	-	w 2-0F	-
35	Malmö	8	0	1	7	-11	1	-	-	-	-
36	M. Tel-Aviv	8	0	1	7	-20	1	-	-	w 1-0F	-

	Next round
	Play Off

Win / draw / win form

Freiburg have failed to score in 3 consecutive away european games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Celta	1 - 1	Lyon
Celta	1 - 0	PAOK
Celta	2 - 1	Lille
Celta	1 - 2	Bologna
Celta	2 - 1	Nice
Celta	3 - 1	PAOK
Celta	0 - 1	Man Utd
Celta	3 - 2	Genk
Celta	2 - 1	Krasnodar
Celta	0 - 1	Shakhtar
Celta	1 - 1	S. Liege
Celta	2 - 2	Ajax
Celta	2 - 0	Panathinaikos
Celta	0 - 1	W.Bremen
Celta	2 - 1	Spartak M
Celta	1 - 0	Fenerbahce
Celta	1 - 1	E.Frankfurt
Celta	3 - 0	S. Liege
Celta	2 - 3	Arsenal
Celta	1 - 1	Brugge

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Celta	0 - 3	Freiburg
A	Celta	2 - 0	Lyon
H	Celta	1 - 1	Lyon
H	Celta	1 - 0	PAOK
A	Celta	2 - 1	PAOK
A	Celta	1 - 1	Red Star Bel.
H	Celta	2 - 1	Lille
H	Celta	1 - 2	Bologna
A	Celta	2 - 3	Ludogorets
A	Celta	3 - 0	D. Zagreb
H	Celta	2 - 1	Nice
H	Celta	3 - 1	PAOK
A	Celta	1 - 2	Stuttgart
A	Celta	1 - 1	Man Utd
H	Celta	0 - 1	Man Utd
A	Celta	1 - 1	Genk
H	Celta	3 - 2	Genk
A	Celta	2 - 0	Krasnodar
H	Celta	2 - 1	Krasnodar
A	Celta	2 - 0	Shakhtar

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

8 / 17

Conceded

12 / 17

Clean sheets

5 / 17

Failed to score

9 / 17

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Genk	1 - 0	Freiburg
Lille	1 - 0	Freiburg
Plzen	0 - 0	Freiburg
Nice	1 - 3	Freiburg
Bologna	1 - 1	Freiburg
West Ham	5 - 0	Freiburg
Lens	0 - 0	Freiburg
West Ham	2 - 0	Freiburg
Backa Topola	1 - 3	Freiburg
Olympiakos	2 - 3	Freiburg
Juventus	1 - 0	Freiburg
Qarabag	1 - 1	Freiburg
Nantes	0 - 4	Freiburg
Olympiakos	0 - 3	Freiburg
Liberec	1 - 2	Freiburg
Estoril	0 - 0	Freiburg
Sevilla	2 - 0	Freiburg

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Freiburg	3 - 0	Celta
H	Freiburg	5 - 1	Genk
A	Freiburg	0 - 1	Genk
A	Freiburg	0 - 1	Lille
H	Freiburg	1 - 0	M. Tel-Aviv
H	Freiburg	1 - 0	Salzburg
A	Freiburg	0 - 0	Plzen
A	Freiburg	3 - 1	Nice
H	Freiburg	2 - 0	Utrecht
A	Freiburg	1 - 1	Bologna
H	Freiburg	2 - 1	Basel
A	Freiburg	0 - 5	West Ham
H	Freiburg	1 - 0	West Ham
H	Freiburg	2 - 2	Lens
A	Freiburg	0 - 0	Lens
A	Freiburg	0 - 2	West Ham
H	Freiburg	5 - 0	Olympiakos
H	Freiburg	5 - 0	Backa Topola
A	Freiburg	3 - 1	Backa Topola
H	Freiburg	1 - 2	West Ham

Goal Statistics

Celta de Vigo have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 8 consecutive Europa League games. Their PG of 1.6 against Sport-Club Freiburg on Thursday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

	Celta 16th	Freiburg 7th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 8% There is a 80% probability that Celta will score 1 or more goals	0 33% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 70% probability that Freiburg will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	=0 Celta’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+3 Freiburg’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.5 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	1.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Europa League - 2025/2025 season

28%

better

CEL

SCF

view stats

Games scored	17		11
Failed to score	2		8
Scored first	12		8
Goals scored	29		25
Avg. goals scored	1.5		1.3
Avg. shots per game	8		9
Avg. shots per goal	5		7
Conversion rate for	19		15
Avg. XG for	1.3		1.5
KickOff rating		+28%

better

CEL

SCF

view stats

Games conceded	13		15
Clean sheets	6		4
Conceded first	6		11
Goals conceded	24		24
Avg. goals conceded	1.2		1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		8
Conversion rate against	17%		13%
Avg. XG against	1.1		1.4
KickOff rating		+9%

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Celta v Freiburg will show here when available.

Celta Europa League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
11	4	3	4
I Radu	W Swedberg	I Aspas	I Moriba

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
I Aspas FWD	13	3	3	1 -
B Iglesias FWD	12	2	1	1 1
I Radu GLK	11			2 -
C Starfelt DEF	11	1		1 -
J. Rodríguez Galiano DEF	11		1	1 -
F Jutglà FWD	11	1		-
Óscar Mingueza DEF	10		1	3 -
M Alonso DEF	10			2 -
J. Rueda García DEF	10	2	1	3 -
I Moriba MID	10		1	4 -
S Carreira DEF	9			-
P Durán FWD	9	3		-
W Swedberg FWD	9	4	3	4 -
M. Román González MID	8		2	2 -
H Sotelo MID	7			1
M Ristić DEF	6			-
H Álvarez FWD	6		1	1 -
J El-Abdellaoui FWD	6	1		-
F. López González MID	5	1		1 -
M Vecino MID	5			1 -
Y. Lago Amil DEF	3			1 -
C Domínguez DEF	3			-
M. Fernández Arroyo MID	3			1 -
I Villar GLK	2			-
J Aidoo DEF	2			-
F Cervi FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	10	3	6
W Swedberg	I Aspas	I Aspas	Óscar Mingueza

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
W Swedberg FWD	4	9	3	2
I Aspas FWD	3	10	3	5
P Durán FWD	3	5
B Iglesias FWD	2	8	1	1
J. Rueda García DEF	2	4	1	3
C Starfelt DEF	1	1
F Jutglà FWD	1	2		2
J El-Abdellaoui FWD	1	2		1
F. López González MID	1	4		1
J. Rodríguez Galiano DEF			1	1
Óscar Mingueza DEF			1	6
M Alonso DEF		1
I Moriba MID		4	1	1
S Carreira DEF		1
M. Román González MID		1	2	2
H Álvarez FWD		1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
685	25	50
M Alonso	I Moriba	J. Rueda García

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Alonso DEF	685	9	32
C Starfelt DEF	551	8	25
J. Rodríguez Galiano DEF	499	19	41
Óscar Mingueza DEF	409	17	26
S Carreira DEF	402	6	23
I Aspas FWD	344	6	23
I Moriba MID	317	25	47
I Radu GLK	259		5
M. Román González MID	250	5	12
M. Fernández Arroyo MID	250	5	8
J. Rueda García DEF	245	18	50
M Ristić DEF	224	8	16
M Vecino MID	156	4	11
B Iglesias FWD	145	5	20
W Swedberg FWD	125	17	34
F Jutglà FWD	114	4	21
H Sotelo MID	108	3	8
C Domínguez DEF	101	4	8
H Álvarez FWD	99	3	12
J El-Abdellaoui FWD	90	1	6
F. López González MID	83	4	7
Y. Lago Amil DEF	83	1	2
P Durán FWD	81	5	12
J Aidoo DEF	58	1	2
I Villar GLK	44
F Cervi FWD	3	1	1

Freiburg Europa League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
11	4	2	2
N Atubolu	V Grifo	M Ginter	V Grifo

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Atubolu GLK	11			-
M Ginter DEF	11	2	2	-
V Grifo MID	11	4	2	2 -
J. Manzambi MID	11	1	2	1 -
J Beste FWD	11	1	1	1 -
I Matanovic FWD	11	2	1	1 -
P Treu DEF	10			1 -
M Eggestein MID	10	2		1 1
D Scherhant FWD	10	1		-
Y Suzuki FWD	9	2	2	1 -
C Günter DEF	8		2	1 -
P Osterhage MID	8	1		-
P Lienhart DEF	7	1		2 -
L Höler FWD	7			1 -
L Kübler DEF	6			2 -
J Makengo DEF	5			1 -
A Jung DEF	3			-
B. Ogbus DEF	3			1 -
M Rosenfelder DEF	3			-
N Höfler MID	3			1 -
C. Irié FWD	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	9	2	4
V Grifo	D Scherhant	M Ginter	V Grifo

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
V Grifo MID	4	7	2	4
M Ginter DEF	2	4	2	1
I Matanovic FWD	2	6	1	1
M Eggestein MID	2	7
Y Suzuki FWD	2	5	2	3
J. Manzambi MID	1	7	2	2
J Beste FWD	1	3	1	1
D Scherhant FWD	1	9		1
P Osterhage MID	1	1
P Lienhart DEF	1	1		1
P Treu DEF				1
C Günter DEF		2	2	2
L Höler FWD		1
N Höfler MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
585	21	74
M Ginter	J. Manzambi	J. Manzambi

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Ginter DEF	585	13	47
N Atubolu GLK	489		3
M Eggestein MID	403	16	48
P Lienhart DEF	367	10	25
J. Manzambi MID	326	21	74
P Treu DEF	291	18	42
V Grifo MID	273	5	16
Y Suzuki FWD	228	13	40
C Günter DEF	227	9	14
J Beste FWD	203	19	47
P Osterhage MID	189	9	27
B. Ogbus DEF	150	7	13
J Makengo DEF	124	6	13
I Matanovic FWD	111	18	48
L Kübler DEF	96	9	17
M Rosenfelder DEF	83	2	4
D Scherhant FWD	77	3	25
A Jung DEF	62	1	5
L Höler FWD	41	3	8
C. Irié FWD	21	1	5
N Höfler MID	19	5	6

European Europa League match betting previews, predictions and odds

Celta de Vigo v Sport-Club Freiburg : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Celta have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Freiburg lay in 7th place on 17 points in the Europa League league table having played 8 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Celta v Freiburg will show here when available.

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