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Faroe Islands v Latvia : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 13th Oct, 19:45 BST, Tórsvøllur, Tórshavn

The UEFA Nations League is the focus for both Faroe Islands and Latvia on Sunday evening, as managers Håkan Ericsson and Paolo Nicolato battle it out at the Tórsvøllur. The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games each side has played (home, away and overall) with extra weighting applied to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are tailored for the betting market in question. Head to head (H2H) stats for this fixture are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided directly from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

A tight, highly tactical defensive battle could be in store as Faroes and Latvia go head-to-head, with almost nothing between the sides in terms of who could claim victory. The stats don't give us any proper confidence in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the match. It's a prediction which is available at best priced odds of 1.53 with the bookmakers, so we make under 2.5 goals our tip of the day on this occasion.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Faroes 42%	5/4 4%	7/5 2%
Draw 28%	21/10 6%	11/5 3%
Latvia 30%	12/5 13%	2/1
Draw 1-1 13%	5/1 8%	5/1 4%
Faroes 1-0 13%	5/1 8%	5/1
Latvia 1-0 10%	7/1 7%	6/1
Draw 0-0 10%	11/2 13%	11/2
Faroes 2-1 8%	9/1	8/1
Faroes 2-0 8%	17/2 5%	17/2
Latvia 2-1 7%	12/1 8%	9/1
Latvia 2-0 5%	14/1 15%	11/1
Draw 2-2 4%	18/1	14/1
Faroes 3-1 3%	20/1	16/1
Faroes 3-0 3%	20/1	18/1
Latvia 3-1 2%	33/1 17%	20/1
Latvia 3-0 2%	33/1 17%	22/1
Faroes 3-2 2%	40/1	25/1
Latvia 3-2 1%	40/1	28/1
Over 2.5 Goals 40%	11/8 1%	7/5
Under 2.5 Goals 60%	8/15 3%	8/15 2%
Home 1st Goal 49%	4/5	-
Away 1st Goal 44%	6/4 9%	-
No 1st Goal 7%	11/2 13%	-
BTTS - Yes 46%	11/10	11/10
BTTS - No 54%	4/6	7/10
BTTS - Home Win 16%	5/1	9/2
BTTS - Draw 18%	15/4 5%	18/5
BTTS - Away Win 12%	7/1 14%	11/2
Home/draw 70%	3/10 4%	4/11
Away/draw 58%	4/7	11/20 1%
Home/away 72%	4/11 2%	7/20
Over 1.5 Goals 66%	4/9	10/21
Under 1.5 Goals 34%	13/8	6/4
Over 3.5 Goals 19%	7/2 4%	7/2
Under 3.5 Goals 81%	1/6 3%	2/11
Over 4.5 Goals 8%	15/2 6%	17/2
Under 4.5 Goals 92%	1/20 1%	1/20
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	12/1 8%	18/1
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1/80	1/1000
Over 0.5 Goals 90%	1/10 3%	1/11
Under 0.5 Goals 10%	11/2 13%	11/2
Home DNB 62%	4/7 6%	4/6
Away DNB 50%	5/4 7%	21/20
Faroes win to nil 26%	12/5 3%	-
Latvia win to nil 18%	4/1 11%	-
Faroes / Faroes 21%	11/4 6%	14/5 3%
Faroes / Latvia 2%	40/1	25/1
Faroes / Draw 5%	16/1	12/1
Draw / Faroes 16%	4/1 9%	17/4
Draw / Latvia 12%	6/1 8%	11/2
Draw / Draw 19%	10/3 4%	16/5 5%
Latvia / Faroes 3%	33/1	22/1
Latvia / Latvia 16%	9/2 10%	19/5
Latvia / Draw 5%	16/1	12/1

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Faroes	2 - 2	Armenia
Faroes	1 - 1	Macedonia
Faroes	0 - 2	Poland
Faroes	0 - 1	Moldova
Faroes	1 - 3	Albania
Faroes	0 - 3	Czech Rep
Faroes	2 - 1	Turkey
Faroes	2 - 1	Lithuania
Faroes	0 - 1	Luxembourg
Faroes	0 - 1	Scotland
Faroes	0 - 2	Austria
Faroes	2 - 1	Moldova
Faroes	0 - 1	Denmark
Faroes	0 - 4	Israel
Faroes	5 - 1	Liechtenstein
Faroes	0 - 1	Iceland
Faroes	2 - 0	Andorra
Faroes	1 - 1	Latvia
Faroes	3 - 2	Malta
Faroes	1 - 0	Malta

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

9 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

11 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Faroes	2 - 2	Armenia
A	Faroes	0 - 1	Latvia
H	Faroes	1 - 1	Macedonia
A	Faroes	0 - 2	Denmark
A	Faroes	4 - 0	Liechtenstein
A	Faroes	0 - 0	Albania
A	Faroes	0 - 2	Norway
A	Faroes	0 - 1	Czech Rep
H	Faroes	0 - 2	Poland
H	Faroes	0 - 1	Moldova
A	Faroes	0 - 2	Poland
H	Faroes	1 - 3	Albania
H	Faroes	0 - 3	Czech Rep
A	Faroes	0 - 1	Macedonia
A	Faroes	1 - 1	Moldova
H	Faroes	2 - 1	Turkey
A	Faroes	1 - 1	Lithuania
A	Faroes	2 - 2	Luxembourg
H	Faroes	2 - 1	Lithuania
H	Faroes	0 - 1	Luxembourg

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Armenia	4 - 1	Latvia
Cyprus	1 - 1	Latvia
Poland	2 - 0	Latvia
Turkey	4 - 0	Latvia
Croatia	5 - 0	Latvia
Armenia	2 - 1	Latvia
Wales	1 - 0	Latvia
Ireland	3 - 2	Latvia
Andorra	1 - 1	Latvia
Liechtenstein	0 - 2	Latvia
Moldova	2 - 4	Latvia
Azerbaijan	0 - 1	Latvia
Gibraltar	1 - 3	Latvia
Norway	0 - 0	Latvia
Montenegro	0 - 0	Latvia
Germany	7 - 1	Latvia
Turkey	3 - 3	Latvia
Netherlands	2 - 0	Latvia
Andorra	0 - 5	Latvia
San Marino	0 - 3	Latvia

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Latvia	0 - 3	Macedonia
H	Latvia	1 - 0	Faroes
A	Latvia	1 - 4	Armenia
H	Latvia	1 - 1	Liechtenstein
A	Latvia	1 - 1	Cyprus
A	Latvia	0 - 2	Poland
H	Latvia	0 - 2	Croatia
A	Latvia	0 - 4	Turkey
H	Latvia	2 - 0	Armenia
H	Latvia	0 - 2	Wales
A	Latvia	0 - 5	Croatia
A	Latvia	1 - 2	Armenia
H	Latvia	2 - 3	Turkey
A	Latvia	0 - 1	Wales
A	Latvia	2 - 3	Ireland
A	Latvia	1 - 1	Andorra
H	Latvia	1 - 2	Moldova
A	Latvia	2 - 0	Liechtenstein
A	Latvia	4 - 2	Moldova
H	Latvia	1 - 0	Liechtenstein

Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Latvia of late. It has been 8 UEFA Nations League games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday evening against Faroe Islands .

	Faroes	Latvia
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 28% 1 36% 2 23% 3 9% 4+ There is a 64% probability that Faroes will score no more than 1 goal	0 36% 1 37% 2 19% 3 4+ There is a 73% probability that Latvia will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	=0 Faroes ’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	=0 Latvia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.1 average goals scored	1.4 average goals scored
	1.5 conceded	1.9 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

FRO

LVA

12%

better

view stats

Games scored	9		13
Failed to score	11		7
Scored first	6		5
Goals scored	16		20
Avg. goals scored	0.8		1
Avg. shots per game	7		9
Avg. shots per goal	9		9
Conversion rate for	12		11
Avg. XG for	1.7		0.7
KickOff rating		+12%

better

FRO

LVA

view stats

Games conceded	18		16
Clean sheets	2		4
Conceded first	13		15
Goals conceded	28		38
Avg. goals conceded	1.4		1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		12
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		6
Conversion rate against	13%		16%
Avg. XG against	1.8		1.3
KickOff rating		+4%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Faroes v Latvia will show here when available.

Faroes UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
74	10	7	18
V Davidsen	K Olsen	S Vatnhamar	R Joensen

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
V Davidsen DEF	74	5	2	2 -
J Edmundsson FWD	73	5	5	12 -
S Vatnhamar MID	67	2	7	3 1
K Olsen FWD	61	10	1	4 -
R Joensen MID	55	3	2	16 2
S Nattestad DEF	43	3	1	11 -
G Vatnhamar DEF	42	2		5 -
M Olsen FWD	28	1	5	1 -
P Johannesen MID	23	1		-
T Gestsson GLK	20			2 -
P Knudsen FWD	17	1	1	-
H Askham DEF	16			1
J Danielsen DEF	15			2 -
H Sörensen DEF	12		1	-
M Mikkelsen MID	12	1		-
P Petersen FWD	11	2	1	3 -
A Edmundsson DEF	9		1	4 -
A Justinussen FWD	8	1		-
B Reynatrøð GLK	7			-
D Johansen DEF	7			-
S Chukwudi DEF	5			1 -
J. Benjaminsen DEF	4	1		-
A Svensson MID	2	1		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
10	18	7	4
K Olsen	K Olsen	S Vatnhamar	S Vatnhamar

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K Olsen FWD	10	18	1	2
V Davidsen DEF	5	7	2	1
J Edmundsson FWD	5	10	5	1
R Joensen MID	3	2	2	1
S Nattestad DEF	3	5	1
S Vatnhamar MID	2	4	7	4
G Vatnhamar DEF	2	4
P Petersen FWD	2	1	1
J. Benjaminsen DEF	1	2
A Justinussen FWD	1	1		1
M Mikkelsen MID	1	2		1
A Svensson MID	1
P Knudsen FWD	1	1	1	1
P Johannesen MID	1	2
M Olsen FWD	1	9	5	2
J Danielsen DEF				1
H Sörensen DEF			1	1
A Edmundsson DEF			1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1414	56	164
V Davidsen	S Vatnhamar	G Vatnhamar

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
V Davidsen DEF	1414	44	104
G Vatnhamar DEF	1009	40	164
S Vatnhamar MID	997	56	113
R Joensen MID	699	56	110
J Edmundsson FWD	622	15	117
S Nattestad DEF	614	14	71
T Gestsson GLK	530		1
K Olsen FWD	376	8	134
M Olsen FWD	322	15	58
H Askham DEF	318	12	34
A Edmundsson DEF	249	12	30
J Danielsen DEF	230	17	44
H Sörensen DEF	221	6	13
B Reynatrøð GLK	102		1
P Johannesen MID	86	1	30
M Mikkelsen MID	71	11	26
D Johansen DEF	67	2	2
S Chukwudi DEF	67	6	11
P Knudsen FWD	61	2	17
A Justinussen FWD	39	1	2
J. Benjaminsen DEF	30		1
P Petersen FWD	12	2	11

Latvia UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
53	11	5	13
K Dubra	V Gutkovskis	V Gutkovskis	J Ikaunieks

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
K Dubra DEF	56		3	8 -
A Ciganiks DEF	54	4	1	12 -
R Savalnieks DEF	54	2	4	4 -
J Ikaunieks MID	50	9	1	13 -
R Uldrikis FWD	47	6	3	7 -
V Gutkovskis FWD	47	11	5	6 1
R Jurkovskis DEF	42		1	2 -
A Jaunzems MID	38		1	3 -
K Tobers DEF	34	1		10 -
E Emsis MID	31	1	2	9 -
A Saveljevs MID	21	1		4 -
R Ozols GLK	16			2 -
M Ķigurs MID	14			1 -
E Daskevics FWD	14			2 -
D Balodis DEF	13	1		-
R Varslavans MID	11	1	1	-
M Regža FWD	10		1	-
R Matrevics GLK	9			-
D Zelenkovs DEF	9			1 -
V Isajevs DEF	7			1 -
L Vapne MID	5			1 -
M Tonisevs DEF	2			-
E Birka DEF	1			-
D Melniks MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
11	23	5	13
V Gutkovskis	R Uldrikis	V Gutkovskis	R Savalnieks

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
V Gutkovskis FWD	11	23	5	4
J Ikaunieks MID	9	20	1	5
R Uldrikis FWD	6	23	3	4
A Ciganiks DEF	4	9	1	4
R Savalnieks DEF	2	7	4	13
K Tobers DEF	1	1		2
E Emsis MID	1	1	2	1
A Saveljevs MID	1	2
D Balodis DEF	1	2
R Varslavans MID	1	1	1	2
K Dubra DEF		2	3	1
D Zelenkovs DEF				1
L Vapne MID		1
M Ķigurs MID		1
M Regža FWD			1
E Daskevics FWD		1
A Jaunzems MID		1	1	4
R Jurkovskis DEF		4	1	3

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1208	60	232
R Savalnieks	A Ciganiks	V Gutkovskis

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
R Savalnieks DEF	1208	58	119
K Dubra DEF	1074	24	111
A Ciganiks DEF	972	60	124
R Jurkovskis DEF	918	53	101
J Ikaunieks MID	897	45	193
K Tobers DEF	881	54	141
E Emsis MID	545	38	98
R Uldrikis FWD	528	18	196
V Gutkovskis FWD	476	20	232
R Ozols GLK	314	1	6
A Jaunzems MID	303	33	53
A Saveljevs MID	301	22	42
D Balodis DEF	280	7	18
M Ķigurs MID	233	8	29
R Varslavans MID	106	6	9
D Zelenkovs DEF	87	2	7
R Matrevics GLK	69
E Daskevics FWD	54	9	23
V Isajevs DEF	49	5	7
L Vapne MID	40	4	7
M Regža FWD	7		2
D Melniks MID	6	1	2
M Tonisevs DEF	2	1	1