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Iceland v Wales : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 11th Oct, 19:45 BST, Laugardalsvöllur, Reykjavík

Åge Fridtjof Hareide's Iceland side will have home backing in the UEFA Nations League on Friday evening, as Craig Bellamy's Wales travel to the Laugardalsvöllur. It's our aim to give you everything you need to make a smart bet on this encounter, so we've sifted through our extensive database and found the stats that will help you do exactly that. Head-to-head and recent form are included, and these are used to generate our predictions. Odds from leading bookmakers are there to make sure you get the best return.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 76% chance of Iceland and Wales a maximum of 3 goals combined during this UEFA Nations League match according to our predictive algorithm and, without a strong favourite in the WDW market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Our calculations are made based on 20-game form, historical head-to-head (H2H) stats and the view of the betting market, and you can back it at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Iceland
36%
7/4
5%
17/10
7%
Draw
27%
11/52/1
3%
Wales
37%
8/5
6%
8/5
4%
Draw 1-1
13%
5/15/1
4%
Wales 1-0
11%
13/26/1
Iceland 1-0
10%
7/16/1
7%
Draw 0-0
8%
7/16/1
Wales 2-1
8%
9/18/1
Iceland 2-1
8%
10/117/2
Wales 2-0
7%
11/1
9%
9/1
Iceland 2-0
6%
12/110/1
8%
Draw 2-2
5%
14/112/1
Wales 3-1
3%
22/1
10%
16/1
Iceland 3-1
3%
22/1
12%
18/1
Wales 3-0
3%
25/1
13%
18/1
Iceland 3-0
3%
28/120/1
9%
Wales 3-2
2%
33/125/1
13%
Iceland 3-2
2%
33/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
6/56/5
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
13/208/13
2%
Home 1st Goal
47%
6/5
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
48%
10/11
4%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
7/1-
BTTS - Yes
51%
10/11
4%
19/20
5%
BTTS - No
49%
4/5
2%
4/5
3%
BTTS - Home Win
16%
5/1
8%
9/2
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/27/2
7%
BTTS - Away Win
16%
5/1
9%
9/2
10%
Home/draw
63%
1/2
2%
10/21
1%
Away/draw
64%
2/54/9
3%
Home/away
73%
4/111/3
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
2/5
3%
2/5
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
7/4
8%
7/4
5%
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
3/13/1
7%
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
2/92/9
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
8/17/1
7%
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/141/16
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
18/116/1
13%
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/501/80
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/14
1%
1/14
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
8/1
13%
13/2
7%
Home DNB
55%
10/11
5%
10/11
5%
Away DNB
56%
4/5
4%
4/5
4%
Iceland win to nil
20%
10/3
4%
-
Wales win to nil
21%
3/1-
Iceland / Iceland
18%
7/2
5%
16/5
9%
Iceland / Wales
3%
28/122/1
Iceland / Draw
6%
14/112/1
8%
Draw / Iceland
13%
5/1
8%
5/1
Draw / Wales
14%
5/1
9%
19/4
5%
Draw / Draw
18%
7/2
5%
17/5
5%
Wales / Iceland
3%
28/122/1
Wales / Wales
19%
10/3
8%
3/1
Wales / Draw
6%
14/112/1
8%
bet365
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Iceland
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Iceland2 - 0Montenegro
Iceland4 - 0Liechtenstein
Iceland1 - 1Luxembourg
Iceland1 - 0Bosnia
Iceland0 - 1Portugal
Iceland1 - 2Slovakia
Iceland1 - 1Estonia
Iceland1 - 0Saudi Arabia
Iceland2 - 2Israel
Iceland1 - 1Albania
Iceland1 - 5South Korea
Iceland1 - 1Uganda
Iceland4 - 0Liechtenstein
Iceland1 - 1Armenia
Iceland0 - 4Germany
Iceland2 - 2Macedonia
Iceland0 - 2Romania
Iceland1 - 2Belgium
Iceland0 - 3Denmark
Iceland2 - 1Romania
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AIceland1 - 3Turkey
HIceland2 - 0Montenegro
AIceland0 - 4Netherlands
AIceland1 - 0England
AIceland1 - 2Ukraine
AIceland4 - 1Israel
AIceland2 - 0Honduras
AIceland1 - 0Guatemala
AIceland0 - 2Portugal
AIceland2 - 4Slovakia
HIceland4 - 0Liechtenstein
HIceland1 - 1Luxembourg
HIceland1 - 0Bosnia
AIceland1 - 3Luxembourg
HIceland0 - 1Portugal
HIceland1 - 2Slovakia
AIceland7 - 0Liechtenstein
AIceland0 - 3Bosnia
AIceland1 - 2Sweden
HIceland1 - 1Estonia
Wales
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Montenegro1 - 2Wales
Slovakia4 - 0Wales
Gibraltar0 - 0Wales
Armenia1 - 1Wales
Latvia0 - 2Wales
Turkey2 - 0Wales
Croatia1 - 1Wales
USA1 - 1Wales
Belgium2 - 1Wales
Netherlands3 - 2Wales
Poland2 - 1Wales
Estonia0 - 1Wales
Czech Rep2 - 2Wales
Belarus2 - 3Wales
Finland0 - 0Wales
Italy1 - 0Wales
Turkey0 - 2Wales
France3 - 0Wales
Belgium3 - 1Wales
Bulgaria0 - 1Wales
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AWales2 - 1Montenegro
HWales0 - 0Turkey
AWales0 - 4Slovakia
AWales0 - 0Gibraltar
HWales0 - 0Poland
HWales4 - 1Finland
HWales1 - 1Turkey
AWales1 - 1Armenia
HWales2 - 1Croatia
HWales4 - 0Gibraltar
AWales2 - 0Latvia
HWales0 - 0South Korea
AWales0 - 2Turkey
HWales2 - 4Armenia
HWales1 - 0Latvia
AWales1 - 1Croatia
HWales0 - 3England
HWales0 - 2Iran
AWales1 - 1USA
HWales0 - 1Poland
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics
Iceland Wales
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Iceland will score no more than 1 goal
0
28%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Wales will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Iceland’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
=0
Wales’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/275010/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Iceland
PG (predicted goals)
Wales
1.2
1.3
Attack rating
31%
better
ISL
WAL
view stats
Games scored16
11
Failed to score4
9
Scored first11
8
Goals scored31
21
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.1
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal5
9
Conversion rate for20
11
Avg. XG for0.7
1.6
KickOff rating
+31%
Defence rating
ISL
WAL
7%
better
view stats
Games conceded13
13
Clean sheets7
7
Conceded first9
8
Goals conceded29
23
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
13%
Avg. XG against1
1.4
KickOff rating
+7%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Iceland v Wales will show here when available.

Iceland UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
66261312
J GudmundssonD JoksimovicD JoksimovicS Ingason
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Gudmundsson MID74610
10
-
D Joksimovic MID682613
8
-
A Traustason MID5662
2
-
S Ingason DEF493
12
-
V Pálsson DEF4021
4
-
J Thorsteinsson FWD3966
4
-
A Sigurdsson FWD3421
2
-
H Hermannsson DEF28
1
-
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson MID2832
7
-
M Anderson FWD2822
2
-
A Gudjohnsen FWD276
-
S Thórdarson MID231
4
-
A Sampsted DEF21
-
D Grétarsson DEF201
2
-
H Haraldsson FWD1832
5
-
M Ellertsson MID151
-
H Valdimarsson GLK14
-
K Finnsson DEF13
2
-
W Willumsson MID111
2
-
O Óskarsson FWD103
1
-
V Lunddal DEF9
-
E Ólafsson GLK6
-
P Gunnarsson GLK4
-
L Tómasson DEF4
1
-
Wales UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
80161114
B DaviesA RamseyH WilsonE Ampadu
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Davies DEF8624
10
-
A Ramsey MID64169
9
1
C Roberts DEF5732
6
-
H Wilson FWD56911
9
1
E Ampadu MID541
13
1
C Mepham DEF471
12
-
J Rodon DEF46
3
-
K Moore FWD45132
13
1
D Ward GLK40
1
-
N Williams DEF4043
6
1
B Johnson FWD3033
3
-
J James MID13
6
-
R Matondo FWD121
1
-
S Thomas FWD10
1
-
B Cabango DEF9
-
R Colwill MID91
-
J Sheehan MID7
2
-
M Harris FWD6
-
A Davies GLK5
-
L. Koumas FWD4
-
O Cooper MID3
-
L Cullen FWD3
-
K Darlow GLK1
-
International UEFA Nations League match betting previews, predictions and odds
Latvia v Macedonia
Thu 10th Oct, 17:00
Moldova v Andorra
Thu 10th Oct, 17:00
Gibraltar v San Marino
Thu 10th Oct, 19:45
Norway v Slovenia
Thu 10th Oct, 19:45
Austria v Kazakhstan
Thu 10th Oct, 19:45
Finland v Ireland
Thu 10th Oct, 19:45
England v Greece
Thu 10th Oct, 19:45
Italy v Belgium
Thu 10th Oct, 19:45
Israel v France
Thu 10th Oct, 19:45
Faroes v Armenia
Thu 10th Oct, 19:45
Estonia v Azerbaijan
Fri 11th Oct, 17:00
Ukraine v Georgia
Fri 11th Oct, 19:45
Iceland v Wales
Fri 11th Oct, 19:45
Hungary v Netherlands
Fri 11th Oct, 19:45
Slovakia v Sweden
Fri 11th Oct, 19:45
Bosnia v Germany
Fri 11th Oct, 19:45
Czech Rep v Albania
Fri 11th Oct, 19:45
Turkey v Montenegro
Fri 11th Oct, 19:45
Lithuania v Kosovo
Sat 12th Oct, 14:00
Croatia v Scotland
Sat 12th Oct, 17:00
Bulgaria v Luxembourg
Sat 12th Oct, 17:00
Poland v Portugal
Sat 12th Oct, 19:45
Serbia v Switzerland
Sat 12th Oct, 19:45
Spain v Denmark
Sat 12th Oct, 19:45
Cyprus v Romania
Sat 12th Oct, 19:45
Belarus v N Ireland
Sat 12th Oct, 19:45
Kazakhstan v Slovenia
Sun 13th Oct, 14:00
Liechtenstein v Gibraltar
Sun 13th Oct, 17:00
Armenia v Macedonia
Sun 13th Oct, 17:00
Malta v Moldova
Sun 13th Oct, 17:00
Finland v England
Sun 13th Oct, 17:00
Austria v Norway
Sun 13th Oct, 19:45
Greece v Ireland
Sun 13th Oct, 19:45
Faroes v Latvia
Sun 13th Oct, 19:45
Georgia v Albania
Mon 14th Oct, 17:00
Azerbaijan v Slovakia
Mon 14th Oct, 17:00
Ukraine v Czech Rep
Mon 14th Oct, 19:45
Bosnia v Hungary
Mon 14th Oct, 19:45
Estonia v Sweden
Mon 14th Oct, 19:45
Wales v Montenegro
Mon 14th Oct, 19:45
Germany v Netherlands
Mon 14th Oct, 19:45
Italy v Israel
Mon 14th Oct, 19:45
Belgium v France
Mon 14th Oct, 19:45
Iceland v Turkey
Mon 14th Oct, 19:45
Switzerland v Denmark
Tue 15th Oct, 19:45
Spain v Serbia
Tue 15th Oct, 19:45
Scotland v Portugal
Tue 15th Oct, 19:45
Poland v Croatia
Tue 15th Oct, 19:45
Lithuania v Romania
Tue 15th Oct, 19:45
N Ireland v Bulgaria
Tue 15th Oct, 19:45
Belarus v Luxembourg
Tue 15th Oct, 19:45
Kosovo v Cyprus
Tue 15th Oct, 19:45