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Italy v Belgium : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stadio Olimpico, Roma

Belgium are away on Thursday evening, as manager Domenico Tedesco takes his side to visit Italy and Luciano Spalletti at the Stadio Olimpico in the UEFA Nations League. We have custom-designed statistics for every major market, from team to score first to full time result, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are generated from these, and the odds come straight from leading bookmakers.

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Italy's next match is v Israel at 19:45 on Monday 14th October
Belgium's next match is v France at 19:45 on Monday 14th October
The last International UEFA Nations League meeting between Italy and Belgium was on Thursday 10th October 2024
International UEFA Nations League
October 10th 2024
Italy 2
2 Belgium
 
A. Cambiaso 1'42' M. De Cuyper
M. Retegui 24'61' L. Trossard
 
ITA
BEL
Shots On
4
4
Shots Off
4
3
Corners
12
Possession
38%
62%
Fouls
11
15
Yellow/red cards
2/1
1/0
 
ItalyBelgium
 
G. Donnarumma
F. Dimarco (I. Udogie 70')
G. Di Lorenzo
A. Bastoni
A. Cambiasofootball icon
R. Calafiori
L. Pellegrini
D. Frattesi (R. Bellanova 90')
S. Tonali (N. Pisilli 80')
S. Ricci (N. Fagioli 70')
M. Reteguifootball icon (G. Raspadori 80')
K. Casteels
W. Faes
Z. Debast
football iconM. De Cuyper
(A. Vranckx 69') A. Theate
Y. Tielemans
(D. Lukebakio 68') C. De Ketelaere
(T. Castagne 68') O. Mangala
football iconL. Trossard
(C. Ngonge 87') L. Openda
(M. Fofana 87') J. Doku
Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Our calculations suggest that there's minimal chance that this match will serve up 4+ goals, and the odds and statistics align with our predictive algorithm on this one. Italy and Belgium have rarely been involved in goal-fests of late, whether that be in the UEFA Nations League individually or when going head-to-head. So, without a strong favourite win or double chance market, we're suggesting under 3.5 goals. The UK's top bookies have that available at a best price of 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Italy
51%
9/10
15%
17/20
18%
Draw
25%
23/10
2%
21/10
9%
Belgium
24%
10/3
35%
3/1
29%
Italy 1-0
12%
6/1
13%
5/1
20%
Draw 1-1
12%
11/25/1
Italy 2-0
10%
8/1
23%
7/1
20%
Italy 2-1
9%
15/2
6%
7/1
6%
Draw 0-0
8%
17/2
10%
7/1
6%
Belgium 1-0
8%
11/1
10%
17/2
12%
Belgium 2-1
6%
14/1
25%
11/1
20%
Italy 3-0
5%
14/1
19%
12/1
24%
Italy 3-1
5%
14/1
21%
12/1
13%
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1
15%
12/1
8%
Belgium 2-0
4%
20/1
24%
16/1
31%
Italy 3-2
2%
28/1
12%
20/1
Italy 4-0
2%
33/1
17%
25/1
10%
Italy 4-1
2%
33/1
17%
25/1
10%
Belgium 3-1
2%
33/1
31%
25/1
37%
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
1/1
5%
1/1
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
4/5
5%
4/6
7%
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/7
9%
-
Away 1st Goal
42%
7/4
20%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
17/2
10%
-
BTTS - Yes
50%
5/6
6%
17/20
6%
BTTS - No
50%
5/6
9%
4/5
10%
BTTS - Home Win
22%
3/1
4%
3/1
8%
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2
4%
18/5
6%
BTTS - Away Win
11%
15/2
42%
13/2
36%
Home/draw
76%
1/5
12%
2/9
10%
Away/draw
49%
10/11
13%
5/6
13%
Home/away
75%
1/33/10
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
3/10
1%
1/3
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
12/5
3%
19/10
11%
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
5/2
3%
12/5
6%
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
2/7
1%
1/4
4%
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
6/1
23%
11/2
8%
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/10
3%
1/14
4%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
14/1
13%
11/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/33
1%
1/150
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/161/18
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
17/26/1
18%
Home DNB
69%
4/11
16%
4/11
16%
Away DNB
41%
2/1
36%
9/5
27%
Italy win to nil
29%
9/4
19%
-
Belgium win to nil
13%
6/1
27%
-
Italy / Italy
26%
21/10
17%
2/1
14%
Italy / Belgium
3%
33/1
17%
28/1
26%
Italy / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
12/1
8%
Draw / Italy
17%
15/4
14%
7/2
14%
Draw / Belgium
10%
15/2
21%
7/1
23%
Draw / Draw
17%
4/118/5
4%
Belgium / Italy
4%
22/1
12%
18/1
10%
Belgium / Belgium
12%
11/2
30%
11/2
35%
Belgium / Draw
6%
14/112/1
8%
bet365
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
Italy
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Italy2 - 1Albania
Italy1 - 0Bosnia
Italy0 - 0Turkey
Italy2 - 1Venezuela
Italy5 - 2Macedonia
Italy4 - 0Malta
Italy2 - 1Ukraine
Italy1 - 2England
Italy1 - 0England
Italy2 - 1Hungary
Italy1 - 1Germany
Italy0 - 1Macedonia
Italy1 - 1Switzerland
Italy2 - 1Belgium
Italy1 - 2Spain
Italy5 - 0Lithuania
Italy1 - 1Bulgaria
Italy1 - 1England
Italy1 - 1Spain
Italy0 - 0Austria
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AItaly2 - 1Israel
AItaly3 - 1France
AItaly0 - 2Switzerland
AItaly1 - 1Croatia
AItaly0 - 1Spain
HItaly2 - 1Albania
HItaly1 - 0Bosnia
HItaly0 - 0Turkey
AItaly2 - 0Ecuador
HItaly2 - 1Venezuela
AItaly0 - 0Ukraine
HItaly5 - 2Macedonia
AItaly1 - 3England
HItaly4 - 0Malta
HItaly2 - 1Ukraine
AItaly1 - 1Macedonia
AItaly2 - 0Malta
HItaly1 - 2England
AItaly2 - 0Hungary
HItaly1 - 0England
Belgium
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
France2 - 0Belgium
France1 - 0Belgium
Ukraine0 - 0Belgium
England2 - 2Belgium
Ireland0 - 0Belgium
Austria2 - 3Belgium
Azerbaijan0 - 1Belgium
Estonia0 - 3Belgium
Germany2 - 3Belgium
Sweden0 - 3Belgium
Croatia0 - 0Belgium
Netherlands1 - 0Belgium
Poland0 - 1Belgium
Wales1 - 1Belgium
Ireland2 - 2Belgium
Wales1 - 1Belgium
Italy2 - 1Belgium
Belarus0 - 1Belgium
Estonia2 - 5Belgium
Finland0 - 2Belgium
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABelgium0 - 2France
HBelgium3 - 1Israel
ABelgium0 - 1France
ABelgium0 - 0Ukraine
HBelgium2 - 0Romania
HBelgium0 - 1Slovakia
HBelgium3 - 0Luxembourg
HBelgium2 - 0Montenegro
ABelgium2 - 2England
ABelgium0 - 0Ireland
HBelgium5 - 0Azerbaijan
HBelgium1 - 0Serbia
HBelgium1 - 1Sweden
ABelgium3 - 2Austria
HBelgium5 - 0Estonia
ABelgium1 - 0Azerbaijan
ABelgium3 - 0Estonia
HBelgium1 - 1Austria
ABelgium3 - 2Germany
ABelgium3 - 0Sweden
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics
Italy Belgium
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Italy will score 1 or more goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Belgium scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Italy’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
=0
Belgium’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/275003/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Italy
PG (predicted goals)
Belgium
1.6
1
Attack rating
ITA
BEL
3%
better
view stats
Games scored16
15
Failed to score4
5
Scored first12
13
Goals scored32
38
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.9
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
18
Avg. XG for1.1
1.6
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
ITA
BEL
19%
better
view stats
Games conceded12
9
Clean sheets8
11
Conceded first6
5
Goals conceded17
13
Avg. goals conceded0.9
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded7
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
13
Conversion rate against12%
8%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.1
KickOff rating
+19%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Italy v Belgium will show here when available.

Italy UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3211
G DonnarummaD FrattesiA CambiasoG Donnarumma
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Donnarumma GLK3
1
-
G Lorenzo DEF2
-
A Bastoni DEF3
-
R Calafiori DEF2
-
A Cambiaso MID311
-
D Frattesi MID32
-
S Ricci MID3
-
S Tonali MID31
-
F Dimarco MID311
-
L Pellegrini MID2
1
M Retegui FWD311
1
-
Subs
M Gregorio GLK
-
G Vicario GLK
-
R Bellanova DEF2
-
A Buongiorno DEF2
-
M Gabbia DEF
-
C Okoli DEF
-
D Udogie DEF31
-
N Fagioli MID1
-
N Pisilli MID1
1
-
D Maldini FWD
-
L Lucca FWD
-
G Raspadori FWD311
-
Belgium UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3111
K CasteelsM CuyperW FaesY Tielemans
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Casteels GLK3
-
M Cuyper DEF21
-
W Faes DEF31
-
Z Debast DEF3
-
A Theate DEF3
-
Y Tielemans MID31
1
-
O Mangala MID2
-
L Trossard MID111
1
-
C Ketelaere MID3
-
J Doku MID31
-
L Openda FWD31
1
-
Subs
M Vandevoordt GLK
-
O Wolf GLK
-
S Bornauw DEF
-
K Winter DEF
-
T Castagne DEF3
-
M Smets DEF
-
A Engels MID1
-
A Vranckx MID1
-
D Lukébakio FWD3
-
M Fofana FWD1
-
J Bakayoko FWD2
-
C Ngonge FWD1
-