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Croatia v France : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stadion Poljud, Split

Croatia are in UEFA Nations League action on Thursday evening, as Zlatko Dalić attempts to outsmart Didier Deschamps and his France side at the Stadion Poljud. Analysing both clubs' last 20 UEFA Nations League matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside the best odds.

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Croatia's next match is v France at 19:45 on Sunday 23rd March
France's next match is v Croatia at 19:45 on Sunday 23rd March
The last International UEFA Nations League meeting between Croatia and France was on Thursday 20th March 2025
International UEFA Nations League
March 20th 2025
Croatia 2
0 France
 
A. Budimir 26'
I. Perišić 45'
 
CRO
FRA
Shots On
4
6
Shots Off
2
6
Corners
3
9
Possession
38%
62%
Fouls
12
12
Yellow/red cards
2/0
 
CroatiaFrance
 
D. Livaković
J. Stanisic
J. Gvardiol
D. Ćaleta-Car
J. Šutalo
M. Kovačić
A. Kramarić (P. Sučić 85')
L. Modrić
M. Baturina (M. Pašalić 60')
A. Budimirfootball icon (F. Ivanović 60')
I. Perišićfootball icon (N. Vlašić 70')
M. Maignan
J. Koundé
W. Saliba
L. Digne
(D. Upamecano 46') I. Konaté
(K. Kone 84') M. Guendouzi Olié
(E. Camavinga 64') A. Rabiot
A. Tchouaméni
K. Mbappé
(M. Olise 84') O. Dembélé
(B. Barcola 64') R. Kolo Muani

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

KickOff's predictive algorithm suggests there's a 80% chance of Croatia and France serving up a minimum of 2 goals in this UEFA Nations League tie. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and it seems the bookmakers favour that outcome too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available with best odds of 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 48% chance of France coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Croatia
28%
-12/5
3%
Draw
24%
-12/5
France
48%
-11/10
2%
Draw 1-1
11%
-5/1
France 2-1
9%
-7/1
France 1-0
9%
-6/1
France 2-0
7%
-8/1
Croatia 2-1
7%
-9/1
Croatia 1-0
6%
-8/1
Draw 2-2
6%
-11/1
France 3-1
5%
-12/1
Draw 0-0
5%
-15/2
France 3-0
4%
-14/1
Croatia 2-0
4%
-14/1
15%
France 3-2
3%
-20/1
Croatia 3-1
3%
-20/1
Croatia 3-2
3%
-25/1
France 4-1
2%
-25/1
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
-19/20
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
-4/5
Home 1st Goal
45%
--
Away 1st Goal
52%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
59%
-4/5
BTTS - No
41%
-10/11
2%
BTTS - Home Win
15%
-5/1
4%
BTTS - Draw
19%
-17/5
BTTS - Away Win
25%
-3/1
5%
Home/draw
52%
-8/11
4%
Away/draw
72%
-3/10
2%
Home/away
76%
-3/10
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
-3/10
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
-11/5
2%
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
-23/10
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
-3/10
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
-5/1
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
-1/10
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
-11/1
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
-1/40
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
-1/18
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
-15/2
Home DNB
45%
-29/20
7%
Away DNB
64%
-1/2
2%
Croatia win to nil
13%
--
France win to nil
23%
--
Croatia / Croatia
15%
-17/4
Croatia / France
4%
-18/1
Croatia / Draw
6%
-11/1
Draw / Croatia
11%
-6/1
Draw / France
15%
-4/1
Draw / Draw
16%
-19/5
France / Croatia
3%
-25/1
13%
France / France
24%
-9/4
2%
France / Draw
6%
-11/1
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
Croatia
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
8
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Croatia1 - 1Portugal
Croatia2 - 1Scotland
Croatia1 - 0Poland
Croatia1 - 1Italy
Croatia2 - 2Albania
Croatia3 - 0Macedonia
Croatia1 - 0Armenia
Croatia0 - 1Turkey
Croatia5 - 0Latvia
Croatia1 - 1Wales
Croatia2 - 1Morocco
Croatia0 - 0Brazil
Croatia0 - 0Belgium
Croatia4 - 1Canada
Croatia2 - 1Denmark
Croatia1 - 1France
Croatia0 - 3Austria
Croatia2 - 1Bulgaria
Croatia1 - 1Slovenia
Croatia1 - 0Russia
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCroatia1 - 1Portugal
ACroatia0 - 1Scotland
ACroatia3 - 3Poland
HCroatia2 - 1Scotland
HCroatia1 - 0Poland
ACroatia1 - 2Portugal
HCroatia1 - 1Italy
HCroatia2 - 2Albania
ACroatia0 - 3Spain
ACroatia2 - 1Portugal
HCroatia3 - 0Macedonia
ACroatia4 - 2Egypt
ACroatia0 - 0Tunisia
HCroatia1 - 0Armenia
ACroatia2 - 0Latvia
ACroatia1 - 2Wales
HCroatia0 - 1Turkey
ACroatia1 - 0Armenia
HCroatia5 - 0Latvia
ACroatia2 - 0Turkey
France
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Italy1 - 3France
Belgium1 - 2France
Israel1 - 4France
Spain2 - 1France
Portugal0 - 0France
Netherlands0 - 0France
Austria0 - 1France
Greece2 - 2France
Netherlands1 - 2France
Germany2 - 1France
Gibraltar0 - 3France
Ireland0 - 1France
Argentina2 - 2France
England1 - 2France
Tunisia1 - 0France
Denmark2 - 0France
Austria1 - 1France
Croatia1 - 1France
Finland0 - 2France
Spain1 - 2France
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AFrance3 - 1Italy
HFrance0 - 0Israel
AFrance2 - 1Belgium
AFrance4 - 1Israel
HFrance2 - 0Belgium
HFrance1 - 3Italy
AFrance1 - 2Spain
AFrance0 - 0Portugal
HFrance1 - 0Belgium
HFrance1 - 1Poland
AFrance0 - 0Netherlands
AFrance1 - 0Austria
HFrance0 - 0Canada
HFrance3 - 0Luxembourg
HFrance3 - 2Chile
HFrance0 - 2Germany
AFrance2 - 2Greece
HFrance14 - 0Gibraltar
HFrance4 - 1Scotland
AFrance2 - 1Netherlands
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Croatia since 2004
Croatia
France
Goals: Scored
4
5
Games: Scored
3 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
0 / 3
D
2
FRA
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Croatia
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2France
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at France since 2020
France
Croatia
Goals: Scored
4
3
Games: Scored
1 / 2
2 / 2
Clean sheets
0 / 2
1 / 2
CRO
1
FRA
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT France
0 - 1Croatia
France4 - 2
Goal Statistics

France's defensive record is very strong, D. Deschamps's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive UEFA Nations League matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for Croatia makes sense in this context.

Croatia France
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Croatia will score no more than 1 goal
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that France will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-9
Croatia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-6
France’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
UEFA Nations League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/288847/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Croatia
PG (predicted goals)
France
1.3
1.7
Attack rating
CRO
FRA
13%
better
view stats
Games scored16
15
Failed to score4
5
Scored first9
13
Goals scored32
44
Avg. goals scored1.6
2.2
Avg. shots per game12
13
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate for13
17
Avg. XG for1.9
1.6
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
CRO
FRA
17%
better
view stats
Games conceded12
11
Clean sheets8
9
Conceded first10
3
Goals conceded20
17
Avg. goals conceded1
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded7
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
14%
Avg. XG against1.3
1
KickOff rating
+17%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Croatia v France will show here when available.

Croatia UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7123
J SutaloJ GvardiolI PerisicP Sučić
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Livakovic GLK6
1
J Stanisic DEF1
-
D Caleta-Car DEF6
1
-
J Sutalo DEF7
-
J Gvardiol DEF71
1
-
L Modric MID71
1
-
M Kovacic MID5
1
-
I Perisic MID712
1
-
M Baturina MID611
1
-
A Kramaric MID71
1
-
A Budimir FWD51
2
-
Subs
D Kotarski GLK1
-
I Ivusic GLK
-
M Pongracic  DEF1
-
B Sosa DEF511
-
J Juranovic DEF
-
N Moro MID1
-
N Vlasic MID2
-
M Pasalic MID7
1
-
T Fruk MID
-
K Jakic MID41
-
P Sučić MID611
2
1
F Ivanovic FWD1
-
France UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7333
M Maignan R MuaniL DigneA Tchouameni
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Maignan  GLK7
1
-
J Koundé DEF7
-
I Konaté DEF6
1
-
W Saliba DEF6
1
-
L Digne DEF53
2
-
M Guendouzi MID511
1
-
A Tchouameni MID3
2
1
A Rabiot MID32
-
O Dembélé MID511
-
R Muani FWD631
1
-
K Mbappé FWD3
-
Subs
L Chevalier GLK
-
B Samba GLK
-
B Pavard DEF1
-
D Upamecano DEF3
1
-
J Clauss  DEF1
-
T Hernández DEF31
-
W Zaïre-Emery MID3
-
E Camavinga MID411
2
-
M Olise MID5
-
M Koné MID5
2
-
D Doué FWD
-
B Barcola FWD72
-