Italy's team badge Israel's team badge

Italy v Israel : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 14th Oct, 19:45 BST, Dacia Arena, Udine

Israel, led by manager Ran Ben Shimon, visit Luciano Spalletti and his Italy side at the Dacia Arena on Monday evening in the UEFA Nations League. Below there are predictions for 17 markets, supporting statistics including head to heads (H2Hs), and odds. All is accessible using the tabs below.

Best Tip: Italy to win

As training goes on this week and the Italy players ready themselves for this fixture, the bookmakers have predicted success for them. The odds and our pre-match statistics below also point that way, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) information we use in our predictive algorithms. The Dacia Arena has rarely been a happy hunting ground for for Israel in the past, and we expect more of the same come Monday evening. A win / draw / win home win is the bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Italy
80%
1/51/5
Draw
13%
6/1
8%
6/1
Israel
7%
12/112/1
Italy 2-0
13%
5/119/4
Italy 3-0
12%
6/111/2
Italy 1-0
10%
13/2
6%
6/1
Italy 2-1
8%
17/2
5%
15/2
Italy 4-0
8%
9/18/1
Italy 3-1
7%
10/19/1
5%
Draw 1-1
6%
12/1
8%
10/1
Italy 4-1
5%
16/112/1
Italy 5-0
4%
18/114/1
Draw 0-0
4%
14/114/1
Draw 2-2
3%
28/120/1
Italy 5-1
2%
28/120/1
Israel 1-0
2%
28/120/1
Italy 3-2
2%
33/122/1
Israel 2-1
2%
33/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
8/158/15
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
7/57/5
2%
Home 1st Goal
65%
1/7
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
33%
9/2-
No 1st Goal
2%
14/1-
BTTS - Yes
43%
5/4
2%
5/4
2%
BTTS - No
57%
4/7
3%
3/5
1%
BTTS - Home Win
30%
2/12/1
3%
BTTS - Draw
10%
8/1
6%
7/1
BTTS - Away Win
3%
22/118/1
Home/draw
93%
1/251/33
Away/draw
20%
10/317/5
Home/away
87%
1/10
1%
1/10
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1/61/6
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
4/118/5
4%
Over 3.5 Goals
41%
5/413/10
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
59%
4/74/7
Over 4.5 Goals
23%
3/114/5
1%
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
2/92/9
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
7/16/1
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/121/12
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/50
1%
1/66
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
18/1
27%
14/1
Home DNB
89%
1/201/25
Away DNB
16%
10/19/1
Italy win to nil
50%
4/5
2%
-
Israel win to nil
3%
20/1-
Italy / Italy
49%
4/64/6
1%
Italy / Israel
1%
66/1
31%
50/1
Italy / Draw
4%
20/118/1
Draw / Italy
22%
11/414/5
3%
Draw / Israel
3%
28/1
26%
18/1
Draw / Draw
9%
8/115/2
Israel / Italy
4%
18/118/1
Israel / Israel
4%
22/116/1
Israel / Draw
3%
25/1
13%
20/1
bet365
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
3
Israel have lost 3 consecutive games
Italy
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Italy2 - 2Belgium
Italy2 - 1Albania
Italy1 - 0Bosnia
Italy0 - 0Turkey
Italy2 - 1Venezuela
Italy5 - 2Macedonia
Italy4 - 0Malta
Italy2 - 1Ukraine
Italy1 - 2England
Italy1 - 0England
Italy2 - 1Hungary
Italy1 - 1Germany
Italy0 - 1Macedonia
Italy1 - 1Switzerland
Italy2 - 1Belgium
Italy1 - 2Spain
Italy5 - 0Lithuania
Italy1 - 1Bulgaria
Italy1 - 1England
Italy1 - 1Spain
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HItaly2 - 2Belgium
AItaly2 - 1Israel
AItaly3 - 1France
AItaly0 - 2Switzerland
AItaly1 - 1Croatia
AItaly0 - 1Spain
HItaly2 - 1Albania
HItaly1 - 0Bosnia
HItaly0 - 0Turkey
AItaly2 - 0Ecuador
HItaly2 - 1Venezuela
AItaly0 - 0Ukraine
HItaly5 - 2Macedonia
AItaly1 - 3England
HItaly4 - 0Malta
HItaly2 - 1Ukraine
AItaly1 - 1Macedonia
AItaly2 - 0Malta
HItaly1 - 2England
AItaly2 - 0Hungary
Israel
20 league games
Away
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Belgium3 - 1Israel
Belarus0 - 4Israel
Hungary3 - 0Israel
Andorra0 - 2Israel
Kosovo1 - 0Israel
Romania1 - 1Israel
Belarus1 - 2Israel
Switzerland3 - 0Israel
Iceland2 - 2Israel
Albania1 - 2Israel
Germany2 - 0Israel
Austria4 - 2Israel
Scotland3 - 2Israel
Denmark5 - 0Israel
Faroes 0 - 4Israel
Portugal4 - 0Israel
Montenegro1 - 3Israel
Moldova1 - 4Israel
Czech Rep1 - 0Israel
Slovakia2 - 3Israel
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HIsrael1 - 4France
HIsrael1 - 2Italy
AIsrael1 - 3Belgium
AIsrael4 - 0Belarus
AIsrael0 - 3Hungary
HIsrael1 - 4Iceland
AIsrael2 - 0Andorra
HIsrael1 - 2Romania
HIsrael1 - 1Switzerland
AIsrael0 - 1Kosovo
HIsrael1 - 0Belarus
AIsrael1 - 1Romania
HIsrael2 - 1Andorra
AIsrael2 - 1Belarus
AIsrael0 - 3Switzerland
HIsrael1 - 1Kosovo
HIsrael2 - 1Malta
HIsrael2 - 1Albania
AIsrael2 - 2Iceland
AIsrael2 - 1Albania
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

Italy's forwards have been superb of late, finding the net twice or more in 3 consecutive UEFA Nations League games. A PG of 2.6 suggests that run should continue on Monday evening.

Italy Israel
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.6
goals
0.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
5+
20%
There is a 81% probability that Italy will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
54%
1
33%
2
3
4+
There is a 54% probability that Israel will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Italy’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
=0
Israel’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings past 20 games
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/275036/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Italy
PG (predicted goals)
Israel
2.6
0.6
Attack rating
10%
better
ITA
ISR
view stats
Games scored16
17
Failed to score4
3
Scored first12
8
Goals scored33
27
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.4
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for17
13
Avg. XG for1.1
0.7
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
33%
better
ITA
ISR
view stats
Games conceded13
17
Clean sheets7
3
Conceded first6
12
Goals conceded19
32
Avg. goals conceded1
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded7
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
16%
Avg. XG against1.2
2.4
KickOff rating
+33%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Italy v Israel will show here when available.

Italy UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
67747
G DonnarummaG RaspadoriG RaspadoriG Lorenzo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Donnarumma GLK69
4
-
G Lorenzo DEF4133
7
-
L Pellegrini MID3762
4
1
G Raspadori FWD3374
-
A Bastoni DEF302
1
-
F Dimarco DEF2534
2
-
D Frattesi MID2271
-
S Tonali MID184
5
-
M Kean FWD1752
1
-
M Retegui FWD1551
1
-
A Cambiaso DEF1012
1
-
R Calafiori DEF71
2
-
M Zaccagni FWD711
-
A Buongiorno DEF6
1
-
D Udogie DEF62
1
-
N Fagioli MID5
1
-
S Ricci MID5
-
R Bellanova DEF4
-
F Gatti DEF4
2
-
A Meret GLK3
-
G Vicario GLK2
-
M Brescianini MID2
-
Israel UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
61346
E DasaT BariboE DasaE Dasa
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Dasa DEF624
6
-
N Lavi MID242
1
-
D Glazer MID201
4
-
T Baribo FWD173
1
-
O Glazer GLK16
-
R Safuri MID1612
2
-
R Shlomo DEF1421
2
-
A Ofri DEF10
-
G Kinda  MID1021
1
-
D Gruper DEF7
-
I Nachmias DEF6
-
Y Gerafi GLK4
-
D Biton MID41
-
G Melamed FWD31
-
M Kanaan FWD31
1
-
O Altman FWD3
-
R Gordana MID2
1
-
G Naor MID2
1
-
E Peretz MID21
-
E Shamir MID1
-
Y. Hofmeister MID1
-