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Greece v Finland : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium, Piraeus

Finland, led by manager Markku Kanerva, visit Ivan Jovanovic and his Greece side at the Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium on Saturday evening in the UEFA Nations League. We've analysed both sides' last 20 UEFA Nations League matches, as well as trends within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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The last International UEFA Nations League meeting between Greece and Finland was on Saturday 7th September 2024
International UEFA Nations League
September 7th 2024
Greece 3
0 Finland
 
F. Ioannidis 23'
B. Källman (OG) 37'
F. Ioannidis 76'
 
GRE
FIN
Shots On
5
1
Shots Off
3
3
Corners
6
2
Possession
46%
54%
Fouls
10
8
Yellow/red cards
3/0
2/0
 
GreeceFinland
 
O. Vlachodimos
K. Mavropanos
L. Rota
K. Tsimikas
K. Koulierakis
P. Mandalos (E. Siopis 67')
A. Bouchalakis (C. Zafeiris 67')
A. Bakasetas (V. Pavlidis 88')
D. Pelkas
T. Chatzigiovanis (I. Konstantelias 46')
F. Ioannidisfootball iconfootball icon (G. Vagiannidis 88')
L. Hrádecký
T. Galvez
R. Ivanov
A. Ståhl
A. Hoskonen
(U. Nissilä 45') R. Schüller
(F. Jensen 63') R. Lod
(L. Walta 89') G. Kamara
M. Peltola
(T. Keskinen 63') O. Antman
(J. Pohjanpalo 66') football iconB. Källman
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a sneaky 1-0 win here, and instead are predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Greece and Finland will score a minimum of a couple of between them during 90 minutes. It's a prediction based on each side's recent form stats, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 76%. The bookmakers have it priced at 1.40.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Greece are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.73.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Greece
55%
-8/11
4%
Draw
23%
-12/5
6%
Finland
22%
-10/3
4%
Draw 1-1
11%
-11/2
Greece 1-0
10%
-19/4
5%
Greece 2-1
10%
-7/1
Greece 2-0
9%
-13/2
7%
Finland 1-0
6%
-9/1
11%
Greece 3-1
6%
-12/1
Draw 0-0
6%
-7/1
7%
Finland 2-1
6%
-12/1
Greece 3-0
6%
-11/1
Draw 2-2
5%
-14/1
Finland 2-0
3%
-18/1
12%
Greece 3-2
3%
-22/1
Greece 4-1
3%
-25/1
Greece 4-0
3%
-22/1
Finland 3-1
2%
-28/1
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
-11/10
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
-4/6
1%
BTTS - Yes
54%
-21/20
BTTS - No
46%
-7/10
BTTS - Home Win
26%
-16/5
BTTS - Draw
17%
-4/1
BTTS - Away Win
11%
-8/1
6%
Home/draw
78%
-1/5
Away/draw
45%
-1/1
Home/away
77%
-2/7
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
-4/11
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
-19/10
4%
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
-11/4
4%
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
-1/4
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
-13/2
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
-1/12
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
-14/1
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
-1/66
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
-1/14
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
-7/1
7%
Home DNB
71%
-3/10
Away DNB
38%
-23/10
3%
Greece / Greece
29%
-7/4
2%
Greece / Finland
2%
-33/1
17%
Greece / Draw
5%
-14/1
15%
Draw / Greece
18%
-17/5
2%
Draw / Finland
9%
-8/1
6%
Draw / Draw
17%
-19/5
Finland / Greece
3%
-22/1
10%
Finland / Finland
11%
-13/2
7%
Finland / Draw
5%
-14/1
15%
bet365
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
3
Greece have won 3 consecutive home european games
6
Greece have not lost in 6 consecutive home european games
Greece
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
12
Draw
6
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Greece5 - 0Kazakhstan
Greece2 - 2France
Greece2 - 0New Zealand
Greece0 - 1Netherlands
Greece5 - 0Gibraltar
Greece2 - 1Ireland
Greece0 - 0Lithuania
Greece3 - 1N Ireland
Greece2 - 0Kosovo
Greece3 - 0Cyprus
Greece1 - 1Kosovo
Greece0 - 1Spain
Greece2 - 1Sweden
Greece1 - 1Georgia
Greece2 - 1Honduras
Greece0 - 0Slovenia
Greece2 - 1Cyprus
Greece0 - 0Kosovo
Greece2 - 0Moldova
Greece2 - 1Finland
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AGreece2 - 0Malta
AGreece1 - 2Germany
AGreece0 - 0Georgia
HGreece5 - 0Kazakhstan
HGreece2 - 2France
HGreece2 - 0New Zealand
HGreece0 - 1Netherlands
AGreece2 - 0Ireland
HGreece5 - 0Gibraltar
AGreece0 - 3Netherlands
AGreece0 - 1France
HGreece2 - 1Ireland
HGreece0 - 0Lithuania
AGreece3 - 0Gibraltar
HGreece3 - 1N Ireland
AGreece0 - 1Cyprus
HGreece2 - 0Kosovo
HGreece3 - 0Cyprus
AGreece1 - 0Kosovo
AGreece1 - 0N Ireland
Finland
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
2
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Scotland2 - 2Finland
Portugal4 - 2Finland
Wales4 - 1Finland
San Marino1 - 2Finland
Slovenia3 - 0Finland
Kazakhstan0 - 1Finland
N Ireland0 - 1Finland
Denmark3 - 1Finland
Sweden2 - 0Finland
Montenegro0 - 2Finland
Bosnia3 - 2Finland
Romania1 - 0Finland
Bosnia1 - 3Finland
Kazakhstan0 - 2Finland
France2 - 0Finland
Denmark0 - 1Finland
Sweden2 - 0Finland
Switzerland3 - 2Finland
Ukraine1 - 1Finland
Wales3 - 1Finland
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AFinland2 - 2Scotland
AFinland2 - 4Portugal
HFinland2 - 1Estonia
AFinland1 - 4Wales
AFinland2 - 1San Marino
HFinland4 - 0N Ireland
HFinland1 - 2Kazakhstan
AFinland0 - 3Slovenia
HFinland0 - 1Denmark
AFinland1 - 0Kazakhstan
HFinland6 - 0San Marino
HFinland2 - 0Slovenia
AFinland1 - 0N Ireland
AFinland1 - 3Denmark
HFinland0 - 1Estonia
AFinland0 - 2Sweden
AFinland2 - 0Montenegro
HFinland1 - 1Romania
AFinland2 - 3Bosnia
AFinland0 - 1Romania
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Greece since 2015
Greece
Finland
Goals: Scored
3
2
Games: Scored
2 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
1 / 3
GRE
2
FIN
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Greece
Greece2 - 1
Greece1 - 0
0 - 1Finland
League games at Finland since 2014
Finland
Greece
Goals: Scored
4
1
Games: Scored
3 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
0 / 3
D
1
FIN
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Finland
Finland1 - 0
Finland2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Greece's defensive record is to be admired, Ivan Jovanovic's men having conceded 1 or less in 14 consecutive UEFA Nations League matches. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Finland makes sense in this context.

Greece Finland
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 83% probability that Greece will score 1 or more goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Finland will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Greece’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
=0
Finland’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/274970/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Greece
PG (predicted goals)
Finland
1.8
1.1
Attack rating
GRE
FIN
2%
better
view stats
Games scored14
15
Failed to score6
5
Scored first13
10
Goals scored34
30
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.5
Avg. shots per game11
8
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for15
20
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
45%
better
GRE
FIN
view stats
Games conceded8
14
Clean sheets12
6
Conceded first5
10
Goals conceded12
29
Avg. goals conceded0.6
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded13
7
Conversion rate against8%
15%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+45%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Greece v Finland will show here when available.

Greece UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2331
O VlachodimosF IoannidisA BakasetasK Koulierakis
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
O Vlachodimos GLK2
-
L Rota DEF2
-
K Mavropanos DEF2
-
K Koulierakis DEF2
1
-
K Tsimikas DEF2
1
-
P Mantalos MID1
-
A Bouchalakis MID2
-
A Chatzigiovanis MID2
-
A Bakasetas MID23
-
D Pelkas MID2
-
F Ioannidis FWD23
-
Subs
K Tzolakis GLK
-
C Mandas GLK
-
P Chatzidiakos DEF
-
D Giannoulis DEF
-
G Vagiannidis DEF2
-
G Konstantelias MID1
1
-
C Zafeiris MID2
1
-
M Siopis MID2
1
-
K Galanopoulos MID
-
C Tzolis MID11
1
-
V Pavlidis FWD2
-
A Douvikas FWD
-
Finland UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2001
L HradeckyR Schüller 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Hradecky GLK2
-
A Stahl DEF2
-
A Hoskonen DEF2
-
R Ivanov DEF2
-
T Galvez DEF1
-
R Schüller  MID2
1
-
M Peltola MID2
1
-
O Antman MID2
-
G Kamara MID2
-
R Lod MID2
-
B Källman FWD2
1
-
Subs
V Sinisalo GLK
-
J Joronen GLK
-
L Väisänen DEF
-
M Tenho DEF
-
J Uronen DEF1
-
L Walta MID2
-
I Niskanen MID1
-
F Jensen MID2
-
T Keskinen MID2
-
U Nissilä MID1
-
T Pukki FWD1
-
J Pohjanpalo FWD1
-
International UEFA Nations League match betting previews, predictions and odds