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Lille v Aston Villa : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 12th Mar, 17:45 BST, Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille

Thursday evening at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy, and it’s a Europa League showdown between Lille and Aston Villa. Bruno Génésio and Unai Emery Etxegoien going all-out to ensure victory. All of the important statistics for the tie, including head-to-heads, predictions and odds from leading bookmakers across seventeen major markets are covered in this preview. It's all here with the aim of helping you make a smart bet.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Europa League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means, quite simply that there will be no more than 3 goals scored by Lille and A Villa combined during 90 mins. Latest form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) performances have led us to our prediction, and our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 74% chance of it coming in. The top price currently available on under 3.5 goals is 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 39% chance of A Villa coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Lille
34%
2.902.88
Draw
26%
3.25
2%
3.40
A Villa
39%
2.38
1%
2.40
1%
Draw 1-1
13%
6.506.50
A Villa 1-0
10%
8.00
6%
7.50
12%
Lille 1-0
9%
9.00
10%
8.50
6%
A Villa 2-1
8%
9.509.00
Lille 2-1
8%
11.009.50
Draw 0-0
7%
9.50
14%
9.00
10%
A Villa 2-0
7%
12.0011.00
Lille 2-0
6%
15.0013.00
Draw 2-2
5%
15.00
15%
13.00
8%
A Villa 3-1
4%
19.0017.00
13%
Lille 3-1
3%
23.0021.00
11%
A Villa 3-0
3%
23.0019.00
Lille 3-0
2%
29.0023.00
A Villa 3-2
2%
29.00
12%
23.00
10%
Lille 3-2
2%
34.00
17%
26.00
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
2.00
5%
1.95
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
1.80
6%
1.75
5%
Home 1st Goal
47%
2.102.10
Away 1st Goal
49%
1.91
4%
1.91
No 1st Goal
5%
9.50
14%
8.50
11%
BTTS - Yes
53%
1.80
6%
1.80
6%
BTTS - No
47%
1.95
5%
1.95
5%
BTTS - Home Win
16%
6.00
9%
5.25
5%
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.334.33
3%
BTTS - Away Win
18%
5.00
11%
4.60
6%
Home/draw
61%
1.53
3%
1.55
Away/draw
66%
1.401.40
Home/away
74%
1.331.30
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
1.33
3%
1.30
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
3.40
9%
3.20
9%
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
3.50
3%
3.40
10%
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
1.30
2%
1.29
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
7.00
17%
6.50
13%
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1.10
3%
1.09
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
15.00
15%
13.00
8%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1.03
1%
1.02
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1.06
1%
1.06
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
9.50
14%
9.00
5%
Home DNB
53%
2.00
5%
2.00
2%
Away DNB
58%
1.73
4%
1.70
Lille win to nil
18%
5.00
9%
-
A Villa win to nil
21%
4.00-
Lille / Lille
18%
4.754.33
Lille / A Villa
3%
26.0021.00
Lille / Draw
6%
15.00
15%
12.00
9%
Draw / Lille
12%
6.506.50
Draw / A Villa
13%
6.006.00
4%
Draw / Draw
16%
5.00
9%
4.80
4%
A Villa / Lille
3%
29.0023.00
A Villa / A Villa
21%
4.00
7%
3.60
A Villa / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
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Win / draw / win Europa League table

Lille have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn zero and won 3. Lille have conceded 8 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Lille have played 5 games at home, winning 3, drawing 0 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 10 goals, conceded 6 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

A Villa lay in 2nd place on 21 points in the Europa League league table having played 8 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored 14 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. A Villa have conceded 6 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

A Villa have played 4 away games, winning 3, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Lille
A Villa
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lyon87011321 
-
-
-
-
2
A Villa8701821 
Mar 12
Mar 19
-
-
3
Midtjylland86111019 
-
-
-
-
4
Real Betis8521617 
-
-
-
-
5
Porto8521617 
-
-
-
-
6
Braga8521617 
-
-
-
-
7
Freiburg8521617 
w
 
1-0F
-
-
-
8
Roma8512716 
-
w
 
0-1F
-
-
9
Genk8512416 
-
-
-
-
10
Bologna8431715 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
-
11
Stuttgart8503615 
-
-
-
-
12
Ferencvaros8431115 
-
-
-
-
13
Nottm Forest8422814 
-
-
-
-
14
Plzen8350514 
-
-
-
-
15
Red Star Bel.8422114 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
-
-
16
Celta8413413 
-
l
 
2-1A
-
-
17
PAOK8332312 
l
 
3-4A
-
-
-
18
Lille8404312 
-
-
Mar 19
Mar 12
19
Fenerbahce8332312 
-
-
-
w
 
0-1F
20
Panathinaikos8332212 
-
-
-
-
21
Celtic8323-211 
-
-
-
-
22
Ludogorets8314-310 
-
-
-
-
23
D. Zagreb8314-410 
w
 
4-0F
-
-
-
24
Brann8233-29 
w
 
2-1F
-
-
-
25
Young Boys8305-69 
-
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
-
26
Sturm Graz8215-67 
-
-
-
-
27
FCSB8215-77 
-
-
-
-
28
GA Eagles8215-87 
-
-
-
l
 
2-1F
29
Feyenoord8206-46 
-
-
-
w
 
0-2F
30
Basel8206-46 
-
-
-
w
 
1-2F
31
Salzburg8206-56 
-
-
w
 
3-2A
-
32
Rangers8116-94 
-
-
-
-
33
Nice8107-83 
-
-
-
-
34
Utrecht8017-101 
-
-
-
-
35
Malmö8017-111 
-
-
-
-
36
M. Tel-Aviv8017-201 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
5
A Villa have won 5 consecutive european games
5
A Villa have not lost in 5 consecutive european games
Lille 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lille0 - 1Red Star Bel.
Lille1 - 0Freiburg
Lille4 - 0D. Zagreb
Lille3 - 4PAOK
Lille2 - 1Brann
Lille1 - 2Dortmund
Lille6 - 1Feyenoord
Lille3 - 2Sturm Graz
Lille1 - 1Juventus
Lille1 - 0Real Madrid
Lille2 - 0Slavia
Lille2 - 1Fenerbahce
Lille2 - 1A Villa
Lille1 - 1Sturm Graz
Lille3 - 0KI Klaksvik
Lille2 - 1S. Bratislava
Lille2 - 0Olimpija
Lille2 - 1Rijeka
Lille1 - 2Chelsea
Lille1 - 0Salzburg
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
2
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALille1 - 0Red Star Bel.
HLille0 - 1Red Star Bel.
HLille1 - 0Freiburg
ALille1 - 2Celta
ALille0 - 1Young Boys
HLille4 - 0D. Zagreb
ALille0 - 1Red Star Bel.
HLille3 - 4PAOK
ALille1 - 0Roma
HLille2 - 1Brann
HLille1 - 2Dortmund
ALille1 - 1Dortmund
HLille6 - 1Feyenoord
ALille1 - 2Liverpool
HLille3 - 2Sturm Graz
ALille2 - 1Bologna
HLille1 - 1Juventus
ALille3 - 1A.Madrid
HLille1 - 0Real Madrid
ALille0 - 2S. Lisbon
A Villa 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Fenerbahce0 - 1A Villa
Basel1 - 2A Villa
GA Eagles2 - 1A Villa
Feyenoord0 - 2A Villa
PSG3 - 1A Villa
Brugge1 - 3A Villa
Monaco1 - 0A Villa
RB Leipzig2 - 3A Villa
Brugge1 - 0A Villa
Young Boys0 - 3A Villa
Olympiakos2 - 0A Villa
Lille2 - 1A Villa
Ajax0 - 0A Villa
Hsk Zrinjski Mostar1 - 1A Villa
AZ Alkmaar1 - 4A Villa
L. Warsaw3 - 2A Villa
Hibernian0 - 5A Villa
Rapid Wien1 - 1A Villa
Rapid Wien1 - 0A Villa
CSKA M2 - 0A Villa
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
15
D
1
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA Villa3 - 2Salzburg
AA Villa1 - 0Fenerbahce
AA Villa2 - 1Basel
HA Villa2 - 1Young Boys
HA Villa2 - 0M. Tel-Aviv
AA Villa1 - 2GA Eagles
AA Villa2 - 0Feyenoord
HA Villa1 - 0Bologna
HA Villa3 - 2PSG
AA Villa1 - 3PSG
HA Villa3 - 0Brugge
AA Villa3 - 1Brugge
HA Villa4 - 2Celtic
AA Villa0 - 1Monaco
AA Villa3 - 2RB Leipzig
HA Villa0 - 0Juventus
AA Villa0 - 1Brugge
HA Villa2 - 0Bologna
HA Villa1 - 0Bayern
AA Villa3 - 0Young Boys
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Lille of late. It has been 8 Europa League games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Thursday evening against Aston Villa.

Lille 18th A Villa 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Lille will score no more than 1 goal
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that A Villa will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+22
Lille have scored 22% more goals at home than predicted
-3
A Villa’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.0
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Europa League - 2025/2025 season
Lille
PG (predicted goals)
A Villa
1.2
1.4
Attack rating
LIL
AVL
19%
better
view stats
Games scored13
16
Failed to score6
4
Scored first8
10
Goals scored22
28
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.4
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for14
16
Avg. XG for1.4
1.5
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
12%
better
LIL
AVL
view stats
Games conceded11
16
Clean sheets8
4
Conceded first10
9
Goals conceded22
27
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded7
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against17%
15%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.4
KickOff rating
+12%

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Lille v A Villa will show here when available.

Lille Europa League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10423
B ÖzerO GiroudH HaraldssonA. Bouaddi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Özer GLK10
2
-
H Haraldsson MID1012
1
-
F Correia FWD1012
1
-
O Giroud FWD104
1
-
A Mandi DEF9
2
-
T Santos DEF91
-
N Mukau MID91
1
-
R Perraud DEF8
1
-
A. Bouaddi MID8
2
1
M Fernandez FWD81
1
-
N Ngoy  DEF71
2
-
C Verdonk DEF71
1
-
B André MID721
1
-
N Bentaleb MID7
1
-
T Meunier DEF62
-
C Mbemba DEF61
-
O Sahraoui FWD5
-
I. Hamza FWD541
1
-
E. Mbappé Lottin MID2
-
M Broholm FWD2
-
Alexsandro DEF1
-
U Raghouber MID1
1
-
A Villa Europa League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6322
E BuendíaD MalenE BuendíaV Lindelöf
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Buendía MID812
1
-
M Rogers MID812
1
-
O Watkins FWD8
-
V Lindelöf DEF7
2
-
L Bogarde MID7
1
-
E Guessand FWD72
1
-
J Sancho FWD71
-
I Maatsen DEF61
1
-
M Cash DEF61
2
-
E Konsa DEF6
1
-
A Onana MID6
1
-
B Kamara MID61
-
D Malen FWD63
-
L Digne DEF5
1
-
P Torres DEF5
-
J McGinn MID52
2
-
E Martínez GLK4
-
M Bizot GLK4
1
-
Y Tielemans MID411
1
-
T Mings DEF31
-
H Elliot MID2
-
A García DEF1
-
R Barkley MID1
-