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KRC Genk v Sport-Club Freiburg : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Cristal Arena, Genk

Thursday night at the Cristal Arena, and it’s a Europa League clash between KRC Genk and Sport-Club Freiburg. Thorsten Fink and Julian Schuster will be doing all they can to guide their side to the win. You'll find statistics supporting our top of under 3.5 goals below, but don't forget to explore 16 other markets we're covering too. Each has been designed to give you as full a picture as possible, with Europa League performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you feel able to make a well-informed bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from leading bookmakers.

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KRC Genk's next match is v St Truiden at 12:30 on Sunday 15th March
Sport-Club Freiburg's next match is v Union Berlin at 16:30 on Sunday 15th March
The last European Europa League meeting between Genk and Freiburg was on Thursday 12th March 2026
European Europa League
March 12th 2026
Genk 1
0 Freiburg
 
Z. El Ouahdi 24'
 
GNK
SCF
Shots On
3
2
Shots Off
8
1
Corners
5
7
Possession
50%
50%
Fouls
16
9
Yellow/red cards
1/0
1/0
 
GenkFreiburg
 
M. Smets
J. Kayembe Ditu (Y. Medina Ortiz 77')
B. Heynen
K. Karetsas
I. Bangoura
T. Okiki Lawal
J. Ndenge Kongolo (M. Sadick Aliu 77')
Z. El Ouahdifootball icon
D. Heymans
A. Bibout (R. Mirisola 83')
N. Adedeji-Sternberg (Y. Sor 77')
N. Atubolu
P. Osterhage
(L. Höler 71') Y. Suzuki
(C. Irié 63') J. Beste
M. Ginter
P. Treu
C. Günter
B. Ogbus
(D. Scherhant 63') V. Grifo
J. Manzambi
I. Matanovic

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Europa League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to claim victory here, but does appear clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis is inline with them too. Genk and Freiburg have delivered a host of under 3.5 goal games recently, and key performance statistics point towards an extension of that record. We feel confident predicting under 3.5 goals on Thursday night, and the bookies have it priced at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Genk are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.63.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Genk
35%
2/1
4%
1/50
4%
Draw
27%
11/518/1
3%
Freiburg
39%
7/5
3%
200/1
4%
Draw 1-1
13%
5/113/2
Freiburg 1-0
10%
7/1
5%
11/2
Genk 1-0
9%
8/11/5
5%
Freiburg 2-1
8%
17/250/1
Genk 2-1
8%
10/140/1
5%
Draw 0-0
8%
15/2
9%
11/2
Freiburg 2-0
7%
10/110/1
Genk 2-0
6%
14/1
13%
17/2
8%
Draw 2-2
5%
12/1125/1
Freiburg 3-1
4%
20/1
11%
150/1
Genk 3-1
3%
25/1150/1
Freiburg 3-0
3%
22/122/1
Genk 3-0
2%
33/1
10%
60/1
9%
Freiburg 3-2
2%
28/1150/1
11%
Genk 3-2
2%
33/1
10%
200/1
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
11/1070/1
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
8/111/1000
3%
Home 1st Goal
47%
11/10
3%
23/20
3%
Away 1st Goal
48%
10/11
2%
21/20
3%
No 1st Goal
5%
15/2
9%
5/1
BTTS - Yes
52%
4/5
3%
14/1
2%
BTTS - No
48%
19/20
5%
1/100
2%
BTTS - Home Win
16%
11/2
5%
33/1
2%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/313/2
5%
BTTS - Away Win
18%
4/140/1
4%
Home/draw
61%
8/15
4%
1/1000
1%
Away/draw
65%
4/11
4%
14/1
3%
Home/away
73%
4/111/150
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
1/310/1
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
12/51/33
1%
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
11/4
6%
80/1
1%
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
2/7
3%
1/300
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
6/11/50
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/101/50
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
14/11/50
10%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/331/50
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/14
1%
1/10
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
8/1
9%
5/1
Home DNB
53%
11/10
4%
1/300
3%
Away DNB
57%
4/6
2%
40/1
3%
Genk win to nil
19%
4/1-
Freiburg win to nil
21%
3/1
11%
-
Genk / Genk
18%
15/44/7
3%
Genk / Freiburg
3%
25/113/2
11%
Genk / Draw
6%
14/116/5
Draw / Genk
13%
11/218/1
8%
Draw / Freiburg
13%
9/2
8%
16/1
Draw / Draw
17%
4/114/1
5%
Freiburg / Genk
3%
28/1100/1
Freiburg / Freiburg
20%
3/1
8%
45/1
Freiburg / Draw
7%
12/190/1
Win / draw / win Europa League table

Genk have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 9th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

3 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 game, drawn 1 and won 1. Genk have conceded 4 goals, scored 4, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Genk have played 6 games at home, winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 6 goals, conceded 8 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Freiburg lay in 7th place on 17 points in the Europa League league table having played 8 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below them in the table, winning 5, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 10 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Freiburg have conceded 4 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Freiburg have played 4 away games, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Genk
Freiburg
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lyon87011321 
-
-
-
-
2
A Villa8701821 
-
-
-
-
3
Midtjylland86111019 
-
l
 
1-0A
-
-
4
Real Betis8521617 
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
-
5
Porto8521617 
-
-
-
-
6
Braga8521617 
-
w
 
3-4A
-
-
7
Freiburg8521617 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 19
-
-
8
Roma8512716 
-
-
-
-
9
Genk8512416 
-
-
Mar 19
l
 
1-0A
10
Bologna8431715 
-
-
-
d
 
1-1A
11
Stuttgart8503615 
-
-
-
-
12
Ferencvaros8431115 
l
 
0-1A
-
-
-
13
Nottm Forest8422814 
-
-
-
-
14
Plzen8350514 
-
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
15
Red Star Bel.8422114 
-
-
-
-
16
Celta8413413 
-
-
-
-
17
PAOK8332312 
-
-
-
-
18
Lille8404312 
-
-
-
l
 
1-0A
19
Fenerbahce8332312 
-
-
-
-
20
Panathinaikos8332212 
-
-
-
-
21
Celtic8323-211 
-
-
-
-
22
Ludogorets8314-310 
-
-
-
-
23
D. Zagreb8314-410 
d
 
3-3A
w
 
1-3F
-
-
24
Brann8233-29 
-
-
-
-
25
Young Boys8305-69 
-
-
-
-
26
Sturm Graz8215-67 
-
-
-
-
27
FCSB8215-77 
-
-
-
-
28
GA Eagles8215-87 
-
-
-
-
29
Feyenoord8206-46 
-
-
-
-
30
Basel8206-46 
w
 
2-1F
-
w
 
2-1F
-
31
Salzburg8206-56 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
-
32
Rangers8116-94 
-
w
 
0-1F
-
-
33
Nice8107-83 
-
-
-
w
 
1-3A
34
Utrecht8017-101 
-
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-0F
-
35
Malmö8017-111 
w
 
2-1A
-
-
-
36
M. Tel-Aviv8017-201 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
-
37
Lech Poznan 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
1-5F
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
Genk 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
Freiburg 7TH
16 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
8 / 16
Conceded
11 / 16
Clean sheets
5 / 16
Failed to score
8 / 16
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
Goal Statistics

Sport-Club Freiburg's defensive record is to be admired, J. Schuster's men having conceded 1 or less in 8 consecutive Europa League outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for KRC Genk makes sense in this context.

Genk 9th Freiburg 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Genk will score no more than 1 goal
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Freiburg will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-45
Genk have scored 45% fewer goals at home than predicted
+11
Freiburg have scored 11% more goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.7
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Europa League - 2025/2025 season
Genk
PG (predicted goals)
Freiburg
1.2
1.3
Attack rating
14%
better
GNK
SCF
view stats
Games scored16
13
Failed to score4
7
Scored first10
10
Goals scored31
26
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.3
Avg. shots per game12
10
Avg. shots per goal8
8
Conversion rate for13
13
Avg. XG for1.9
1.8
KickOff rating
+14%
Defence rating
GNK
SCF
24%
better
view stats
Games conceded17
13
Clean sheets3
7
Conceded first10
9
Goals conceded31
23
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against16%
12%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.3
KickOff rating
+24%

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Genk v Freiburg will show here when available.

Genk Europa League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13443
M SmetsZ OuahdiD HeymansZ Ouahdi
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Lawal GLK7
-
Z Ouahdi DEF1041
3
-
J. Ndenge Kongolo DEF3
1
-
M Smets DEF131
2
-
J Kayembe DEF10
1
-
D Heymans MID944
2
-
B Heynen MID1322
2
-
I. Bangoura MID9
1
-
K. Karetsas MID1223
1
-
N. Adedeji-Sternberg FWD8
1
-
A Bibout FWD5
-
Subs
H Crombrugge GLK6
-
M Sadick DEF12
2
-
Y Medina DEF111
2
-
K Nkuba DEF5
-
N Sattlberger MID82
-
J Steuckers FWD104
1
-
J Ito FWD71
1
-
Y Sor FWD1221
-
R. Mirisola FWD7
-
J Erabi FWD5
-
Freiburg Europa League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9222
N AtuboluV GrifoC GünterP Lienhart
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Atubolu GLK9
-
P Treu DEF8
1
-
M Ginter DEF91
-
B. Ogbus DEF2
1
-
C Günter DEF82
1
-
P Osterhage MID71
-
J. Manzambi MID91
-
J Beste MID9
-
Y Suzuki MID711
1
-
V Grifo MID921
1
-
I Matanovic FWD91
-
Subs
F Müller GLK
-
J Huth GLK
-
J Makengo DEF3
1
-
P Lienhart DEF51
2
-
A Jung DEF3
-
N Höfler MID3
1
-
D Scherhant  FWD81
-
L Höler FWD5
-
C. Irié FWD3
-