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Celtic v Roma : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 11th Dec, 20:00 BST, Celtic Park, Glasgow

Celtic are in Europa League action on Thursday night, as Martin O'Neill attempts to outsmart Gian Piero Gasperini and his Roma side at the Celtic Park. Statistics power the algorithmic predictions below for all the markets, and changing between them will display bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and a whole lot more besides. The best odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to find out more.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Europa League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Celtic or Roma are in the kind of form that would have us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The stats tell us that both have form in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 79% chance of 2 goals or more.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 45% chance of Roma coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Celtic 30%	3.30	3.20
Draw 25%	3.40	3.50
Roma 45%	2.20	2.20
Draw 1-1 12%	6.50	6.50
Roma 1-0 10%	8.00	8.00
Roma 2-1 9%	9.00	8.50
Celtic 1-0 8%	11.00	9.50
Roma 2-0 7%	11.00	10.00
Celtic 2-1 7%	12.00	10.00
Draw 0-0 6%	11.00	10.00
Draw 2-2 6%	13.00	12.00
Roma 3-1 5%	17.00	15.00
Celtic 2-0 5%	17.00	15.00
Roma 3-0 4%	21.00	17.00
Celtic 3-1 3%	26.00	21.00
Roma 3-2 3%	26.00	21.00
Celtic 3-2 2%	34.00	23.00
Celtic 3-0 2%	34.00	26.00
Over 2.5 Goals 53%	1.91	1.83
Under 2.5 Goals 47%	1.91	1.91
Home 1st Goal 45%	2.20	2.20
Away 1st Goal 51%	1.80	1.80
No 1st Goal 4%	11.00	9.00
BTTS - Yes 56%	1.70	1.73
BTTS - No 44%	2.05	2.05
BTTS - Home Win 15%	6.50	5.50
BTTS - Draw 19%	4.33	4.33
BTTS - Away Win 22%	4.33	4.00
Home/draw 55%	1.67	1.67
Away/draw 70%	1.33	1.33
Home/away 75%	1.30	1.30
Over 1.5 Goals 77%	1.29	1.29
Under 1.5 Goals 23%	3.75	3.50
Over 3.5 Goals 31%	3.20	3.00
Under 3.5 Goals 69%	1.36	1.35
Over 4.5 Goals 15%	6.00	5.75
Under 4.5 Goals 85%	1.13	1.12
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	13.00	11.00
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	1.04	1.03
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1.05	1.05
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	11.00	9.50
Home DNB 48%	2.38	2.25
Away DNB 62%	1.53	1.57
Celtic win to nil 15%	6.00	-
Roma win to nil 23%	3.75	-
Celtic / Celtic 15%	5.50	5.00
Celtic / Roma 4%	23.00	19.00
Celtic / Draw 6%	15.00	12.00
Draw / Celtic 11%	7.50	7.00
Draw / Roma 15%	5.50	5.25
Draw / Draw 15%	5.50	5.00
Roma / Celtic 3%	29.00	23.00
Roma / Roma 23%	3.50	3.40
Roma / Draw 6%	13.00	12.00

Win / draw / win Europa League table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Celtic Roma
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Lyon	5	4	0	1	9	12	-	-	-	-
2	Midtjylland	5	4	0	1	7	12	-	l 3-1A	w 2-1F	-
3	A Villa	5	4	0	1	5	12	-	-	-	-
4	Freiburg	5	3	2	0	5	11	-	-	-	-
5	Real Betis	5	3	2	0	5	11	-	-	-	-
6	Ferencvaros	5	3	2	0	4	11	-	-	-	-
7	Braga	5	3	1	1	4	10	l 0-2A	-	-	-
8	Porto	5	3	1	1	3	10	-	-	-	-
9	Genk	5	3	1	1	2	10	-	-	-	-
10	Celta	5	3	0	2	4	9	-	-	-	-
11	Lille	5	3	0	2	4	9	-	-	l 0-1A	-
12	Stuttgart	5	3	0	2	4	9	-	-	Jan 22	-
13	Plzen	5	2	3	0	4	9	-	-	l 1-2A	-
14	Panathinaikos	5	3	0	2	2	9	-	-	-	Jan 29
15	Roma	5	3	0	2	2	9	Dec 11	-	-	-
16	Nottm Forest	5	2	2	1	4	8	-	-	-	-
17	PAOK	5	2	2	1	3	8	-	-	-	-
18	Bologna	5	2	2	1	3	8	-	Jan 22	-	-
19	Brann	5	2	2	1	3	8	-	-	-	-
20	Fenerbahce	5	2	2	1	0	8	-	-	-	-
21	Celtic	5	2	1	2	-1	7	-	-	-	Dec 11
22	Red Star Bel.	5	2	1	2	-1	7	-	d 1-1F	-	-
23	D. Zagreb	5	2	1	2	-3	7	-	-	-	-
24	Basel	5	2	0	3	0	6	-	-	-	-
25	Ludogorets	5	2	0	3	-3	6	-	-	-	-
26	Young Boys	5	2	0	3	-5	6	-	-	-	-
27	GA Eagles	5	2	0	3	-5	6	-	-	-	-
28	Sturm Graz	5	1	1	3	-3	4	w 2-1A	-	-	-
29	Salzburg	5	1	0	4	-5	3	-	-	-	-
30	Feyenoord	5	1	0	4	-5	3	-	w 1-3A	-	-
31	FCSB	5	1	0	4	-5	3	-	-	-	-
32	Utrecht	5	0	1	4	-5	1	Jan 29	-	-	-
33	Rangers	5	0	1	4	-7	1	-	-	-	w 0-2F
34	Malmö	5	0	1	4	-8	1	-	-	-	-
35	M. Tel-Aviv	5	0	1	4	-13	1	-	-	-	-
36	Nice	5	0	0	5	-8	0	-	-	-	w 1-2F

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Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Celtic	2 - 1	Sturm Graz
Celtic	0 - 2	Braga
Celtic	0 - 0	Kairat Almaty
Celtic	1 - 2	Bayern
Celtic	1 - 0	Young Boys
Celtic	1 - 1	Brugge
Celtic	3 - 1	RB Leipzig
Celtic	5 - 1	S. Bratislava
Celtic	2 - 1	Feyenoord
Celtic	2 - 2	A.Madrid
Celtic	1 - 2	Lazio
Celtic	1 - 1	Shakhtar
Celtic	0 - 2	RB Leipzig
Celtic	0 - 3	Real Madrid
Celtic	1 - 3	Bodø
Celtic	3 - 2	Real Betis
Celtic	2 - 0	Ferencvaros
Celtic	0 - 4	Leverkusen
Celtic	2 - 0	AZ Alkmaar
Celtic	3 - 0	Jablonec

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Celtic	3 - 1	Feyenoord
A	Celtic	1 - 3	Midtjylland
H	Celtic	2 - 1	Sturm Graz
H	Celtic	0 - 2	Braga
A	Celtic	1 - 1	Red Star Bel.
A	Celtic	0 - 0	Kairat Almaty
H	Celtic	0 - 0	Kairat Almaty
A	Celtic	1 - 1	Bayern
H	Celtic	1 - 2	Bayern
A	Celtic	2 - 4	A Villa
H	Celtic	1 - 0	Young Boys
A	Celtic	0 - 0	D. Zagreb
H	Celtic	1 - 1	Brugge
H	Celtic	3 - 1	RB Leipzig
A	Celtic	0 - 0	Atalanta
A	Celtic	1 - 7	Dortmund
H	Celtic	5 - 1	S. Bratislava
H	Celtic	2 - 1	Feyenoord
A	Celtic	0 - 2	Lazio
A	Celtic	0 - 6	A.Madrid

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Rangers	0 - 2	Roma
Nice	1 - 2	Roma
A.Bilbao	3 - 1	Roma
Porto	1 - 1	Roma
AZ Alkmaar	1 - 0	Roma
Spurs	2 - 2	Roma
Union SG	1 - 1	Roma
Elfsborg	1 - 0	Roma
Leverkusen	2 - 2	Roma
Milan	0 - 1	Roma
Brighton	1 - 0	Roma
Feyenoord	1 - 1	Roma
Servette	1 - 1	Roma
Slavia	2 - 0	Roma
Sheriff	1 - 2	Roma
Sevilla	1 - 1	Roma
Leverkusen	0 - 0	Roma
Feyenoord	1 - 0	Roma
R.Sociedad	0 - 0	Roma
Salzburg	1 - 0	Roma

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Roma	2 - 1	Midtjylland
A	Roma	2 - 0	Rangers
H	Roma	1 - 2	Plzen
H	Roma	0 - 1	Lille
A	Roma	2 - 1	Nice
A	Roma	1 - 3	A.Bilbao
H	Roma	2 - 1	A.Bilbao
H	Roma	3 - 2	Porto
A	Roma	1 - 1	Porto
H	Roma	2 - 0	E.Frankfurt
A	Roma	0 - 1	AZ Alkmaar
H	Roma	3 - 0	Braga
A	Roma	2 - 2	Spurs
A	Roma	1 - 1	Union SG
H	Roma	1 - 0	Dynamo Kyiv
A	Roma	0 - 1	Elfsborg
H	Roma	1 - 1	A.Bilbao
A	Roma	2 - 2	Leverkusen
H	Roma	0 - 2	Leverkusen
H	Roma	2 - 1	Milan

Goal Statistics

Roma's defensive record is very strong, G. Gasperini's men having conceded 1 or less in 15 consecutive Europa League outings. An average PG rating of 1.2 for Celtic makes sense in this context.

Roma's fans will be hoping for goals on Thursday night, not least because Celtic have conceded in each of their last 5 Europa League matches. A PG of 1.6 for G. Gasperini's side suggests that run should continue.

	Celtic 21st	Roma 15th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	1.6 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 29% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 65% probability that Celtic will score no more than 1 goal	0 21% 1 33% 2 26% 3 13% 4+ There is a 79% probability that Roma will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-18 Celtic have scored 18% fewer goals at home than predicted	-36 Roma have scored 36% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.5 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	1.4 conceded	1.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Europa League - 2025/2025 season

CEL

RMA

better

view stats

Games scored	14		15
Failed to score	6		5
Scored first	10		13
Goals scored	30		27
Avg. goals scored	1.5		1.4
Avg. shots per game	10		11
Avg. shots per goal	7		8
Conversion rate for	15		12
Avg. XG for	1.9		1.5
KickOff rating		+2%

CEL

RMA

better

view stats

Games conceded	10		12
Clean sheets	10		8
Conceded first	6		7
Goals conceded	17		13
Avg. goals conceded	0.9		0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		12
Conversion rate against	12%		8%
Avg. XG against	1.1		1.1
KickOff rating		+4%

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Celtic v Roma will show here when available.

Celtic Europa League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
5	2	2	2
K Schmeichel	R Hatate	D Maeda	L Scales

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
K Schmeichel GLK	5			-
L Scales DEF	5	1		2 -
K Tierney DEF	5			-
R Hatate MID	5	2	1	1 -
C McGregor MID	5			1 -
A Engels MID	5		1	1 -
B Nygren FWD	5	2	1	-
S Tounekti FWD	5			-
C. Donovan DEF	4		1	-
D Maeda FWD	4		2	1 -
C Carter-Vickers DEF	3			1 -
P Bernardo MID	3			1 -
K Iheanacho FWD	3	1		1 -
J Forrest FWD	3			-
M Balikwisha FWD	3			-
M Saracchi DEF	2			2 -
D Murray DEF	2			-
A Trusty DEF	2			-
A Ralston DEF	2			-
Y Hyun-Jun FWD	2	1		-
J Kenny FWD	2			-
A Johnston DEF	1			-
L McCowan MID	1			-
C. Osmand FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	6	2	4
R Hatate	B Nygren	D Maeda	A Engels

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
R Hatate MID	2	2	1	2
B Nygren FWD	2	6	1	4
L Scales DEF	1	1		1
K Iheanacho FWD	1	3
Y Hyun-Jun FWD	1	1
K Tierney DEF		1		1
A Engels MID		3	1	4
S Tounekti FWD		2
C. Donovan DEF		1	1	2
D Maeda FWD			2	1
J Kenny FWD		2
C. Osmand FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
378	11	31
L Scales	K Tierney	L Scales

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Scales DEF	378	4	31
C McGregor MID	292	6	16
K Tierney DEF	227	11	20
C Carter-Vickers DEF	222	4	17
K Schmeichel GLK	195
R Hatate MID	185	2	7
C. Donovan DEF	167	7	22
S Tounekti FWD	128	5	28
A Engels MID	115	7	13
B Nygren FWD	105	4	15
A Trusty DEF	89	4	9
D Maeda FWD	45	3	8
Y Hyun-Jun FWD	42	1	5
P Bernardo MID	36	1	3
A Ralston DEF	35	5	8
M Saracchi DEF	28		3
L McCowan MID	28	1	5
J Kenny FWD	25	2	8
J Forrest FWD	21		7
D Murray DEF	21
K Iheanacho FWD	17		1
A Johnston DEF	14		1
M Balikwisha FWD	12	2	7
C. Osmand FWD	8		1

Roma Europa League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
5	1	1	2
M Svilar	E Ndicka	Z Celik	G Mancini

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Svilar GLK	5			-
E Ndicka DEF	5	1		1 -
G Mancini DEF	5	1		2 -
Z Celik DEF	5		1	1 -
M Koné MID	5			1 -
N Aynaoui MID	5	1		1 -
M Malvano FWD	5	1		-
S Shaarawy FWD	5	1		-
M Hermoso DEF	4			1 -
Wesley DEF	4			-
K Tsimikas DEF	4		1	1 -
B Cristante MID	4		1	1 -
L Pellegrini MID	4	1	1	-
A Dovbyk FWD	4		1	-
E Ferguson FWD	4			-
D Rensch DEF	3			-
N Pisilli MID	3			-
L Bailey FWD	2		1	-
P Dybala FWD	2	1		-
J. Ziółkowski DEF	1			-
D Ghilardi DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	7	1	2
E Ndicka	M Malvano	Z Celik	M Malvano

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
E Ndicka DEF	1	2
G Mancini DEF	1	1
N Aynaoui MID	1	2
M Malvano FWD	1	7		2
S Shaarawy FWD	1	4
L Pellegrini MID	1	3	1
P Dybala FWD	1	2		2
Z Celik DEF		1	1
M Hermoso DEF		1
Wesley DEF		1
K Tsimikas DEF		1	1	2
B Cristante MID			1	1
A Dovbyk FWD		1	1
N Pisilli MID		1
L Bailey FWD			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
269	15	28
N Aynaoui	N Aynaoui	N Aynaoui

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
N Aynaoui MID	269	15	28
G Mancini DEF	253	3	24
E Ndicka DEF	236	8	21
Z Celik DEF	206	10	18
M Malvano FWD	202	4	21
M Hermoso DEF	181	4	13
B Cristante MID	176	9	20
M Svilar GLK	164		4
M Koné MID	115	3	12
Wesley DEF	111	9	25
K Tsimikas DEF	107	6	8
L Pellegrini MID	102	4	12
S Shaarawy FWD	91	1	8
P Dybala FWD	84	1	8
D Rensch DEF	75	1	4
A Dovbyk FWD	53	1	5
N Pisilli MID	53	1	4
D Ghilardi DEF	41	9	13
E Ferguson FWD	26		7
L Bailey FWD	17	1	5
J. Ziółkowski DEF	16	1	4