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Union Saint Gilloise v Ajax : Europa League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 13th Feb, 17:45 BST, Stade Joseph Mariën, Brussels

Ajax pay Europa League competitors Union Saint Gilloise a visit on Thursday evening, as Francesco Farioli leads his men into an away clash with Sébastien Pocognoli & co. at the Stade Joseph Mariën. Below there are predictions for seventeen major betting markets, supporting statistics including head to heads (H2Hs), and odds from leading bookmakers. Access it all via the tabs below.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Europa League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We are making over 1.5 goals our tip on this fixture, meaning that the teams will score 2 goals or more between them during 90 minutes. Both Union SG and Ajax's current form stats suggest things will go that way, while their head-to-head (H2H) record also supports the bet. The bookies make it the most likely outcome in this market too, available at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Union SG are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 44% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Union SG
44%
5/4
5%
6/5
8%
Draw
25%
23/10
3%
23/10
6%
Ajax
31%
9/4
12%
23/10
15%
Draw 1-1
12%
11/25/1
8%
Union SG 1-0
10%
7/1
20%
6/1
22%
Union SG 2-1
9%
8/1
5%
7/1
6%
Ajax 1-0
8%
9/1
9%
8/1
10%
Union SG 2-0
7%
10/1
15%
17/2
14%
Ajax 2-1
7%
11/1
9%
9/1
11%
Draw 0-0
6%
9/1
23%
15/2
15%
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1
8%
11/1
20%
Ajax 2-0
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
Union SG 3-1
5%
18/1
12%
14/1
15%
Union SG 3-0
4%
20/1
9%
14/1
21%
Ajax 3-1
3%
25/1
24%
18/1
12%
Union SG 3-2
3%
25/1
13%
20/1
24%
Ajax 3-2
2%
33/1
31%
22/1
21%
Ajax 3-0
2%
33/1
17%
25/1
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
1/1
16%
10/11
14%
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
4/5
14%
4/5
14%
Home 1st Goal
51%
8/11-
Away 1st Goal
45%
13/10
10%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
9/1
23%
-
BTTS - Yes
55%
3/4
11%
3/4
11%
BTTS - No
45%
1/1
11%
19/20
15%
BTTS - Home Win
21%
7/2
4%
16/5
8%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3
8%
10/3
3%
BTTS - Away Win
15%
11/2
30%
19/4
25%
Home/draw
69%
1/3
5%
1/3
5%
Away/draw
56%
8/13
6%
13/20
5%
Home/away
75%
1/3
2%
1/3
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
3/10
7%
3/10
7%
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
5/2
19%
9/4
19%
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
12/5
24%
9/4
25%
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
1/3
8%
3/10
10%
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
11/2
30%
5/1
30%
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/9
5%
1/10
6%
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/1
30%
11/1
41%
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/25
2%
1/40
4%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/16
2%
1/18
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
9/1
23%
15/2
23%
Home DNB
62%
4/7
6%
11/20
9%
Away DNB
48%
5/4
7%
13/10
12%
Union SG win to nil
23%
11/4
17%
-
Ajax win to nil
15%
9/2-
Union SG / Union SG
22%
11/412/5
8%
Union SG / Ajax
3%
28/1
12%
22/1
10%
Union SG / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Union SG
15%
9/2
8%
17/4
9%
Draw / Ajax
11%
6/1
8%
6/1
8%
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1
9%
18/5
8%
Ajax / Union SG
3%
25/1
13%
20/1
11%
Ajax / Ajax
16%
4/1
11%
17/4
19%
Ajax / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
Win / draw / win Europa League table

Union SG have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 21st position in the league. Union SG are winless in the 4 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in 3 of those games. Union SG are unbeaten at home after 4 games and have kept 1 clean sheet in those matches.

Performance against teams above them in the league

4 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 2 and won zero. Union SG have conceded 4 goals, scored 2, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Union SG have played 4 games at home, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 0 fixtures. They have scored 5 goals, conceded 3 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Ajax lay in 12th place on 13 points in the Europa League league table having played 8 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below them in the table, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored 15 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Ajax have conceded 5 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Ajax have played 7 away games, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Union SG
Ajax
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lazio86111219 
-
-
-
-
2
A.Bilbao8611819 
-
-
-
-
3
Man Utd8530718 
-
-
-
-
4
Spurs8521817 
-
-
-
-
5
E.Frankfurt8512416 
-
-
-
-
6
Lyon8431815 
-
-
-
-
7
Olympiakos8431615 
-
-
-
-
8
Rangers8422614 
-
-
-
-
9
Bodø8422314 
-
-
-
-
10
Anderlecht8422214 
-
-
-
-
11
FCSB8422114 
-
-
-
-
12
Ajax Away8413813 
Feb 13
Feb 20
-
-
13
R.Sociedad8413413 
-
-
-
-
14
Galatasaray8341313 
-
-
-
-
15
Roma8332412 
-
-
-
-
16
Plzen8332112 
-
-
-
-
17
Ferencvaros8404012 
-
-
-
-
18
Porto8323211 
-
-
-
-
19
AZ Alkmaar8323011 
-
-
-
-
20
Midtjylland8323011 
-
-
-
-
21
Union SG Home8323011 
-
-
Feb 20
Feb 13
22
PAOK8314210 
-
-
-
-
23
Twente8242-110 
-
-
-
-
24
Fenerbahce8242-210 
-
-
-
-
25
Braga8314-310 
-
-
-
-
26
Elfsborg8314-510 
-
-
-
-
27
Hoffenheim8233-39 
-
-
-
-
28
Besiktas8305-59 
-
-
-
-
29
M. Tel-Aviv8206-96 
-
-
-
-
30
Slavia8125-45 
-
-
-
-
31
Malmö8125-75 
-
-
-
-
32
Rigas Futbola Skola8125-75 
-
-
-
-
33
Ludogorets8044-74 
-
-
-
-
34
Dynamo Kyiv8116-134 
-
-
-
-
35
Nice8035-93 
-
-
-
-
36
Qarabag8107-143 
-
-
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
Union SG 21ST
17 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
13 / 17
Conceded
13 / 17
Clean sheets
4 / 17
Failed to score
4 / 17
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
4
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Ajax 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
Goal Statistics

Union Saint Gilloise have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 7 consecutive Europa League matches. Their PG of 1.5 against Ajax on Thursday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Union Saint Gilloise's defensive record is very strong, S. Pocognoli's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Europa League games. An average PG rating of 1.2 for Ajax makes sense in this context.

Union SG 21st Ajax 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Union SG will score 1 or more goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Ajax will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
17 home / away league games
+5
Union SG’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+13
Ajax have scored 13% more goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Europa League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/294404/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Union SG
PG (predicted goals)
Ajax
1.5
1.2
Attack rating
%
better
USG
AJA
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
USG
AJA
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

The line-ups for the Europa League match between Union SG v Ajax will show here when available.

Union SG Europa League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8424
A MorisF IvanovicO. NiangK Allister
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Moris GLK8
-
N Sadiki MID8
2
-
F Ivanovic FWD841
2
-
K Rodríguez FWD81
1
-
O. Niang FWD82
2
-
K Machida DEF7
2
1
R Sykes DEF71
3
-
C Burgess  DEF7
3
-
C Vanhoutte MID72
3
-
A Khalaili FWD7
3
-
K Allister DEF62
3
1
M Rasmussen MID6
-
M Fuseini FWD611
-
A Hadj MID51
-
K. Van de Perre MID4
1
-
S Boufal FWD4
1
-
F Leysen DEF3
1
-
A Castro-Montes MID2
-
Ajax Europa League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14436
R PasveerK TaylorK TaylorK Taylor
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Pasveer GLK14
-
Y Baas  DEF13
1
1
J Sutalo DEF131
1
-
J Hato DEF1311
4
-
K Taylor MID1343
6
-
B Boomen MID122
3
-
K Fitz-Jim MID1241
2
-
J Henderson MID121
3
-
M Godts FWD1243
-
B Traoré FWD1143
1
-
B Brobbey FWD1123
1
-
A Gaaei DEF10
1
-
S Berghuis  FWD1012
-
C Rasmussen  FWD9
-
D Rugani DEF6
-
W Weghorst FWD511
1
-
O Wijndal DEF3
3
-
A Kaplan DEF1
-
J. Rijkhoff FWD1
-