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Estonia v Sweden : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 14th Oct, 19:45 BST, Sportland Arena, Tallinn,

Jurgen Henn welcomes Jon Dahl Tomasson to the Sportland Arena, Tallinn on Monday evening, as their Estonia and Sweden teams go head to head in the UEFA Nations League. Stats for our tip of Estonia to win are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Changing the market with the tabs changes all stats and the odds from leading bookmakers, so be sure to have a browse to find the best bet for you.

Best Tip: Sweden to win

This one could be one way traffic and, unfortunately for the home team, that way is Sweden's. We predict Monday's visitors to Sportland Arena, Tallinn will claim victory, and it's a view backed up by each side's respective recent form stats, head-to-head (H2H) records and the odds from the UK's leading bookies too. They make an away win in the win / draw / win market the most likely outcome, and are willing to give a best price of 1.40.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Estonia
7%
14/1
36%
12/1
73%
Draw
14%
5/111/2
30%
Sweden
79%
2/9
2%
2/9
13%
Sweden 2-0
13%
5/19/2
8%
Sweden 3-0
11%
6/111/2
19%
Sweden 1-0
10%
7/1
14%
11/2
8%
Sweden 2-1
8%
10/1
10%
15/2
13%
Sweden 4-0
7%
9/1
9%
17/2
27%
Sweden 3-1
7%
11/19/1
Draw 1-1
7%
10/1
8%
10/1
29%
Sweden 4-1
5%
16/1
11%
14/1
12%
Draw 0-0
4%
12/112/1
18%
Sweden 5-0
4%
18/1
10%
14/1
35%
Draw 2-2
3%
25/1
10%
22/1
35%
Estonia 1-0
3%
28/1
38%
20/1
62%
Sweden 5-1
2%
28/1
15%
22/1
21%
Sweden 3-2
2%
33/122/1
10%
Estonia 2-1
2%
33/1
17%
25/1
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
4/7
5%
4/7
10%
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
27/20
7%
13/10
18%
Home 1st Goal
33%
9/2
10%
-
Away 1st Goal
65%
1/6
1%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
12/1-
BTTS - Yes
44%
5/413/10
10%
BTTS - No
56%
4/711/20
7%
BTTS - Home Win
3%
22/1
21%
18/1
58%
BTTS - Draw
10%
7/115/2
31%
BTTS - Away Win
30%
9/4
4%
21/10
6%
Home/draw
21%
3/1
7%
10/3
44%
Away/draw
93%
1/100
1%
1/33
6%
Home/away
86%
1/91/10
6%
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1/6
3%
2/11
6%
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
7/2
4%
17/5
19%
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
11/8
9%
7/5
17%
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
8/15
6%
1/2
10%
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
3/1
11%
16/5
20%
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
2/9
4%
1/5
6%
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
6/1
13%
13/2
25%
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/12
2%
1/14
3%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/33
2%
1/40
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
9/1
23%
12/1
18%
Home DNB
17%
15/2
21%
17/2
73%
Away DNB
89%
1/20
3%
1/25
7%
Estonia win to nil
4%
18/1
27%
-
Sweden win to nil
49%
4/5
2%
-
Estonia / Estonia
4%
20/1
11%
16/1
70%
Estonia / Sweden
4%
20/118/1
12%
Estonia / Draw
3%
25/1
13%
20/1
24%
Draw / Estonia
4%
20/1
11%
18/1
46%
Draw / Sweden
21%
11/414/5
5%
Draw / Draw
9%
15/2
6%
15/2
31%
Sweden / Estonia
2%
50/150/1
24%
Sweden / Sweden
48%
4/6
7%
4/6
17%
Sweden / Draw
4%
22/120/1
24%
bet365
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Estonia
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Estonia3 - 1Azerbaijan
Estonia0 - 1Slovakia
Estonia0 - 2Austria
Estonia1 - 1Thailand
Estonia0 - 2Azerbaijan
Estonia0 - 5Sweden
Estonia0 - 3Belgium
Estonia2 - 1Malta
Estonia2 - 0San Marino
Estonia0 - 0Cyprus
Estonia0 - 1Wales
Estonia2 - 0Belarus
Estonia0 - 1N Ireland
Estonia2 - 5Belgium
Estonia2 - 6Czech Rep
Estonia1 - 1Armenia
Estonia3 - 3Macedonia
Estonia1 - 3Lithuania
Estonia0 - 1Georgia
Estonia0 - 3Germany
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
43
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
3
D
3
Lost
14
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HEstonia3 - 1Azerbaijan
AEstonia0 - 3Sweden
HEstonia0 - 1Slovakia
AEstonia0 - 4Switzerland
AEstonia1 - 2Finland
AEstonia1 - 5Poland
AEstonia1 - 2Sweden
AEstonia0 - 2Sweden
HEstonia0 - 2Austria
HEstonia1 - 1Thailand
HEstonia0 - 2Azerbaijan
AEstonia0 - 5Belgium
HEstonia0 - 5Sweden
HEstonia0 - 3Belgium
AEstonia1 - 1Azerbaijan
AEstonia1 - 2Austria
AEstonia0 - 1Hungary
AEstonia1 - 0Finland
AEstonia1 - 1Iceland
AEstonia4 - 0San Marino
Sweden
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
D
3
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Slovakia2 - 2Sweden
Azerbaijan1 - 3Sweden
Denmark2 - 1Sweden
Portugal5 - 2Sweden
Azerbaijan3 - 0Sweden
Belgium1 - 1Sweden
Estonia0 - 5Sweden
Austria2 - 0Sweden
Serbia4 - 1Sweden
Norway3 - 2Sweden
Slovenia0 - 2Sweden
Poland2 - 0Sweden
Spain1 - 0Sweden
Georgia2 - 0Sweden
Greece2 - 1Sweden
Spain0 - 0Sweden
Kosovo0 - 3Sweden
France4 - 2Sweden
Denmark2 - 0Sweden
Portugal3 - 0Sweden
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
2
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASweden2 - 2Slovakia
HSweden3 - 0Estonia
ASweden3 - 1Azerbaijan
HSweden0 - 3Serbia
ASweden1 - 2Denmark
HSweden1 - 0Albania
ASweden2 - 5Portugal
HSweden2 - 1Estonia
HSweden2 - 0Estonia
ASweden0 - 3Azerbaijan
ASweden1 - 1Belgium
HSweden3 - 1Moldova
HSweden1 - 3Austria
ASweden5 - 0Estonia
ASweden0 - 2Austria
HSweden4 - 1New Zealand
HSweden5 - 0Azerbaijan
HSweden0 - 3Belgium
HSweden2 - 1Iceland
HSweden2 - 0Finland
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

Sweden's forwards have been in fine form of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 3 consecutive UEFA Nations League outings. A PG of 2.6 suggests that run should continue on Monday evening.

Estonia Sweden
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.6
goals
2.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
53%
1
34%
2
3
4+
There is a 53% probability that Estonia will fail to score
0
1
20%
2
25%
3
22%
4+
26%
There is a 25% probability that Sweden will score 4 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Estonia’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
=0
Sweden’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.0
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
2.0
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/275039/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Estonia
PG (predicted goals)
Sweden
0.6
2.6
Attack rating
EST
SWE
41%
better
view stats
Games scored10
16
Failed to score10
4
Scored first8
10
Goals scored15
39
Avg. goals scored0.8
2
Avg. shots per game7
11
Avg. shots per goal9
6
Conversion rate for11
17
Avg. XG for0.6
4.6
KickOff rating
+41%
Defence rating
EST
SWE
24%
better
view stats
Games conceded18
14
Clean sheets2
6
Conceded first12
10
Goals conceded43
29
Avg. goals conceded2.2
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded12
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
5
Conversion rate against18%
20%
Avg. XG against3.4
2.8
KickOff rating
+24%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Estonia v Sweden will show here when available.

Estonia UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
72282820
K MetsM PoomM PoomK Mets
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Mets DEF742
20
-
A Pikk DEF531
6
-
M Käit MID4853
7
-
J Tamm DEF4642
8
-
R Sappinen FWD45122
3
-
V Sinyavskiy FWD3512
2
-
K Hein GLK33
1
-
M Paskotsi DEF30
6
-
M Miller MID3011
12
1
M Kuusk DEF29
6
-
M Poom MID262828
2
-
R Peetson DEF171
2
-
M Lilander DEF1682
8
1
M Ainsalu MID162
-
R Shein MID1411
2
-
M Igonen GLK11
-
M Vetkal MID1011
1
-
A Tamm FWD921
2
-
M Lepik FWD91
2
-
K Palumets MID71
1
-
M Schjönning-Larsen DEF5
1
-
R Saarma FWD51
-
K Vallner GLK4
1
-
D Kuraksin FWD31
-
I Yakovlev FWD31
-
P Kristal MID1
-
Sweden UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
54131112
L AugustinssonA IsakD KulusevskiD Kulusevski
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Augustinsson DEF5627
2
-
E Krafth DEF482
7
-
A Isak FWD45133
4
-
D Kulusevski MID42311
12
-
M Svanberg MID3524
7
-
J Cajuste MID25
2
-
V Gyökeres FWD2395
1
-
A Elanga FWD193
-
K Sema FWD1812
1
-
K Nordfeldt GLK15
-
I Hien DEF15
5
-
L Wahlqvist DEF132
1
-
C Starfelt DEF11
1
-
G Gudmundsson  DEF9
1
-
A Salétros MID7
1
-
H Larsson MID6
-
Y Ayari MID511
-
G Nilsson FWD52
-
V Johansson GLK4
-
N Eliasson  MID4
-
S Nanasi MID41
-
A. Douglas DEF3
1
-
L Bergvall MID3
-
J Zetterström GLK1
-