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Azerbaijan v Slovakia : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 14th Oct, 17:00 BST, Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu (Bakı (Baku)), Baku

the Tofiq Bəhramov adına Respublika stadionu (Bakı (Baku)) is the stage on Monday evening, as Fernando Santos's Azerbaijan host Francesco Calzona's Slovakia in the UEFA Nations League. We provide predictions based on complex statistical analysis of each side, across 17 major betting markets. Data shown and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included for all.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead we're predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Azerbaijan and Slovakia will score at least 2 between them during 90 mins. It's a prediction based on each side's recent form stats, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 75%. Bookies have it priced at 1.44.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Azerbaijan 21%	4.50	4.50 2%
Draw 24%	3.75 1%	3.80 9%
Slovakia 55%	1.75 1%	1.75 5%
Slovakia 1-0 12%	6.50	6.00 9%
Draw 1-1 12%	7.00 7%	7.00 8%
Slovakia 2-0 10%	8.00	7.50 7%
Slovakia 2-1 10%	9.00	7.50 6%
Draw 0-0 7%	9.50 5%	9.00 29%
Azerbaijan 1-0 7%	11.00	10.00 18%
Slovakia 3-0 6%	13.00	11.00 8%
Azerbaijan 2-1 5%	15.00	13.00
Slovakia 3-1 5%	15.00	12.00 20%
Draw 2-2 5%	19.00	15.00
Azerbaijan 2-0 3%	21.00	17.00
Slovakia 3-2 3%	29.00	21.00 19%
Slovakia 4-0 2%	26.00	21.00 9%
Slovakia 4-1 2%	29.00	23.00 12%
Azerbaijan 3-1 2%	41.00	26.00 10%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%	2.00	1.95 13%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%	1.80	1.75 11%
Home 1st Goal 41%	3.00	-
Away 1st Goal 55%	1.50	-
No 1st Goal 5%	9.50 5%	-
BTTS - Yes 49%	1.91	1.95 9%
BTTS - No 51%	1.80	1.80 9%
BTTS - Home Win 10%	9.00	8.00 11%
BTTS - Draw 17%	5.50	5.00
BTTS - Away Win 23%	4.00	3.80 14%
Home/draw 45%	2.00	2.05 5%
Away/draw 79%	1.17	1.20
Home/away 76%	1.25	1.25 4%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%	1.33 2%	1.33 8%
Under 1.5 Goals 27%	3.25 4%	3.20 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%	3.50	3.40 19%
Under 3.5 Goals 73%	1.29	1.29 8%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%	6.50	6.50 24%
Under 4.5 Goals 88%	1.10	1.09 3%
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	10.00	13.00 24%
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1.03	1.02 2%
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1.03	1.05 3%
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	9.50 5%	9.00 29%
Home DNB 38%	3.40	3.25 5%
Away DNB 72%	1.30	1.30 2%
Azerbaijan win to nil 11%	7.00	-
Slovakia win to nil 32%	2.75	-
Azerbaijan / Azerbaijan 11%	7.50	7.00 8%
Azerbaijan / Slovakia 4%	26.00	19.00 10%
Azerbaijan / Draw 5%	17.00	13.00
Draw / Azerbaijan 9%	9.00 5%	8.50
Draw / Slovakia 18%	4.50	4.33 2%
Draw / Draw 15%	5.50	5.25 17%
Slovakia / Azerbaijan 2%	41.00	29.00
Slovakia / Slovakia 30%	2.75 5%	2.70 6%
Slovakia / Draw 5%	17.00	13.00

Win / draw / win form

Azerbaijan have lost 3 consecutive games

Slovakia have not lost in 5 consecutive games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Azerbaijan	1 - 3	Sweden
Azerbaijan	3 - 2	Kazakhstan
Azerbaijan	1 - 1	Bulgaria
Azerbaijan	1 - 0	Mongolia
Azerbaijan	3 - 0	Sweden
Azerbaijan	0 - 1	Austria
Azerbaijan	2 - 1	Jordan
Azerbaijan	0 - 1	Belgium
Azerbaijan	1 - 1	Estonia
Azerbaijan	3 - 0	Kazakhstan
Azerbaijan	2 - 0	Belarus
Azerbaijan	0 - 1	Slovakia
Azerbaijan	0 - 1	Latvia
Azerbaijan	2 - 2	Qatar
Azerbaijan	1 - 3	Luxembourg
Azerbaijan	0 - 3	Ireland
Azerbaijan	0 - 3	Portugal
Azerbaijan	1 - 2	Serbia
Azerbaijan	0 - 0	Montenegro
Azerbaijan	0 - 0	Cyprus

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Azerbaijan	1 - 3	Estonia
A	Azerbaijan	0 - 2	Slovakia
H	Azerbaijan	1 - 3	Sweden
H	Azerbaijan	3 - 2	Kazakhstan
A	Azerbaijan	1 - 3	Albania
H	Azerbaijan	1 - 1	Bulgaria
H	Azerbaijan	1 - 0	Mongolia
A	Azerbaijan	0 - 5	Belgium
H	Azerbaijan	3 - 0	Sweden
H	Azerbaijan	0 - 1	Austria
A	Azerbaijan	2 - 0	Estonia
H	Azerbaijan	2 - 1	Jordan
H	Azerbaijan	0 - 1	Belgium
H	Azerbaijan	1 - 1	Estonia
A	Azerbaijan	0 - 5	Sweden
A	Azerbaijan	1 - 4	Austria
H	Azerbaijan	3 - 0	Kazakhstan
A	Azerbaijan	2 - 1	Slovakia
H	Azerbaijan	2 - 0	Belarus
H	Azerbaijan	0 - 1	Slovakia

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Estonia	0 - 1	Slovakia
England	1 - 1	Slovakia
Belgium	0 - 1	Slovakia
Norway	1 - 1	Slovakia
Bosnia	1 - 2	Slovakia
Luxembourg	0 - 1	Slovakia
Portugal	3 - 2	Slovakia
Liechtenstein	0 - 1	Slovakia
Iceland	1 - 2	Slovakia
Kazakhstan	2 - 1	Slovakia
Azerbaijan	0 - 1	Slovakia
Belarus	0 - 1	Slovakia
Finland	0 - 2	Slovakia
Norway	2 - 0	Slovakia
Malta	0 - 6	Slovakia
Croatia	2 - 2	Slovakia
Russia	1 - 0	Slovakia
Slovenia	1 - 1	Slovakia
Sweden	1 - 0	Slovakia
Poland	1 - 2	Slovakia

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Slovakia	2 - 2	Sweden
H	Slovakia	2 - 0	Azerbaijan
A	Slovakia	1 - 0	Estonia
A	Slovakia	1 - 1	England
H	Slovakia	1 - 1	Romania
H	Slovakia	1 - 2	Ukraine
A	Slovakia	1 - 0	Belgium
H	Slovakia	4 - 0	Wales
H	Slovakia	4 - 0	San Marino
A	Slovakia	1 - 1	Norway
H	Slovakia	0 - 2	Austria
A	Slovakia	2 - 1	Bosnia
H	Slovakia	4 - 2	Iceland
A	Slovakia	1 - 0	Luxembourg
A	Slovakia	2 - 3	Portugal
H	Slovakia	3 - 0	Liechtenstein
H	Slovakia	0 - 1	Portugal
A	Slovakia	1 - 0	Liechtenstein
A	Slovakia	2 - 1	Iceland
H	Slovakia	2 - 0	Bosnia

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Azerbaijan

Slovakia

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

1 / 2

2 / 2

Clean sheets

0 / 2

1 / 2

SVK

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Azerbaijan
		0 - 1		Slovakia
		1 - 5		Slovakia

Slovakia

Azerbaijan

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 3

1 / 3

Clean sheets

2 / 3

0 / 3

AZE

SVK

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Slovakia
Slovakia	2 - 0
	1 - 2	Azerbaijan
Slovakia	2 - 0

Goal Statistics

Slovakia have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 10 consecutive UEFA Nations League outings. Their PG of 1.7 against Azerbaijan on Monday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Azerbaijan	Slovakia
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	0.9 goals	1.7 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 39% 1 37% 2 17% 3 4+ There is a 76% probability of Azerbaijan scoring 1 goal or less	0 19% 1 31% 2 26% 3 15% 4+ 9% There is a 81% probability that Slovakia will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	=0 Azerbaijan’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+4 Slovakia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.1 average goals scored	1.4 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	0.9 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

AZE

SVK

32%

better

view stats

Games scored	14		18
Failed to score	6		2
Scored first	7		13
Goals scored	24		35
Avg. goals scored	1.2		1.8
Avg. shots per game	9		10
Avg. shots per goal	8		6
Conversion rate for	13		17
Avg. XG for	2.5		1.5
KickOff rating		+32%

AZE

SVK

35%

better

view stats

Games conceded	15		11
Clean sheets	5		9
Conceded first	13		7
Goals conceded	34		17
Avg. goals conceded	1.7		0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded	12		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		9
Conversion rate against	14%		11%
Avg. XG against	3.3		1.2
KickOff rating		+35%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Azerbaijan v Slovakia will show here when available.

Azerbaijan UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
53	14	5	12
B Hüseynov	E Mahmudov	E Mahmudov	A Kryvotsyuk

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Sheydayev FWD	66	10	3	5 -
B Hüseynov DEF	59	1		5 1
E Mahmudov MID	51	14	5	6 -
M Emreli FWD	47	6	2	6 1
A Kryvotsyuk DEF	38	1		12 -
B Mustafazada DEF	31	1		2 1
S Mahammadaliyev GLK	29		1	6 -
J Diniyev MID	27			3 -
A Isayev MID	24	1	2	2 -
E Cafarquliyev DEF	23	1	1	4 -
R Mammadov DEF	19			2 -
E Camalov MID	19			1 -
M Qurbanly FWD	13	3		-
Q Aliyev DEF	12		1	1
A Seydiyev DEF	11			4 -
E Bədəlov DEF	8			-
V İsgändärli FWD	5			-
E Mustafaev MID	4			2 -
E Safarov MID	4			-
J. Nuriyev MID	3		1	-
R Cəfərov GLK	1			-
T Bayramov DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
14	22	5	4
E Mahmudov	R Sheydayev	E Mahmudov	E Mahmudov

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
E Mahmudov MID	14	15	5	4
R Sheydayev FWD	10	22	3	2
M Emreli FWD	6	10	2	1
M Qurbanly FWD	3
A Kryvotsyuk DEF	1	2		1
B Mustafazada DEF	1	3		1
A Isayev MID	1	1	2	3
E Cafarquliyev DEF	1	1	1	2
B Hüseynov DEF	1
J. Nuriyev MID			1	1
E Safarov MID				2
A Seydiyev DEF		1
Q Aliyev DEF			1
R Mammadov DEF		1		1
J Diniyev MID		2		1
S Mahammadaliyev GLK			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1214	76	146
E Mahmudov	E Mahmudov	A Kryvotsyuk

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E Mahmudov MID	1214	76	138
A Kryvotsyuk DEF	1112	61	146
B Hüseynov DEF	1084	21	65
B Mustafazada DEF	873	25	77
R Sheydayev FWD	762	33	139
S Mahammadaliyev GLK	726	3	18
A Isayev MID	586	6	29
E Cafarquliyev DEF	462	10	46
R Mammadov DEF	388	21	47
M Emreli FWD	376	17	89
E Camalov MID	275	30	38
E Bədəlov DEF	273	9	22
J Diniyev MID	247	9	28
A Seydiyev DEF	91	5	21
Q Aliyev DEF	57	3	10
J. Nuriyev MID	52	3	9
T Bayramov DEF	24		8
M Qurbanly FWD	19	4	9
V İsgändärli FWD	16	4	9
E Safarov MID	15	2	3

Slovakia UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
85	14	10	22
J Kucka	O Duda	J Kucka	J Kucka

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Kucka MID	90	12	10	22 -
P Pekarik DEF	86	1	4	12 -
O Duda MID	75	14	10	16 1
M Skriniar DEF	73	3	2	14 -
S Lobotka MID	60	4	5	1 -
R Bozenik FWD	47	7	4	6 -
M Dúbravka GLK	45			4 -
D Hancko DEF	45	4	7	3 -
L Haraslin MID	43	6	5	4 -
N Gyomber DEF	41		1	9 -
T Suslov MID	35	4	3	5 -
M Bero MID	34	1	4	4 -
L Satka DEF	32	1		3 -
L Bénes MID	27	2	4	1 -
I Schranz FWD	26	6		4 -
D Strelec FWD	25	6	3	-
D Vavro DEF	24	1	1	7 -
M Rodak GLK	23			2 -
D Duris FWD	16	1		1 -
A Obert DEF	9			1 -
Ľubomír Tupta FWD	9			-
M Tomic DEF	5			1 -
L. Sauer FWD	3			-
T Rigo MID	2	1		-
S Kozlovsky DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
14	25	10	15
O Duda	J Kucka	J Kucka	L Haraslin

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
O Duda MID	14	19	10	13
J Kucka MID	12	25	10	7
R Bozenik FWD	7	21	4	6
I Schranz FWD	6	10		4
L Haraslin MID	6	22	5	15
D Strelec FWD	6	7	3	2
S Lobotka MID	4	4	5	9
D Hancko DEF	4	17	7	10
T Suslov MID	4	10	3	6
M Skriniar DEF	3	6	2	3
L Bénes MID	2	5	4	5
T Rigo MID	1
D Duris FWD	1	2		2
D Vavro DEF	1	5	1
L Satka DEF	1	1
P Pekarik DEF	1	7	4	4
M Bero MID	1	6	4	1
N Gyomber DEF			1	2
A Obert DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
3558	94	366
M Skriniar	J Kucka	J Kucka

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Skriniar DEF	3558	49	178
S Lobotka MID	2445	56	186
J Kucka MID	1928	94	366
P Pekarik DEF	1895	56	138
D Hancko DEF	1625	74	196
O Duda MID	1559	44	188
L Satka DEF	1488	20	66
D Vavro DEF	1294	20	71
N Gyomber DEF	943	14	58
M Dúbravka GLK	860	1	16
L Haraslin MID	588	31	153
M Rodak GLK	545		14
T Suslov MID	441	33	99
I Schranz FWD	409	25	61
L Bénes MID	385	10	34
R Bozenik FWD	366	11	86
A Obert DEF	339	8	15
M Bero MID	296	18	43
D Strelec FWD	166	3	36
M Tomic DEF	119	1	7
D Duris FWD	68	6	15
Ľubomír Tupta FWD	41		3
T Rigo MID	5	1	1
L. Sauer FWD	1		3

International UEFA Nations League match betting previews, predictions and odds

Bulgaria v Luxembourg

Kazakhstan v Slovenia

Sun 13th Oct, 14:00

Liechtenstein v Gibraltar

Azerbaijan v Slovakia

Germany v Netherlands

Switzerland v Denmark

Azerbaijan v Slovakia : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Azerbaijan v Slovakia will show here when available.

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