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Estonia v Slovakia : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn

Jurgen Henn welcomes Francesco Calzona to the A. Le Coq Arena on Thursday evening, as their Estonia and Slovakia sides do battle in the UEFA Nations League. Stats drive the algorithmic predictions below for all the markets, and flipping between them will display bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and a whole lot more besides. The best odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to find out more.

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The last International UEFA Nations League meeting between Estonia and Slovakia was on Thursday 5th September 2024
International UEFA Nations League
September 5th 2024
Estonia 0
1 Slovakia
 
70' T. Suslov
 
EST
SVK
Shots On
3
6
Shots Off
3
10
Corners
1
7
Possession
39%
61%
Fouls
13
9
Yellow/red cards
2/0
5/0
 
EstoniaSlovakia
 
K. Jakob Hein
J. Tamm
M. Schjonning-Larsen
M. Lilander
K. Mets
M. Miller (I. Jakovlev 78')
R. Shein
M. Ainsalu (K. Palumets 69')
R. Sappinen
A. Tamm (M. Vetkal 69')
V. Sinyavskiy (R. Saarma 84')
M. Dúbravka
(N. Gyömbér 90') P. Pekarík
D. Hancko
M. Škriniar
(D. Vavro 65') A. Obert
(M. Bero 83') L. Bénes
(T. Rigo 83') O. Duda
football iconT. Suslov
S. Lobotka
(D. Strelec 65') R. Boženík
L. Haraslín
Best Tip: Slovakia to win

An away win in the UEFA Nations League is always an impressive achievement, and we're predicting that Francesco Calzona and his Slovakia charges will end the game jubilant at A. Le Coq Arena on Thursday evening. The stats below, including long-running head-to-head (H2H) records, suggest they have a great chance of delivering, and the bookies are expecting exactly that. You can get best odds of 1.57 on Slovakia to win. That's where we expect the smart money to go.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 61% chance of Slovakia coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Estonia
18%
-5/1
Draw
22%
-3/1
Slovakia
61%
-11/20
1%
Slovakia 1-0
11%
-9/2
Slovakia 2-0
11%
-5/1
8%
Draw 1-1
10%
-13/2
7%
Slovakia 2-1
10%
-7/1
7%
Slovakia 3-0
7%
-17/2
Slovakia 3-1
6%
-11/1
Draw 0-0
6%
-15/2
Estonia 1-0
5%
-10/1
Estonia 2-1
5%
-14/1
Draw 2-2
5%
-16/1
Slovakia 4-0
3%
-16/1
Slovakia 4-1
3%
-20/1
Slovakia 3-2
3%
-22/1
Estonia 2-0
2%
-22/1
10%
Estonia 3-1
1%
-40/1
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
-1/1
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
-8/11
BTTS - Yes
52%
-23/20
BTTS - No
48%
-8/13
2%
BTTS - Home Win
9%
-10/1
BTTS - Draw
16%
-9/2
BTTS - Away Win
27%
-14/5
Home/draw
39%
-29/20
3%
Away/draw
82%
-1/8
1%
Home/away
78%
-2/9
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
-7/20
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
-2/1
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
-13/5
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
-1/4
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
-6/1
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
-1/12
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
-12/1
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
-1/66
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
-1/18
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
-15/2
Home DNB
33%
-17/5
5%
Away DNB
76%
-1/6
1%
Estonia / Estonia
9%
-8/1
6%
Estonia / Slovakia
4%
-18/1
Estonia / Draw
5%
-14/1
Draw / Estonia
7%
-10/1
Draw / Slovakia
19%
-3/1
Draw / Draw
15%
-17/4
Slovakia / Estonia
2%
-33/1
Slovakia / Slovakia
33%
-13/10
3%
Slovakia / Draw
5%
-14/1
bet365
Win / draw / win form
4
Estonia have won 4 consecutive european games
5
Estonia have not lost in 5 consecutive home european games
Estonia
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
44
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
3
D
4
Lost
13
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
Slovakia
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

Slovakia have been steady in attack of late, finding the net in 6 consecutive UEFA Nations League outings. Their PG of 1.9 against Estonia on Thursday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Estonia Slovakia
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
1.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of Estonia scoring 1 goal or less
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
13%
There is a 85% probability that Slovakia will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Estonia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
=0
Slovakia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
0.9
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
2.2
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/274952/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Estonia
PG (predicted goals)
Slovakia
0.9
1.9
Attack rating
EST
SVK
36%
better
view stats
Games scored11
17
Failed to score9
3
Scored first9
11
Goals scored16
32
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.6
Avg. shots per game7
11
Avg. shots per goal9
7
Conversion rate for11
15
Avg. XG for0
1.2
KickOff rating
+36%
Defence rating
EST
SVK
39%
better
view stats
Games conceded17
12
Clean sheets3
8
Conceded first10
8
Goals conceded40
18
Avg. goals conceded2
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded11
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
9
Conversion rate against18%
12%
Avg. XG against0
1.6
KickOff rating
+39%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Estonia v Slovakia will show here when available.

Estonia UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2002
K HeinA Tamm
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Hein GLK2
-
M Lilander DEF2
-
J Tamm DEF2
-
K Mets DEF2
-
M Schjönning-Larsen DEF2
-
M Miller MID2
-
M Ainsalu MID1
-
R Shein MID2
1
-
V Sinyavskiy MID2
-
R Sappinen MID2
-
A Tamm FWD2
2
-
Subs
K Vallner GLK
-
M Igonen GLK
-
M Kuusk DEF
-
A Pikk DEF1
-
K Palumets MID2
1
-
P Kristal MID1
-
M Poom MID1
-
M Vetkal MID2
-
M Käit MID
-
D Kuraksin MID
-
I Yakovlev FWD1
-
R Saarma FWD1
-
Slovakia UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2111
M DúbravkaO DudaD HanckoM Dúbravka
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Dúbravka GLK2
1
-
P Pekarik DEF1
-
M Skriniar DEF2
-
A Obert DEF2
1
-
D Hancko DEF21
1
-
O Duda MID21
-
S Lobotka MID2
-
L Bénes MID2
-
T Suslov FWD21
-
R Bozenik FWD2
1
-
L Haraslin FWD2
-
Subs
M Rodak GLK
-
H Ravas GLK
-
D Vavro DEF1
1
-
L Satka DEF
-
N Gyomber DEF2
-
S Kozlovsky DEF1
-
T Rigo MID1
-
M Bero MID1
-
Ľubomír Tupta FWD1
-
D Strelec FWD21
-
L. Sauer FWD
-
D Duris FWD1
-
International UEFA Nations League match betting previews, predictions and odds