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FC Porto v Malmo FF : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 11th Dec, 20:00 BST, Estádio do Dragão, Porto

Home advantage makes a difference in the Europa League, and Francesco Farioli’s FC Porto will have the joy of it on Thursday night. Anes Mravac’s Malmo FF are their visitors to the Estádio do Dragão. We have the best odds for 17 different betting markets as well as predictions, statistics and head to head (H2H) data for these two clubs. All can be selected using the tabs below.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Europa League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Porto to win

A Europa League win on home turf for Francesco Farioli's Porto side win in the win / draw / win market is what we're predicting. Stats suggest they have what it takes, and they should have too much for their opponents. The odds from the bookies are pointing in the same direction, and when that happens you've got a pretty compelling case. A Porto win is the bet we'd suggest, even if a tight match is possible.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Porto are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 79% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.22.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Porto
79%
1.201.22
Draw
14%
6.506.50
Malmö
7%
11.0013.00
Porto 2-0
14%
5.505.75
Porto 3-0
12%
6.507.00
Porto 1-0
11%
7.006.50
Porto 2-1
8%
10.009.00
Porto 4-0
7%
10.0010.00
Porto 3-1
7%
12.0010.00
Draw 1-1
7%
13.0012.00
Draw 0-0
5%
15.0015.00
Porto 4-1
4%
19.0015.00
Porto 5-0
4%
19.0017.00
Malmö 1-0
3%
23.0021.00
Draw 2-2
3%
34.0023.00
Porto 5-1
2%
29.0026.00
Porto 3-2
2%
34.0026.00
Malmö 2-1
2%
29.0026.00
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
1.621.60
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
2.302.25
Home 1st Goal
65%
1.251.22
Away 1st Goal
32%
4.004.80
No 1st Goal
3%
15.0013.00
BTTS - Yes
41%
2.382.38
BTTS - No
59%
1.531.55
BTTS - Home Win
28%
3.253.20
BTTS - Draw
10%
9.008.50
BTTS - Away Win
3%
21.0019.00
Home/draw
93%
1.051.03
Away/draw
21%
4.334.20
Home/away
86%
1.111.11
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1.201.20
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
4.504.33
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
2.632.50
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
1.501.48
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
4.504.33
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
1.201.18
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
9.008.00
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1.071.06
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.031.02
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
17.0013.00
Home DNB
89%
1.061.04
Away DNB
17%
10.009.50
Porto win to nil
51%
1.73-
Malmö win to nil
4%
17.00-
Porto / Porto
48%
1.671.70
Porto / Malmö
2%
51.0051.00
Porto / Draw
4%
21.0019.00
Draw / Porto
22%
3.753.80
Draw / Malmö
4%
23.0019.00
Draw / Draw
9%
9.008.50
Malmö / Porto
4%
21.0019.00
Malmö / Malmö
4%
26.0017.00
Malmö / Draw
3%
26.0021.00
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Win / draw / win Europa League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Porto
Malmö
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lyon5401912 
-
-
-
-
2
Midtjylland5401712 
-
-
-
-
3
A Villa5401512 
-
-
-
-
4
Freiburg5320511 
-
-
-
-
5
Real Betis5320511 
-
-
-
-
6
Ferencvaros5320411 
-
-
-
-
7
Braga5311410 
-
-
-
-
8
Porto5311310 
-
-
-
Dec 11
9
Genk5311210 
-
-
-
Jan 29
10
Celta530249 
-
-
-
-
11
Lille530249 
-
-
-
-
12
Stuttgart530249 
-
-
-
-
13
Plzen523049 
-
Jan 22
-
l
 
3-0A
14
Panathinaikos530229 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
-
15
Roma530229 
-
-
-
-
16
Nottm Forest522148 
-
l
 
2-0A
-
l
 
3-0A
17
PAOK522138 
-
-
-
-
18
Bologna522138 
-
-
-
-
19
Brann522138 
-
-
-
-
20
Fenerbahce522108 
-
-
-
-
21
Celtic5212-17 
-
-
-
-
22
Red Star Bel.5212-17 
w
 
2-1F
-
Jan 22
-
23
D. Zagreb5212-37 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
-
24
Basel520306 
-
-
-
-
25
Ludogorets5203-36 
-
-
l
 
1-2A
-
26
Young Boys5203-56 
-
-
-
-
27
GA Eagles5203-56 
-
-
-
-
28
Sturm Graz5113-34 
-
-
-
-
29
Salzburg5104-53 
-
w
 
0-1F
-
-
30
Feyenoord5104-53 
-
-
-
-
31
FCSB5104-53 
-
-
-
-
32
Utrecht5014-51 
-
d
 
1-1A
-
-
33
Rangers5014-71 
Jan 29
-
-
-
34
Malmö5014-81 
Dec 11
-
-
-
35
M. Tel-Aviv5014-131 
-
-
-
-
36
Nice5005-80 
w
 
3-0F
-
-
-
37
SK Sigma 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
Porto 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Porto3 - 0Nice
Porto2 - 1Red Star Bel.
Porto1 - 1Roma
Porto0 - 1Olympiakos
Porto2 - 0Midtjylland
Porto2 - 0Hoffenheim
Porto3 - 3Man Utd
Porto1 - 0Arsenal
Porto5 - 3Shakhtar
Porto2 - 0Antwerp
Porto0 - 1Barcelona
Porto0 - 0Inter
Porto2 - 1A.Madrid
Porto2 - 0Leverkusen
Porto0 - 4Brugge
Porto0 - 1Lyon
Porto2 - 1Lazio
Porto1 - 3A.Madrid
Porto1 - 0Milan
Porto1 - 5Liverpool
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPorto3 - 0Nice
APorto1 - 1Utrecht
APorto0 - 2Nottm Forest
HPorto2 - 1Red Star Bel.
APorto1 - 0Salzburg
APorto2 - 3Roma
HPorto1 - 1Roma
APorto1 - 0M. Tel-Aviv
HPorto0 - 1Olympiakos
HPorto2 - 0Midtjylland
APorto2 - 2Anderlecht
APorto1 - 2Lazio
HPorto2 - 0Hoffenheim
HPorto3 - 3Man Utd
APorto2 - 3Bodø
APorto0 - 1Arsenal
HPorto1 - 0Arsenal
HPorto5 - 3Shakhtar
APorto1 - 2Barcelona
HPorto2 - 0Antwerp
Malmö 34TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
42
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nottm Forest3 - 0Malmö
Plzen3 - 0Malmö
SK Sigma0 - 2Malmö
Kobenhavn5 - 0Malmö
Rigas Futbola Skola1 - 4Malmö
Saburtalo1 - 3Malmö
Slavia2 - 2Malmö
Ferencvaros4 - 1Malmö
Besiktas2 - 1Malmö
Qarabag1 - 2Malmö
Sparta2 - 0Malmö
PAOK3 - 3Malmö
KI Klaksvik3 - 2Malmö
Braga2 - 1Malmö
Union Berlin1 - 0Malmö
Union SG3 - 2Malmö
Sivasspor0 - 2Malmö
F91 Dudelange2 - 2Malmö
VMFD Zalgiris1 - 0Malmö
Víkingur3 - 3Malmö
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMalmö0 - 3Nottm Forest
HMalmö0 - 1Panathinaikos
HMalmö1 - 1D. Zagreb
AMalmö0 - 3Plzen
HMalmö1 - 2Ludogorets
AMalmö2 - 0SK Sigma
HMalmö3 - 0SK Sigma
AMalmö0 - 5Kobenhavn
HMalmö0 - 0Kobenhavn
HMalmö1 - 0Rigas Futbola Skola
AMalmö4 - 1Rigas Futbola Skola
HMalmö3 - 1Saburtalo
AMalmö3 - 1Saburtalo
AMalmö2 - 2Slavia
HMalmö2 - 3Twente
HMalmö2 - 2Galatasaray
AMalmö1 - 4Ferencvaros
AMalmö1 - 2Besiktas
HMalmö0 - 1Olympiakos
AMalmö2 - 1Qarabag
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.5 is fairly strong for FC Porto in their clash with Malmo FF, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 23 consecutive Europa League outings.

Porto 8th Malmö 34th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.5
goals
0.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
24%
There is a 71% probability that Porto will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
55%
1
33%
2
3
4+
There is a 55% probability that Malmö will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-12
Porto have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted
+12
Malmö have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
2.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Europa League - 2025/2025 season
Porto
PG (predicted goals)
Malmö
2.5
0.6
Attack rating
30%
better
PTO
MMO
view stats
Games scored17
14
Failed to score3
6
Scored first14
7
Goals scored37
25
Avg. goals scored1.9
1.3
Avg. shots per game11
10
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for17
13
Avg. XG for1.6
1.4
KickOff rating
+30%
Defence rating
50%
better
PTO
MMO
view stats
Games conceded8
15
Clean sheets12
5
Conceded first4
12
Goals conceded13
34
Avg. goals conceded0.7
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded7
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded11
6
Conversion rate against9%
18%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.6
KickOff rating
+50%

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Porto v Malmö will show here when available.

Porto Europa League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5222
D CostaG VeigaPepêA Baio
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK5
-
J Bednarek DEF5
1
-
G Veiga MID52
1
-
V. Froholdt MID51
1
-
P Rosario MID5
-
Pepê FWD52
1
-
B Sainz FWD51
1
-
A Baio DEF4
2
-
Zaidu  DEF4
-
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF41
1
-
R. Mora Carvalho MID41
1
-
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD42
1
-
D Gül FWD41
-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD41
-
F Moura DEF3
1
-
J Kiwior DEF3
-
S Eustaquio MID3
-
A Varela MID3
-
D. Prpić DEF2
2
-
L Jong FWD1
-
Malmö Europa League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7222
J LarsenS HaksabanovicT AliP Jansson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Larsen DEF7
-
Busanello DEF7
1
-
P Jansson DEF7
2
-
A Skogmar MID7
1
-
C Rösler DEF6
1
-
O Rosengren MID61
1
-
H Bolin MID6
-
S Haksabanovic FWD62
-
E Ekong FWD61
1
-
A. Đurić DEF5
1
-
L Johnsen MID521
1
1
A Christiansen MID5
2
-
D Gudjohnsen FWD51
1
1
R Olsen GLK4
1
-
K. Busuladzic MID4
1
-
O Berg MID4
-
T Ali FWD42
1
-
M Ellborg GLK3
-
O Lewicki MID31
-
S Vecchia FWD3
1
-
S Soumah FWD2
-
A Sigurdsson FWD1
-