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Marseille v Ajax : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stade Vélodrome, Marseille

Ivan Gennaro Gattuso welcomes John van 't Schip to the Stade Vélodrome on Thursday night, as their Marseille and Ajax teams go head to head in the Europa League. Below you'll find unique stats for the biggest betting markets, from team to score first to full time result, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are produced from these, and the odds come straight from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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Marseille's next match is v Brighton at 20:00 on Thursday 14th December
The last European Europa League meeting between Marseille and Ajax was on Thursday 30th November 2023
European Europa League
November 30th 2023
Marseille 4
3 Ajax
 
P. Aubameyang 9'10' B. Brobbey
C. Mbemba Mangulu 26'30' B. Brobbey
P. Aubameyang 47'79' C. Akpom
P. Aubameyang 90'
 
MAR
AJA
Shots On
10
6
Shots Off
5
Corners
7
2
Possession
48%
52%
Fouls
9
14
Yellow/red cards
2/0
4/1
 
MarseilleAjax
 
P. López Sabata
S. Gigot
C. Mbemba Mangulufootball icon
J. Clauss
R. Lodi dos Santos (M. Murillo Bermudez 87')
A. Harit (A. Ounahi 87')
J. Veretout (V. Carvalho Oliveira 87')
G. Kondogbia
P. Aubameyangfootball iconfootball iconfootball icon (A. Meité 90')
C. Correa (I. Ndiaye 66')
I. Sarr
D. Ramaj
J. Hato
D. Rensch
A. Gaaei
(A. Martha 77') B. Sosa
(J. Banel 90') B. Tahirovic
(C. Akpom 77') K. Taylor
S. Berghuis
S. Bergwijn
(K. Hlynsson 46') C. Borges
(A. Salah-Eddine 90') football iconfootball iconB. Brobbey
Best Tip: Both teams to score

Marseille should have reason to feel positive ahead of this fixture and, funnily enough, so might Ajax. The bookmakers see them as well matched and so do we – there's no clear victor in this fixture. So our tip looks to the both teams to score market, where there's far more clarity. The form statistics, past head-to-head (H2H) records and bookies odds below are all pointing towards both sides scoring, and we think that's the tip to go with here.

The statistics and the odds are in alignment here, with movement in the both teams to score market giving us further belief in our prediction. The odds are shortening on both teams to score, and drifting on them failing to do so.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Marseille are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 63% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.62.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Marseille
63%
11/20
10%
8/15
13%
1/2
13%
13/25
8%
Draw
19%
7/2
20%
17/5
16%
18/5
23%
18/5
15%
Ajax
18%
17/4
17%
9/2
20%
9/2
20%
19/4
21%
Marseille 2-1
10%
15/27/17/17/1
Draw 1-1
8%
8/1
20%
8/1
20%
17/2
27%
8/1
6%
Marseille 2-0
8%
9/1
5%
17/2
6%
8/117/2
6%
Marseille 3-1
7%
10/1
15%
10/1
15%
10/1
15%
10/1
Marseille 1-0
7%
10/1
22%
10/1
29%
9/1
25%
10/1
10%
Marseille 3-0
6%
12/1
13%
12/1
13%
11/1
8%
11/1
Draw 2-2
6%
12/112/112/113/1
Ajax 2-1
5%
16/1
13%
16/1
13%
16/1
13%
16/1
6%
Marseille 3-2
4%
18/1
10%
16/1
19%
16/1
19%
16/1
11%
Marseille 4-1
4%
18/1
17%
18/1
27%
16/1
35%
17/1
5%
Marseille 4-0
4%
20/1
19%
20/1
28%
18/1
27%
18/1
Ajax 1-0
4%
20/1
24%
22/1
53%
22/1
53%
19/1
11%
Draw 0-0
3%
20/1
40%
20/1
62%
18/1
46%
19/1
11%
Marseille 4-2
3%
28/1
15%
28/1
37%
28/1
29%
25/1
13%
Ajax 3-2
2%
33/133/133/130/1
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
4/9
11%
4/9
14%
4/9
14%
4/9
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
32%
17/10
20%
33/20
26%
13/8
25%
17/10
8%
Home 1st Goal
56%
4/11
9%
1/2
4%
4/9
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
2/1
9%
15/8
7%
9/5
6%
-
No 1st Goal
1%
20/1
40%
20/1
62%
16/1
42%
-
BTTS - Yes
63%
8/15
6%
1/2
7%
8/15
8%
11/20
4%
BTTS - No
37%
11/8
8%
7/5
12%
11/8
13%
13/10
6%
BTTS - Home Win
35%
13/8
18%
8/5
19%
8/5
20%
-
BTTS - Draw
16%
4/1
11%
19/5
7%
4/1
9%
-
BTTS - Away Win
11%
7/1
7%
13/2
7%
7/1
7%
-
Home/draw
82%
1/6
1%
2/15
6%
1/7
5%
1/7
2%
Away/draw
37%
11/8
16%
29/20
17%
6/4
19%
6/4
3%
Home/away
81%
2/11
6%
1/5
7%
1/5
4%
1/5
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
87%
1/8
7%
2/15
6%
1/8
7%
1/9
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
13%
5/1
33%
19/4
37%
9/2
38%
5/1
13%
Over 3.5 Goals
47%
11/10
16%
11/10
21%
11/10
24%
23/20
8%
Under 3.5 Goals
53%
8/11
13%
7/10
18%
4/6
19%
7/10
6%
Over 4.5 Goals
28%
5/2
22%
12/5
29%
5/2
30%
13/5
11%
Under 4.5 Goals
72%
3/10
8%
2/7
10%
2/7
13%
27/100
4%
Over 5.5 Goals
14%
5/1
33%
11/2
35%
11/2
35%
6/1
13%
Under 5.5 Goals
86%
1/8
5%
1/9
5%
1/10
6%
1/10
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/50
1%
1/40
2%
-1.00
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
18/1
27%
20/1
62%
-19/1
11%
Home DNB
63%
2/9
6%
2/9
8%
1/5
7%
1/5
2%
Away DNB
18%
3/1
18%
3/1
23%
10/3
24%
10/3
9%
Marseille win to nil
28%
9/4
4%
9/4
2%
2/1-
Ajax win to nil
7%
12/1
30%
12/1
44%
12/1
44%
-
Marseille / Marseille
38%
13/10
16%
7/5
14%
6/5
15%
6/5
4%
Marseille / Ajax
2%
33/145/140/145/1
12%
Marseille / Draw
5%
14/1
15%
16/1
13%
14/114/1
Draw / Marseille
19%
15/417/5
2%
7/2
2%
4/1
4%
Draw / Ajax
6%
11/1
26%
11/1
26%
14/1
36%
12/1
8%
Draw / Draw
11%
13/2
15%
13/2
25%
7/1
33%
13/2
Ajax / Marseille
5%
16/1
11%
18/1
17%
16/1
19%
18/1
10%
Ajax / Ajax
9%
15/2
21%
9/1
25%
8/1
20%
8/1
6%
Ajax / Draw
5%
14/116/1
13%
14/115/1
Win / draw / win form
Marseille
20 games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
see results
HOME FORM
Marseille3 - 1AEK
Marseille2 - 2Brighton
Marseille2 - 1Panathinaikos
Marseille1 - 2Spurs
Marseille4 - 1S. Lisbon
Marseille0 - 1E.Frankfurt
Marseille0 - 0Feyenoord
Marseille2 - 1PAOK
Marseille2 - 1Basel
Marseille3 - 1Qarabag
Marseille1 - 0Lok. Moscow
Marseille2 - 2Lazio
Marseille0 - 0Galatasaray
Marseille2 - 1Olympiakos
Marseille0 - 2Porto
Marseille0 - 3Man City
Marseille1 - 3Apollon
Marseille1 - 3Limassol
Marseille1 - 3Lazio
Marseille1 - 2E.Frankfurt
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
see results
OVERALL FORM
AMarseille2 - 0AEK
HMarseille3 - 1AEK
HMarseille2 - 2Brighton
AMarseille3 - 3Ajax
HMarseille2 - 1Panathinaikos
AMarseille0 - 1Panathinaikos
HMarseille1 - 2Spurs
AMarseille1 - 2E.Frankfurt
AMarseille2 - 0S. Lisbon
HMarseille4 - 1S. Lisbon
HMarseille0 - 1E.Frankfurt
AMarseille0 - 2Spurs
HMarseille0 - 0Feyenoord
AMarseille2 - 3Feyenoord
AMarseille1 - 0PAOK
HMarseille2 - 1PAOK
AMarseille2 - 1Basel
HMarseille2 - 1Basel
AMarseille3 - 0Qarabag
HMarseille3 - 1Qarabag
Ajax
20 games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
see results
AWAY FORM
Brighton2 - 0Ajax
AEK1 - 1Ajax
Ludogorets1 - 4Ajax
Union Berlin3 - 1Ajax
Rangers1 - 3Ajax
Napoli4 - 2Ajax
Liverpool2 - 1Ajax
Benfica2 - 2Ajax
Besiktas1 - 2Ajax
Dortmund1 - 3Ajax
S. Lisbon1 - 5Ajax
Roma1 - 1Ajax
Young Boys0 - 2Ajax
Lille1 - 2Ajax
Liverpool1 - 0Ajax
Midtjylland1 - 2Ajax
Atalanta2 - 2Ajax
Getafe2 - 0Ajax
Lille0 - 2Ajax
Chelsea4 - 4Ajax
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
see results
OVERALL FORM
HAjax0 - 2Brighton
AAjax0 - 2Brighton
AAjax1 - 1AEK
HAjax3 - 3Marseille
HAjax0 - 1Ludogorets
AAjax4 - 1Ludogorets
AAjax1 - 3Union Berlin
HAjax0 - 0Union Berlin
AAjax3 - 1Rangers
HAjax0 - 3Liverpool
AAjax2 - 4Napoli
HAjax1 - 6Napoli
AAjax1 - 2Liverpool
HAjax4 - 0Rangers
HAjax0 - 1Benfica
AAjax2 - 2Benfica
HAjax4 - 2S. Lisbon
AAjax2 - 1Besiktas
AAjax3 - 1Dortmund
HAjax4 - 0Dortmund
Goal Statistics

Marseille's forwards have been in fine form of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 5 consecutive Europa League games. A PG of 2.3 suggests that run should continue on Thursday night.

Marseille's defensive record is very strong, I. Gattuso's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Europa League games. An average PG rating of 1.2 for Ajax makes sense in this context.

Marseille Ajax
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.3
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
10%
1
23%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
21%
There is a 67% probability that Marseille will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
9%
4+
There is a 69% probability that Ajax will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away games
20 home / away games
-22
Marseille have scored 22% fewer goals at home than predicted
+19
Ajax have scored 19% more goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
2.0
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Statistics Europa League - 2023/2023 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/267590/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Marseille
PG (predicted goals)
Ajax
2.3
1.2
Attack rating
MAR
AJA
9%
better
view stats
Games scored14
15
Failed to score6
5
Scored first11
9
Goals scored31
39
Avg. goals scored1.6
2
Avg. shots per game11
11
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate14%
18%
KickOff rating
+9%
Defence rating
29%
better
MAR
AJA
view stats
Games conceded14
17
Clean sheets6
3
Conceded first7
10
Goals conceded25
39
Avg. goals conceded1.3
2
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
5
Conversion rate15%
19%
KickOff rating
+29%

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Marseille v Ajax will show here when available.

Marseille Europa League squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5542
J Clauss P AubameyangJ Clauss J Clauss 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P López GLK4
-
J Clauss  DEF514
2
-
S Gigot  DEF3
1
-
C Mbemba DEF53
-
R Lodi DEF5
1
-
I Sarr MID41
2
-
G Kondogbia MID4
-
J Veretout MID522
-
J Correa MID4
-
A Harit  MID514
-
P Aubameyang FWD45
-
Subs
R Blanco GLK1
-
M Murillo DEF4
-
L Balerdi DEF4
2
-
B Meïté MID2
-
B Nadir MID2
-
E. Soglo MID1
-
A Ounahi MID3
-
F Mughe FWD1
-
I Ndiaye FWD5
-
Vitinha FWD51
1
-
Ajax Europa League squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7323
J HatoB BrobbeyS Berghuis S Berghuis 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Ramaj GLK3
-
A Gaaei DEF4
-
D Rensch DEF51
-
J Hato DEF7
1
-
B Sosa DEF41
-
B Tahirovic MID7
1
-
K Taylor MID711
2
-
C. Borges MID711
-
S Berghuis  MID712
2
1
S Bergwijn  MID711
1
-
B Brobbey FWD73
1
-
Subs
C Setford GLK
-
G Rulli GLK
-
A Martha DEF1
-
T. Gooijer DEF
-
A Salah-Eddine DEF3
-
J Medić DEF3
1
-
G Ávila DEF2
-
K Hlynsson MID31
1
-
J Banel FWD1
-
C Akpom FWD51
-
G Mikautadze FWD1
-
M Godts FWD3
-