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Lithuania v Romania : UEFA Nations League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 15th Oct, 19:45 BST, S. Dariaus ir S. Gireno stadionas,

Lithuania are in UEFA Nations League action on Tuesday evening, as Edgaras Jankauskas aims to beat Mircea Lucescu and his Romania side at the S. Dariaus ir S. Gireno stadionas. All of the key stats for the clash, including head-to-heads, predictions and the best odds across 17 of the biggest betting markets are included in this preview. It's all here with the aim of helping you make a well informed, intelligent bet.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Lithuania or Romania are in the sort of form that would leave us feeling very confident in tipping a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The statistics tell us that both have a track record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 82% chance of 2 goals or more.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Lithuania 22%	-	19/5
Draw 22%	-	14/5
Romania 57%	-	8/11
Draw 1-1 10%	-	6/1
Romania 2-1 10%	-	13/2
Romania 1-0 9%	-	11/2
Romania 2-0 9%	-	13/2
Romania 3-1 6%	-	11/1
Romania 3-0 6%	-	10/1
Lithuania 2-1 6%	-	12/1
Draw 2-2 6%	-	12/1
Lithuania 1-0 5%	-	10/1
Draw 0-0 5%	-	8/1
Romania 3-2 4%	-	18/1
Romania 4-1 3%	-	20/1
Lithuania 2-0 3%	-	18/1
Romania 4-0 3%	-	18/1
Lithuania 3-1 2%	-	25/1
Over 2.5 Goals 60%	-	17/20
Under 2.5 Goals 40%	-	17/20
Home 1st Goal 43%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 54%	-	-
No 1st Goal 3%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 58%	-	17/20
BTTS - No 42%	-	17/20
BTTS - Home Win 12%	-	7/1
BTTS - Draw 17%	-	19/5
BTTS - Away Win 29%	-	5/2
Home/draw 43%	-	11/10
Away/draw 78%	-	2/11
Home/away 78%	-	1/4
Over 1.5 Goals 82%	-	2/7
Under 1.5 Goals 19%	-	12/5
Over 3.5 Goals 37%	-	21/10
Under 3.5 Goals 63%	-	1/3
Over 4.5 Goals 20%	-	19/4
Under 4.5 Goals 80%	-	1/9
Over 5.5 Goals 9%	-	10/1
Under 5.5 Goals 91%	-	1/33
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	-	1/20
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	-	17/2
Home DNB 37%	-	12/5
Away DNB 72%	-	2/7
Lithuania win to nil 10%	-	-
Romania win to nil 28%	-	-
Lithuania / Lithuania 11%	-	6/1
Lithuania / Romania 4%	-	18/1
Lithuania / Draw 6%	-	12/1
Draw / Lithuania 9%	-	8/1
Draw / Romania 18%	-	17/5
Draw / Draw 15%	-	17/4
Romania / Lithuania 3%	-	28/1
Romania / Romania 30%	-	8/5
Romania / Draw 6%	-	12/1

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lithuania	0 - 1	Cyprus
Lithuania	2 - 2	Hungary
Lithuania	1 - 3	Serbia
Lithuania	2 - 2	Montenegro
Lithuania	1 - 1	Bulgaria
Lithuania	1 - 1	Faroes
Lithuania	0 - 6	Turkey
Lithuania	0 - 2	Luxembourg
Lithuania	1 - 1	Kuwait
Lithuania	0 - 4	Switzerland
Lithuania	3 - 1	Bulgaria
Lithuania	1 - 4	N Ireland
Lithuania	0 - 2	Italy
Lithuania	2 - 1	Faroes
Lithuania	0 - 0	Albania
Lithuania	2 - 2	Belarus
Lithuania	0 - 2	Kazakhstan
Lithuania	1 - 0	New Zealand
Lithuania	1 - 2	Serbia
Lithuania	1 - 5	Portugal

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

9 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

11 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Lithuania	1 - 3	Romania
H	Lithuania	0 - 1	Cyprus
A	Lithuania	0 - 1	Cyprus
A	Lithuania	0 - 2	Montenegro
H	Lithuania	2 - 2	Hungary
A	Lithuania	2 - 0	Bulgaria
H	Lithuania	1 - 3	Serbia
H	Lithuania	2 - 2	Montenegro
A	Lithuania	0 - 2	Hungary
H	Lithuania	1 - 1	Bulgaria
A	Lithuania	0 - 0	Greece
A	Lithuania	0 - 2	Serbia
A	Lithuania	0 - 1	Luxembourg
H	Lithuania	1 - 1	Faroes
A	Lithuania	0 - 2	Turkey
A	Lithuania	1 - 2	Faroes
H	Lithuania	0 - 6	Turkey
H	Lithuania	0 - 2	Luxembourg
A	Lithuania	0 - 1	Ireland
A	Lithuania	2 - 1	San Marino

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Kosovo	0 - 3	Romania
Slovakia	1 - 1	Romania
Belgium	2 - 0	Romania
Colombia	3 - 2	Romania
Israel	1 - 2	Romania
Belarus	0 - 0	Romania
Switzerland	2 - 2	Romania
Kosovo	0 - 0	Romania
Andorra	0 - 2	Romania
Finland	1 - 1	Romania
Bosnia	1 - 0	Romania
Montenegro	2 - 0	Romania
Israel	2 - 2	Romania
Liechtenstein	0 - 2	Romania
Germany	2 - 1	Romania
Macedonia	0 - 0	Romania
Iceland	0 - 2	Romania
England	1 - 0	Romania
Armenia	3 - 2	Romania
N Ireland	1 - 1	Romania

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Romania	3 - 1	Lithuania
A	Romania	3 - 0	Kosovo
H	Romania	0 - 3	Netherlands
A	Romania	1 - 1	Slovakia
A	Romania	0 - 2	Belgium
H	Romania	3 - 0	Ukraine
H	Romania	0 - 0	Liechtenstein
H	Romania	0 - 0	Bulgaria
A	Romania	2 - 3	Colombia
H	Romania	1 - 1	N Ireland
H	Romania	1 - 0	Switzerland
A	Romania	2 - 1	Israel
H	Romania	4 - 0	Andorra
A	Romania	0 - 0	Belarus
H	Romania	2 - 0	Kosovo
H	Romania	1 - 1	Israel
A	Romania	2 - 2	Switzerland
A	Romania	0 - 0	Kosovo
H	Romania	2 - 1	Belarus
A	Romania	2 - 0	Andorra

Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Lithuania of late. It has been 6 UEFA Nations League matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Tuesday evening against Romania.

	Lithuania	Romania
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.1 goals	2.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 32% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 68% probability that Lithuania will score no more than 1 goal	0 14% 1 28% 2 27% 3 18% 4+ 14% There is a 86% probability that Romania will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	=0 Lithuania’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	=0 Romania’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.0 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	2.1 conceded	1.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings past 20 games

LTU

ROU

38%

better

view stats

Games scored	9		14
Failed to score	11		6
Scored first	6		9
Goals scored	13		29
Avg. goals scored	0.7		1.5
Avg. shots per game	7		11
Avg. shots per goal	11		8
Conversion rate for	9		13
Avg. XG for	0.8		1.3
KickOff rating		+38%

LTU

ROU

45%

better

view stats

Games conceded	18		10
Clean sheets	2		10
Conceded first	13		7
Goals conceded	35		16
Avg. goals conceded	1.8		0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	13		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		11
Conversion rate against	13%		10%
Avg. XG against	1.4		1.5
KickOff rating		+45%

The line-ups for the UEFA Nations League match between Lithuania v Romania will show here when available.

Lithuania UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
66	13	6	13
F Černych	F Černych	J Lasickas	J Lasickas

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
F Černych FWD	73	13	4	9 -
A Novikovas FWD	71	8	5	10 -
J Lasickas DEF	45	2	6	12 1
E Girdvainis DEF	42	1	1	10 -
L Klimavicius DEF	37			7 -
M Vorobjovas MID	33	1	1	6 -
P Golubickas MID	24	1	2	3 -
P Sirvys DEF	18	3	1	1 -
G Paulauskas FWD	15	2		4 -
E Gertmonas GLK	12			-
R Lekiatas DEF	12			4 -
A Dolznikov FWD	12	1		1 -
K Kazukolovas DEF	11			1 -
A Kucys FWD	11	3		1 -
A Tutyškinas DEF	10			2 -
D Romanovskij MID	10			-
K Upstas DEF	7			1 -
G Matulevičius MID	6	1		1 -
D Antanavicius MID	3			-
M Vareika MID	2			-
V Paulauskas MID	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
13	18	6	6
F Černych	A Novikovas	J Lasickas	A Novikovas

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
F Černych FWD	13	15	4	3
A Novikovas FWD	8	18	5	6
P Sirvys DEF	3	4	1	1
A Kucys FWD	3	6
J Lasickas DEF	2	9	6	2
G Paulauskas FWD	2	4
E Girdvainis DEF	1	1	1
M Vorobjovas MID	1	2	1	1
P Golubickas MID	1	1	2
A Dolznikov FWD	1	2
G Matulevičius MID	1	1
A Tutyškinas DEF		1
L Klimavicius DEF		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1007	55	163
E Girdvainis	J Lasickas	J Lasickas

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E Girdvainis DEF	1007	22	93
J Lasickas DEF	839	55	163
A Novikovas FWD	822	17	111
M Vorobjovas MID	677	47	82
F Černych FWD	539	26	141
R Lekiatas DEF	436	15	27
L Klimavicius DEF	434	8	45
P Sirvys DEF	396	19	56
P Golubickas MID	315	10	35
E Gertmonas GLK	215		9
K Kazukolovas DEF	199	6	20
G Paulauskas FWD	185	6	67
A Tutyškinas DEF	124	6	14
A Kucys FWD	80	1	28
G Matulevičius MID	79	3	8
A Dolznikov FWD	62	3	15
D Romanovskij MID	45	3	9
K Upstas DEF	30	1	8
D Antanavicius MID	4
V Paulauskas MID	3		2
M Vareika MID		1	2

Romania UEFA Nations League squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
65	15	10	12
N Stanciu	N Stanciu	R Marin	N Bancu

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Stanciu MID	76	15	7	9 -
R Marin MID	62	7	10	9 -
G Puscas FWD	45	11	4	9 1
N Bancu DEF	41	2	9	12 -
I Hagi MID	41	5	3	5 -
D Alibec FWD	40	5	1	-
A Cicaldau MID	38	4	1	2 -
A Burca DEF	33	1		7 -
D Man FWD	30	8	4	-
I Nedelcearu DEF	27	2	1	3 -
F Nita GLK	26			2 -
V Mihăilă FWD	26	5	1	3 1
A Rațiu DEF	23	1	1	3 -
R Drăguşin DEF	23			3 -
M Marin MID	23			9 -
A Rus DEF	22	1	1	2 -
D Olaru MID	22			1 -
D Sorescu FWD	19		1	2 -
F Coman FWD	18	1	1	1 -
D Dragus FWD	17	4	1	1 -
H Moldovan GLK	11			-
V Mogos DEF	8		1	1 -
B Racovitan DEF	4			-
S Tarnovanu GLK	2			1 -
A Sut MID	2			-
D Birligea FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
15	32	10	11
N Stanciu	G Puscas	R Marin	N Stanciu

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
N Stanciu MID	15	30	7	11
G Puscas FWD	11	32	4	4
D Man FWD	8	19	4	5
R Marin MID	7	23	10	8
I Hagi MID	5	18	3	7
D Alibec FWD	5	18	1	2
V Mihăilă FWD	5	13	1
D Dragus FWD	4	5	1	2
A Cicaldau MID	4	10	1	1
I Nedelcearu DEF	2	1	1
N Bancu DEF	2	6	9	4
A Burca DEF	1	2
A Rațiu DEF	1	4	1	4
A Rus DEF	1	3	1	2
F Coman FWD	1	3	1	5
V Mogos DEF		1	1
R Drăguşin DEF		1
D Sorescu FWD		7	1
D Olaru MID		1		1
M Marin MID				1
D Birligea FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1729	90	183
N Stanciu	N Bancu	N Stanciu

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
N Stanciu MID	1729	57	183
R Marin MID	1659	49	119
N Bancu DEF	1454	90	167
A Burca DEF	1410	36	115
R Drăguşin DEF	742	10	72
A Rațiu DEF	702	46	95
I Hagi MID	698	30	112
I Nedelcearu DEF	626	7	40
A Cicaldau MID	603	28	70
A Rus DEF	593	17	59
F Nita GLK	548		6
D Man FWD	537	16	69
M Marin MID	504	38	79
G Puscas FWD	380	6	110
V Mihăilă FWD	342	19	45
D Sorescu FWD	314	12	33
D Alibec FWD	293	2	48
D Olaru MID	276	11	29
F Coman FWD	254	12	59
H Moldovan GLK	207		3
D Dragus FWD	150	6	35
V Mogos DEF	139	7	19
B Racovitan DEF	48		3
S Tarnovanu GLK	23	1	2
A Sut MID	19	1	1
D Birligea FWD	10	1	5